USDJPY SHORT SETUP USDJPY overall 4 hour trend is Bullish (Major Trend) the current trend is a retracement and could still push lower to maybe the equal, we have a 4hour break with a 30 min confirmation that we could continue selling.
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY SellAccording to the daily bias ~ bearish (based on the previous analysis), I do anticipate that this price will continue with the bearish momentum.
The price has retracted towards the Volume Based Inefficiency and the price might target 151.2 and 150.93 Levels.
Short All weekly momentum indicators IMACD, RSI and Stochastic) are all bearish, so I have been looking for a short opportunity in 4H and daily charts.
$151.85 is the major resistance and support zone (black horizontal line in the chart).
On Feb 6, USD/JPY broke and closed below the area, but it failed to continue to the downside.
In the following few days, it retraced to Fib 0.5 area but started to move down. Today the price broke below Fib 0.236. I like the yesterday's strong red candle, cancelling all the buy pressure from the previous day.
I opened a short position this morning.
Entry at $152.83.
Stop Loss: $155.145
Target 1: $149.52 (move stop loss to the entry level once it hits this level)
Target 2: $147.395
USDJPY Weekly SetupFor the past few weeks, this pair has been on a bearish trajectory, and I do anticipate that the momentum will continue.
The targets are;
1. 150.93 ~ This is the lows of the past 2 previous weeks.
2. 149.6 ~ This is the Weekly Bullish Order Block
3. 148.7 ~ Another sellside liquidity formed in December.
The daily and 15 minute timeframe will give us the best entry and stop loss for this pair.
The beginning of the carry trade unwind part 2?If we look at the chart, the current structure looks very similar to what happened right before the market decline in August.
We've formed a head and shoulders (albeit not perfect as it's slanted), and price seems to be breaking down.
If price action accelerates to do downside, it's likely to take the market with it just like it did the last time.
Paying attention to this over the coming weeks.
USDJPY set for 50 pip drop?USDJPY after 2nd liquidity grab from daily resistance has got a strong rejection. As of long term trend is down, the price may continue to drop daily support or lower. Upon pullback on 1hour chart, upon liquidity grab, A possible sell trade in USDJPY.
USDJPY top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Daily BiasThe price has been on a bearish momentum for the past few days and I do anticipate that the momentum will continue.
The price had retracted towards the Volume Based Inefficiency formed around 152.2 and my sell entry position will be determined in a smaller TF (15 Minutes) in a follow up analysis on the same.
USDJPY BearishConsidering that my bias is bearish for this pair (Based on Weekly and Daily Timeframes), I was waiting for the market to pullback to the 151.93 Zone, which is my OTE for the sell entry.
My target is towards the Sellside Liquidity at 151.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis
USDJPY:800+ PIPS Dropping Well Since Our First Idea!Dear Traders,
Since we posted our idea when price was trading at 158 we told you that this will be a massive dropped and since then price has proven us right, now we think there is another big drop is on the way. Please use proper risk management while trading.
USDJPY Resistance Cluster!
HI,Traders !
USD-JPY made a bullish
Rebound But has now hit a resistance
Cluster of the horizontal and
Falling resistance lines
Around 154.180 area
From where we will be
Expecting a bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3).
This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY - Accumulation move - trendline SELL H1News:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is stabilizing after reaching new record highs, seeking a clear direction on Tuesday following China’s response to U.S. tariffs announced over the weekend. In retaliation, Beijing applied a 15% tariff on under $5 billion worth of U.S. energy imports, including coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), along with a 10% levy on American oil and agricultural machinery. Additionally, China plans to launch an antitrust investigation into Google. The markets remain uncertain about the impact of these countermeasures, leading to volatile price movements on Tuesday.
Analysis:
Price is mainly moving sideways in the price range of 155,800 - 153,800, waiting for entry SELL TRENDLINE USDJPY today
Signal :
SELL USDJPY : zone 155.550 - 155.750 SL 156.100
TP: 155.300 - 155.000 - 154.500
Good luck trading everyone
Short opportunity coming in 1H ?$151.850 is a major resistance and support area.
USDJPY failed to reclaim the recent ATH and it is currently hovering around that major R/S area.
All daily momentum indicators are in the bear zone so my overall bias is bear.
When you look at 1H RSI, you can see the RSI lines are travelling inside the ascending parallel channel.
I will open a short position IF the RSI lines breaks below the bottom ascending line, and 1H candle closes below EMA 21and the major R/S line,
I am going to use a 15 min chart to find an entry. You can see the idea for the trading entry, S/L and, P/T in the 15 min chart.
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 153.000 (or) Before escape in the market
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market is currently experiencing a mixed market sentiment. Here's a breakdown of the factors influencing its movement:
⚪Fundamental Analysis:
- The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent interest rate hike decision has strengthened the Japanese Yen, making it a safe-haven asset.
- The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates has put downward pressure on the US Dollar.
🟤Macroeconomic Analysis:
- The divergent policy expectations between the Fed and BoJ might continue to act as a tailwind for the currency pair.
- Trade war fears could limit any downside movement.
🟠Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
- Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net short USD/JPY by 24,444 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Net long USD/JPY by 15,101 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Small Traders (Retail): Net short USD/JPY by 9,343 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🟣Sentimental Analysis:
- Trader sentiment is mixed, with some investors expecting a bullish movement due to the BoJ's hawkish stance, while others are bearish due to the Fed's dovish stance.
- Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision.
🟢Institutional and Retail Market Analysis:
- Institutional investors are watching the currency pair closely, awaiting the Fed's decision before making any significant moves.
- Retail investors are also cautious, with some taking long positions on the Yen due to its safe-haven status.
🔵Outlook:
- Based on the analysis, the USD/JPY currency pair is expected to move into a bearish direction in the short term, with a target level of 153.00. However, the movement is likely to be volatile, and investors should be cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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USDJPY - BoJ Interest Rate Decision?!Here is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
USDJPY is currently trading at around 155.800 . Our scenarios are in play after the BoJ (Bank of Japan) Interest Rate Decision is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view.
Scenario 1: BUYS
-We broke above 156.700 .
With the break of 156.700 we can expect a possible move up to 158.748. With a a further break of this KL (Key Level) we can expect more upside on the pair potentially reaching top of the long-term range sitting at 161.820.
Scenario 2: SELLS
-We broke below 154.881 .
If we break bellow 154.881 we can expect more downside on the pair even up to 152.000. With breaks of this level we could see even lower levels sitting at around 149.394 or “bottom of the long-term range”.
IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS:
- 161.820; top of the long-term range
- 158.748; breaks above would result in more upside
- 154.881; breaks below would result in sells
- 152.817; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 152.030; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 149.394; bottom of the long-term range
Personal opinion:
It’s not advised to enter into sells or buys before we have a clear break or the BoJ Interest Rate Decision data out. For now we are patiently waiting on either breaks to the upside or breaks to the downside. More volatility on the pair is expected tomorrow so be careful.
KEY NOTES
- USDJPY breaking above 156.700 would confirm buys.
- USDJPY breaking below 154.881 would confirm sells.
- BoJ Interest Rate Decision is tomorrow.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
USDJPY SHORT: ISM SERVICES PMI ON TAPUS January ISM services 52.8 vs 54.3 expected. This indicates a slowdown in the service sector in the USA. Due to this news, we expected the Dollar to become weaker against the Yen.
Short Opened a short position based on 1H and 15 minutes.
1H MACD crossed to the downside.15 min MACD endered the bear zone.The 15 min candle closed below VWAP, EMA 21, Pivot R1, and previous day's high. S/L 159.95 and P/T 153.95 Risk: Reward 1:1.84
When the price reaches 154.5 (the previous day mid price), I will move my stop loss to the previous day high.
USDJPY SELL: My First 2025 trade. Good morning traders and Happy New Year.
This is my first 2025 trade: USDJPY Sell. Analysis or commentary will come later.
Cheers and Happy trading.
UsdJpy short biasI'm watching out for 155.468 which is my point of interest to short down to my next Draw on Liquidity as shown in the chart.
Ride with me
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance.
Instead, reflect on these three questions:
- Did I follow my core habits for success?
- Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go?
- Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach?
I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along.
USDJPY
EURUSD
EURUSD
Notion Journal
Enjoy the ride,
-Gio
