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Usdjpyforecast

USDJPY Analysis: New Week Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsThe U.S. Dollar was steady amidst the debt ceiling impasse while the Japanese Yen recorded a significant drop making it among the worst-performing Asian currencies in the previous week. Softer-than-expected Tokyo inflation data on Friday spurred more expectations that the Bank of Japan will hold off on tightening policy this year, although the reading was still well above the BOJ’s 2% annual target. Is the current market structure mature for profit-taking activities despite the stronger-than-expected consumer spending in April which is generally seen as an excuse for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates again in June? In this video, our technical dissection identified a simple setup that can aid us in making informed trading decisions ahead of the new week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY: fed hawks and new developments!USD/JPY eyes 141.00 as upbeat US households’ spending supports hawkish Fed stance Fundamental technical analysis: The market price line is being consistently followed by the 34 EMA, resulting in a stable uptrend over a period of time. The RSI has returned to a safe and stable level of 60.5. To minimize the FVG zones, there is a forecast of a slight sideways trend before the news is released. Financial market analysis: The US Dollar (USD) slightly bounced back after a brief dip in profit-taking during the day. This was due to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reporting an increase in the headline PCE Price Index by 0.4% in April, compared to the previous month's 0.1%. Moreover, the yearly rate accelerated to 4.4%, exceeding expectations for a fall to 3.9% from March's 4.2%. Further details showed that the Core PCE Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, increased to 4.7% from 4.6%, beating consensus forecasts. These results reinforced the market's belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates at higher levels, which supports the Greenback. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the markets are predicting over a 50% chance of another 25 bps lift-off at the June FOMC meeting. This is supported by a rise in the US Treasury bond yields, which widens the US-Japan rate differential and encourages the flow of funds away from the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
6
USDJPY: CUP and HANDLEComments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
7
20 Reasons for BUY USDJPY🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: The yearly structure remains bearish, but there was a significant shift in price behavior last year, transitioning from bearish to bullish. This shift was accompanied by heavy volumes and a strong internal breakout. Currently, prices are trading within the range of the last yearly move, indicating a bullish to sideways zone. 2:📆Monthly: The overall trend is bullish, and there is an inducement and reversal formation taking place. Prices are currently filling the last bearish fvg area and heading towards an extreme order block, which could act as a trigger event. 3:📅Weekly: There has been a change in price direction, with a bullish sentiment prevailing. The inducement signal is present, and there are no significant resistances on the upside yet, suggesting that prices may continue to move higher. 4:🕛Daily: A valid breakout of the structure has occurred with heavy volume, indicating a shift in market dynamics. However, prices are still consolidating within the breakout zone, and a short correction followed by a bullish continuation move is expected. 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: Daily 5: 1 Price Structure: The overall structure is bullish, with a breakout followed by a buildup formation. 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: There was a breakout from a double top formation or a narrow range pattern. 7: 3 Volume: There was significant volume at the breakout, confirming the strength of the move. 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: The RSI has shifted from sideways to bullish range, indicating a bullish momentum. 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Prices are walking along the Bollinger Bands, displaying bullish volatility. 10: 6 Strength ADX: The ADX indicates bullish strength in the market. 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: USD is stronger than JPY based on the rate of change. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 12: Entry TF Structure: The H1 timeframe shows a bearish to bullish Choch pattern, which signals an upside breakout impact. 13: Entry Move: Enter the market impulsively. 14: Support Resistance Base: Consider the CIP (Critical Intraday Pivot) and wait for confirmation. 15: FIB: The trendline breakout can serve as a trigger event. ☑️ final comments: Buy 16: 💡decision: Buy 17: 🚀Entry: 138.759 18: ✋Stop Loss: 137.367 19: 🎯Take Profit: 142 20: 😊Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:4 🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
Long
by Optimum369
USDJPY: Fed and target!Fundamental Overview The lowering of the Consumer Price Index indicates a decreased likelihood of the Federal Reserve imposing new rate hikes, which is welcomed by the market. This presents a strong argument for a pause. As a result, investors are increasingly anticipating rate cuts, which is causing the Greenback to decrease in value. Important numbers to note include the Consumer Price Index and the potential for rate cuts. [/i Fed feels more comfortable with receding inflation Plan trade in the intro
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
1
USDJPY: Technical Overview The USD/JPY pair scales higher for the fifth successive day on Wednesday and climbs to over a two-week high during the early European session. Spot prices currently trade around the 137.00 round-figure mark, which bulls now awaiting a move beyond a technically significant EMA34 and EMA89 before placing fresh bets. Fundamental Overview The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, is weighed down by a more dovish stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). It is worth recalling that BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last week that it was too early to discuss specific plans for an exit from the massive stimulus program. This, along with a modest uptick in the US equity futures, undermines the JPY's safe-haven status and remains supportive of the USD/JPY pair's ongoing positive move. That said, a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields might hold back bulls from placing aggressive bets.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
3