Usdjpysell
Japan's efforts to protect the yen exchange rate fell into vain"ALL THE PROBLEM IS WITH THE FED"
On Wednesday`s buying and selling consultation, the yen fell to 160.88 yen for 1 USD, the bottom degree due to the fact that 1986. Early this morning (June 27) withinside the Asian marketplace, the yen rebounded slightly. 160.sixty three yen to at least one USD.
The yen has depreciated approximately 2% this June and fallen 12% due to the fact that the start of the yr as compared to the USD, withinside the context of a regular growth withinside the USD alternate price due to the fact expectancies approximately whilst the Fed will begin decreasing hobby prices are constantly driven back. .
The Dollar Index, which measures the power of the USD in opposition to a basket of six different predominant currencies, has accelerated 1.25% this month and is up 4.sixty three% due to the fact that the start of the yr - consistent with facts from MarketWatch. On Wednesday consultation, Dollar Index handed 106 points, the very best in 2 months.
The predominant motive of the yen devaluation as compared to the USD is the hobby price distinction among americaA and Japan. The Fed's short-time period hobby price is five.25-five.five% and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is 0-0.1%, making the yen an appealing investment foreign money. in hobby price differential transactions (bring trade).
According to Bloomberg, international traders recognize that the yen will face downward stress so long as USD hobby prices stay high. In the worldwide foreign money marketplace with a transaction fee of 7.five trillion USD according to day, the non-stop devaluation of the yen is a clearer proof of US affect withinside the economic sector.
“The hassle is all with the Fed. Higher and longer hobby prices withinside the US are attracting cash to americaA and making the USD robust," stated leader bond funding strategist of NatAlliance Securities LLC, Mr. Andrew Brenner. Mr. Brenner stated that for Japan, that is a challenge.
Wednesday's buying and selling consultation completely contemplated America's dominant function in international economic markets. The Dollar Index's 0.4% growth this consultation positioned downward stress on nearly all different currencies withinside the world. The US inventory marketplace is on course to finish some other area of robust gains, whilst the Ministry of Finance without difficulty bought all 70 billion USD of Treasury bonds withinside the public sale at the equal day.
For the yen, the tale is absolutely different. At an alternate price of almost 161 yen to at least one USD, the foreign money has depreciated past the factor in which Japanese government intervened withinside the forex marketplace in past due April and early May. This manner efforts Spending greater than 60 billion USD to defend Tokyo's yen alternate price has "failed", however happily it handiest bogged down the price of devaluation of the yen.
Usd Jpy Intervention shortAnalysis of USD/JPY Short Signal Based on Potential Bank of Japan Intervention
The BOJ has a history of intervening in the currency market to stabilize the yen, especially when rapid depreciation threatens economic stability.
Previous interventions have led to sharp, albeit sometimes short-lived, reversals in the USD/JPY pair.
Current Economic Conditions:
Japan:
Inflation remains low, and economic growth is sluggish.
The BOJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy, but any signs of overheating in the exchange rate might prompt intervention.
United States:
The Federal Reserve has been relatively hawkish, focusing on controlling inflation through interest rate hikes.
This policy divergence has contributed to the USD strength against the JPY.
Market Sentiment:
Recent movements have seen the USD/JPY testing higher levels, potentially triggering concerns for the BOJ about excessive yen weakness.
Speculation of intervention can often lead to preemptive market adjustments.
Technical Analysis
Resistance Levels:
The pair may face resistance around historically significant highs, which could act as a trigger point for BOJ intervention.
Support Levels:
Key support levels will be watched to assess potential downside targets if intervention occurs.
Sustainability of BOJ Actions:
The effectiveness of BOJ interventions in reversing long-term trends is historically mixed.
Given the potential for BOJ intervention to correct an overextended yen depreciation, a short position in USD/JPY could be strategic. However, traders should closely monitor key economic indicators, BOJ communications, and technical resistance levels. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate the inherent uncertainties and volatility associated with such interventions.
USDJPY Sell | Trade SetupUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has reached the resistance level, which has already acted as a reversal point.
We expect a decline.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDJPY - Look for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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USDJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel, move to the resistance level and We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDJPY - Expect retracement !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. For now I expect price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we have important news in USA, we will see results of CPI and Interest Rate. As well on Friday we will have news regarding Interest Rate in Japan. Pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis.
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USD/JPY Ready For Sell After Daily Closure , Are You Ready ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDJPY: Swing Sell Happening! AB=CD PatternFX:USDJPY
Price is currently in process of making AB=CD pattern; after USDJPY created a record Higher High, most of the traders were expecting price to drop heavy and it just did that. After dropping heavily, price made some correction and formed a AB=CD pattern which is where we can expect price to drop exactly in same amount as A to B made. Our final target is 145-147 which will be somewhere 800-1000 pips. Use proper risk management.
USD/JPY Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , Short Setup Valid Soon !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Usdjpy short USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.usdjpy confirm signal
sell 154.92 and tp 152.10 with stop loss at 156.2..rr 2.5i sell it coz even when dollars down he not down and so many ti_me BOj talk about to intervene.
i think they will do soon and if not a big pullback have to happens
u can put ur stop lost at 155.6 if u want a bertter RR but i scare about a big leg up
💡 USDJPY: Analysis May 23USDJPY has invalidated the doji signal and continued to increase in the past session. It has now approached the previous peak at 156.7, but has not yet shown a breakout signal. This price behavior is detrimental to our current selling strategy, but we still do not encourage you to change tactics because the risk of exchange rate intervention from the BoJ is still present and the price has not yet reached its peak. than. Brothers continue to hold existing short positions, SL placed above level 156.7. In case the price continues to go up and breaks this barrier, you should temporarily stop trading and wait for new signals.
💡 H1 trend: Sideway
Today trading idea: Sell.
USDJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY returned to the ascending channel and reached the dynamic support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDJPY SELL OPPORTUNITY Again USDJPY is giving us a Christmas gift with awesome reversal point. Clean H4 FVG, range below the main trendline, fibonacci reversal level (50-61.8 zone) and bearish divergence on H4 timeframe. Everything is good to hold USDJPY till the level 146.5 where we will probably have a strong rejection. It will need some weeks, probably months, but we will get there
USDJPY: The Japanese yen was little changedThe Japanese yen turned into little changed
The Japanese yen turned into mildly unstable on Monday, with USDJPY soaring simply under 156.
The recognition stays on any capability authorities intervention to assist the currency, after at the least instances of intervention in early May. The authorities is stated to have stepped in to deliver down the USDJPY charge from highs maximum in 34 years over one hundred sixty.
While one hundred sixty is taken into consideration the restrict for the authorities, analysts warn that intervention should nonetheless show up earlier than that.
USDJPY Friday planUSDJPY is on the way to perform a massive drop on the long term, but actually i am looking to scalp it on this boring friday. I am waiting a possible long setup, that could start with a little drop till the support zone 154.75, and here i expect a bounce. Only if the price will start to bounce there, i will look for a long tomorrow, at the beginning of the NY session
Timing the BOJ's next intervention? We have seen 2 interventions from the BOJ over the past 2 weeks.
The first came when the USDJPY hit between 158.000 and 160.000 and the second when it hit almost 158.000.
With the BOJ warning that it is ready and willing to step in again, how smart is it to try to catch the ride down if or when the BOJ steps in again?
Finance Minister Shunich Suzuki reiterated the authorities' readiness to counter excessive foreign exchange fluctuations.
At the same time, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed intent to assess yen movements' impact on inflation for guiding policy decisions. "Foreign exchange rates make a significant impact on the economy and inflation,” Ueda underscored in response to questions in parliament yesterday. But this is perhaps a slightly different story, but still, something for traders to consider.
Last week, BOJ data suggested it had spent $60 billion to defend the yen.
But all this has done, according to some analysts, is buy the Japanese authorities time, with the USDJPY steadily climbing back to intervention levels (given the substantial interest rate difference between Japan and the US).
But can we expect the BOJ to intervene again and again?
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasized interventions should be infrequent and ideally coordinated with the broader central banking community, or at least signaled in advance. So, the BOJ will be wary of its international reputation too.
USDJPY → Huge Fall from 160.000 Heading for 148.000!?USD/JPY raced to test 160.000 last week and as expected, had a massive sell-off that ended Friday just below the 152.000 breakout area. Should we still be long? Or is it time to get short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The question in my last analysis was are we in for a hard sell-off? And should we buy these pullbacks? The conditions we see today change the perspective on buying the pullbacks. That wasn't just any sell-off, that was a hard rejection and reversal pattern.
The sell-off from 160.200 dropped nearly 600 pips in 8 hours. This was followed by a meandering pullback toward the previous candle close high of around 158.400, which ended in another massive drop to 153.100. We then had a final bear push just below the breakout level of 152.000.
We can read this a couple of ways, the first is that this is our re-test of the breakout area as I expected two analyses ago where I expected a confirmation of the 152.000 area as support before making it to 160.000:
However, we never tested 152.000, we went to 160.000 in rapid fashion first. Such volatility is a sign of a reversal or at least, a push below the breakout level. We have a rough double-top from the initial sell-off, then its follow-up, followed by a third push to the breakout point.
We're three pushes up after the 152.000 breakout, a massive sell signal and follow-through at the 1990 Key Resistance Level of 160.400, and we've closed below the 4HR 200EMA. A similar pattern played out in October 2022 with some slight differences as seen here:
October 2022 Pattern:
This was the first time we touched 152.000 and had a massive sell-off, followed by the same meandering pullback to the 4HR 30EMA, which acted as a rough head-and-shoulders reversal pattern. However, the close was below the 4HR 30EMA on the pullback and above the 200EMA on the first bounce. This time, the pullback went above the 4HR 30EMA to touch the channel top and then closed below the 4HR 200EMA.
That last point is a key difference. Both instances are clear reversal signals with follow-through, but the 160.000 rejection was much stronger with a close below the 4HR 200EMA. If the price comes back up to test that 200EMA and gets rejected, that's our signal to short. I would then be targeting levels below 152.000, where the price previously met resistance, which will now likely act as support. Those levels are 150.800 and 148.800.
It's very possible we fall much further. But I recommend waiting for that rejection from the 4HR 200EMA and then short 1:2 Risk/Reward to those two key levels. It would be reasonable to swing 25%-50% of your position to lower levels if the price action warrants it. If the price does not get rejected at the 4HR 200EMA, we need to wait and see if the bullish pressure resumes and adjust our bias accordingly. We are still in the channel, the confirmed break below is what we need to justify getting short.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: 153.550
🟥 Stop Loss: 155.800
✅ Take Profit: 149.050
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up after the 152.000 breakout to the key level of 160.400
2. Strong rejection and follow-through back down to the 152.000 level
3. This strong volatility at the end of a trend is a sign of a reversal
4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade down to 149.050. Potentially swing some of your position lower.
5. RSI at 35.00 and below the Moving Average, supports pullback before fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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