USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThings are heating up as the selling pressure surrounding this pair seems to be shifting gears. The US Dollar is riding high, boasting its loftiest daily close since March. What's fueling this surge? Well, it's all about the robust economic performance of the US economic docket.
Let's dive into the numbers—brace yourself for some impressive stats. The Producer Price Index (PPI) recently flexed its muscles, growing by 1.5% YoY. That's a notable leap from the prior reading of 0.8%, and it's left expectations trailing in the dust. Meanwhile, Retail Sales in August defied predictions, surging by 0.6% MoM, way above the estimated 0.2%. Not to be outdone, the US Department of Labor shared some encouraging news: weekly Initial Jobless Claims stood at a mere 220,000, down from 217,000, comfortably beating market consensus pegged at 225,000. These numbers collectively paint a picture of a resilient US economy and a notable rebound in inflation throughout August.
But here's the twist—the Federal Reserve (Fed) doesn't seem swayed by these developments. Market key player suggests that the Fed is likely to keep its interest rates steady at the upcoming meeting. In the background, the Fed's steadfast hawkish stance continues to give a nod to US bond yields and fortify the US Dollar's position—for now.
Now, let's pivot to the Japanese Yen's corner, where the plot thickens. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has made its stance clear: they're not considering an exit from their ultra-easy policy unless wage and inflation data play ball. This leaves the JPY exposed to the maneuvers of its global rivals.
As we gear up for the upcoming week, we're bracing for a series of pivotal economic events, including the highly anticipated interest rate decisions from both sides of the Pacific. Stay tuned for the analysis that'll keep you ahead of the forex curve!
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As highlighted in the video, the recent mild downward pressure is beginning to ease, and the odds of USD pulling back further have diminished. However, only a clear break of 147.950 will validate an uptrend continuation. In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure which is evidently bullish. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 147.950, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. The key level becomes an area of interest as buyers continue to knock this ceiling and a breakout/retest could incite a clear uptrend. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come.
Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week.
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