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Usdjpylongsetup

USDJPY: USD/JPY returns to 152 regardless of intervention threat The Japanese yen weakened barely on Tuesday, with USDJPY now lower back toward 152 - its maximum stage in view that 1990. The yen`s weak spot comes whilst Japanese officers time and again warn that they'll reply correctly to hypothesis in opposition to the yen. However, promoting momentum piled at the yen, specially withinside the face of better longer-dated US hobby costs, that have been the principle weight at the Japanese foreign money for almost years. The yen additionally obtained little assist from the Bank of Japan's first hobby fee hike in 17 years, because the valuable financial institution presented dovish alerts on destiny coverage decisions. . Dollar steadies on CPI information, recognition on Fed assembly minutes The greenback index and greenback index futures had been little modified in Asian buying and selling after posting a few in a single day losses. But buyers are nevertheless in large part biased toward the dollar given the numerous alerts on US hobby costs this week. Consumer Price Index inflation information for March is due out on Wednesday and is extensively anticipated to expose inflation final properly above the Fed's 2% annual target, leaving the valuable financial institution with little Motivation to begin reducing hobby costs soon. Minutes from the Fed's March assembly can also be launched on Wednesday and are available amid developing doubts approximately whether or not the valuable financial institution will begin reducing hobby costs in June. A string of Fed officers warned that difficult inflation could maintain the Fed from reducing hobby costs early this year.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY 1. Monthly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point. - Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones. 2. Weekly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY. 3. Daily Time Frame: - Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe. Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators 1. Federal Reserve's Stance: - Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached. - Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing. 2. Economic Indicators: - Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain. 3. Market Reaction: - Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it. 4. Future Projections: - Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY. - Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics. 5. USD/JPY Specifics: - Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen. Trading Implications for USD/JPY - Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs. - Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning. - Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair. Conclusion For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.
Long
by Wiiso
USDJPY H2 / Possible Reversal from OB and Supply Area✅💡Hello Traders! This is my idea related to USDJPY H2. I expect another retracement in the OB level and after that I will execute a long trade in case of confirmation. I see the price to go up until the level of 149.500. Wait for confirmation! Apply Risk Management! Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Long
by GoodTradeST
USDJPY,🟢Can price move highr...?🟢(Details on caption)As you can see, the price was in the range for a while and there is a liquidity pool on both sides of this range. A sell-side liquidity in daily FVG makes this FVG a high probability support and we can also define the bullish 4-hour breaker block inside the FVG. Now, we can expect price support from the FVG and move higher to collect the liquidity above the previous highs. Please pay attention: We need LTF confirmation to execute the buy position. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️06/03/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
USDJPY: Asian Foreign Exchange market is quietThe Japanese yen hovered close to a four-month low, whilst statistics confirmed inflation in Tokyo recovered as predicted in February. Stable inflation offers the Bank of Japan extra motivation to elevate hobby costs from extraordinarily low levels. The greenback index and greenback index futures had been consistent at some point of the session buying and selling in Asia on Tuesday, after seeing a few volatility in latest sessions. While latest statistics indicates inflation withinside the US relatively stabilizing, buyers appear like preserving bets that the Fed will reduce hobby costs in June. But the change is predicted to be in large part examined this week, with a two-day testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in which analysts anticipate him to preserve tons of his hawkish stance. . Then key nonfarm payrolls statistics is due out this Friday and is predicted to offer similarly alerts at the hard work market.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY → About to Breakout to New Highs? Let's Maximize Profits!USDJPY is on its third leg up in this bull channel that started at 141.000. We're near the top of Resistance Zone, is a long justified? How do we trade this? 🤔 We need confirmation of a breakout to justify a long. After the initial bull run to 152.000, USDJPY pulled back with three legs to 140.200 and followed with a run to our current position of just over 149.000. The price action is technically at a new high in this run which could be the top of the third and final leg up. Given the two strong bull bar closes on February 2nd and 8th and the lack of a sell signal, I do not believe this leg is over yet. What we need is a close above the Resistance Zone at 150.000 followed by a test of the top of Resistance as support. Once we see that support, it's reasonable to enter a long position with a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward which is 151.200, move the stop loss up to the entry price to lock in profits, then swing the second half above the previous 152.000 high. 152.000 is a significant resistance area and I would be cautious to assume we'll make it to that price, however, the trend is our friend until the very end. Until we have a reason to change our bias, we must remain long. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 150.385 🟥 Stop Loss: $149.250 ✅ Take Profit #1: $151.200 ✅ Take Profit #2: $152.650 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Two strong legs up in a micro bull channel. 2. Third leg in progress, strong bull bar closes on February 2nd and 8th, indicating more upward momentum. 3. Near the top of the Resistance Zone, wait for a close above and test of Resistance as Support. 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward. 5. RSI at 63.00 and above the moving average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY I Technical and fundamental analysis & Trading PlanWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
by BKTradingAcademy
1
USDJPY M15 / Potential Long Move, Waiting for Confirmation✅Hello Traders! This is my idea related to USDJPY M15. I want to see the BOSS from the price of 149.870 to be taken, after that, I will look for a long entry and the target will be above the higher boss. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Long
by GoodTradeST
USDJPY: The foreign exchange market is quiet, the USD is stable Most Asian currencies stayed narrow on Wednesday, while the dollar steadied near a six-week high as markets awaited further signals on when the Federal Reserve might start cutting interest rates. The Australian dollar fell 0.1%, even as January PMI data showed some improvement in manufacturing and services activity. The Aussie, often seen as an indicator of broader risk appetite for Asian markets, is also trading near a seven-week low. USD steadies near 6-week high with econ. data, Fed meeting underway The dollar index and dollar index futures both fell 0.1% in Asian trading after rising to their highest since early December in the previous session. The greenback marked a strong start to 2024 as strong inflation and labor market data showed traders had largely tempered expectations for an early Fed rate cut. This perception has been exacerbated by a series of hawkish comments from Fed officials over the past week. The focus now turns to fourth-quarter gross domestic product data, due on Thursday, and PCE price index data - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - due on Friday. Any sign of recovery in economic growth and inflation gives the Fed more incentive to keep interest rates higher for longer. The readings also come just days before the Fed's first meeting of 2024, where the bank is widely expected to maintain interest rates at a 23-year high. But the Fed is still expected to start cutting interest rates this year, which will keep traders watching for any such signals from the meeting.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
1
USDJPY → On the way to 152.000? Let's Maximize Profits!USDJPY is on its third leg up in this bull trend and heading toward a Resistance Zone at 149.350. Should we consider shorting the resistance? Or longing a pullback? How do we trade this? 🤔 Longing a pullback is the more probable trade. While we are looking at the third leg up in this bull trend (a situation where we may want to refrain from longing), we do not have any sign of a sell signal in sight. The RSI is over 70.00 near a Resistance Zone which means we should wait for a pullback toward the bull trend line near the 147.500 area and wait for a strong bull response. The Resistance Zone is the result of a high-volume price area; look to the left on the chart to see that data. Once we see a strong bull bar closing on or near its high off of that trend line, it's reasonable to take a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward (149.600) just into the Resistance Zone, move your take profit up to the entry price to lock in profits, then swing the latter half of your position to 151.100 or until you see a sell signal near the previous high of 152.000. The probability of profit weakens as the trend moves into the third and fourth legs and therefore, the position size of this trade should be smaller to reduce our initial risk. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 148.100 🟥 Stop Loss: 146.600 ✅ Take Profit #1: 149.600 ✅ Take Profit #2: 151.100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Third leg up in a bull channel 2. Near a Resistance Zone 3. Gap back down to the Bull Trend line 4. RSI at 80.00 and above the moving average, supports a pullback 5. Wait for the price to come back down to the bull trend and bounce to enter a trade 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY: USD/JPY fluctuated in the 146-150 range, to a greater exMizuho Bank said Japan will tolerate the yen's decline in the near term, expecting it to rise as the bank tightens policy, possibly as early as the second quarter. Additionally, Mizuho Bank said that while the Fed, ECB and BoE have not yet fully acknowledged that a rate cut is imminent, the Bank of Japan wants to avoid making a sudden change as it could could put disproportionate upward pressure on JPY. The reduction in yields and profits will work together to amplify forex moves (yen strength). Therefore, the BoJ will not rush to adjust policy that could be interpreted as tightening and concludes: Some reduction in JPY now may be the necessary balance to avoid a sudden and unwanted spike in JPY later. Expect 146-150 range in the coming months with heightened volatility.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
USDJPY: The Japanese Yen decreased because the market predicted The Japanese yen is the worst among Asian currencies through 2024, extending its decline from the previous year as traders grow more confident that the Bank of Japan will delay policy changes were extremely moderate. Reconstruction and stimulus measures following the devastating earthquake in central Japan are expected to offset any notion of BOJ policy tightening, at least in the near term. Such a scenario points to increased pressure on the yen, especially from the wide gap between domestic and international lending rates. Japan's interest rates have remained extremely low for nearly eight years. Weak data on inflation and weak wage growth also suggested less pressure on the BOJ to change its ultra-dovish course. Broader Asian currencies were trending lower, as doubts about an early Fed rate cut kept traders largely biased against the dollar.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
Long Position on USDJPY-4HHello Traders ! This is the USDJPY Technical Viewpoint in The Long Term . After these significant changes since the beginning of the year, the JPY has lost 25% versus the USD YTD. We anticipate that this bullish trend will resume for a few more months after the market breaks above the 144.80 Resistance level, as shown in the chart. Risk Warning: Trading Derivatives carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Derivatives may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Long
by aymanjemghili
1
USDJPY → Caught in a Bear Trend! About to Reverse? Let's look.USDJPY has been falling in a bear trend since it's double top at last years high of 152.000. We saw a great bull response candle on December 7th and the close of a slightly lower low on December 13th. We may have had the first leg up in a bull reversal, but do we have the data to support it? How do we trade this? 🤔 Short answer, no. We need confirmation that we've hit a strong support zone and we do have *some* data to support that. December 7th, good wick on the underside of a buy candle followed by a run up, end of the second leg down. December 13th, slightly lower low but a strong bull run to the upside late in the week, end of the third leg down. This means we need to be looking for strong support since we're starting to get strong support signals. What we need is a double bottom in the 141.000-141.200 area. A strong buy signal bar and confirmation to provide us with enough probability to enter a long trade. It's reasonable to scalp at a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio with hesitancy that this is truly a reversal or even a trading range. We can scalp for now and wait for a third test of support to give us even more probability for a swing trade at a 1:2 or 1:3 Risk/Reward. Stop loss should be below the double bottom and take profit should be near the previous support, now resistance. Until then, it's wise to wait for that support to reveal itself or the alternative, we break down for another 4th leg. At this time, we assess the chart and look for entries again. 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Long Entry: 142.600 🟥 Stop Loss: 140.500 ✅ Take Profit: 144.700 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Strong Bull Response Candle followed by slightly lower low, third leg down. 2. Strong Bull candles at the end of the last run up, first leg up in Bull reversal? 3. Pulling back to previous low, look for Double Bottom or Breakdown to new Low. 4. If Double Bottom, look to Long 1:1 scalp half position size, may swing other half. 5. RSI at 45.00 and above Moving Average. Reversal Trade Opportunity, Wait for Confirmation. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Trends typically have three legs in either direction. Signals of a reversal include strong buy or sell bars with large wicks, higher highs and lower lows get weaker, and responses to the reverse direction get stronger. Confirmation lies with double and triple bottoms with a strong candle closing on or near its low/high. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
USDJPY → Bear Run Complete! Bounce back to 152.000? Let's AnswerUSDJPY has officially broken out of the bull channel it's been in since February 2023 and fell hard into the Weekly 200EMA! The final Daily bear candle closed with a large wick over 1/3 the total size and the following Daily candle closed with a long tail as well. Does that mean we're going up? How do we trade this? 🤔 A bear breakout on a bull channel after the double top reversal is usually a signal that we're about to enter a trading range (sideways price action). We have a good show of Support at the 200EMA and possibly up to the previous high in the bull channel between 143.850 and 144.850, but we need confirmation to ensure that this Support zone is real which includes a strong bull followthrough candle on the Daily chart. Look to long toward the bottom of the trading range after it's been established, an entry around the 145.000 area is reasonable looking for a 1:1 scalp or 1:2 swing on a lower timeframe. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 145.500 🟥 Stop Loss: 143.200 ✅ Take Profit: 150.100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Bear Breakout of Bull Channel, Entering Trading Range. 2. Three Legs Down to Daily 200EMA. 3. Two Large Wicks on 200EMA, Look for Confirmation. 4. Trend Change, Establishing Trading Range between 145.000 and 152.000. 5. RSI at 35.00 and below Moving Average. Wait for Confirmation to Long. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
2