Get started

Usdjpylong

MFF REPORT FOR MONDAYHello traders, what do you think about usdjpy on a higher timeframe market is very bullish on weekly timeframe we saW HH & HL is formed in previous week now on a daily timeframe we saw bullish moemtum to go further up but as you all know market is retracing to go further up we saw 141.00 is a strong level of support from where it bounce to upside on a 4h timeframe we will take a entry after more confluences hope you like our idea dont forget to like and comment on my idea remember you get paid to wait.
Long
by Myforexfamily
USDJPY Strong Bullish LongUSD/JPY tests new highs as Treasury yields rise. While the market expects that the Fed would stop after an additional 25 bps rate hike in July, BoJ’s ultra-dovish policy puts too much pressure on the Japanese yen. See also the following related Trading Ideas USDJPY published apr 2023 USDJPY published may2023 Taking a look at the daily chart, a move above the resistance in the 144.20 – 145.20 range will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance level at 148.35 – 148.75. Higher Timeframes Showing Lack of Nearby Resistance From the weekly timeframe, I see the USD/JPY eyeballing a Harmonic Bat pattern’s Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) between ¥149.09 and ¥146.68 (made up of a deep 88.6% Fibonacci retracement ratio , a 1.618% Fibonacci projection and a 200% extension ratio). Given the limited resistance overhead on the weekly chart until the observed PRZ, additional outperformance may be on the table for the currency pair. Moving down to the daily timeframe, last week retested a recently breached resistance level at ¥141.60 and pencilled in support. You might acknowledge that resistance calls for attention overhead at ¥144.95, with a break north of here unearthing the weekly timeframe’s Harmonic PRZ highlighted above. What is also technically interesting on the daily chart is that just above ¥144.95 resides a pattern profit objective for an ascending triangle pattern (¥137.91/¥129.64) at ¥145.90, which joins up closely with the lower side of the weekly Harmonic PRZ. H1 Timeframe Working with ¥144 and ¥143 Finally, from the H1 timeframe, we can see that price recently recoiled from ¥143 and is on the verge of approaching resistance from ¥143.90 and the ¥144 psychological handle. While follow-through upside could be seen, as suggested by the higher timeframes (through a lack of resistance), which may send H1 price above ¥144 and entice breakout buying in the direction of at least daily resistance at ¥144.95, a whipsaw beneath ¥143 could equally still occur. A whipsaw (or stop run) beneath ¥143 might be enough to attract those seeking dip-buying opportunities from H1 support at ¥142.78, targeting a break above ¥144 and continuation moves higher. Strategy Bullish Trend Trend continuation confirmation:Positive
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisIn the previous week, we witnessed a remarkable 4.6% surge in the Japanese yen, propelling it to a two-month high against the greenback. However, as Friday's trading session unfolded, the U.S. dollar began to edge higher, with traders factoring in the potential end of the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle amid easing inflation. Softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, reported on Wednesday and Thursday, reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its interest rate-hiking cycle. While markets still anticipate a 25 basis point hike later this month, another hike this year is no longer the base case. As we shift our focus to the upcoming week, all eyes are on the U.S. retail sales data, a vital indicator of consumer spending in the economy. A high reading is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is perceived as negative. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we provide an in-depth USDJPY technical analysis, dissecting the current market structure. Our attention centers around the key level of 138.800, which also serves as the neckline of a "potential" reversal pattern identified in the 1-hour timeframe. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around the 138.800 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action throughout the upcoming days. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines and key levels. Remember, that we place significant emphasis on the importance of the 138.800 level, as a breakout or retest of this zone will validate the potency of the identified reversal pattern. Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Get ready for an exciting ride filled with insights and trading opportunities! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USD/JPY bears are at risk of being 'caught short'USD/JPY has been playing nicely with our analysis of late, having rallied to 145 and close the 300-pip liquidity gap we warned of before accelerating lower this week in line with our bearish bias. But given levels of support nearby and a few metrics on hand, bears may want to be cautious around current levels. USD/JPY is trying to close lower for a fifth day - which is a bearish sequence not seen since December (and April 2021 prior to that). It's current 5-day decline is also its most bearish since December, and 5-day moves between -3.5 to -5% tend to snap back higher. But it is also around the midway point of the congestion zone which formed in June, which are areas which can prove to be 'sticky' once retested. With all these clues combined, we suspect a pause in the bearish move is imminent at a minimum (if not, a countertrend move seems more likely). Whether it can bounce hard and fast today is likely dependent upon whether US inflation comes in hot or not. But with so many indication of an inflection point, bears may want to refer to lower timeframes fore their shorts to avoid getting 'caught short' at the end of the cycle.
by CityIndex
USDJPY: Next hurdle is seen at 140.00The USD/JPY pair is currently holding steady at around 139.20 during the Asian trading session, following a slight pullback from its weekly high near the 140.00 level on Wednesday. However, concerns regarding China's economic slowdown, worsening US-China relations, and geopolitical tensions may provide support for the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY), which could limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. In response to the US's consideration of foreign investment and restrictions on AI chips, China's Ambassador, Xie Feng, expressed criticism and warned of retaliation if the US imposes further curbs on Beijing's chip sector.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
10
USDJPY: How does the recession affect?S&P500 futures have experienced some losses in Europe, indicating a cautious market sentiment. The ongoing second-quarter result season is expected to pose challenges for US equities. Investors will be closely monitoring the performance of banking and technology stocks as the Federal Reserve's higher interest rates are causing a slowdown in economic activities. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is making a significant effort to break above the immediate resistance of 100.00. If successful, this move would trigger a short-term recovery and possibly impact the demand for riskier currencies. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have sharply dropped to around 3.78%.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
8
UsdJpy- Bulls could take control againAfter the recent high at 145 zone and a small consolidation to the top, UsdJpy fell hard, losing around 700 pips in just one week. However, the overall medium-term trend remains bullish and, with the price near an important horizontal level of support, traders could look for buying opportunities. In my opinion, this level will hold, and dips under the 138 zone should be bought with a target to the first level of resistance, around 141.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
24
USDJPY-NEXT MOVE CAN BE 500+ PIPS ONEEveryone, hope you all having a great week, our march setup on USDJPY have been working out perfectly, price on daily timeframe have breakout the previous structure and apparently showing strong bullish sentiment. We need to wait for DXY to show bearish price sign, once we do. UJ will drop significantly. Like and Comment, as always thank you so much for showing support and love, we will keep bringing the high quality charts and do let down any pair that you may want us to analyse.
Long
by Setupsfx_
36
USDJPYUSDJPY, due to strong DXY, as we had explained in our previous USD pairs that we are expecting DXY to be bullish in upcoming days; so current approarch on USDJPY is bullish for another month or so, we will have to wait for price to complete the bullish price momentum. Once the price reach our area of entry we can enter the swing sell position for a nice 1000 pips. Always remember patience pays. If you like our work do like and share and follow for more. Thank you as always, Happy Trading ;)
by Setupsfx_
23
USDJPY: LONG!The USD/JPY pair is showing signs of a cautious market sentiment, with its recovery from the previous day's decline fading around 144.60. This could be attributed to concerns about Japan intervening in the market to protect its currency, as it hovers near its highest levels in eight months. Additionally, fears of a recession signaled by the inversion of US Treasury bond yields are also posing challenges for buyers of USD/JPY. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has stated that he is closely communicating with the US on foreign exchange matters, while the nation's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, is engaging with various countries including the US on currency issues. Furthermore, the inversion between the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields has reached its highest level since 1981, sparking renewed worries of a recession. This is due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark borrowing rates to control inflation. The two-year Treasury bond yields have dropped to 4.85%, while the 10-year counterpart fell to 3.78%. It is important to note that both benchmark yields ended Monday's trading at approximately 4.93% and 3.86% respectively.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
6
USDJPY – Did the market overreact to the weaker NFP data? Yes, I do think it was an overreaction. Looking at recent price action we can see how bullish the pair was. This was a solid long trade that got halted at 140.00. After a few days of consolidation, price broke out and a climb to 144.00 was easy. Consolidation followed again and my expectation was that we would soon get to 148.00 (see my posts of 17 June and 01 July). But then came the NFP data and this pair plunged really hard. My bullish bias however has not yet changed, I will not take a short. I expect the buyers will step in either at the intermediate support in the 141.20 area or the big one at 140. Patience is always key, waiting for bullish evidence important. My overall target remains in the 150's. Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more. What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
Long
by Trading_Vista
5
📈 USDJPY Potential Reversal and Trade Plan 📉Based on recent market analysis, I have identified a potential reversal opportunity in the USDJPY currency pair. Please note that this is not financial advice, but rather an observation for informational purposes. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. Instrument: USDJPY Trade Plan: Trend Observation: Today, USDJPY broke its bearish trend. Reversal Confirmation: If the price does not make any further lower lows (LLs), it may indicate a possible reversal. Key Level: The previous lower high (LH) is at 139.759, which will be used as a reference for a higher high (HH). Trade Parameters: Entry Price: 139.80 Stop Loss: 138.154 Take Profit 1 (TP1) (Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1): 141.446 Take Profit 2 (TP2) (Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:2): 143.092 Please note that these levels are provided as potential targets based on the observed trend and historical price action. It's important to adjust your position size and risk management strategy accordingly. Always monitor the market closely and consider implementing stop-loss orders to protect your capital. Remember, trading involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It's crucial to perform your own analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Happy trading, and may the markets be in your favor! 🚀💰
Long
by T-Q
USDJPY - Is This Just A Healthy Pullback?Analysis: Recently price has just been heading higher and higher on this pair, and we've been looking to catch this move for a while now but we needed to stay patient and wait for a pullback and that's exactly what we might have now. Price has pulled back to a key level of prior resistance and as we know, resistance often becomes support, so this is starting to look like a potential place to enter long. We're also still in an upwards trend as the most recent higher low hasn't been broken so this move to the downside is just a healthy pullback rather then a break of structure. At our area of previous resistance now turned support we also have the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib retracement level so we'd expect that buyers would be sat at this area wanting to hold price and push it higher. On top of that we also have an upwards trendline touch, which acts as dynamic support, so we'd expect buyers to also be sat at this area wanting to hold price and push it higher. All of these technical confluences line up together and signal that this area could hold and provide bullish momentum so we like the look of this. We don't just have the technicals on our side but we also have the fundamentals too. Fundamentally the USD is the strongest major currency compared to the JPY which is the weakest major currency, so this massively goes in our favour. As of the most recent report for institutional positioning we saw the USD stay pretty bullish whereas for the JPY we saw an increase in long positions but we also saw an almost 2.5 times bigger increase in short positions compared to long positions opened. This signals that there is still more possible bearishness to come for the JPY, making it favourable to short rather then going long. With all of the technicals and fundamentals lined up together we have a very strong bias to the long side of USDJPY. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
4