USDJPY 4H: Support further decline USDJPY
New forecast
The price of the dollar pair against the yen fell to exceed the level of 149.41, and now it is trying to stabilize below it, the support level of 148.35, and stability below this level will confirm the continuation of the dominance of the downward trend in the immediate term, and the way is open to heading towards our next target at 147.87 and 146.98.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid once stabilized under 148.35 level , taking into account that failure to stabilized under 148.35 level and reversed above 148.89 will support the price to rise up again and do a positive correction .
The expect range trading for today it will between resistance line 149.41 and support line 146.98.
support line : 147.87 , 146.98
resistance line : 148.89 , 149.41
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Usdjpyanalysis
PIMCO Is Buying Yen to Brace for Imminent BOJ Monetary Policy ShPIMCO, one of the world's leading investment management firms, has taken a significant position in buying yen, indicating their preparedness for an imminent tightening of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy.
The BOJ has long been known for its accommodative stance, but recent economic indicators and signals from policymakers suggest a potential shift towards a more hawkish approach. PIMCO's move to buy the yen serves as a clear indication that they anticipate the BOJ to take actions that could strengthen the Japanese currency.
Given PIMCO's reputation and expertise in navigating global markets, their decision to buy yen should not be taken lightly. It is crucial for us to consider the potential implications of this move and the impact it may have on the USDJPY currency pair.
Given these developments, I strongly encourage you to consider a short position on USDJPY. While this decision ultimately rests in your hands, weighing the potential risks and rewards is important. As PIMCO's move suggests, a tighter BOJ monetary policy could lead to yen appreciation, thereby weakening the US dollar against the Japanese yen.
Timing is of the essence, and it is essential to act swiftly in the face of this potential shift in the market dynamics. I recommend conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and consulting with your trusted advisors before making any investment decisions.
As always, it is essential to remain vigilant and adaptable in these uncertain times. The global financial landscape is constantly evolving, and it is our responsibility as traders to stay informed and make informed decisions.
If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to reach out. Together, we can navigate these challenging market conditions and seize the opportunities they present.
Wishing you success in your trading endeavors.
Bearish Outlook [USD/JPY] Unveiling Double Top PatternThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently presenting a compelling technical setup on the daily timeframe, marked by a double top pattern. This pattern is characterized by two distinct peaks in bullish momentum, both displaying notable similarities in terms of pips gained. The initial bullish move saw an approximate rise of 300 pips, followed by a second surge of around 270 pips.
Divergence Analysis:
Adding a layer of complexity to this analysis is the examination of the Dollar Index (DXY), where a potential divergence is observed when comparing the tops of the bullish momentums. This divergence in the DXY could provide additional confirmation for a reversal in the USD/JPY pair.
Key Institutional Level:
The institutional level of 149.000 emerges as a critical point in this analysis. If the price breaks below this level, a scenario unfolds where a retest of the 149.500 area becomes likely. This retest could serve as a key turning point, signifying a potential shift in market sentiment and the beginning of a downward trend.
4-Hour EMA200 as a Confirmatory Signal:
Zooming in on the 4-hour timeframe, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a period of 200 is notably positioned above the price chart. This configuration often acts as a technical signal, indicating a potential reversal in the prevailing trend. In this case, the EMA200 above the price chart adds weight to the bearish outlook for USD/JPY.
Timing Entry on Lower Timeframes:
For traders looking to capitalize on this potential bearish move, attention to lower timeframes such as 1-hour or 30-minute charts becomes crucial. The ideal entry point, in this analysis, is anticipated in the vicinity of the 149.500 area. Monitoring these lower timeframes will allow for a more precise timing of the entry as the price approaches the identified level.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis of USD/JPY reveals a confluence of signals pointing towards a bearish trend. The double top pattern, coupled with similarities in bullish momentums, a potential divergence in the DXY, and the significance of the 149.000 institutional level, all contribute to a comprehensive bearish argument. Traders are advised to stay vigilant, especially on lower timeframes, for a confirmed entry opportunity around the 149.500 area, with the 4-hour EMA200 serving as an additional confirmation signal for the anticipated reversal.
USD/JPY Bullish Trade Setup: Buy Limit at 149.5This USD/JPY trade strategy capitalizes on the currency pair's strong uptrend as identified from the monthly, weekly, and daily charts. The current price near 149.5 presents a compelling entry point for a bullish position. The setup involves:
Entry Point: A buy limit order at 149.5, positioned just below the current market price, aiming to capture potential upward momentum.
Stop Loss: Set at 148.5, below a recent swing low on the daily chart, providing a safeguard against unexpected downward movements.
Take Profit: The initial target is 151.5, just below the key resistance level of 152.0. This level is chosen based on the price’s historical performance, where it has yet to break this significant barrier.
The trade is backed by an overarching bullish trend, reflected in the higher highs and lows observed across all three timeframes. While the fundamental outlook indicates the USD's strength, particularly with better-than-expected retail sales data, the high sell sentiment in the market suggests a possibility of a short squeeze, further supporting a bullish approach.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY: It cannot be said with certainty that a weak JPY has a nBank of Japan Governor Ueda said:
It cannot be said that the weak yen will have a negative impact on the Japanese economy.
A weaker yen promotes domestic inflation due to higher import costs.
Weak yen has a positive impact on exports and profits of Japanese companies globally
We do not comment on exchange rate fluctuations
As we get closer to our inflation target, we will be discussing exit strategies and outlooks, including ETF purchases.
The Bank of Japan has no concrete plans to sell ETFs.
When we sell ETFs, we do so in a manner that minimizes market disruption and significant losses to the Bank of Japan's balance sheet.
Potential deeper pullbackFX:USDJPY retraces some of Wednesday’s 0.60% gains on Thursday due to overall US Dollar (USD) weakness amid a risk-off impulse. Worse than expected, fundamental data from Japan’s triggered flows toward safe-haven assets, boosting appetite toward the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the major trades at 150.61, virtually unchanged in the early Asian Friday session.
According to the daily chart, the USD/JPY remains upward biased for the long term, but in the short term, the drop below the Tenkan-Sen at 150.92 could open the door for a deeper pullback, and test key support levels.
The first support would be the Kijun-Sen at 150.32, before diving to the 150.00 psychological figure. The correction would extend further, once traders clear the latter, with intermediate support seen at the November 3 low of 149.18, before sliding toward the Senkou Span B level at 148.91.
On the other hand, if USD/JPY buyers reclaim the Tenkan-Sen at 150.91, that would sponsor a leg-up above the 151.00 mark, opening the door to retesting the year-to-date (YTD) high at 151.91.
USDJPY I Potential long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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USDJPY: Japan's Economic Minister warned that the global recessiStatement from Japan's Minister of Economy on the third quarter GDP report:
It should be noted that the threat of global recession is depressing the Japanese economy
Domestic demand, including consumption and investment funds, decreased significantly in the third quarter
Personal consumption slumps due to rising prices
Industrial production is under pressure due to rising raw material prices and reduced investment in construction and machinery.
Consumption of services such as eating out continues to recover
Concerns about the future of the Chinese economy need to be carefully monitored
USDJPY: Comments on USDJPY on November 14Yomiru: Japan plans to reduce taxes for businesses that increase wages
A source from the Yomiuri website said that the Japanese Government is considering tax reductions for companies that increase wages by 8%.
The Japanese government wants to encourage wage increases as part of its fight to promote sustained and stable inflation.
If the wage increase is widely applied, it will create a premise for the BoJ's arguments around gradually reducing the level of monetary policy easing, thereby supporting JPY.
USDJPY → Moves on the upward trajectory toward 152.00 levelFX:USDJPY continues to move on the upward trajectory, trading around yearly highs at 151.70 during the European session on Monday. The USD/JPY pair eyes a potential ascent toward the major resistance at the psychological level of 152.00. This could materialize if the strength of the US Dollar (USD) gathers momentum, propelled by higher US Treasury bond yields and the hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell.
The technical indicators paint an interesting picture for the USD/JPY pair. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned above the 50 level, indicating upward support. This signals a bullish momentum and reflects a robust market sentiment. With this, there's potential for the pair to advance toward the next barrier at the resistance level of 152.50.
Adding to the positive outlook, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is situated above the centerline and the signal line in the USD/JPY pair. This configuration suggests a stronger momentum and reflects a prevailing confidence in the market.
On the flip side, the USD/JPY pair could meet the support at the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 150.35, followed by the 150.00 psychological level. A decisive break below the latter could push the pair to navigate the area around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 148.40.
USD/JPY approaching historical resistance zoneDear traders, USD/JPY is approaching a historical resistance zone. There
could be a pullback from this level.
The area between 151.80-152.30 is a potential reversal zone as it happens
to be the confluence of both the channel resistance and horizontal resistance.
If there is bearish price action in this zone, traders can consider selling
USDJPY@151.80-152.30 with SL above 152.60 and TP at 146.50
USDJPY WEEKLY UPDATESPrice no reaction on the first retracement, now price keep moving higher.
maybe we could see a breaks on structure of previous high 2022.
My thoughts would be the high. but only if there is BOJ intervention happens.
if not then we might see the weekly gap since the past.
Are we seeing a hyper inflation on Japan again?
What is your thought?
This is not a trade advice.
This is only reference on how the USD strong as of now.
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USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange market calms down, US dollar recoMost Asian currencies fluctuated in a narrow range on Wednesday, but the dollar pared recent gains after some Federal Reserve officials warned against betting the central bank would stop raising interest rates. Expanded.
This will focus attention on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's upcoming speech as markets look for further signals on U.S. monetary policy.
Sentiment towards Asian markets remains subdued as traders remain nervous about hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Signs of continued weakness in China's economy also have traders wary of regional markets.
The Japanese yen fell 0.1%, remaining above 150 yen to the dollar, with dovish signals from the Bank of Japan and a strong dollar providing little support. The weak currency has traders bracing for possible foreign exchange market intervention by the Japanese government aimed at strengthening the yen. Japan's cabinet issued a series of verbal warnings against such moves in October.