USDJPY short with 4x Confluences. Confluences listed:
1: Trendline breakout and close on the Daily timeframe
2: Change in market structure and new low has been formed
3: Break and close below support around the 113.3** area
4: Double Top Pattern Formation
Summary:
Entry will be taken during the NY session. The trade has a potential RR of 2: 1 or more, depending on how deep the pull back is next Monday. If the trade is any less than 2:1 RR we will not be looking take the trade. Target are set using fibs from the high to the low of the breakout candle.
Usdjpysell
USD/JPY SELL NOW...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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usdjpyUSDJPY - SHORT
Why are we entering?
- Expecting JPY strength and USD weakness
- Price broke the ascending trendline = bearish
What are we waiting for to happen?
- Watch for price to move lower and create a correction
What is our confirmation?
- Break of WFB trendline once there's a correction
Entry
Safe entry: rejection of structure and break of WFB
Risk Entry 1: Rejection of structure
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- above the rejected price
Where do we take profits?
- First TP: 112
- Second TP: 111
More downside for USDJPY but limitedPrice continues to trade in a range this week. We think that will continue into the rest of the year. The bearish engulfing candle is formed on the 4hr and more downside will come at the start of the week but the downside is capped by the 200MA.
BEAR CASE
Price dumps straight away from these levels. Our target is between 122 and 122.5
BULL CASE
Price consolidates upwards before the bear case is fulfilled. If this happens, it should be capped by the top of the channel at around 114.
USDJPY , Channel is broken and we are ...Hello everybody
We have a upward channel and last week the channel was broken and now we are in pullback , we have a resistance zone and in there we have a sell zone area , and in there we should at first take short signal like ( reverse hammer , descending cover and pattern price ... ) then we can sell and take short position
Dont forget use stop loss and attention to money management
Be with us and sleep comfortably
Good Luck
Abtin
Do not go long! Correction MUST happen before upside for USDJPYThis dollar yen is largely range bound this week. The following week could see more upside but we have a strong bias to the downside before sustained bullish price action can happen.
BEAR CASE
Structurally on the 4hr, price looks like it's ready to break out to the upside and it probably will break the top but the move should be fairly capped because the weekly shows that we need a deeper correction before we can see more upside.
BULL CASE
It is possible that price moves to break ATH but we think the move will be capped.
PS: We will not long this thing, looking for shorts only.
USDJPY Major Resistance: Short or Long?
USDJPY has just rejected a major Weekly/Monthly support-resistance level.
You can usually expect price to do one of two things once that happens, no matter the trend direction; retrace or breakout.
My bias is and always resides with the trend , so I took advantage of this retracement (temporary move) to the 0.3 fib level to enter a short-term sell , before taking the long term buy at that same level , once the sell tp is hit.
This scenario is valid as long as we reject and trade ABOVE the fib level.
More conservative entry: wait for break and retest of resistance to take the buy.
The TP for the long position will be 114.500, or the last higher high.
The next Swing TP is 118.405, and the last TP will be 124.000.
You can stay in the buy, from the fib lvl, to TP 1 & 2, so long as price doesn’t demonstrate too much resistance/rejects 114.500 . Simply put the SL for the buy to break-even and trail your profits after each new higher high. Nice tip to increase your r:r.
We’re currently in an uptrend so that means buys only , but a sell scenario is possible and valid has long as we trade below the resistance level and demonstrate enough rejection of said level.
The fib level might not hold, so if you’re already in the sell, (like demonstrated on the chart), just put your SL to break-even and trail your profits until 111.7000 , which is the next and final TP. You could re-enter again for a sell if price rejects the resistance on the daily and if sellers demonstrate enough strength . if we start trading below 111.7000, we’re entering a longer term (Monthly) downtrend towards 108.000 then 105.000.
{edit; it's RSI in overbought, not oversold lol}
Clear downside for USDJPYThe dollar yen has confirmed the down move giving a us a bearish candle on the weekly chart. We think this week should end up red too before we enter a consolidation in November as the market awaits the next news trigger to form a direction.
BEAR CASE
We wait for a correction and enter a short. Our exit is near the top of the channel at 112.5