USDJPY:800+ PIPS Dropping Well Since Our First Idea!Dear Traders,
Since we posted our idea when price was trading at 158 we told you that this will be a massive dropped and since then price has proven us right, now we think there is another big drop is on the way. Please use proper risk management while trading.
Usdjpylongsetup
Technical Analysis on JPY Price Action (as of June 9, 2025)📈 Technical Analysis on JPY Price Action (as of June 9, 2025)
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🗂️ Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of the Japanese Yen (JPY) with clearly defined support and resistance zones. The setup suggests a bullish bias in the short term, with potential for a breakout toward previous highs.
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🔍 Key Levels Identified:
🟥 Main Support Zone (141.80 – 142.80):
This is a strong demand zone.
Price bounced aggressively from this level in late May.
If broken, could trigger a major downside move 📉.
🟧 Support Zone (143.80 – 144.70):
Price is currently testing this zone.
Holding this area will be crucial for bullish continuation.
🟨 Resistance Zone (145.80 – 146.60):
This is the next target for bulls 🐂.
Historically acted as a supply zone, causing pullbacks.
🟫 ATH Resistance Zone (~147.80 – 148.50):
The All-Time High (ATH) resistance zone.
Strong rejection from here in the past; likely to act as a hard ceiling again 🚫.
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🔄 Price Action Forecast:
🕊️ If the current support holds, expect a bullish move toward the 146.00–146.50 resistance.
📈 A breakout above this resistance could initiate a move to the ATH zone (147.80+).
🚨 A breakdown below 143.80 could lead to retesting the main support near 142.00.
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📊 Technical Sentiment:
Bias: Bullish ✅
Trend: Recovering uptrend after forming a higher low.
Confirmation Needed: Break and retest of the 145.80–146.60 resistance for continuation.
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✅ Trading Tip:
Wait for either:
🔁 A retest and bounce from 144.00 for long entries 🎯.
❌ A rejection at resistance for potential short opportunities if price fails to break 146.60.
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📌 Conclusion:
The market shows bullish intent from support, but traders should watch the reaction near the resistance zone to confirm trend continuation. 📍Patience and confirmation are key.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY) bullish choch Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY presents a bullish outlook with Smart Money Concepts (SMC)-based logic. Here's a breakdown of the idea and key elements:
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Chart Summary
Current Market Context
Price: ~144.05
EMA 200: Acting as dynamic resistance at 144.19
Trendline: Broken, signaling a potential shift in market structure
Change of Character (ChoCh): Confirmed around 143.3, marking a bullish transition
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Key Zones Identified
1. Support Level (Strong Demand Zone)
Around 141.8–142.5
Marked by historical rejections
Possible mitigation of unfilled orders here
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Between 143.0–143.8
Price may return to fill this imbalance before rising
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Projected Move
Price is expected to:
1. Dip into the FVG or Support Zone to mitigate imbalance
2. Reverse and make a bullish rally
3. Reach the target point near 148.68 (approx. +4.55%)
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RSI Analysis (14-period)
Current RSI: ~49 (neutral)
No overbought/oversold condition
Room for upside momentum
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Notable Features
Break of structure (ChoCh) → Bullish signal
EMA crossover potential → Bullish confluence
Multiple FVG fills + support reaction → Entry confirmation opportunities
Economic events marked → Be cautious of volatility spikes
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea Summary
Buy Entry Zone: 141.8–143.0 (support or FVG)
Stop Loss: Below 141.5
Target: 148.68
Risk/Reward: Favorable (approx. 1:3+)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a detailed breakdown of the idea and strategy:
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Key Components of the Chart:
1. Strong Support Zone:
The yellow zone is labeled as a “big support level of pullback”, around the 142.00 – 141.20 range.
Price has historically bounced from this zone, suggesting demand and buyer interest.
2. Bullish Structure Setup:
Price is forming a double bottom or potential reversal pattern in the support zone.
A downtrend line is clearly marked, and a break above this trendline would signal bullish continuation.
3. EMA 200 (at 145.020):
The EMA is currently acting as dynamic resistance.
A breakout above the EMA would confirm further bullish momentum.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently below 30, indicating the market is oversold – a common precursor to a bullish reversal.
5. Target Levels:
Target 1: 145.803 – likely the first resistance level or EMA retest.
Target 2: 148.587 – a prior high and strong resistance area.
6. Projection:
Price is expected to bounce from support, break the trendline, retest, and then rally to higher levels.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Near 142.00 – 141.20 (support zone)
Confirmation: Break above the descending trendline + bullish RSI divergence
Targets:
TP1: 145.803
TP2: 148.587
Invalidation: Break and close below 141.00 (support zone broken)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Risk Management Suggestion:
Use a tight stop-loss below the support zone, considering it's the key reversal area. Also, keep an eye on fundamental factors such as U.S. and Japan interest rate decisions or key economic events (indicated by the icons on the chart).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance.
The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance.
🔁 Now We're Back towards 142
Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce.
📌 Outlook and Trading Plan
I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity.
Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146.
That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy.
Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67
Support : 144.90 , 144.42
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟
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📈 Entry (Bullish Raid):
The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE!
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🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape):
148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!)
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USDJPY: 300+ Pips From Previous Idea, What Hold Next? Hey Everyone
USDJPY is on a roll! It’s rebounded a whopping 300+ pips and is now on the positive side. We reckon it’s going to keep climbing in the coming days as DXY is starting to regain its strength.
And here’s the cherry on top: there’s some exciting news coming up, including the NFP tomorrow. This could really boost the USDJPY to a new record high.
But remember, when trading, it’s crucial to manage your risk carefully.
Now, let’s talk about the potential for a significant market movement. We’ve spotted a chance for a substantial bullish swing that could reach around 2050 pips. We’ve also identified three potential targets, so you can choose the one that best fits your analysis.
The main driver behind this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) from a bullish trend to a bearish one. So, let’s be cautious and use precise risk management techniques during this period.
Good luck and happy trading! 😊
Oh, and if you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Thanks a bunch for your support! 😊
Cheers,
The Setupsfx_ Team
USDJPY Bearish Continuation Setup Trend Analysis
The market is in a clear downtrend, evidenced by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending trendline has been respected multiple times, acting as dynamic resistance.
🧠 Key Technical Factors
Rejection Zone (Supply Area):
The marked “Rejection Point” aligns with the confluence of the trendline resistance, 50 EMA (red), and historical supply.
Price attempted to break above but faced a strong rejection—signaling institutional sell interest.
EMA Confluence:
50 EMA (142.993) and 200 EMA (144.063) are both sloping downward.
Price is trading below both EMAs, confirming bearish momentum and trend continuation bias.
BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS levels marked, showing a consistent pattern of structure breaks to the downside.
Each rally is met with selling pressure, failing to create new highs.
🧩 Projected Price Action
Current retracement could retest the trendline/50 EMA before a potential continuation move downward.
Expectation is a lower high formation near the descending trendline followed by a bearish impulse.
🏹 Bias: Bearish
Traders might consider short opportunities around the 142.90–143.00 zone, targeting 142.00 and below, with stops just above the trendline/supply zone.
⚠️ Risk Note
A clean break and close above the trendline and 50 EMA would invalidate this setup and could lead to a shift in structure.
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Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (143.000) Day trade basis.
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🏴☠️Target 🎯: 147.000
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USD/JPY Long Trade Setup – Key Support Rebound Targeting 148.674Entry Point:
Price: 143.373
The chart suggests initiating a long (buy) position at this level, which is just slightly below the current market price.
Stop Loss:
Price: 141.707
Positioned below a strong support zone. This level protects the trade from excessive downside risk if the price breaks down.
Target Point:
Price: 148.674
The target is clearly defined, indicating a potential gain of approximately 5.991 points, or 4.20% from the entry.
🟪 Support/Resistance Zones
The purple boxes indicate demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones.
The lower zone (entry/stop area) shows a historically significant support range that has been tested multiple times (indicated with orange circles).
The upper purple zone marks the take-profit area, which coincides with previous resistance.
📊 Moving Averages
Blue Line: 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – acting as dynamic resistance.
Red Line: 50 EMA – price is currently trading below it, indicating bearish short-term pressure but potential for reversal.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish (long position)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
Risk: ~1.67 points (from 143.373 to 141.707)
Reward: ~5.3 points (from 143.373 to 148.674)
Approx. R:R = 1:3.17
Validation: The setup relies on the price holding the key support zone and bouncing higher, targeting the next major resistance.
⚠️ Considerations
Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns near the entry zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (like BoJ or Fed updates) that could cause volatility in USD/JPY.
Confirm momentum shift with RSI or MACD if using indicators.
USDJPY BULLISH IDEA🧱 Key Observations
Order Block (OB) Marked (Demand Zone):
A clearly marked bullish order block (OB) zone is highlighted in pink around the 139.883 low.
This zone likely represents institutional buying interest.
It was the origin of a strong bullish move that broke prior structure.
Price Action:
After a series of higher highs and higher lows, price has retraced significantly.
It's approaching the order block area again, potentially for a retest or liquidity grab.
Heikin Ashi Candles:
Recent candles are bearish, showing momentum to the downside.
However, these candles typically lag in reversals, so price may soon shift if it hits the OB zone.
Projected Move:
A large blue upward arrow is drawn, suggesting an anticipated bullish reversal from the OB zone with a potential move back to 148.647 (recent high).
📊 Technical Implication
Bullish Bias if price holds within or just above the OB zone.
Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing patterns, divergence, or break of minor structure).
If price breaks below 139.883 decisively, the bullish setup may be invalidated.
📌 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry Zone: 140.000–139.900 (inside OB)
Stop Loss: Below 139.800
Target: ~148.500
Risk/Reward: Favorable if OB holds
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
If you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️
USD/ JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of 4-hour for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen). Here's the breakdown of the idea
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1. Bullish Structure
The market is moving within a rising channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows support the uptrend.
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2. Key Zones
Support Zone (Demand Area): Around the 144.500–145.000 level, price has reacted positively here multiple times — it's marked as a strong support level.
Resistance Zone: Around 148.000 — this level is marked as an obstacle before reaching the final target point.
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3. Indicators & Confluence
EMA 200: Price is currently testing just above/below the EMA 200 — a key dynamic support/resistance level.
RSI: Showing a bullish divergence or a potential recovery from oversold zone (both RSI lines are turning upward).
MACD-style Oscillator (Custom): Showing signs of a bullish crossover, confirming upward momentum.
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4. Projection & Target
The expected move is a bounce from support, followed by:
A retest of resistance around 148.
A continuation to the target zone at 150.864 — marked as the final target point.
The potential move is approximately +592 pips (4.19%).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a bullish continuation setup, expecting price to maintain above the support zone and ride the trendline and channel toward 150.864. The confluence of RSI, structure, and EMA adds strength to the idea.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY) support level back up Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish setup with the following key insights:
Analysis Overview:
1. Current Price: 147.492
2. Support Zone: Around 145.263 to 146.000
Marked as "Support Level / FVG" (Fair Value Gap), this is the potential demand zone where the price may retrace before bouncing.
3. Trendline: An ascending trendline is supporting the bullish structure.
4. EMA 200: Price is trading above the 200 EMA (145.263), which is generally a bullish signal.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near overbought levels (currently at 63.46 and 70.56), suggesting strong bullish momentum but a potential pullback.
6. Target Zone: 151.360
Highlighted as the "Target Point" – this is the resistance area where price might face selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Entry: Buy on retracement into the support zone (around 145.5–146.0).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone or EMA (around 144.800 or as per risk tolerance).
Take Profit: Near the target zone around 151.360.
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on the entry.
Conclusion:
The idea is based on price respecting support, fair value gap (FVG), bullish structure, and a target based on recent price projections. If the price respects the support and bullish trendline, the bullish continuation towards 151.360 is a valid expectation.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Watch the 145.60 TriggerUSD/JPY remains in a broader uptrend, with buyers defending the 141.00–144.50 support zone on the daily chart. While price has recently pulled back from the 148.50 high, the overall structure remains bullish. On the hourly timeframe, the pair has been moving within a descending channel since May 13. However, a double bottom near 141.80 and a push back toward 145.50 suggest buyers are regaining control. A breakout above the channel resistance at 145.60 could signal the end of the correction and a new leg higher toward 147.00–148.00.
The 15-minute chart supports this setup, showing a bull-flag consolidation above 145.20 and rising trendline support near 145.10. Volume has thinned during the flag formation, indicating a potential surge on breakout. Traders should look to buy above 145.60, targeting 146.20 and 146.80, with stops just below 145.00. A break under 145.00 flips the short-term bias bearish, with downside targets at 144.60 and 144.20.
Overall, the technicals favor a bullish breakout scenario into the week, provided 145.00 holds. Intraday traders should closely monitor the 145.00–145.60 zone for momentum confirmation.
Bearish USD/JPY — Yen Strength FavoredCMCMARKETS:USDJPY Bearish Factors (USD Negative / JPY Positive):
Hawkish BoJ Expectations:
Despite Japan’s weaker Q1 GDP, BoJ officials—particularly Deputy Governor Uchida—have signalled openness to resuming rate hikes in 2025. A Reuters survey suggests a potential 25bps hike before year-end. This divergence from the Fed’s stance supports JPY strength.
Dovish Fed Outlook Intensifies:
Weak U.S. April PPI and retail sales figures reinforce expectations for multiple rate cuts this year. Falling Treasury yields and soft inflation readings weigh heavily on the dollar.
Resistance : 146.75 , 145.87
Support : 144.91 , 143.52
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical Analysis USD/JPY suggests a bullish outlook based on the following key technical components:
1. Buying Zone: The chart identifies a green rectangular area labeled "BUYING ZONE" just above the 200 EMA (blue line at 144.079). This implies that price retracement into this zone could be an opportunity to go long (buy).
2. Support & Resistance:
Support Level: Clearly marked around 143.00, showing a previous demand area.
Resistance Level: Around the 145.800–146.000 region, price previously rejected here.
3. Bullish Pattern: The curved arrow suggests the formation of a bullish continuation pattern (possibly a cup & handle or flag), with the expectation of a breakout toward the upside.
4. Target Point: The target is projected at 148.153, implying a potential move of approximately 291.7 pips from the buying zone—suggesting a favorable risk-reward ratio.
5. RSI Indicator: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 55, not in the overbought zone, indicating more room for upside movement.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of Idea:
Strategy: Buy near 145.00–145.20 (Buying Zone).
Stop Loss: Just below the 200 EMA or the lower bound of the green zone.
Take Profit: Near the 148.153 target.
Confirmation: Wait for bullish confirmation/candlestick reversal in the buying zone.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Trade Plan: Long from Imbalance Zone on Bullish BOSUSDJPY Trade Idea & Analysis
Chart Context:
The 1H USDJPY chart shows a strong bullish impulse, followed by a consolidation and a potential retracement into a clear imbalance zone (highlighted between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, around 146.76–146.32). The market structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows.
Market Fundamentals & Sentiment (as of May 2025):
USD Strength: The US dollar remains supported by persistent inflation and the Fed’s hawkish stance, with markets pricing in the possibility of further rate hikes or a prolonged period of higher rates.
JPY Weakness: The Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, with no immediate signs of tightening. This divergence keeps upward pressure on USDJPY.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk appetite is stable, favoring carry trades and supporting USDJPY upside.
Trade Plan:
Look for a retrace into the imbalance zone (146.76–146.32). Enter long on a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on lower timeframes. Target the recent swing highs (148.65 and above), with a stop loss below the retracement low.
Not financial advice.
USD/JPY 4H Analysis: Demand Zone Re-Test Before Bullish Continua1. Trend Channel
🔼 Uptrend: The pair is moving inside an ascending channel.
▪️ Support: Lower boundary of the channel.
▪️ Resistance: Upper boundary of the channel.
2. Recent Price Action
🔴 Pullback: After reaching the top at 146.199, price is retracing.
📉 Price is now heading toward the Demand Zone.
3. Demand Zone
🟦 Demand Zone (142.405 – 143.180):
This zone could act as a strong support
Buyers might step in here
Watch for bullish patterns or rejections around this area
4. EMA 70
📏 EMA 70 (143.568) is slightly below current price (143.949) — this may offer temporary support/resistance.
5. Target
🎯 Target Point: 146.194
If price bounces from demand zone, this is the next bullish target.
Possible Scenario
1. 🔽 Price dips into the Demand Zone
2. 🟢 Bullish bounce → Confirm with candlestick signals
3. 🚀 Upside move targeting 146.194
USDJPY BEARISH SETUP ONFIRMED.?USD/JPY Bearish Scenario Analysis
Trend: Downtrend (bearish bias confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe)
Current Price Action: After a failed attempt to sustain above the 148.200 resistance level, USD/JPY has shown rejection patterns such as bearish engulfing candles and increasing selling volume. Price is now breaking below key moving averages (e.g., 50 and 100 EMA), confirming momentum shift to the downside
Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 148.200 – Strong supply zone, multiple rejections seen here.
1st Bearish Target: 143.900 – Recent swing low and minor support zone; break below confirms bearish continuation.
2nd Bearish Target: 141.600 – Major horizontal support from previous consolidation area.
Support: 140.100 – Long-term support level; likely to attract strong buying interest or signal a trend exhaustion.
Bearish Scenario Setup
1. Entry Zone: Between 147.500 - 147.800 (pullback/retest of broken structure)
2. Stop Loss: Above 148.500 (just beyond the resistance zone to avoid false breakouts)
3. Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 143.900
TP2: 141.600
4. Bonus Target (extended move): 140.100 – if selling momentum continues and macro conditions favor JPY strength.
USDJPY BREAKOUT BULLISH PATTERN Technical Pattern Analysis
Current Trend:
USD/JPY has shown a strong bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This indicates increasing buying pressure and positive momentum.
Possible Bullish Patterns Observed:
Ascending Triangle: This is a bullish continuation pattern often indicating that buyers are gaining strength before a breakout.
Bullish Flag: A short-term consolidation that generally resolves in the direction of the previous trend (upward).
Breakout Above Resistance: Recent candles show breakout attempts above key resistance zones, validating bullish sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 144.50–145.00
1st Resistance / Target Zone: 146.400
2nd Resistance / Target Zone: 147.900
Final Resistance / Target Zone: 150.200