USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Usdjpyidea
USDJPY Daily: 03/01/2023
As you can see, the price had a bearish reaction after collecting liquidity below 130.396.
If the daily candle closes higher than 131.101 or at least close higher than 130.396, we can expect the price goes to a higher level.
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🗓️03/01/2023
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DeGRAM | USDJPY at swing zoneUSDJPY is pulling back to the resistance level, which is a swing zone and 50% fibo. Look left.
The marker is moving downward in a channel, and the trend is bearish.
We expect a trend-continuation trade.
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DeGRAM | USDJPY trend continuationUSDJPY is coiling up at the resistance zone .
The marker is moving downward in a channel.
Price action has gained momentum, and there is a high chance that trend will continue.
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY is ready to go shortHere we are at the end of the broken uptrend, we are waiting for the price to come back to test our 136.15 level before selling massively to project towards the daily 132.00 support.
The news was disappointing for the dollar which should plunge even further for the upcoming holiday season its price even lower
USDJPY next movement in the next week ?The US dollar against the Japanese yen may return to the bullish path next week, after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates and stated that it will continue to raise interest rates in the coming year. All this may increase the strength of the dollar.
Here, the dollar is seen breaking a downtrend on the four-hour time frame and testing it, and for this I expect the rise to continue towards higher targets.
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USDJPY, waiting for sell, 350 pips
I expect increases, breaking the red channel around 138.00, and then decreases with tp around 134.50.
Watch out for a false breakout of the drawn daily resistance!
Entrance around 137.80-138.00 and tp around 134.50.
P.S.
This is not financial advice of course, just my idea.
Possible Long shot on USDJPYI am considering taking a long on USDJPY with a big SL cluster that appears the last hours within 136.15-135.85 area.
I need a catalyst that will provide with Upside potential on USD and take a Long on the pair by tracking it's order flows and news catalysts.
Possible Catalysts for Friday 9th December.
US PPI's more positive than expectations
US Michigan data more positive than expectations
In case USDJPY isn't close to the lowest SL cluster I will play on this pair by trying to trip SL's along with the news by tomorrow.
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Stats of Strategy: Sniper Factors to Fundamental =>Stats of Strategy: Sniper Factors to Fundamental => Base on Overall Score: Strong Trend Only FX:USDJPY
History Max Loss Consecutive in a row Record History: = 4
Currently Loss Consecutive in a row: == 2|3 Opportunity, Probability: 70% | R:R:R = 1:2<=3
Entry #3 Trade: Buy | Actual Result: Win
Economic Calendar
00:30 EUR ECB's Elderson Speaks
06:00 KRW CPI (YoY) (Nov) 5.0% 5.1% 5.7%
07:30 AUD Home Loans (MoM) -2.9% -4.5% -4.8%
07:30 AUD Retail Sales (MoM) -0.2% -0.2% 0.6%
09:40 AUD RBA Governor Lowe Speaks
09:40 EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks
11:30 NZD RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks
14:00 EUR German Trade Balance (Oct) 6.9B 5.2B 2.8B
15:00 EUR Spanish Unemployment Change -33.5K -20.3K -27.0K
19:00 EUR ECB's De Guindos Speaks
20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Nov) 0.6% 0.3% 0.5%
20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) (Nov) 5.1% 4.6% 4.9%
20:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 263K 200K 284K
20:30 USD Participation Rate (Nov) 62.1% 62.2%
20:30 USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 221K 190K 248K
20:30 USD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
20:30 CAD Employment Change (Nov) 10.1K 5.0K 108.3K
20:30 CAD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 5.1% 5.3% 5.2%
20:30 EUR German Buba President Nagel Speaks
USD/JPY: Trend reversal. What's next? The Japanese yen was the strongest performing currency this week, rising about 4% against the US dollar, with USD/JPY plunging below 134 to levels not seen since mid-August.
Two favourable fundamental developments have fueled the yen's strength:
a) Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that US interest rates might be hiked more slowly starting in December, thus effectively anticipating a 50 basis point raise. On top of that, the latest stream of US data signalled that economic activity is slowing in this quarter pushing speculators to trim expectation for Fed interest rates in 2023. The yield on the US 10-year note dropped by another 15 basis points to 3.52% this week, putting it on course to notch its fourth consecutive week of declines.
b) Asahi Noguchi, a Bank of Japan board member, said the central bank might "pre-emptively" withdraw monetary stimulus if trend inflation surpasses 2% for a long time.
Technically, we have also observed pivotal signals that may portend the end of the dominant bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish one.
Since its October highs (151.95), the pair has now dropped 12%, breaching both the 50 and 200 day moving averages as well as major Fibonacci retracement levels such as 23.6% (142.81) and 38.2% (137.19). The RSI has reached highly oversold levels not seen since March 2020, meaning that the bearish price action was rather violent.
What can we expect from here?
A critical support zone is positioned between 130.3 and 132.65. If USD/JPY breaks below 132, it would have retraced 50% of its bullish expansion in 2022, a signal that might confirm the bearish trend reversal. The 130.3 represents the lows from August, which is another technical milestone.
The US NFPs from today and the CPI due out on December 13 constitute the bullish risk event for the USD/JPY and might influence the Fed's tone at the FOMC meeting on December 14. Higher-than-expected NFPs or CPI data might rekindle dollar bulls and drive US yields higher on anticipation of a hawkish Fed, resulting in USD/JPY dip buying and a possible retest of 140 levels.