USDJPY Long Term Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
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USDJPY - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 140.000.
Fundamental analysis: Tomorrow will be released Interest Rate in USA, followed by FOMC Press Conference. If the result is positive for USD it will support our analysis.
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USDJPY: Flash Services PMI!S&P500 futures have recorded significant gains in London, indicating a more relaxed risk-off sentiment. On Wednesday, US equities experienced substantial selling pressure, primarily due to a sharp decline in technology stocks. Investors are being cautious as they anticipate that tech-savvy companies may continue to struggle due to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates.
The rally in USD/JPY is driven by the belief that the gap in policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan will widen further. The Fed is expected to continue increasing interest rates, while the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain its ultra-dovish policy stance that has been in place for a decade. As a result, the Japanese Yen has significantly weakened against the US Dollar.
USDJPY Strong Bullish LongUSD/JPY tests new highs as Treasury yields rise. While the market expects that the Fed would stop after an additional 25 bps rate hike in July, BoJ’s ultra-dovish policy puts too much pressure on the Japanese yen.
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USDJPY published apr 2023
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Taking a look at the daily chart, a move above the resistance in the 144.20 – 145.20 range will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance level at 148.35 – 148.75.
Higher Timeframes Showing Lack of Nearby Resistance
From the weekly timeframe, I see the USD/JPY eyeballing a Harmonic Bat pattern’s Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) between ¥149.09 and ¥146.68 (made up of a deep 88.6% Fibonacci retracement ratio , a 1.618% Fibonacci projection and a 200% extension ratio). Given the limited resistance overhead on the weekly chart until the observed PRZ, additional outperformance may be on the table for the currency pair.
Moving down to the daily timeframe, last week retested a recently breached resistance level at ¥141.60 and pencilled in support. You might acknowledge that resistance calls for attention overhead at ¥144.95, with a break north of here unearthing the weekly timeframe’s Harmonic PRZ highlighted above. What is also technically interesting on the daily chart is that just above ¥144.95 resides a pattern profit objective for an ascending triangle pattern (¥137.91/¥129.64) at ¥145.90, which joins up closely with the lower side of the weekly Harmonic PRZ.
H1 Timeframe Working with ¥144 and ¥143
Finally, from the H1 timeframe, we can see that price recently recoiled from ¥143 and is on the verge of approaching resistance from ¥143.90 and the ¥144 psychological handle.
While follow-through upside could be seen, as suggested by the higher timeframes (through a lack of resistance), which may send H1 price above ¥144 and entice breakout buying in the direction of at least daily resistance at ¥144.95, a whipsaw beneath ¥143 could equally still occur. A whipsaw (or stop run) beneath ¥143 might be enough to attract those seeking dip-buying opportunities from H1 support at ¥142.78, targeting a break above ¥144 and continuation moves higher.
Strategy Bullish
Trend
Trend continuation confirmation:Positive
USDJPY: Next hurdle is seen at 140.00The USD/JPY pair is currently holding steady at around 139.20 during the Asian trading session, following a slight pullback from its weekly high near the 140.00 level on Wednesday. However, concerns regarding China's economic slowdown, worsening US-China relations, and geopolitical tensions may provide support for the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY), which could limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair.
In response to the US's consideration of foreign investment and restrictions on AI chips, China's Ambassador, Xie Feng, expressed criticism and warned of retaliation if the US imposes further curbs on Beijing's chip sector.
USDJPY: How does the recession affect?S&P500 futures have experienced some losses in Europe, indicating a cautious market sentiment. The ongoing second-quarter result season is expected to pose challenges for US equities. Investors will be closely monitoring the performance of banking and technology stocks as the Federal Reserve's higher interest rates are causing a slowdown in economic activities.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is making a significant effort to break above the immediate resistance of 100.00. If successful, this move would trigger a short-term recovery and possibly impact the demand for riskier currencies. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have sharply dropped to around 3.78%.
USDJPY-NEXT MOVE CAN BE 500+ PIPS ONEEveryone, hope you all having a great week, our march setup on USDJPY have been working out perfectly, price on daily timeframe have breakout the previous structure and apparently showing strong bullish sentiment. We need to wait for DXY to show bearish price sign, once we do. UJ will drop significantly.
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USDJPYUSDJPY, due to strong DXY, as we had explained in our previous USD pairs that we are expecting DXY to be bullish in upcoming days; so current approarch on USDJPY is bullish for another month or so, we will have to wait for price to complete the bullish price momentum. Once the price reach our area of entry we can enter the swing sell position for a nice 1000 pips. Always remember patience pays.
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USDJPY: LONG!The USD/JPY pair is showing signs of a cautious market sentiment, with its recovery from the previous day's decline fading around 144.60. This could be attributed to concerns about Japan intervening in the market to protect its currency, as it hovers near its highest levels in eight months. Additionally, fears of a recession signaled by the inversion of US Treasury bond yields are also posing challenges for buyers of USD/JPY.
Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has stated that he is closely communicating with the US on foreign exchange matters, while the nation's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, is engaging with various countries including the US on currency issues.
Furthermore, the inversion between the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields has reached its highest level since 1981, sparking renewed worries of a recession. This is due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark borrowing rates to control inflation. The two-year Treasury bond yields have dropped to 4.85%, while the 10-year counterpart fell to 3.78%. It is important to note that both benchmark yields ended Monday's trading at approximately 4.93% and 3.86% respectively.
Japan Yen's Strengthen Secure a True Low Volatile HedgeAs the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy and inflation rates continue to drop, the Japan Yen has steadily strengthened. This trend presents a unique chance to diversify your trading positions and capitalize on Yen's increasing value. By incorporating the Yen into your portfolio, you can potentially shield yourself from market volatility and enhance your risk management strategies.
Why choose the Japanese Yen, you may ask? Well, let me share a few compelling reasons:
1. A Safe Haven Currency: Historically, the Yen has been considered a haven currency during economic uncertainty. It's stability and low volatility make it an attractive option for traders seeking a reliable hedge against market fluctuations.
2. Economic solid Fundamentals: Japan boasts a robust and resilient economy supported by technological advancements, a skilled workforce, and a commitment to innovation. These factors contribute to the Yen's strength and make it an appealing choice for traders seeking stability.
3. Diverse Trading Opportunities: The Japan Yen offers many trading opportunities across various currency pairs. Whether you prefer significant pairs like USD/JPY or exotic pairs like EUR/JPY, the Yen's liquidity, and popularity ensure ample chances to profit.
Now, it's time for action! Don't miss out on leveraging the Japan Yen's strengthening trend.
Here's what you can do to seize this opportunity:
1. Evaluate Your Portfolio: Assess your current trading positions and identify areas where the inclusion of the Japan Yen could enhance your risk management and diversification strategies.
2. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market indicators, economic news, and central bank policies that may impact the Yen's value. This knowledge will help you make informed trading decisions and maximize your potential profits.
3. Collaborate and Learn: Engage with fellow traders, attend webinars and seminars to gain insights and exchange ideas about trading the Japanese Yen. Sharing knowledge and experiences can be invaluable in refining your strategies.
Remember, the forex market is ever-evolving, and adapting to new trends is crucial for success. Adding the Japan Yen to your trading arsenal can unlock a true low-volatile hedge and amplify your gains.
USD/JPY bears are at risk of being 'caught short'USD/JPY has been playing nicely with our analysis of late, having rallied to 145 and close the 300-pip liquidity gap we warned of before accelerating lower this week in line with our bearish bias.
But given levels of support nearby and a few metrics on hand, bears may want to be cautious around current levels.
USD/JPY is trying to close lower for a fifth day - which is a bearish sequence not seen since December (and April 2021 prior to that). It's current 5-day decline is also its most bearish since December, and 5-day moves between -3.5 to -5% tend to snap back higher. But it is also around the midway point of the congestion zone which formed in June, which are areas which can prove to be 'sticky' once retested.
With all these clues combined, we suspect a pause in the bearish move is imminent at a minimum (if not, a countertrend move seems more likely). Whether it can bounce hard and fast today is likely dependent upon whether US inflation comes in hot or not. But with so many indication of an inflection point, bears may want to refer to lower timeframes fore their shorts to avoid getting 'caught short' at the end of the cycle.
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold?
In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar.
At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again.
However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase.
It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time.
Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
USDJPY Another 400+ Bull Move!!FX:USDJPY daily time price is currently consolidating which means we will have an ' price expansion'. This is strong size that buyers presence is still there in the market even after the 'CPI DATA' came out to be negative. Let's not miss out on this great buying zone.
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Exciting News! Yen Hits a New 7-Month Low Against the Dollar 🚀
The USD/JPY forex pair is currently on fire, and the low volatility in this trading duo presents us with an incredible opportunity to maximize our profits. This is the perfect time to jump into the action and ride the wave of success!
Why should you be thrilled about this news? Well, let me break it down for you:
1. Yen at a 7-Month Low: The Yen has reached its lowest point against the Dollar in the past seven months. This indicates a significant shift in the market dynamics, favoring the Dollar. The USD/JPY pair is ripe for exciting trading opportunities!
2. Increased Profit Potential: Low volatility in the USD/JPY pair means the price movements are relatively stable, making anticipating and capitalizing on market trends easier. We can seize this opportunity to maximize our profits with a well-informed strategy and careful analysis.
3. Favorable Trading Conditions: The current market conditions are highly advantageous for trading USD/JPY. The low volatility allows for smoother trading experiences, reduced risk, and better entry and exit points. It's like having the wind at our backs, propelling us toward success!
Now, here comes the exciting part – the call to action! I encourage you to seize this golden opportunity to start trading the USD/JPY forex pair with low volatility. Here's what you need to do:
1. Conduct thorough analysis: Dive into the market charts, study the trends, and identify potential entry and exit points. Knowledge is power, and the more informed you are, the better equipped you'll be to make profitable trades.
2. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Use technical indicators, fundamental analysis, or expert advice to enhance your process.
3. Stay updated and connected: Monitor the latest market news, economic indicators, and potential events that may impact the USD/JPY pair. Stay connected with fellow traders, share insights, and leverage the power of collective knowledge.
Remember, success favors those who act. So, let's dive into the exciting world of trading USD/JPY with low volatility!
Feel free to reach out if you have any questions, need assistance, or want to share your trading experiences. Just comment away!
USDJPY: USD's miraculous recovery journey with JPY downturnS&P500 futures have recorded slight losses before the market opens as investors are being cautious about the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum of Central Banking. Investor sentiment has become more risk-averse as they hope that Powell will continue to express a cautious stance.
The US Dollar Index has experienced a significant increase, supported by expectations of a cautious approach from Powell and stronger US Durable Goods Orders data. The US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders grew by 1.7%, surpassing the market's expectation of a 1% decline. This data for May has outperformed the previous figure of 1.2% in April.
Jerome Powell is expected to provide a cautious approach as core inflation in the US economy remains persistent and labor market conditions continue to be tight, despite higher interest rates and strict credit conditions set by commercial and regional banks.
On the other hand, a Reuters survey suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may intervene in foreign exchange (FX) movements if the Japanese Yen weakens to 145.00 against the US Dollar. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated his commitment to respond appropriately to excessive FX movements if necessary.
Later this week, the market will closely monitor Tokyo
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY: Economic volatility!During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair faced selling pressure, causing a partial erosion of the previous day's gains that had exceeded the 144.00 level, reaching a new high since November 2022. The spot price is currently trading around 143.80, down nearly 0.20% for the day, although any significant downward adjustments still seem elusive.
Japanese officials continue to issue warnings against the recent weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), which is considered a key factor driving some long-term relaxation around the USD/JPY pair. In fact, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated on Tuesday that they will closely monitor the forex market with a sense of urgency and will react accordingly if currency movements become excessive. This warning was reiterated by top Japanese currency diplomat Masato Kanda earlier this Wednesday.