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Usdjpybuy

USDJPY: USD's miraculous recovery journey with JPY downturnS&P500 futures have recorded slight losses before the market opens as investors are being cautious about the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum of Central Banking. Investor sentiment has become more risk-averse as they hope that Powell will continue to express a cautious stance. The US Dollar Index has experienced a significant increase, supported by expectations of a cautious approach from Powell and stronger US Durable Goods Orders data. The US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders grew by 1.7%, surpassing the market's expectation of a 1% decline. This data for May has outperformed the previous figure of 1.2% in April. Jerome Powell is expected to provide a cautious approach as core inflation in the US economy remains persistent and labor market conditions continue to be tight, despite higher interest rates and strict credit conditions set by commercial and regional banks. On the other hand, a Reuters survey suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may intervene in foreign exchange (FX) movements if the Japanese Yen weakens to 145.00 against the US Dollar. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated his commitment to respond appropriately to excessive FX movements if necessary. Later this week, the market will closely monitor Tokyo
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
4
We Could expect USDJPY to make a monthly higher higherThe reason why I am still firmly convinced that this movement is going to happen is supported by several compelling factors. Let's explore them in detail: 1.Non-commercials continue to aggressively add long positions in this currency pair. This indicates a strong bullish sentiment and suggests that these market participants have high expectations for its future performance. Their sustained interest and confidence in this pair contribute to my conviction. 2.Taking a closer look at the Monthly time frame, we can observe a clear and well-defined bullish structure. This pattern provides additional validation for the anticipated movement. The consistent upward trajectory of the price points towards a potential upward trend that could further strengthen the case for a positive outcome. 3.Another crucial aspect to consider is the unanimous agreement among all members of the Federal Reserve (Fed) regarding the likelihood of another interest rate hike. This collective stance underscores the consensus among policymakers that an increase in interest rates is imminent. Such a move is expected to bolster the value of the dollar, as it signifies a strengthening of the US economy and reflects the Fed's confidence in its monetary policies. 4.In contrast, the interest rate in Japan remains unchanged and continues to be in negative territory. This divergence between the interest rate policies of Japan and the United States further reinforces the potential for a favorable outcome in the currency pair. The persistent negative interest rate in Japan could lead to increased selling pressure on the yen, potentially benefiting the other currency in the pair. Considering these factors collectively, it becomes evident why my conviction remains steadfast regarding the occurrence of this movement. The combination of aggressive long positions by non-commercials, a bullish structure on the Monthly time frame, the anticipated interest rate hike by the Fed, and the contrasting interest rate policies between Japan and the United States all contribute to a compelling case for the expected movement.
Long
by Wiiso
Bulls circle USD/JPY ahead of the FOMC meetingWhilst the US dollar has mostly retraced over the past couple of weeks against FX majors, it has held its own against then Yen. In fact, momentum is now turning higher after forming a triple bottom ~139 and breaking above a retracement line. The most traded price during the prior consolidation is 139.55, which could provide a level of support if prices retrace ahead of its next leg higher. Take note that overnight implied volatility has blown out ahead of the FOMC, so be prepared for some volatility before the next major move takes place.
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY SHORT TERM TRADE IDEAThe price is extremely bullish in all major time frames. If we look at the non-commercial's positions, we can see that short are aggressively increasing in JPY. Meaning JPY is getting weaker. Monthly: The price is in the retracement phase. If you take the fib form low to high of the retracement, .5 fib level is in confluence with important structure that the price respected. Daily The price created the 123-pattern stablishing a low. The price liquidated important sell side liquidity. We can expect the price to chase important buy side liquidity. Non-commercials are aggressively adding shorts in JPY. This mean that they are selling the JPY aggressively. JPY long positions: 40,736 short: 136,929. Added last week short: 3,976 long: 19,509 As you can see short are way more and they keep aggressively adding more shorts.
Long
by Wiiso
6
USDJPY: The correction and the opportunity of the sellers!technical analysis: The price line for USDJPY experienced a slight correction, leading to a decrease and breaking of the uptrend line. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently below the average of 43.59 and maintaining its position at the support level. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with values of 34 and 89 is still above the price line, forming a dynamic resistance area. With these indicators, there is a high likelihood of a decrease in USDJPY. Market analysis: In the Tokyo session, the USD/JPY pair is trading back and forth below 140.00. However, it is anticipated that the asset will continue its downward trend since the USD Index's upward movement is expected to remain limited until the United States Employment data is released. Following a lackluster Tuesday, the S&P500 futures have made marginal gains during the Asian session. The market sentiment appears to be subdued as investors anticipate the release of complete US labor market data. Plan trade in the intro
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
4
USDJPY: Japan's recession and the return of the US economyTechnical analysis: The temporary downtrend line has been broken by the price line. Currently, a smaller bearish pattern is forming, but there is a trend reversal in the RSI. If there's a small amplitude sideways, the two indicators, EMA 34 and EMA 89, won't have a significant impact. Fibonacci generates effective psychological resistances, which provide valuable entry information. the latest news from the market: Investors overlooked the US ISM Services PMI's disappointing release on Monday, and the US Dollar has regained positive traction, acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. The intraday USD uptick could be attributed to an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields but is expected to remain limited as the markets anticipate an imminent pause in the Federal Reserve's policy tightening cycle. The markets are now pricing in a higher chance that the US central bank will leave interest rates unchanged at the end of a two-day policy meeting on June 14, which may hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Additionally, the possibility of Japanese authorities intervening in the markets may keep a lid on any significant appreciation move for the USD/JPY pair, at least for now. Moreover, the current cautious mood around the equity markets may favor the JPY's relative safe-haven status. However, a more dovish stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could continue to undermine the JPY and limit the downside for the USD/JPY pair. As there is no relevant macro data from the US, aggressive traders should be cautious due to the mixed fundamental backdrop.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
5
USDJPY: fed hawks and new developments!USD/JPY eyes 141.00 as upbeat US households’ spending supports hawkish Fed stance Fundamental technical analysis: The market price line is being consistently followed by the 34 EMA, resulting in a stable uptrend over a period of time. The RSI has returned to a safe and stable level of 60.5. To minimize the FVG zones, there is a forecast of a slight sideways trend before the news is released. Financial market analysis: The US Dollar (USD) slightly bounced back after a brief dip in profit-taking during the day. This was due to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reporting an increase in the headline PCE Price Index by 0.4% in April, compared to the previous month's 0.1%. Moreover, the yearly rate accelerated to 4.4%, exceeding expectations for a fall to 3.9% from March's 4.2%. Further details showed that the Core PCE Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, increased to 4.7% from 4.6%, beating consensus forecasts. These results reinforced the market's belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates at higher levels, which supports the Greenback. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the markets are predicting over a 50% chance of another 25 bps lift-off at the June FOMC meeting. This is supported by a rise in the US Treasury bond yields, which widens the US-Japan rate differential and encourages the flow of funds away from the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
6