USDJPY Is 145 The Line In The Sand ??A lot of strong comments coming out of Japan today similar to last week when price was at the 145 will an attempt to break this level result in actual intervention ??
The Yen pairs are all selling off after the latest comments I am waiting for a confirmations SELL signal on my indicator to enter the USDJPY.
Usdjpynews
USDJPY approaching support, potential for a bounce!
USDJPY is expected to drop to 1st support at 107.742 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 109.002.
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USDJPY - Monthly UpdateRecent price action: Neutral
Pattern: Asymmetrical triangle
Long-term momentum: Bullish
Short-term momentum: Bearish
Bias: Neutral
Action: Price needs to be trading above the 111.2 level and trend resistance to consider a long position.
Comments: Major indecision happening in this pair. U.S. trade war keeping price ranging
USDJPY - Daily UpdateRecent price action: Bearish
Pattern: Break of trend support
Long-term momentum: *Bearish
Short-term momentum: Bearish
Bias: Long
Action: Do not trade until price identifies further momentum. Could see further movement to the downside, or price may reverse at its current level. Everything depends on where the daily candle closes.
Comments: News of a trade war killed this pair. Next 7-10 days should be interesting. A complete shift in momentum would be warranted once price breaks below daily support. Could also be forming a head and shoulders pattern.
USDJPY Reversal at .382 Fib LevelTechnical Analysis
Last week we kissed the 0.382 fib level and had a strong wick indicating a loss in the bulls momentum. This could be a strong indicator of the start of a reversal for USDJPY.
This week all eyes on USD with Trumps Speech Today with his Hawkish attitude toward the Iran situation causing great volatility in the Oil Markets. Consumer Price Index on Thursday 11th May & James Bullard's speech on Friday 11th May. Key Week for USD Pairs.
USD/JPY drops to 111.30USD/JPY drops to 111.30
Due to fears of a large reduction in foreign Dollar asset purchases, the American currency fell by 0.86% against the Yen just in couple of hours. The plunge was stopped only after the exchange rate reached support area located around the weekly S2 and the monthly S1. Accordingly, today bulls are expected to try to restore lost positions. Most probably the surge will last until the pair reaches strong support-turned-resistance at the 112.10 level, which is additionally backed up by the 55-hour SMA. In case of better than expected US PPI data release, the soar might extend to the 112.60 mark, which represents location of the monthly PP together with the 100- and 200-hour SMAs. From the opposite side, the new decline is likely to be halted by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 111.17 the three-month low at 110.84.
USD/JPY rises to 112.70USD/JPY rises to 112.70
An absence of any significant news in first half of the previous trading session expectedly led to a rebound from support zone located near the 112.10 mark. But then reports about agreement reached on tax reform by the House and Senate caused a spike up to the 112.70 mark. As further path to the north is obstructed by the falling 100- and 200-hour SMAs together with the weekly PP, the Dollar is unlikely to gain much value against the Yen. On the other hand, the 55-hour SMA in conjunction with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level should allow an active plunge as well. As a result, before the advent of some substantial news, the pair is expected to move horizontally between the above support and resistance barriers.
USD/JPY fails to bypass 113.68USD/JPY fails to bypass 113.68
Most of the previous trading session the currency rate spent moving towards the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level located at 114.03. Nevertheless, this target was not achieved due to resistance area formed near the 113.70 mark. As for today, a minor retreat back to 113.20 is possible. However, the Yen unlikely to gain much value due to pressure from the rising 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs. On the other hand, it looks like the pair is moving in a new rising wedge formation, which presupposes a breakout towards the 50% retracement level. In case of such mixed signals there is a need to turn to the overall fundamental picture, which is in favor of the buck, as markets anticipate the interest rate hike.
USD/JPY falls from rising wedge by 1.22% USD/JPY falls from rising wedge by 1.22%
An announcement made by General Flynn that led to rapid sell-off of the buck against all major currencies perfectly matched with a breaking point of a readjusted rising wedge formation. Fortunately, bulls managed to create support near the 111.80 mark that was surrounded by the 100- and 200-hour SMAs as well as the bottom boundary of an ascending channel. As this event occurred shortly before markets got closed, new trading session the pair started straight from the pre-fall 112.80 level.
Accordingly, the pair has once again returned back into boundaries of the above rising wedge pattern. Since further path to the top is obstructed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 113.00 and the weekly R1 at 113.11, the pair might actually make another turnaround. If a rebound happens, it might confirm validity of a new junior channel down.
USD/JPY prepares to test support at 111.20USD/JPY prepares to test support at 111.20
In line with expectations, by the end of the previous trading session the currency rate has reached the upper boundary of a currently active descending channel. As this barrier was additionally backed up by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level as well as the falling 100-hour SMA, the pair was forced to rebound. During first half of the day the pair is likely to get back to the 11.60 mark amid the push made by the 55-hour SMA. But subsequently the pair is expected to test support area between the 111.20-111.10 levels. Unless the Yen receives a proper impulse this barrier might ruin the pattern. However, such scenario unlikely to lead to rapid recovery of the buck, as on daily chart road to north is blocked by a combination of the 100- and 200-day SMAs.
USD/JPY slips to monthly S1 at 112.04USD/JPY slips to monthly S1 at 112.04
Contrary to trade patterns theory, the currency rate did not make a breakout from the falling wedge formation to the north. Moreover, the safe haven Yen was quoted higher despite release of disappointing trade data. For this reason, the fall of the rate was most likely based on worries about vote for the new tax reform and Merkel’s failure to form a new government. On the one hand, the fact that the monthly S1 located at the 112.04 level sustained under such heavy pressure indicates on an upcoming recovery of the buck, which will tend to reach the 112.62 mark. This scenario is partially supported by the aggregate market sentiment, which is 59% bullish. On the other hand, the falling moving averages are likely to continue pushing the pair to the bottom in the nearest future.