Get started

Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY: How does the recession affect?S&P500 futures have experienced some losses in Europe, indicating a cautious market sentiment. The ongoing second-quarter result season is expected to pose challenges for US equities. Investors will be closely monitoring the performance of banking and technology stocks as the Federal Reserve's higher interest rates are causing a slowdown in economic activities. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is making a significant effort to break above the immediate resistance of 100.00. If successful, this move would trigger a short-term recovery and possibly impact the demand for riskier currencies. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have sharply dropped to around 3.78%.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
8
USD/JPY: The case for a bearish reversal buildsUSD/JPY has delivered a decent trend for bulls so far this year, having risen 14% since the January low. Yet we have been fully aware that net-short exposure to yen futures has approached a historical extreme as USD/JPT prices rose towards 145. Incidentally, 145 was the upper range of the liquidity gap we mentioned in a previous article which has now been filled, and USD/JPY has printed a bearish engulfing week at the 145 handle. With risks of yen intervention very real and traders positioned so strongly to the short side of yen futures, we suspect USD/JPY is at or very near an important inflection point. What could make the difference between a natural pullback against the YTD trend or a sharp reversal could be incoming economic data from the US and Japan. A softer-than-expected CPI report for the US could likely help push USD/JPY lower, but the real bearish catalyst could be if the BOJ finally get serious about abandoning their YCC (yield curve control). Over the near-term, a move to the 140 and 138 handles seem achievable over the coming weeks as part of a much-deserved retracement against a one-sided trend so far this year.
Short
by CityIndex
USDJPY, Are the Bulls back in control?UJ was on a bearish run from 07/09-07/14. On the Friday before the market closed UJ reached a key daily Supply/Demand level and closed above the zone. In the screen shot above is a projection of where the market will go. To confirm the bullish run, price must close above the daily supply/demand area @138.776. Once the four hour candle is closed above the area, look for the next major 4 hour supply/demand area that price could possibly begin to reject. Once a pullback occurs and closes above either the daily supply/demand zone or 4hr supply/demand zone, take your long entries and hold to your comfort. is this just a temporary bull market run or will the bears strike back?
Long
by NoPumpFakesFx
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese authorities are facing mounting pressure as the yen continues to weaken due to market expectations of ultra-low interest rates maintained by the Bank of Japan. The yen gained traction in the second half of the previous week. Speculation of government intervention to counter the currency's weakness added further support. Although direct intervention did not occur, we witnessed a pullback from the key 145 level against the dollar, amidst numerous verbal warnings from Japanese officials cautioning against betting against the yen. Despite these developments, the outlook for the yen remains uncertain, especially as the Bank of Japan maintains its commitment to loose monetary policy. Shifting our attention to the U.S. economic landscape, the Labor Department's recent report revealed that June experienced a lower-than-expected increase in new hires, with downward revisions to May's figures. However, the unemployment rate declined to 3.6% in June, and average hourly earnings mirrored the growth seen in May. Amidst the recent market volatility, there is speculation that despite pausing its rate hike cycle last month, the Federal Reserve might resume rate hikes during its upcoming meeting on July 26. USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action): This video offers a comprehensive analysis of the current market structure. Our focus centers around the key level of 142.500, which was broken to the downside following a strong bearish move. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of concern, which could potentially lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction is established. Market participants will closely watch the key economic indicators from the U.S. docket to gauge sentiment. The video examines potential trading opportunities within this area using trendlines and key levels, with particular emphasis on the significance of the 144.000 level as a potential retest for a continuation of the downtrend. The market's reaction to the range around the 142.500 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the direction of price action throughout the upcoming week. Stay connected to my channel, stay informed by following my updates, and actively engage in the comment section. Together, we'll navigate the dynamic USDJPY market. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
UsdJpy- Bulls could take control againAfter the recent high at 145 zone and a small consolidation to the top, UsdJpy fell hard, losing around 700 pips in just one week. However, the overall medium-term trend remains bullish and, with the price near an important horizontal level of support, traders could look for buying opportunities. In my opinion, this level will hold, and dips under the 138 zone should be bought with a target to the first level of resistance, around 141.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
24
USDJPY-NEXT MOVE CAN BE 500+ PIPS ONEEveryone, hope you all having a great week, our march setup on USDJPY have been working out perfectly, price on daily timeframe have breakout the previous structure and apparently showing strong bullish sentiment. We need to wait for DXY to show bearish price sign, once we do. UJ will drop significantly. Like and Comment, as always thank you so much for showing support and love, we will keep bringing the high quality charts and do let down any pair that you may want us to analyse.
Long
by Setupsfx_
36
USDJPYUSDJPY, due to strong DXY, as we had explained in our previous USD pairs that we are expecting DXY to be bullish in upcoming days; so current approarch on USDJPY is bullish for another month or so, we will have to wait for price to complete the bullish price momentum. Once the price reach our area of entry we can enter the swing sell position for a nice 1000 pips. Always remember patience pays. If you like our work do like and share and follow for more. Thank you as always, Happy Trading ;)
by Setupsfx_
23
USDJPY: LONG!The USD/JPY pair is showing signs of a cautious market sentiment, with its recovery from the previous day's decline fading around 144.60. This could be attributed to concerns about Japan intervening in the market to protect its currency, as it hovers near its highest levels in eight months. Additionally, fears of a recession signaled by the inversion of US Treasury bond yields are also posing challenges for buyers of USD/JPY. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has stated that he is closely communicating with the US on foreign exchange matters, while the nation's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, is engaging with various countries including the US on currency issues. Furthermore, the inversion between the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields has reached its highest level since 1981, sparking renewed worries of a recession. This is due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark borrowing rates to control inflation. The two-year Treasury bond yields have dropped to 4.85%, while the 10-year counterpart fell to 3.78%. It is important to note that both benchmark yields ended Monday's trading at approximately 4.93% and 3.86% respectively.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
6
USDJPY – Did the market overreact to the weaker NFP data? Yes, I do think it was an overreaction. Looking at recent price action we can see how bullish the pair was. This was a solid long trade that got halted at 140.00. After a few days of consolidation, price broke out and a climb to 144.00 was easy. Consolidation followed again and my expectation was that we would soon get to 148.00 (see my posts of 17 June and 01 July). But then came the NFP data and this pair plunged really hard. My bullish bias however has not yet changed, I will not take a short. I expect the buyers will step in either at the intermediate support in the 141.20 area or the big one at 140. Patience is always key, waiting for bullish evidence important. My overall target remains in the 150's. Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more. What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
Long
by Trading_Vista
5
Japan Yen's Strengthen Secure a True Low Volatile HedgeAs the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy and inflation rates continue to drop, the Japan Yen has steadily strengthened. This trend presents a unique chance to diversify your trading positions and capitalize on Yen's increasing value. By incorporating the Yen into your portfolio, you can potentially shield yourself from market volatility and enhance your risk management strategies. Why choose the Japanese Yen, you may ask? Well, let me share a few compelling reasons: 1. A Safe Haven Currency: Historically, the Yen has been considered a haven currency during economic uncertainty. It's stability and low volatility make it an attractive option for traders seeking a reliable hedge against market fluctuations. 2. Economic solid Fundamentals: Japan boasts a robust and resilient economy supported by technological advancements, a skilled workforce, and a commitment to innovation. These factors contribute to the Yen's strength and make it an appealing choice for traders seeking stability. 3. Diverse Trading Opportunities: The Japan Yen offers many trading opportunities across various currency pairs. Whether you prefer significant pairs like USD/JPY or exotic pairs like EUR/JPY, the Yen's liquidity, and popularity ensure ample chances to profit. Now, it's time for action! Don't miss out on leveraging the Japan Yen's strengthening trend. Here's what you can do to seize this opportunity: 1. Evaluate Your Portfolio: Assess your current trading positions and identify areas where the inclusion of the Japan Yen could enhance your risk management and diversification strategies. 2. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market indicators, economic news, and central bank policies that may impact the Yen's value. This knowledge will help you make informed trading decisions and maximize your potential profits. 3. Collaborate and Learn: Engage with fellow traders, attend webinars and seminars to gain insights and exchange ideas about trading the Japanese Yen. Sharing knowledge and experiences can be invaluable in refining your strategies. Remember, the forex market is ever-evolving, and adapting to new trends is crucial for success. Adding the Japan Yen to your trading arsenal can unlock a true low-volatile hedge and amplify your gains.
Short
by bryandowningqln
2
USD/JPY bears are at risk of being 'caught short'USD/JPY has been playing nicely with our analysis of late, having rallied to 145 and close the 300-pip liquidity gap we warned of before accelerating lower this week in line with our bearish bias. But given levels of support nearby and a few metrics on hand, bears may want to be cautious around current levels. USD/JPY is trying to close lower for a fifth day - which is a bearish sequence not seen since December (and April 2021 prior to that). It's current 5-day decline is also its most bearish since December, and 5-day moves between -3.5 to -5% tend to snap back higher. But it is also around the midway point of the congestion zone which formed in June, which are areas which can prove to be 'sticky' once retested. With all these clues combined, we suspect a pause in the bearish move is imminent at a minimum (if not, a countertrend move seems more likely). Whether it can bounce hard and fast today is likely dependent upon whether US inflation comes in hot or not. But with so many indication of an inflection point, bears may want to refer to lower timeframes fore their shorts to avoid getting 'caught short' at the end of the cycle.
by CityIndex
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar. At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again. However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase. It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time. Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
by BlackBull_Markets