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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY back to 150. Is this a positive signal for investorsUSDJPY touched 150.eleven early withinside the Asian consultation earlier than falling barely because the USD got here below strain from options-pushed selling. The pair is presently buying and selling round 149.93. Investors are carefully downplaying JPY because of the chance of presidency intervention. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated closing week it became critical to have balance withinside the forex marketplace and that volatility ought to mirror essential analysis. Yukio Ishizuki, senior currency strategist at Daiwa Securities (Tokyo), said, ``The US dollar/yen pair broke through the 150 mark during a period of low liquidity, probably due to the influence of speculators.'' Concerns will limit upside. People will continue to be nervous. ” Fukuhiro Ezawa, head of Tokyo Financial Markets at Standard Chartered Bank, said, ``The rapid fall of USD/JPY from 150 is a sign that algorithmic funds are increasing their sell orders due to concerns about interference.'' The large interest rate differential with the United States is the cause of the weak yen, and the yield on 10-year U.S. bonds is 4.96%, nearly six times higher than the yield on Japanese government bonds with the same maturity (0.835%). Differences in monetary policy exacerbate the situation. The Bank of Japan said it will continue to maintain supportive policies to achieve a stable and sustainable 2% inflation target. Investors continue to monitor geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as they await the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting on October 30-31. Investors also welcomed a Nikkei report that Bank of Japan officials are considering whether to adjust its yield curve control program as domestic long-term interest rates rise in line with the U.S.. The source of the information was not identified in the report.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
USD/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis - Inching Toward a Bear ReversalUSD/JPY has refused to fall below the Weekly 9EMA since July 28th. However, we are inching closer to the previous high resistance of 152.000, so we should be cautious longing in the coming weeks. JPYX is also hovering around a support area in a descending wedge and has the potential to pullback to the upside, dragging USD/JPY down or at least, holding it back. The RSI is also in overbought territory which is *never* a reason on its own to reverse your position bias. But when we couple the RSI level with the following items, a reversal into a minor pullback seems likely: 1. The previous high of 152.000 is near. Given it was the point of the last reversal, expect some selling at this level. 2. We have had 12 consecutive candles above the 9EMA on the Weekly, we should expect a fall below the 9EMA in the next couple of weeks given how close the 152.000 resistance is. 3. JPYX is bouncing on the descending wedge and has probable potential to reverse to the upside, which would stall or drag USD/JPY down. 4. The Weekly bull bars are weak. They appear to be losing strength as we get closer to 152.000. 5. RSI on USD/JPY is overbought, which is a weak signal but a signal that supports the prior data in this list. At this moment, I would be zooming into the lower timeframes like the 15m and 1hr candles to look for good scalp entries and keep my position sizes a bit smaller than my maximum. The probability of reward over risk is lessening as we get closer to 152.000; be careful at this level. As always, trade at your own risk and you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
by TraderEngineering
USD/JPY Breaks Records with Over 60 Trillion Traded Between Jan The USD/JPY has been making waves in the market, soaring to unprecedented heights, with over 60 trillion dollar traded between January and September. Can you believe it? This is a monumental achievement! As a seasoned trader, you understand the significance of such a phenomenal trading volume. The yen's remarkable performance is a testament to its strength and stability in these uncertain times. I can't help but feel a sense of optimism and enthusiasm, once again reminding me why I love being a part of this dynamic trading community. Given the yen's incredible performance, I encourage you to consider taking advantage of this exciting opportunity and going long on the yen. With a robust trading volume supporting it, the yen proves to be a promising investment choice for both experienced traders and newcomers alike. Ride the wave of success and embrace the potential it brings! Remember, success favors the brave, and with the yen's impressive trading volume, now is the perfect time to dive into the market and long USD/JPY. Embrace the joy of trading, make your moves wisely, and harness the power of this extraordinary market development. www.asia.nikkei.com
Long
by bryandowningqln
USDJPY 1D AnalysisUSDJPY is currently experiencing rejection at a significant resistance level, which also aligns with a supply zone. On the 4-hour time frame (TF), the price is forming a double top pattern, suggesting the potential for a bearish price decline towards the marked support level, which may coincide with the bullish trendline. However, it's also possible that the price is currently consolidating at its current level before eventually breaking out of the resistance level, leading to a continuation of the uptrend. In such a scenario, I would be on the lookout for a buying opportunity. What are your thoughts on this analysis? Please share your comments below
by Popeson
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Post-NFP Market ReportHi Traders! The NFP announcement was released earlier today, and it came as a shock to the market. The number came in at a staggering 336K, which is almost double the expected number of 171K. With the payrolls number coming out so strongly, this is a sign that the US economy is still strong, and the high demand for the US dollar is expected to continue in the near future. This now puts huge pressure back on the JPY, and the Bank of Japan will surely have to intervene to avoid further Yen weakness. On a technical level, the level to look out for on the USDJPY is 150.000; the market has already reached it this week, and traders will be looking for another test at this level to see if the market can break above it. A break and a close of 150.000, and the only key level above it is the apex level at 151.946, and a break of that, and we will be in record-breaking territory. Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Long
by BluetonaFX
USD/JPY 15m Chart Analysis - Long to Retest the 150.175 HighUSD/JPY has been ranging between 148.300 and 149.300 since last week and has failed to break down to the 30EMA on the Daily chart. DXY has failed to break below its Daily 30EMA as well. The USD/JPY price action is currently in the top 1/3rd of the range with the RSI just mid-level leaving room for a move up and out of the range. There is a gap to fill up to the previous high of 150.175. At the very least, I believe we'll see a retest of this level. For this to happen, the Dollar needs a good bounce at the 105.600 level and the Yen remain stagnant or fall. My current analysis of the Yen is it's ready for a pullback to the upside, but that doesn't mean it won't take a quick dip to the downside first before reversing. I think we can find a good entry in this range below the midpoint and look for a breakout at the top of the range. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Long
by TraderEngineering
82% of retail investors hold short positions.Resistance Level 2: 150.00 Resistance level 1: 149.00 Spot price: 148.46 Support bit 1: 147.80 Support bit 2: 147.00 On Monday (October 9), the U.S. dollar fell 0.57% against the Japanese yen to 148.49. As the situation in the Middle East panics the market, the Japanese yen, a traditional safe-haven currency, has been favored in cross trading, which has also indirectly increased its direct quotation against the US dollar. In addition, although the U.S. non-farm payrolls data is strong, it is not enough to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in November. Therefore, investors seem to be starting to find excuses to ease the pressure on the yen. USD/JPY is likely to see an adjustment downward trend under profit-making selling pressure. On the daily chart, the signs of top divergence seem to be gradually confirmed, the price line has also begun to fall below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands channel, and the technical indicators are trending downward. Pay close attention to the support of 147.50 below. If it falls below, be careful that the adjustment downward momentum may drag USD/JPY to a lower level.
Long
by Zenobia-Harte
1
USD/JPY - At Risk of Falling to Bull Channel SupportUSD/JPY showed a strong sign of bear pressure on Tuesday last week when the JPY ripped to the downside for a brief moment. At this stage of a bull run, this is likely a sign of weakness and a reversal to the downside lurks. My recent DXY analysis shows the potential for a fall below its 106.000 support, and the JPY analysis shows signs of a reversal to the upside. The Weekly candles still hover above the the 9EMA at a price of 147.300. If the price makes contact with and bounces off of the 9EMA, then we have confirmed more bullish action which will set my sights for the previous high resistance at 152.000. The RSI is touching the overbought line, but there is still room for more action to the upside. A Weekly candle closing below the 9EMA is a strong bear signal and may indicate a minor pullback is in order. Price targets in this scenario put us at 145.000 where the price last touched the top of the bull channel and puts us back at the bottom of the bull channel. With the RSI touching the overbought line, there is plenty of room for a move to the downside. Longs at this stage on this timeframe are risky. I would focus on lower timeframes such as the 4HR and look for a bounce off of the 200EMA to the upside. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
by TraderEngineering
3
❗ USDJPY: Unimaginable Highs ⚡Crazy right?!😲 Who would have thought we would be back trading at the 1998 highs? Well, here we are. Sooooo what is the game plan now? Ideally, we need to figure out a zone to sell from! 👇 So let's figure that out together: Where is everyone trying to sell from currently? ⚡ The supply zone we are currently trading in. Where will everyone's stop losses be if they are selling now in this supply zone? ⚡ Above the high. So where can we expect liquidity and stop loss hunting? ⚡ Above the high. Great! Now wait for the liquidity grab and begin your search for possible sells once that is complete. Happy trading folks!! 😀😁😆
Short
by AlkalineFX
15
USD/JPY Rebounds to 149.50 on Stellar US Jobs ReportUSD/JPY Rebounds to 149.50 on Stellar US Jobs Report The USD/JPY currency pair has made a remarkable recovery, ascending to 149.50 after experiencing a dip. This bullish movement was driven by a US jobs report that exceeded market expectations. Despite a slight retracement to around 149.20, the pair remains strong, particularly in the context of US 10-year Treasury note yields standing firm at 4.780%. Japanese officials have expressed concerns over the volatility of the Yen (JPY), while the rise in the 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) coupon suggests potential intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). US Jobs Data Spurs USD/JPY Rebound: During the North American trading session, the USD/JPY made a notable climb, primarily propelled by robust US jobs data. This upward movement followed a brief dip that saw the pair hit lows of 148.26 over the previous two days. As buyers stepped in, the 149.00 mark was reclaimed, and the pair reached a three-day high of 149.50, all of which was bolstered by the significant rise in US bond yields. Strong US Jobs Market Data: The latest employment data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) exceeded expectations, revealing the creation of over 336,000 jobs in the economy. This figure far surpassed estimates, which had anticipated 170,000 jobs, and it was even 100,000 more than the upwardly revised August data of 227,000. The report underscores the strength of the US labor market, although it should be noted that seasonality adjustments may influence these figures. Wage Growth and Unemployment: In addition to job creation, the report provided insights into wage growth and the unemployment rate. Average Hourly Earnings rose by 4.2%, slightly below the consensus and August's 4.3%. The Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.8%, which was slightly higher than the consensus of 3.7%. While wage growth may have softened marginally, the overall labor market picture remained robust. USD/JPY Pauses at 149.20: After reaching a high of 149.53, the USD/JPY experienced a modest retracement, settling around 149.20. This movement was in conjunction with the US 10-year benchmark note, which retreated from its 2007 highs of 4.887% but remained six basis points higher at 4.780%. The sustained strength of US bond yields continued to provide support for the USD/JPY pair. Japanese Concerns Over Yen Volatility: Japanese authorities have voiced concerns over the volatility of the Japanese Yen (JPY) in the foreign exchange (FX) markets. Masato Kanda, a representative of Japanese authorities, highlighted their stance, stating that excessive currency movements, whether within a single day or over a week, are considered "excess volatility." Even one-sided moves accumulating into significant shifts over a specific period are regarded as such. Potential BoJ Intervention: Despite the absence of an official statement regarding the recent 200-plus pip drop in the USD/JPY from around 150.00, the exchange rate has remained below that level. Notably, the 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) coupon has risen to 0.80%. This increase opens the possibility of intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to curb the recent uptick in yields, a move that could stabilize the market. Conclusion: The USD/JPY's rebound to 149.50, driven by stellar US jobs data, underscores the resilience of the pair in the face of Yen (JPY) volatility and the rise in US bond yields. Japanese authorities remain watchful of FX market movements, and the potential for Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention adds an element of caution to the market's dynamics. The strong labor market data has provided renewed support for the USD/JPY, which remains an interesting pair to watch amid evolving economic conditions. Our preference Long positions above 143.75 with targets at 152.00 & 155.00 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
24