USDJPY | H1 | UpdateUSDJPY update, looking at USDJPY now based on my initial analysis we can see that the USDJPY tanked as per the initial forecast, there was some volatility during the course of the week due to fundamental events surrounding the USD which also acted as a catalyst towards increasing the overall momentum as we would’ve noticed with today’s NFP announcement.
But looking back we can take note that USDJPY created a short term trading range between 144.19x and 144.68x before breaking out of our minor support level at 144.19x then came back to retest that level and confirm it as our new resistance after the announcement of the US ADP Employment Change yesterday before tumbling further down. Today’s NFP announcement acted as a further catalyst pushing USDJPY to break through our initial target and support at 142.8xx & 142.6xx now we’re looking forward to it pushing further down to 141.2xx
Usdjpyanalysis
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe USDJPY has experienced a depreciation of over 9% against the yen in the current year. Last Friday, the Japanese currency hit a low of 145.07 per dollar in early Asia trade, the lowest it had been in over seven months. However, it stabilized at 144.30 later on Friday following statements from Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki. Suzuki emphasized that Japan would take appropriate measures if the yen weakened excessively, cautioning against investors selling the currency too aggressively. This level, 145 to the dollar, has historically made speculators wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities, as demonstrated last September when authorities intervened in the markets to support the currency for the first time in 24 years.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been closely monitoring various economic aspects such as the labor market and energy-induced inflation as it prepares for its meeting on July 26 to decide on interest rates. The Fed's decision-making process is influenced by two crucial data points in the U.S.: the first quarter GDP and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index. These indicators will help determine whether the central bank will proceed with rate hikes in the coming weeks or maintain the current pause in monetary tightening, which was decided on June 14.
According to the Commerce Department, the U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter of this year, providing some relief to the Fed and indicating that previous rate hikes did not significantly impede economic growth. However, inflation remains a concern, with a slowdown in the overall trend but still at relatively high levels.
Next Friday, the US will release the June official employment report. The market consensus is for an increase of 200K in payrolls.
Considering these factors, market expectations lean towards the Fed raising lending rates by another quarter percentage point on July 26, reaching a peak of 5.25%.
USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action):
This video provides an extensive analysis of the current market structure. The focus is on the key level of 145.000, which played a crucial role in the Bank of Japan's intervention last September. With price action returning to this zone, it becomes a point of concern, acting as either key support or resistance depending on how market participants react in the upcoming week. The video explores potential trading opportunities in this area using trendlines and key levels, highlighting the significance of the 144.200 level as a recent support line, particularly observed on Friday. The market's response to the range between 144.200 and 145.000 at the beginning of the new week will greatly influence the direction of price action in the upcoming week.
Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section to stay informed about further technical developments in the USDJPY market. I wish you the best of luck as you navigate the USDJPY market this week.
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Another 400+ Bull Move!!FX:USDJPY daily time price is currently consolidating which means we will have an ' price expansion'. This is strong size that buyers presence is still there in the market even after the 'CPI DATA' came out to be negative. Let's not miss out on this great buying zone.
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USDJPY | H1 | OutlookUSDJPY | H1 | Outlook
Looking at the USDJPY we can see that price broke our diagonal support at 144.5xx after successfully closing bellow our diagonal support we saw it push up to our horizontal resistance around 144.720 - 144.890.
Now looking to the right we can expect USDJPY to push down to 142.8xx after successfully closing bellow 144.600.
USD/JPY Short Scalping Setup And Long Swing Setup For Free !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDJPY still going strong .. the week of 03 JulyAs I anticipated in my post of 17Jun, this pair is likely to get to the 150’s. From the mid 141’s we are now in the 144’s and I do not see any reason why the trend will change any time soon. The trend is quite clean, the wicks are quite small and pullbacks are not deep either. Bearing in mind that the trend can become more volatile at any time, I remain with my bullish bias and my next target will be in the 148 region.
Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more.
What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
Exciting News! Yen Hits a New 7-Month Low Against the Dollar 🚀
The USD/JPY forex pair is currently on fire, and the low volatility in this trading duo presents us with an incredible opportunity to maximize our profits. This is the perfect time to jump into the action and ride the wave of success!
Why should you be thrilled about this news? Well, let me break it down for you:
1. Yen at a 7-Month Low: The Yen has reached its lowest point against the Dollar in the past seven months. This indicates a significant shift in the market dynamics, favoring the Dollar. The USD/JPY pair is ripe for exciting trading opportunities!
2. Increased Profit Potential: Low volatility in the USD/JPY pair means the price movements are relatively stable, making anticipating and capitalizing on market trends easier. We can seize this opportunity to maximize our profits with a well-informed strategy and careful analysis.
3. Favorable Trading Conditions: The current market conditions are highly advantageous for trading USD/JPY. The low volatility allows for smoother trading experiences, reduced risk, and better entry and exit points. It's like having the wind at our backs, propelling us toward success!
Now, here comes the exciting part – the call to action! I encourage you to seize this golden opportunity to start trading the USD/JPY forex pair with low volatility. Here's what you need to do:
1. Conduct thorough analysis: Dive into the market charts, study the trends, and identify potential entry and exit points. Knowledge is power, and the more informed you are, the better equipped you'll be to make profitable trades.
2. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Use technical indicators, fundamental analysis, or expert advice to enhance your process.
3. Stay updated and connected: Monitor the latest market news, economic indicators, and potential events that may impact the USD/JPY pair. Stay connected with fellow traders, share insights, and leverage the power of collective knowledge.
Remember, success favors those who act. So, let's dive into the exciting world of trading USD/JPY with low volatility!
Feel free to reach out if you have any questions, need assistance, or want to share your trading experiences. Just comment away!
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisIn this video, we delve into a comprehensive technical analysis of USDJPY, focusing on its bullish and bearish sentiments through price action analysis. Join us as we uncover potential trading opportunities for the upcoming week by identifying key support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe.
On Friday, the Japanese Yen experienced a decline after a three-and-a-half-day struggle, fueled by the strengthening of the US dollar. This was in response to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's reiterated stance on the necessity of additional rate hikes. During his two-day testimony before Congress, Powell emphasized that U.S. interest rates may rise at least twice more this year to counteract high inflation. Market reactions to Powell's comments led to a significant increase in the likelihood of further rate hikes in July, with markets pricing in a nearly 75% chance of such action.
Data released from the Japanese economic docket on Friday indicated that consumer inflation slightly exceeded expectations for the 12-month period up to May. However, a core reading excluding food and fuel prices surged to a 42-year high, indicating persistent inflationary pressures in Japan.
These trends are placing increased pressure on the Bank of Japan to consider tightening its monetary policy, although the bank has recently reiterated its commitment to maintaining its ultra-loose policy. Nonetheless, the potential for Japanese monetary policy tightening may contribute to a resurgence in the yen, which has faced considerable downward pressure due to the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan. Additionally, the Japanese currency is rapidly approaching levels that could prompt government intervention in currency markets.
USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action):
In this video, I offered an extensive analysis of the USDJPY market's current structure, with a primary focus on price action-based technical analysis. Special attention was given to key support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe, uncovering potential trading opportunities for the upcoming week. Notably, I highlighted a key level around 143.900, which was recently tested and represents the highest price reached this year. The market's response to this level at the start of the new week will play a pivotal role in determining the direction of price action in the upcoming week.
Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section to stay informed about further technical developments in the USDJPY market. I wish you the best of luck this week as you navigate the USDJPY market.
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USD is Trading Inside of Wedge and May Rise to ResistanceHey Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The USDJPY Price Reached a Strong ResistanceLevel (142.255-141.267)✔
The Price Broke This Key Level (The Resistance Becomes New Support Level)
Moreover, The USDJPY has created a Rising Wedge pattern and trades inside.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a Retest...
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TARGET: 145.050🎯
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if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
Can USD/JPY rally through this 300-pip liquidity gap?Divergent monetary policies between the Fed and BOJ have allowed USD/JPY to extend its bullish trend on the daily chart. Whilst the Fed are very close to their terminal rate, they have to keep the threat of further hikes on the table to tame inflation expectations. When coupled with the ultra-easy policies of the BOJ, we've seen USD/JPY return to its cycle highs.
However, the current resistance level around the November high marks the lows of a ~300-pip liquidity gap - and such areas can see prices move swiftly through them if revisited.
Soft US inflation data last November sent USD/JPY aggressively lower on the day, and left the liquidity gap to potentially be filled. The question now is whether bulls can persist and send prices within it, which could see USD/JPY head for the range highs around 145.
Of course, a building threat for bulls to keep in the back of their mind is that Japan's Ministry of Finance or the BOJ could become vocal about yen volatility to spook JPY bears. But until then, we prefer to buy dips on the daily chart or seek bullish continuation patterns on lower timeframes.
USDJPY: USD's miraculous recovery journey with JPY downturnS&P500 futures have recorded slight losses before the market opens as investors are being cautious about the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum of Central Banking. Investor sentiment has become more risk-averse as they hope that Powell will continue to express a cautious stance.
The US Dollar Index has experienced a significant increase, supported by expectations of a cautious approach from Powell and stronger US Durable Goods Orders data. The US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders grew by 1.7%, surpassing the market's expectation of a 1% decline. This data for May has outperformed the previous figure of 1.2% in April.
Jerome Powell is expected to provide a cautious approach as core inflation in the US economy remains persistent and labor market conditions continue to be tight, despite higher interest rates and strict credit conditions set by commercial and regional banks.
On the other hand, a Reuters survey suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may intervene in foreign exchange (FX) movements if the Japanese Yen weakens to 145.00 against the US Dollar. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated his commitment to respond appropriately to excessive FX movements if necessary.
Later this week, the market will closely monitor Tokyo
USDJPY 29June2023if you look at the price movement in the past week it looks very slow but the price is still moving bullish, this looks like price compression. usually when something like this happens, in the near future there will be a fairly high price jump.
the initial target is still the same, namely in the fibo extension area of 1,618 and it could be that the price jumped high towards the SnD area above the fibo extension.
usdjpy to create a strong higher highAfter earning small chips from the shorts I decided to go long and participate in the trend. This pair is still in an uptrend. The dollar is creating higher lows and structurally higher highs. I noticed a breakout of consolidation then a retest. The re-test presented a bullish reversal pattern followed by volume. I project price to push to atleast 144.808
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese yen experienced a slight decline as the Bank of Japan maintained its ultra-loose policy. However, it managed to recover some of its early losses following the BOJ decision, though it remained close to seven-month lows against the dollar. The BOJ opted to keep interest rates unchanged at record lows and expressed its intention to continue the yield curve control policy in support of economic growth. The bank also forecasted above-average strength in the Japanese economy for the year.
The yen had been weighed down by expectations of a dovish BOJ, especially as the Federal Reserve signaled a relatively hawkish stance, indicating a widening gap between Japanese and U.S. interest rates. While the Fed had previously paused rate hikes, it foresees at least two more increases this year due to inflation trending above the central bank's target range.
Nevertheless, weak U.S. economic indicators such as slowing industrial production, steady jobless claims, and sluggish retail sales raised doubts about the extent to which the Fed could continue raising interest rates.
Anticipated higher U.S. interest rates for a longer period are likely to restrict significant gains in Asian markets. In the upcoming week, we will focus on economic events from both the U.S. and Japan, including the BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and the Fed Chair's testimony before Congress. How will these events impact the USDJPY from a technical standpoint?
During the video, I provide detailed analysis of the USDJPY's bullish and bearish sentiment, primarily focusing on price action-based technical indicators. We identify key support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe to uncover potential trading opportunities. Notably, we highlight a significant level around 142.000 that was recently tested, and how market participants react to this level at the start of the new week may play a critical role in determining the direction of price action in the upcoming week.
Stay connected to our channel, follow our updates, and engage in the comment section to stay informed about further developments in the USDJPY market.
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY: Economic volatility!During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair faced selling pressure, causing a partial erosion of the previous day's gains that had exceeded the 144.00 level, reaching a new high since November 2022. The spot price is currently trading around 143.80, down nearly 0.20% for the day, although any significant downward adjustments still seem elusive.
Japanese officials continue to issue warnings against the recent weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), which is considered a key factor driving some long-term relaxation around the USD/JPY pair. In fact, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated on Tuesday that they will closely monitor the forex market with a sense of urgency and will react accordingly if currency movements become excessive. This warning was reiterated by top Japanese currency diplomat Masato Kanda earlier this Wednesday.
USDJPY - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I want to make a retracement to fill the imbalances lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 142.000.
Fundamental analysis: This week on Thursday we have news on USD, will be released quarterly GDP. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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