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Usdjpysell

USDJPY SELLUSD/JPY rises further and approaches 148.00 as the US Dollar firms up The US Dollar rallies for the second consecutive day against the Yen, and approaches 148.00. Strong US data support the Fed's "wait and see" stance and underpin demand for the US Dollar. In Japan, the uncertain political context is likely to deter the BoJ from hiking interest rates further. Previous market optimism is turning into caution as the market shifts its focus to the monetary policy reports by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve due next week. The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week, more so after the strong US business activity and Jobless Claims figures released on Thursday. These data confirmed that the US economy remains resilient with a healthy labour market, which gives further leeway for the Fed to await further insight into the impact of tariffs before resuming rate cuts. The US Dollar has been trading higher following Thursday’s releases. Also on Thursday, US President Trump paid an unusual visit to the Federal Reserve, only a few days ahead of their monetary policy meeting. Trump complained about the overcosts of the headquarters’ renovation and pressed for a less restrictive monetary policy, but his unusually soft comments after the visit eased investors’ concerns about the previous attacks on the central bank's independence. In Japan, the somewhat softer Tokyo inflation figures seen on Friday and the trade deal would help the BoJ to continue hiking interest rates, but the bank is likely to stand pat next week and probably delay further monetary tightening until the political situation clarifies. This is likely to keep the Yen upside attempts subdued in the near-term. SUPPORT 147.642 SUPPORT 147.311 SUPPORT 146.854 RESISTANCE 148.206 RESISTANCE 147.972
Short
by Mark804
Continuation of downtrend. Waiting for confirmation SELL USDJPY✏️ OANDA:USDJPY is starting a corrective downtrend. Yesterday's New York session's selling pressure surpassed the buying liquidity zone around 147,000. This further confirms the possibility of the pair continuing its downward correction. Some recovery waves in today's Asia-Europe session are considered a good opportunity to SELL towards the target of 144,300 (trailline zone of the h4 frame). Pay attention to the important breakout price zone of 145,900. 📉 Key Levels Support: 145,900-144,300 Resitance: 147,000-147,800 SELL trigger: Rejection from 147,000 SELL 147,700 (Strong resistance + SMA 20) Target 144,400 SELL DCA: Break 145,900 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
1
USD/JPY) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling a potential drop toward the 145.200 – 145.191 target zone. Here's the detailed breakdown: --- Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (1H) 1. Rising Channel Breakdown Price has broken below an ascending channel, confirming a trend line breakout and signaling a trend shift from bullish to bearish. The trend line cut and rejection from the upper resistance zone support the bearish reversal. 2. Key Support Breakout A crucial horizontal support zone around 147.80–148.00 was broken. The break-and-retest of this area (yellow box) acts as a confirmation of bearish momentum continuation. 3. Bearish Momentum Below EMA Price is trading below the 200 EMA (147.659) — a strong signal of downward bias on this timeframe. The EMA has flipped from dynamic support to resistance. 4. RSI Oversold but Bearish RSI is at 29.41, in oversold territory, which may hint at a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure suggests more downside potential before a deeper retracement. 5. Target Projection Projected target zone is between 145.200–145.191, aligning with previous structure lows and likely liquidity zone. Mr SMC Trading point Summary Bias: Bearish Current Price: 147.307 Key Resistance: 147.80–148.60 zone Structure: Rising channel break + key support breakout 200 EMA: Above price (bearish signal) RSI: 29.41 – oversold but momentum remains bearish Target: 145.200–145.191 Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
USDJPY SELL USD/JPY Editorial Tools Latest USD/JPY Forecast and News share Join NEW Japanese Yen hangs near multi-month low against USD ahead of Japan election on Sunday The Japanese Yen drifts lower against its American counterpart for the second straight day on Friday and remains within striking distance of an over three-month low touched earlier this week. Investors now seem convinced that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would forgo raising interest rates this year amid worries about the economic fallout from higher US tariffs From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone. However, the overnight failure to build on the momentum beyond the 149.00 mark warrants some caution. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 149.15-149.20 region, or a multi-month peak, before positioning for a move towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark. On the flip side, the 148.20-148.25 region, or the 100-hour SMA, could offer immediate support ahead of the 148.00 mark. Some follow-through selling, leading to a slide below the 147.70 area, could make the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards testing sub-147.00 levels. Acceptance below the latter might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA, currently pegged near the 145.80 region 1 SUPPORT147.642 2 SUPPORT 147.311 3 SUPPORT 146917 1 RESISTANCE 148.206 2 RESISTANCE 147.972
Short
by Mark804
USD/JPY 4H Bearish Setup – Channel Breakdown ExpectedThe chart shows USD/JPY in a rising channel with a projected bearish reversal setup forming. Here’s a breakdown: 🔹 Current Price: 148.83 🔹 Pattern Observed: The pair is trading inside a rising channel. A potential double top or lower high formation near the top of the channel suggests weakening bullish momentum. Price may break down through the channel support. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (as shown by the blue arrow): 1. Initial drop expected to the support zone around: 146.60 – 146.54 Minor consolidation possible at this level. 2. If broken, next target zone is: 144.96 – 144.85 🔑 Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 149.80–150.00 (highlighted in yellow) Support Levels: First: 146.60 Second: 144.96 ✅ Bearish Confirmation: A 4H candle close below 146.60 would confirm the bearish move. Watch Ichimoku cloud — if price breaks and closes below the cloud, it will strengthen the downtrend.
Short
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
14
USDJPY SELLJapanese Yen adds to intraday losses; USD/JPY climbs to 148.80 amid broad-based USD strength The Japanese Yen selling remains unabated through the early European session on Thursday, which along with a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand, lifts the USD/JPY pair to the 148.80 region in the last hour. Data released earlier today showed that Japan clocked a smaller-than-expected trade surplus in June. From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Wednesday, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone, suggesting that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside. Hence, some follow-through strength back towards the 149.00 mark, en route to the overnight swing high near the 149.15-149.20 region, looks like a distinct possibility. The upward trajectory could extend further towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark for the first time since late March. On the flip side, the 148.00 round figure now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the Asian session low, around the 147.70 region. The latter nears the 100-hour SMA, below which the USD/JPY pair could retest sub-147.00 levels. Some follow-through selling might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA support, currently pegged near the 145.80 region\ TP 1 147.931 TP 2 147.342 TP 3 146716 RESISTANCE 149.233
Short
by Mark804
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) from late June to mid-July 2025, sourced from FOREX.com. The current exchange rate is 147.436, with a 1.178 (+0.81%) increase. Key levels include a sell price of 147.393 and a buy price of 147.479. The chart shows a recent upward trend with a resistance zone highlighted between 147.436 and 148.092, and support around 146.598. Candlestick patterns indicate volatility, with notable price movements around early July.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USDJPY – Key Support Bounce with Macro TailwindsUSDJPY is bouncing off a key trendline and 61.8% Fib zone (143.25–143.60) with confluence across multiple JPY crosses (EURJPY, AUDJPY, CADJPY). This area has historically triggered strong upside momentum, and the current setup aligns with both technical structure and macro drivers. 📊 Fundamentals Supporting the Move: ✅ US Yields Stable: US10Y is holding above 4.20%, keeping USDJPY supported. If yields push back toward 4.30%, expect USDJPY to retest 145.30 and potentially 147.80. ✅ BoJ Dovish: Japan shows no shift in policy. Despite weak Tankan data, BoJ remains patient, and no meaningful rate hike or YCC change is expected soon. ✅ USD Macro Resilience: Core PCE held firm at 2.6%. Focus now shifts to ISM Services PMI (Wed) and NFP (Fri). Markets are still pricing a soft landing – supporting risk-on and a stronger USD. ✅ JPY as a Fading Safe Haven: Even with geopolitical headlines (Trump tariff tensions, Taiwan, Middle East), JPY demand remains weak. Traders are favoring USD and Gold over JPY as risk hedges. ⚠️ Risks to Watch: Dovish US Data Surprise: Weak NFP or ISM could drag yields down and trigger USDJPY reversal. Verbal or Actual BoJ Intervention: If we approach 148.50–150, Japan may step in again. Geopolitical Escalation: Any sharp risk-off could trigger safe haven demand for JPY, though this has underperformed recently. 🔎 Correlation Dynamics: 📈 USDJPY is leading JPY crosses like EURJPY and AUDJPY. The recent bounce started simultaneously across the JPY complex, with USDJPY slightly ahead. 📉 If US yields drop or risk sentiment shifts, USDJPY may lag gold or bonds but eventually catch up. 🧠 Trading Plan: 📍 Entry Zone: 143.30–143.60 (trendline + Fib confluence) 🎯 Target 1: 145.30 (38.2% Fib) 🎯 Target 2: 147.80 (channel resistance) 🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 141.50 with US yields breaking down 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: Wed July 3: ISM Services PMI (key for USD reaction) Fri July 5: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Average Hourly Earnings JPY Risk: Verbal intervention possible near 148+ 🧭 Summary: USDJPY is positioned for a bullish continuation, backed by: Rising yields Resilient US macro Weak JPY fundamentals Technical structure respecting trendline support Short-term traders can target the 145–147.80 range ahead of NFP, with a tight eye on yield and risk sentiment. 📌 If this analysis helps, drop a like and follow for more real-time macro-technical breakdowns. Stay nimble ahead of NFP! 🧠📈
Long
by ultreosforex
17
USD/JPY) back down Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on the 3-hour timeframe, anticipating a rejection from a descending trendline resistance and a move down toward key support levels. --- Analysis Overview: Trend Bias: Bearish correction expected Structure: Price is reacting at a descending trendline, which has held as resistance on multiple occasions. Indicators: EMA 200 (144.756): Price is currently above, but projected to break below it. RSI (14): Overbought at ~74, signaling potential for a reversal. --- Key Technical Components: 1. Descending Trendline Resistance: Price is approaching/has touched a well-respected downtrend line, marked by three strong rejections (red arrows). This trendline has consistently capped bullish moves, indicating strong seller interest. 2. Bearish Reversal Expectation: The projected path suggests a potential fake breakout or double-top, followed by a steep decline. A two-stage drop is anticipated, with price first targeting the EMA 200 zone, then extending lower. 3. Target Points: First target: Around 145.244, near EMA 200. Final target: 143.048, aligning with the key support zone (highlighted in yellow), where price previously bounced. 4. RSI (14): Currently overbought (73.29), signaling a likely retracement. Prior peaks at this level led to notable corrections. --- Trade Setup Idea: Parameter Level Entry Near current price (~146.85) if bearish pattern confirms Stop-Loss Above trendline (~147.30–147.50) Target 1 145.24 (EMA 200 zone) Target 2 143.05 (Support zone) This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity if resistance holds. --- Risk Factors: Upcoming economic events could trigger volatility (news icon marked). A clean breakout and close above the trendline (~147.50+) would invalidate this bearish thesis. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: The analysis suggests a potential USD/JPY reversal from a descending trendline, supported by overbought RSI and prior rejections. The bearish projection targets a move toward 143.048, following a dip below the EMA 200 level at 145.244. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
USDJPY h4 strongly downBearish Expectation Disruption / Bullish Counterpoint Resistance (147.5) Rejection and drop Breakout and continuation toward 148.5+ Breakout FVG Fakeout and reversal True breakout — bullish trend continues Bullish Zone (~144) Clean break below Accumulation zone, strong buying interest may emerge Target (~143) Next leg down May not be reached if price stabilizes above 145 Support (~142.5) Final drop destination Could become irrelevant if trend flips decisively bullish Original Assumption: Market is behaving in isolation from fundamentals. Disruption: If U.S. data (e.g., strong NFP, CPI, or Fed commentary) supports rate hikes, USD/JPY may remain bid and breakout to 148+ instead of reversing. Watch For: Strong dollar narrative or dovish BOJ language.
Short
by Zara_FVG
21
USD/JPY) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY pair using a combination of price action, resistance/support levels, and indicators. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis: --- Chart Breakdown (2H - USD/JPY) 1. Key Zones: Resistance Level (Yellow Box at Top): Price has previously been rejected from this zone multiple times. Recent bearish wicks and aggressive sell-offs are marked by red arrows—showing strong seller interest. Support Level / Target Point (Bottom Yellow Box): Price has found strong buying interest around 142.142. This zone is the anticipated downside target if the bearish scenario plays out. 2. Bearish Bias Justification: Liquidity Grab / Fakeout (labeled “fug”): The price briefly broke above the smaller resistance block but quickly reversed. This "fake breakout" often traps buyers, strengthening the bearish case. EMA 200 (Blue Line): Price is currently near or slightly under the 200 EMA (144.553), suggesting a potential rejection area aligning with resistance. RSI Indicator: RSI shows divergence and has not confirmed a bullish breakout. The values (56.77 and 42.82) indicate loss of bullish momentum. 3. Projection (Black Lines): The black zig-zag lines represent a forecasted drop to the support level. Suggests a short setup near 144.50–145.00 with targets near 142.14. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near resistance area (144.50–145.00) Target: 142.142 (support zone) Invalidation: Strong break above 145.00 and hold Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with bearish candle pattern --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
Critical Channel Watch Begins on the 1-Hour Chart of USDJPY.Hey everyone, 📉 My Latest USDJPY Analysis: USDJPY is currently moving within a downtrend. If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the parallel channel, our first target level will be 142.910. The most crucial factor here is the downward breakout of that channel—don’t overlook it. Also, keep a close eye on key economic data releases on the fundamental side, as they could significantly influence your strategy. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
by TraderTilki
16
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Rejection Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high. This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure. 2. Break Below EMA 200 Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback. 3. Bearish Projection The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips). The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure. 4. RSI Confirmation RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75) Target: 139.955 Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1