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Stats of Strategy: Sniper Factors to Fundamental =>Stats of Strategy: Sniper Factors to Fundamental => Base on Overall Score: Strong Trend Only FX:USDJPY History Max Loss Consecutive in a row Record History: = 4 Currently Loss Consecutive in a row: == 2|3 Opportunity, Probability: 70% | R:R:R = 1:2<=3 Entry #3 Trade: Buy | Actual Result: Win Economic Calendar 00:30 EUR ECB's Elderson Speaks 06:00 KRW CPI (YoY) (Nov) 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 07:30 AUD Home Loans (MoM) -2.9% -4.5% -4.8% 07:30 AUD Retail Sales (MoM) -0.2% -0.2% 0.6% 09:40 AUD RBA Governor Lowe Speaks 09:40 EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks 11:30 NZD RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks 14:00 EUR German Trade Balance (Oct) 6.9B 5.2B 2.8B 15:00 EUR Spanish Unemployment Change -33.5K -20.3K -27.0K 19:00 EUR ECB's De Guindos Speaks 20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Nov) 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) (Nov) 5.1% 4.6% 4.9% 20:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 263K 200K 284K 20:30 USD Participation Rate (Nov) 62.1% 62.2% 20:30 USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 221K 190K 248K 20:30 USD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 20:30 CAD Employment Change (Nov) 10.1K 5.0K 108.3K 20:30 CAD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 5.1% 5.3% 5.2% 20:30 EUR German Buba President Nagel Speaks
Long
by ProAekTrader
USD/JPY: Trend reversal. What's next? The Japanese yen was the strongest performing currency this week, rising about 4% against the US dollar, with USD/JPY plunging below 134 to levels not seen since mid-August. Two favourable fundamental developments have fueled the yen's strength: a) Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that US interest rates might be hiked more slowly starting in December, thus effectively anticipating a 50 basis point raise. On top of that, the latest stream of US data signalled that economic activity is slowing in this quarter pushing speculators to trim expectation for Fed interest rates in 2023. The yield on the US 10-year note dropped by another 15 basis points to 3.52% this week, putting it on course to notch its fourth consecutive week of declines. b) Asahi Noguchi, a Bank of Japan board member, said the central bank might "pre-emptively" withdraw monetary stimulus if trend inflation surpasses 2% for a long time. Technically, we have also observed pivotal signals that may portend the end of the dominant bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish one. Since its October highs (151.95), the pair has now dropped 12%, breaching both the 50 and 200 day moving averages as well as major Fibonacci retracement levels such as 23.6% (142.81) and 38.2% (137.19). The RSI has reached highly oversold levels not seen since March 2020, meaning that the bearish price action was rather violent.  What can we expect from here? A critical support zone is positioned between 130.3 and 132.65. If USD/JPY breaks below 132, it would have retraced 50% of its bullish expansion in 2022, a signal that might confirm the bearish trend reversal. The 130.3 represents the lows from August, which is another technical milestone. The US NFPs from today and the CPI due out on December 13 constitute the bullish risk event for the USD/JPY and might influence the Fed's tone at the FOMC meeting on December 14. Higher-than-expected NFPs or CPI data might rekindle dollar bulls and drive US yields higher on anticipation of a hawkish Fed, resulting in USD/JPY dip buying and a possible retest of 140 levels.
by Capitalcom
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsUSDJPY continues to look for a support level as the price plunges to close the week at approximately a 5% loss for the Greenback. Attention will remain on the Retail Sales event as participants in this market will anticipate how price action will react to this high-impact event. From a technical standpoint, the price is at a critical level as it tests the trendline that has been guiding bullish momentum since the beginning of the year. So, patience is needed at beginning of the week as we need to see how price relates to this area before making an informed decision. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
3
USD/JPY Analysis 21.11.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
by basictradingtv
2