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Usdjpybuy

USDJPY: The correction and the opportunity of the sellers!technical analysis: The price line for USDJPY experienced a slight correction, leading to a decrease and breaking of the uptrend line. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently below the average of 43.59 and maintaining its position at the support level. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with values of 34 and 89 is still above the price line, forming a dynamic resistance area. With these indicators, there is a high likelihood of a decrease in USDJPY. Market analysis: In the Tokyo session, the USD/JPY pair is trading back and forth below 140.00. However, it is anticipated that the asset will continue its downward trend since the USD Index's upward movement is expected to remain limited until the United States Employment data is released. Following a lackluster Tuesday, the S&P500 futures have made marginal gains during the Asian session. The market sentiment appears to be subdued as investors anticipate the release of complete US labor market data. Plan trade in the intro
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
4
USDJPY: Japan's recession and the return of the US economyTechnical analysis: The temporary downtrend line has been broken by the price line. Currently, a smaller bearish pattern is forming, but there is a trend reversal in the RSI. If there's a small amplitude sideways, the two indicators, EMA 34 and EMA 89, won't have a significant impact. Fibonacci generates effective psychological resistances, which provide valuable entry information. the latest news from the market: Investors overlooked the US ISM Services PMI's disappointing release on Monday, and the US Dollar has regained positive traction, acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. The intraday USD uptick could be attributed to an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields but is expected to remain limited as the markets anticipate an imminent pause in the Federal Reserve's policy tightening cycle. The markets are now pricing in a higher chance that the US central bank will leave interest rates unchanged at the end of a two-day policy meeting on June 14, which may hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Additionally, the possibility of Japanese authorities intervening in the markets may keep a lid on any significant appreciation move for the USD/JPY pair, at least for now. Moreover, the current cautious mood around the equity markets may favor the JPY's relative safe-haven status. However, a more dovish stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could continue to undermine the JPY and limit the downside for the USD/JPY pair. As there is no relevant macro data from the US, aggressive traders should be cautious due to the mixed fundamental backdrop.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
5
USDJPY: fed hawks and new developments!USD/JPY eyes 141.00 as upbeat US households’ spending supports hawkish Fed stance Fundamental technical analysis: The market price line is being consistently followed by the 34 EMA, resulting in a stable uptrend over a period of time. The RSI has returned to a safe and stable level of 60.5. To minimize the FVG zones, there is a forecast of a slight sideways trend before the news is released. Financial market analysis: The US Dollar (USD) slightly bounced back after a brief dip in profit-taking during the day. This was due to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reporting an increase in the headline PCE Price Index by 0.4% in April, compared to the previous month's 0.1%. Moreover, the yearly rate accelerated to 4.4%, exceeding expectations for a fall to 3.9% from March's 4.2%. Further details showed that the Core PCE Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, increased to 4.7% from 4.6%, beating consensus forecasts. These results reinforced the market's belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates at higher levels, which supports the Greenback. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the markets are predicting over a 50% chance of another 25 bps lift-off at the June FOMC meeting. This is supported by a rise in the US Treasury bond yields, which widens the US-Japan rate differential and encourages the flow of funds away from the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
6
USDJPY: CUP and HANDLEComments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
7
USDJPY: Fed and target!Fundamental Overview The lowering of the Consumer Price Index indicates a decreased likelihood of the Federal Reserve imposing new rate hikes, which is welcomed by the market. This presents a strong argument for a pause. As a result, investors are increasingly anticipating rate cuts, which is causing the Greenback to decrease in value. Important numbers to note include the Consumer Price Index and the potential for rate cuts. [/i Fed feels more comfortable with receding inflation Plan trade in the intro
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
1
USDJPY: Technical Overview The USD/JPY pair scales higher for the fifth successive day on Wednesday and climbs to over a two-week high during the early European session. Spot prices currently trade around the 137.00 round-figure mark, which bulls now awaiting a move beyond a technically significant EMA34 and EMA89 before placing fresh bets. Fundamental Overview The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, is weighed down by a more dovish stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). It is worth recalling that BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last week that it was too early to discuss specific plans for an exit from the massive stimulus program. This, along with a modest uptick in the US equity futures, undermines the JPY's safe-haven status and remains supportive of the USD/JPY pair's ongoing positive move. That said, a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields might hold back bulls from placing aggressive bets.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
3
USDJPY: Opportunity for buyers!Fundamental Overview The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda made some statements that were perceived as hawkish, causing the Japanese Yen (JPY) to experience a slight increase. This resulted in a bit of downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. During a parliament session, Ueda expressed confidence that Japan's economy was improving and inflation expectations were still high. He also stated that the central bank plans to end its yield curve control policy and reduce its balance sheet after inflation reaches the 2% target sustainably. Plan trade in the intro
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
15
USD/JPY Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building for BreakoutIn this USD/JPY analysis, I will anticipate a potential bullish movement as the market approaches a crucial juncture. Currently, the price is consolidating near an important order block, coinciding with a significant trendline that has acted as a key support level in the past. This analysis suggests that a breakout above the order block and trendline could lead to a surge in buying pressure, potentially taking out liquidity levels on the upside. Traders with a bullish bias might find this an opportune moment to consider long positions. However, it's important to exercise caution and await confirmation of the breakout. Keep a close eye on price action, volume, and market indicators to validate the bullish momentum. Additionally, implementing proper risk management strategies is crucial to protect against unforeseen market fluctuations. As always, it's essential to conduct a thorough analysis and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions. Stay informed and adapt your strategy based on real-time market conditions. Happy trading!
Long
by Dion-FX