USDJPY Looking BearishIf you anticipate a bearish trend in USDJPY and decide to sell, it's crucial to ensure that your decision is in line with your overall trading strategy. Evaluate the risk-reward ratios carefully and establish suitable stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
When considering increasing your position size, exercise caution to effectively manage potential risks. Stay well-informed about market developments and be prepared to adapt your trading strategy as necessary in response to changing conditions. It's essential to remain vigilant and proactive in monitoring the market to make informed decisions and protect your investments.
Usdjpysell
USDJPY: Dollar fluctuates as views of interest rate cuts grow; TThe US dollar is experiencing volatility against most major currencies today, with market sentiment affected by predictions that the US Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates. The Japanese yen remains an exception, maintaining its position against the dollar following the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy.
Federal Reserve officials tried to manage market expectations after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week, which hinted at the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2024. This outlook has led to a surge in financial markets, with current forecasts suggesting a 67.5% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's March meeting, based on the CME FedWatch tool.
Senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, Kyle Rodda, commented on the situation, saying that the Federal Reserve must now decide whether to match market expectations or counter them, potentially causing market instability.
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday reiterated his forecast for two interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, but emphasized that immediate action was not necessary. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates will depend on the trajectory of the economy.
The dollar index, which compares the US dollar to a basket of other currencies, remained relatively unchanged at 102.20 after falling more than 0.3% earlier. Last week, the index hit a four-month low at 101.76. Rodda also mentioned that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the direction of the dollar, as it will indicate whether the expected interest rate cuts for next year are justified.
Investors are now awaiting the release of the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which could shed light on whether inflation is slowing enough to justify easing. policy next year or not.
In Japan, the yen traded lower at 143.78 yen against the dollar, having weakened after comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which did not suggest a change was imminent from negative interest rates. According to National Australia Bank senior foreign exchange strategist Rodrigo Catril, expectations are now set for a policy change no sooner than April.
USDJPY - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I expect bearish price action from here as price almost filled the imbalance and reacted from institutional big figure 145.000.
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USDJPY Shorts from 145.200 down towards 140.000USDJPY continues to display a strong bearish outlook as the price has once again broken structure to the downside, affirming a long-term bearish trajectory. Regarding potential opportunities around the current price, my strategy involves awaiting a price retracement to the nearest supply, identified on the 15-hour time frame. This scenario represents the next potential phase for the price to initiate a downward movement.
At present, I'm in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating the price to fill in the imbalance and undergo redistribution. This would serve as an indication that bullish pressure is diminishing, signaling the potential for another impulsive downward move. If the price proceeds further downward, I'm also prepared for a potential buying opportunity around the 7-hour demand zone near 140.000.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the downside confirming a long term bearish trajectory.
- Dollar (DXY) looks like its going to continue a bearish trend which acts as a positive correlation for this pair.
- Lots of liquidity below that hasn't been taken on higher timeframes like trend lines etc.
- In order for price to continue in its bearish course it must retrace back to a major supply so it can create another impulsive move to the downside.
P.S. Being decidedly bearish on this pair, I am eager to observe the response from the 7-hour demand zone, situated at a significant psychological level of 140.000. Furthermore, the zone has initiated a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, providing an additional positive confluence that suggests the potential temporary holding of this zone. Feel free to share your thoughts on the USDJPY market in the comments below.
USDJPY: Goldman Sachs: Reduced 12-month USD/JPY forecast to 140 Goldman Sachs Data reported on December 18 that Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for next year's exchange rate and expects the US dollar to weaken further.
“The biggest revisions to our forecasts are on exchange-sensitive currencies like the Japanese yen,” strategists including Danny Suwanapruti and Michael Cahill wrote in a Dec. 15 report. , the Swedish krona and the Indonesian rupiah, these currencies will struggle under a 'keep interest rates higher for longer' regime. "
Goldman Sachs forecasts USD/JPY three-month target at 145, six-month target at 142 and 12-month target at 140; previous forecasts for the same period were 155, 155 and 150 respectively.
USDJPY: Japan's ruling party proposes to reduce income taxReuters reported:
The tax reform council of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party has agreed to reduce income taxes to compensate households suffering from soaring prices and support a change in the deflationary mindset that has pervaded the country. past decades
The move is also intended to encourage a healthy growth cycle driven by private sector demand, with tax policymakers increasing tax breaks for businesses planning to increase wages.
The draft of tax breaks under the framework of tax reform in fiscal year 2024 will be finalized on Thursday
Usd jpy sellHello, according to my analysis of USDJPY. It exists in a very negative state. The price broke the ascending channel, with the formation of a descending channel as shown in the analysis: All these factors confirm the sellers’ control over the market. More declines in the coming days. Good luck to everyone
USDJPY : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the USDJPY chart. The price is moving in a descending channel and has pulled back to the indicated key level. We expect this level to play the role of a resistance level and maintain the downward trend of the price and the price will fall to around 143.300. Good luck.
USDJPY Shorts from 147.000 down to 140.000My breakdown for USDJPY this week involves sustaining its temporary bearish trend. Currently, the price has shown a bullish reaction at our identified Point of Interest (POI), resulting in a pullback to tap into a Daily supply zone above. Following this, our strategy involves anticipating a redistribution on lower time frames to facilitate selling opportunities, targeting the equal lows.
Considering the impact of NFP Friday on our demand, we await the formation of a correction to prolong the downward trend. In case the price opts for breaching equal lows first, our plan involves waiting for entry at the 7-hour demand zone, presenting an opportunity to buy at a more favorable price.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- Price retraced from a 2-day demand and now slowly approaching a daily level of supply zone.
- Supply Zone is on the daily time frame that has also caused a Break of structure to the downside.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows, and major trendlines.
- Price needs to fill the imbalance as well which has been left from the supply zone.
- The dollar is also expected to be bearish so this pair is also projected to move in a similar way.
P.S. Since the price on the higher time frame couldn't surpass the all-time highs and experienced a significant sell-off, my expectation is that the price may continue its decline to target substantial liquidity below. Consequently, I am inclined to seek pro-trend trading opportunities to prolong this downward movement, aiming for the 140.000 mark.
UDSJPY - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 148.000.
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USDJPY: November CPI data in the Tokyo area exceeded the BoJ's 2Recent data shows inflation has eased since October:
CPI (excluding fresh food and energy): 3.7%
Total CPI: 3%
Inflation in Tokyo, although exceeding 2%, is still slightly lower than forecast
FX Update: USD/JPY edged 15bp higher to around 147.25 after this data
USDJPY BUY ON DIPS !!! HELLO TRADERS
As i can see this pair has reached at support zone !!!! and i am trying to scalp some pips on this trade charts are crystal clear on Risk Reward ratio % have look on other newly updated trades so u can judge market next moves its just and trade idea share ur thoughts with us we appreciate ur love and comments and happy to answer you
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously.
Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min.
My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows:
- Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart.
- Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's
- Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting.
- A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from.
- Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market.
P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction:
The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift.
Retracement Dynamics:
The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones.
Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes:
Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry.
Break of Uptrend Tendency Line:
A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
USDJPY → Falling to 1.46? Or Rocket to 1.52? Lets Answer That.USDJPY fell below the 30EMA to my previously predicted area of 147.100 then immediately bounced back to 150.000 only to stall and leave us wondering what the next move will be.
How do we trade this?
We're in a bull channel which should put us in a bias to long. But we have a double top reversal signal at a key level of resistance (the previous Weekly high of 152.000 staring us in the face. We need to see what happens here at the 30EMA. If we get a strong bear bar closing on or near its low, shorting to the bull channel bottom around 146.300 or even the previous high of 145.000 is reasonable. The protective stop should be just above the 30EMA.
You can also wait for a long at the bull channel support or previous high support, looking for a bull channel signal bar and confirmation closing on or near its high. Protective stop just below those levels with a take profit at the 30EMA and then the previous high of 152.000.
Key Takeaways
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Double Top Reversal Signal. Close the Gap to Bull Channel Support.
3. Fell below 30EMA, Gap to Bull Channel Support
4. Previous Channel High of 145.000 Final Target.
5. Wait for Bear Signal Bar for Confirmation to Short.
6. RSI at 47.00, below Moving Average. Supports Short.
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UDS/JPY Falling to 146.000!? Double Top Reversal Signal CompleteUDS/JPY has a double top reversal signal on the Daily candles and a triple top on the 4HR candles with a massive gap to fill. This reversal signal happened at a key level, 152.00 which is the previous high from October 2022. As shown in my previous prediction, a short position is reasonable at this level. The double/triple top is the confirmation of that short, which increases the probability of profit significantly.
If there was a time to short in this bull channel, it would be now .
Key Points
1. Double Top Reversal Signal on the Daily Chart
2. Triple Top Reversal Signal on the 4HR Chart
3. Gap to bottom of the channel at 146.000
4. The lowest target price is the Previous Channel High of 145.000
5. RSI at 52.00, Plenty of room to fall and supports #1-4
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USDJPY Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
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