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Usdjpyidea

USDJPY Trade of the monthWhen i say that patience is the key, this is exactly what i mean. USDJPY was a trade of patience. It try multiple times to be bullish, but i was pretty sure that 148.5 was the top. I was lucky to catch the exact top with my first trade, honestly i was expecting a little upside moves. The second trade was placed on retest, and both trade are now close to the target. I think we will see more sell pressure, and there are good chance to reach 145.75 first and 143.5 next.
Short
by SaliJournal
USDJPY: The 10-year Japanese government bond yield could reach 2CEO of asset management fund Eurizon SLJ Capital, Mr. Stephen Jen, said that the USDJPY exchange rate could fall to 1 USD for 130 Yen by the end of this year, while the yield on Japanese government bonds with a term of 10 year is likely to increase by 1.5% - 2%. USDJPY traded around 148.10 and the 10-year bond yield was at 0.71% on January 29. According to Stephen Jen, the father of the Laughing Dollar theory, Governor Kazuo Ueda's focus in the near future is to reset monetary policy "to allow the BoJ to act without bursting the government bond bubble (JGB )”.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: The foreign exchange market is quiet, the USD is stable Most Asian currencies stayed narrow on Wednesday, while the dollar steadied near a six-week high as markets awaited further signals on when the Federal Reserve might start cutting interest rates. The Australian dollar fell 0.1%, even as January PMI data showed some improvement in manufacturing and services activity. The Aussie, often seen as an indicator of broader risk appetite for Asian markets, is also trading near a seven-week low. USD steadies near 6-week high with econ. data, Fed meeting underway The dollar index and dollar index futures both fell 0.1% in Asian trading after rising to their highest since early December in the previous session. The greenback marked a strong start to 2024 as strong inflation and labor market data showed traders had largely tempered expectations for an early Fed rate cut. This perception has been exacerbated by a series of hawkish comments from Fed officials over the past week. The focus now turns to fourth-quarter gross domestic product data, due on Thursday, and PCE price index data - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - due on Friday. Any sign of recovery in economic growth and inflation gives the Fed more incentive to keep interest rates higher for longer. The readings also come just days before the Fed's first meeting of 2024, where the bank is widely expected to maintain interest rates at a 23-year high. But the Fed is still expected to start cutting interest rates this year, which will keep traders watching for any such signals from the meeting.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
1
USDJPY major pullback or reversal?4H TF - trendline broken, waiting on retest - FVG intersection with said trendline - 50% fib level confluent with both of above - previous breaker block confluent with all of above - LL created 1H TF - FVG overlapping 4H FVG 15M TF - 5 touches just below target entry (LIQUIDITY SWEEP?) - FVG inside of both HTF FVGS. ALL of the above intersect within the same PRICE RANGE. Highly probable that a retest and a rejection of all will allow the BEARS to takeover and create a new LH - Entering the start of a potential downtrend if enough liquidity.
Short
by SLouise96
USDJPY: USD/JPY fluctuated in the 146-150 range, to a greater exMizuho Bank said Japan will tolerate the yen's decline in the near term, expecting it to rise as the bank tightens policy, possibly as early as the second quarter. Additionally, Mizuho Bank said that while the Fed, ECB and BoE have not yet fully acknowledged that a rate cut is imminent, the Bank of Japan wants to avoid making a sudden change as it could could put disproportionate upward pressure on JPY. The reduction in yields and profits will work together to amplify forex moves (yen strength). Therefore, the BoJ will not rush to adjust policy that could be interpreted as tightening and concludes: Some reduction in JPY now may be the necessary balance to avoid a sudden and unwanted spike in JPY later. Expect 146-150 range in the coming months with heightened volatility.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
Currency to watch this week: Japanese Yen The three big events of this week will likely be the BoJ, BoC, and ECB interest rate decisions. Even though we aren't expecting to see any rate cuts or rate rises from any bank, we are looking forward to the guidance that each will present alongside their respective decisions. The guidance might be enough to move the yen, Canadian dollar, or euro. The USD/JPY might be the one to watch the closest this week though. In particular, we like watching the tussle in the pair as it approaches 150.000 with bulls having to become a little sheepish as they anticipate BoJ intervention around this level. Is the threat of intervention sometimes more than enough to convince bulls not to take on any more long positions? Coincidently, Japan’s finance minister Shun'ichi Suzuki gave a verbal warning last Friday saying that the government was watching currency moves carefully. Working against the yen is that BoJ guidance at the time of its interest rate decision will likely be as dovish as always, considering last week's domestic inflation data (falling to 2.6% in December 2023 from 2.8% in the prior month). Which is why you might anticipate more upside in the USDJPY. Although anything is possible. The Bank of Japan has shocked markets before.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY SELL | Setup Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Short after the BULL RUN. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
3
USDJPY M15 / LONG TRADE OPPORTUNITY ✅ Hello Traders! This is my idea related to USDJPY M15. I know that it's the end of the day, but I see a good opportunity to execute a long trade. I see the change of the structure, more exactly a bullish move. A very good retracement from the resistance level and it looks very likely to go bullish. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Long
by GoodTradeST
USDJPY: The Japanese Yen decreased because the market predicted The Japanese yen is the worst among Asian currencies through 2024, extending its decline from the previous year as traders grow more confident that the Bank of Japan will delay policy changes were extremely moderate. Reconstruction and stimulus measures following the devastating earthquake in central Japan are expected to offset any notion of BOJ policy tightening, at least in the near term. Such a scenario points to increased pressure on the yen, especially from the wide gap between domestic and international lending rates. Japan's interest rates have remained extremely low for nearly eight years. Weak data on inflation and weak wage growth also suggested less pressure on the BOJ to change its ultra-dovish course. Broader Asian currencies were trending lower, as doubts about an early Fed rate cut kept traders largely biased against the dollar.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
Long Position on USDJPY-4HHello Traders ! This is the USDJPY Technical Viewpoint in The Long Term . After these significant changes since the beginning of the year, the JPY has lost 25% versus the USD YTD. We anticipate that this bullish trend will resume for a few more months after the market breaks above the 144.80 Resistance level, as shown in the chart. Risk Warning: Trading Derivatives carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Derivatives may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Long
by aymanjemghili
1
USDJPY Shorts from 145.500 back down towards 142.000This week's strategy involves following the ongoing bearish trend in USDJPY. I plan to initiate sell positions around the newly formed 4-hour supply zone. To execute this, I'll wait for a redistribution pattern to unfold and a clear CHOCH signal before considering a sell. It's important to note that there's a possibility of price pushing higher to test the 14-hour or daily supply above. Considering that price has already reacted to a supply zone, it wouldn't be surprising if it continues lower towards the 15-hour demand zone. In such a scenario, I'll be on the lookout for a buying opportunity, but I'll wait for the Asian low to be breached within that zone, potentially in the form of a spring, before considering a buy. Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows: - 4hr or 14hr supply zone that has caused a break of structure to the downside. - Price is completed a retracement so we can expect a wyckoff distribution to play out. - Lots of major trend lines still left below on the high time frame that needs to get swept. - Price has been in a very bearish trend ever since it failed to take the all time highs. - The dollar is also looking bearish so I can expect more downside for this pair too. P.S. As I currently hold a strong bearish stance on USDJPY, I won't be surprised if the demand zone fails due to significant liquidity below it. However, at the moment, my primary focus is on potential sell opportunities, considering that price has recently completed a retracement. My strategy aligns with the prevailing bearish trend.
by Hassan_fx
1