USDJPY: November CPI data in the Tokyo area exceeded the BoJ's 2Recent data shows inflation has eased since October:
CPI (excluding fresh food and energy): 3.7%
Total CPI: 3%
Inflation in Tokyo, although exceeding 2%, is still slightly lower than forecast
FX Update: USD/JPY edged 15bp higher to around 147.25 after this data
Usdjpyidea
USDJPY Longs from 145.000 up to 148.300This week, the current position of USDJPY appears favorable, positioned near two promising Points of Interest (POIs). We are inclined towards buying opportunities as the price has recently responded to a supply zone, and we anticipate a slowdown and accumulation.
Upon the completion of Wyckoff accumulation within our designated zone, we will seek buy positions for a short-term trade, aiming to reach the nearest significant supply. This counter-trend trade will serve as a retracement, acknowledging the temporary bearish trend.
Confluences for USDJPY Longs are as follows:
- To sustain its bearish trend, the price must respond to a demand level, prompting a retracement.
- The price is nearing a crucial demand level on the 13-hour chart that has broken the structure to the upside.
- There are remaining equal highs and imbalances above, which needs to get mitigated.
The Dollar Index (DXY) is poised for an upward retracement, aligning with this bias.
- The overall market trend on higher time frames, such as the monthly chart, remains generally bullish.
- Price has taken some significant liquidity like asian lows so price might be due for a correction.
P.S. Upon the price reaching our 4-hour supply zone, we will patiently await a form of redistribution to align ourselves with the bearish trend. Currently, our focus is on the anticipation of a slowdown and pullback, which we expect to occur in response to the 13-hour demand.
USDJPY Analysis. SHORT SWING SIGNAL!!!Hello Everyone i want share my idea about USDJPY.
Japan currency is dead, its coming downside clear and beautiful but in this week we had some rejection from buyers and this rejection was strong.
In my opinion dollar will start strong bearish movement for that i will try to catch movement, at the chart we have some good rejection from sellers which broke range and gave us new high after strong downside movement. i think this fall will continue to daily support which is at 144.9.
Open short position - 149.6
Stop loss - 151.1
Take Profit - N/A
ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously.
Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min.
My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows:
- Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart.
- Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's
- Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting.
- A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from.
- Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market.
P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
Bearish Scenario for UJ After the price breaks the multiple structure, then the 150,500 area becomes an important level.
Currently the price is just trying to return towards the 0.786 Fib area. after that the price will retest the price level around 150,500 - 150,700. Once the price reaches this area, further confirmation is needed for bearish action.
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction:
The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift.
Retracement Dynamics:
The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones.
Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes:
Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry.
Break of Uptrend Tendency Line:
A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
USDJPY I Rejecting support and potential riseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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USDJPY SHORT USDJPY is retesting the broken horizontal support level on the 4-hour timeframe, or the lower trend line.
We expect the pair to re-test the key support levels listed on the chart,
We are taking this trade based on technical analysis and candlestick patterns.
These are long-term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets. Use proper risk management depending on your account size.
TRADING RULES:
Rule 1: Once the market reaches Target 1, close some of your trades/positions or Move your STOP LOSS price to ENTRY price (break-even) for safe trading.
Rule 2: Once the market reaches Target 1, never place a new trade again on the same signal/alert.
Rule 3: When the market is consolidating for more than 2 days, please close the trade and wait for the next good opportunity trade signal/Alert.
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USDJPY: The USD weakened without the catalyst of important econoIn the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar weakened, closing at the day's low, extending Tuesday's losses. Data: October building permit applications were higher than expected, but did not provide much support for the dollar. Sterling fell by nearly 40 pips following October's retail sales data, but then rebounded sharply as the US dollar weakened. The yen led the rise among major currencies at the close of trading.
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Tumbling After Failed Record High BreakHi Traders!
The 151.946 apex level proved to be too strong and there is a now potential double top pattern on the USDJPY 1W chart after the market failed to break and close above 151.946.
Price Action 📊
After the initial break and close above the previous strong resistance level at 145.073, the market traded with continuous bullish momentum to target the psychological 150 handle and then the apex level, but the market seems to have run out of steam and is rapidly pulling back towards 145.073.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
We have the FOMC minutes meeting today, and depending on what is revealed in the minutes meeting, we have further downsides this week for the US dollar.
Support 📉
146.711: 20 EMA
145.073: PREVIOUS RANGE ZONE RESISTANCE
Resistance 📈
149.991: WEEKLY HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
PIMCO Is Buying Yen to Brace for Imminent BOJ Monetary Policy ShPIMCO, one of the world's leading investment management firms, has taken a significant position in buying yen, indicating their preparedness for an imminent tightening of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy.
The BOJ has long been known for its accommodative stance, but recent economic indicators and signals from policymakers suggest a potential shift towards a more hawkish approach. PIMCO's move to buy the yen serves as a clear indication that they anticipate the BOJ to take actions that could strengthen the Japanese currency.
Given PIMCO's reputation and expertise in navigating global markets, their decision to buy yen should not be taken lightly. It is crucial for us to consider the potential implications of this move and the impact it may have on the USDJPY currency pair.
Given these developments, I strongly encourage you to consider a short position on USDJPY. While this decision ultimately rests in your hands, weighing the potential risks and rewards is important. As PIMCO's move suggests, a tighter BOJ monetary policy could lead to yen appreciation, thereby weakening the US dollar against the Japanese yen.
Timing is of the essence, and it is essential to act swiftly in the face of this potential shift in the market dynamics. I recommend conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and consulting with your trusted advisors before making any investment decisions.
As always, it is essential to remain vigilant and adaptable in these uncertain times. The global financial landscape is constantly evolving, and it is our responsibility as traders to stay informed and make informed decisions.
If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to reach out. Together, we can navigate these challenging market conditions and seize the opportunities they present.
Wishing you success in your trading endeavors.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY I Potential long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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USDJPY: Japan's Economic Minister warned that the global recessiStatement from Japan's Minister of Economy on the third quarter GDP report:
It should be noted that the threat of global recession is depressing the Japanese economy
Domestic demand, including consumption and investment funds, decreased significantly in the third quarter
Personal consumption slumps due to rising prices
Industrial production is under pressure due to rising raw material prices and reduced investment in construction and machinery.
Consumption of services such as eating out continues to recover
Concerns about the future of the Chinese economy need to be carefully monitored
USDJPY: Comments on USDJPY on November 14Yomiru: Japan plans to reduce taxes for businesses that increase wages
A source from the Yomiuri website said that the Japanese Government is considering tax reductions for companies that increase wages by 8%.
The Japanese government wants to encourage wage increases as part of its fight to promote sustained and stable inflation.
If the wage increase is widely applied, it will create a premise for the BoJ's arguments around gradually reducing the level of monetary policy easing, thereby supporting JPY.
Celebrate the Yen's Historic Low Against Euro and Dollar Picture this: the yen, once a mighty force in the currency market, is now presenting us with an incredible chance to capitalize on its current weakness. It's time to put on your trading hats and consider going long on the yen!
Now, you might be wondering, "Why should I care about the yen's historic low?" Well, my fellow traders, let me break it down for you. A weaker yen means that it takes more yen to purchase the same amount of euros or dollars. This situation can lead to potentially lucrative opportunities for those who are willing to take action.
Here's where the excitement builds up: by going long on the yen, you have the chance to profit from its potential recovery against the euro and the dollar. As the yen gradually strengthens, you can ride the wave and watch your profits grow. It's like catching a rising star in the currency sky!
So, how can you seize this golden opportunity? Here are a few steps to get you started:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive into the current market trends, analyze historical data, and keep an eye on any relevant news or economic indicators that may impact the yen's future performance.
2. Develop a trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and trading goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your potential gains.
3. Stay informed: Continuously monitor the market and stay updated on any developments that may affect the yen's trajectory. Being aware of market sentiment and adapting your strategy accordingly will help you stay ahead of the game.
4. Utilize risk management tools: Remember, trading involves risks. Implement risk management techniques such as setting appropriate position sizes, using stop-loss orders, and diversifying your portfolio to protect your investments.
5. Seize the moment: When you feel confident in your analysis and strategy, take action! Execute your trades and keep a close eye on the yen's performance to make timely adjustments if needed.
Remember, my fellow traders, fortune favors the bold! The yen's historic low against the euro and the dollar presents a unique opportunity for those who are willing to take action and ride the potential wave of yen appreciation. So, let's embrace this exciting moment and make the most of it!
💡 USDJPY: Waiting for the opportunity to turn backFollowing three consecutive sessions of sharp decline, buying strength has resurfaced as the price nears the lower boundary of the ascending price channel. While the overall bullish pattern remains intact on the H4 and daily timeframes, it's worth noting the emergence of a bearish signal. A notably robust bearish pin bar has taken shape on the weekly chart, manifesting at levels not seen in decades. Consequently, there exists a potential for a price reversal in this resistance zone. Therefore, it might be advisable to consider selling opportunities once the recovery phase concludes.
💡 USDJPY : Waiting for recoveryThe Bank of Japan has expanded the scope for adjusting short-term interest rates and has increased its inflation target for fiscal year 2024 to 2.8%. This means Japan's inflation will exceed the 2% target for three consecutive years and is closer to achieving sustainable price stability. If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) wants to have a clearer view of wage increases next year before making a decision on adjusting negative interest rates, it may need to postpone this decision until April/ 2024 or even longer.
Regarding developments in the foreign exchange market, we see USD/JPY falling sharply after the release of non-farm payroll data in the US and it is currently running below the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. However, it appears the price has found support near 149.00. If inflation in Japan fails to meet expectations, it is likely that the US dollar will continue to recover against the Japanese Yen.
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Approaching Trendline Support BreakHi Traders!
Due to the weak NFP jobs data last Friday, there is further pressure on the US dollar. USDJPY is back under 150 and trading with bearish momentum.
Price Action 📊
The market's price action on the 2H chart is currently bearish. The market broke below the 20 EMA, failed to break back above in the re-test, and is approaching the trendline support with potential for a break and close below the trendline to continue pushing down.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
There were weak US major figures recently posted, with weaker than expected PMI figures and Non-Farm jobs data. The Fed also failed to commit to further interest rate hikes, which has left traders nervous about the US dollar.
Support 📉
149.273: TRENDLINE SUPPORT
148.805: MONTHLY LOW
Resistance 📈
149.736: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
149.817: 20 EMA
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX