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Usdjpyshort

UJ Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe USD/JPY pair is currently in a temporary uptrend within a broader consolidation, following a strong bearish move that started at the beginning of the year. The Y149.000 level will be a key zone for our trading decisions. 📌 Key Technical Outlook: 🔹 Price faced selling pressure around Y150.000, leading to a pullback. 🔹 As long as price holds above the ascending trendline & Y149.000, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities in the short term. 🔹 A breakdown and retest of Y149.000 and the trendline would confirm a resumption of the long-term bearish structure. 📌 Major Market Drivers: 🔹 Federal Reserve’s Policy Stance: Powell reiterated that rate cuts are not urgent, keeping the USD supported. 🔹 Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Expected to drive US inflation higher, adding strength to the Dollar. 🔹 Bank of Japan’s Hawkish Expectations: Japan’s largest trade union group (Rengo) secured a 5.4% pay rise, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will tighten policy further this year. 🔹 Japan’s CPI Cooling Down: Lower inflation in Japan could weaken the Yen and offer USD/JPY support. 📅 Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week: 🗓 Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – A key sentiment indicator for economic conditions. 🗓 Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A major market mover influencing the Fed’s policy direction. 🗓 Friday: Tokyo CPI & US Core PCE Index – The BoJ and Fed’s preferred inflation measures, critical for future rate decisions. I’ll be watching how USD/JPY behaves around Y149.000 for confirmation of trend continuation or a bearish continuation. We’ll discuss this in-depth during Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! 🔥📈 #USDJPY #Forex #MarketAnalysis
by darcsherry
1
USD/JPY Premium Trade Setup | High-Probability Short OpportunityKey Elements in the Chart: Uptrend Channel: The price was moving inside an ascending channel but recently broke downward. Resistance Zone: Marked near the 150.000 level, indicating a key rejection area where sellers are strong. Sell Zone: A potential short-selling opportunity is identified around 149.300 after a breakdown from the channel. Support Zone: Located around 148.500, where the price may find temporary buying interest. Target: The final target for the bearish move is near 147.000, suggesting a further downside potential. Trading Idea: Bias: Bearish (selling opportunity after a trendline break) Entry: Near 149.300 (confirmed rejection) Target: 147.000 Risk Management: Stop-loss can be placed above the resistance area. This setup suggests that USD/JPY may continue its downward move after failing to sustain the uptrend. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USDJPY 1.2850 Long in Profit: Next Week's Take - Profit GuideThis week, the long position signal on USDJPY at the 1.28500 level has already started yielding profits. As we look ahead to next week, it is advisable to commence position closing once the price reaches the pre - determined target levels. Rest assured, I will persist in furnishing precise trading signals. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
USDJPY: Volatility and Key LevelsThe recent trend of the USD/JPY has been highly volatile. On the economic data front, the rise in Japan's unemployment rate and the decline in corporate capital expenditure have triggered selling pressure on the Japanese yen. However, factors such as corporate wage growth provide grounds for the Bank of Japan to consider raising interest rates. From a technical perspective, key support levels are situated around 147.7 and 146.5, whilst the resistance levels are now between 150 and 151. Amid the ongoing battle between bulls and bears, the pair is likely to continue trading within the range of 147.00-149.00. That said, given the current upward momentum, a technical pullback followed by further gains in the short term cannot be ruled out. USDJPY buy@148.000-149.000 tp:150.000-151.000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
Short Opened 4 short positions (1 trading side divided into 4 small sizes): 148.622 has been the major support area  USDJPY was struggling to break below since last December, however, it finally broke and closed below that level on March 4th 25 (red vertical line in 4H chart).   Since then, USDJPY has been oscillating between 150.24 and 146.55, but this morning it decisively broke and closed below the key level.   Price is below EMA 200 in Daily and 4H. Daily MACD is in bear territory and Daily stochastic has reached over bought territory and starting to come down. All momentum indicators in 4H are forming negative divergence.   Entry price - 148.556 S/L - 149.39 (just above the previous week high) Target 1: 147.30 (previous low in 4H) Target 2: 146.55 (previous low in 4H)  Target 3- 145  Target 4: 142.26 (Fib 1.618 in Daily)  If Target 1 and 2 are hit successfully, I will adjust SL   I will update the progress. 
Short
by EbonyFalcon
USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis: The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend. Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure. 🔍 Key Levels: Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance. First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area. Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation. Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone. 📌 Trade Plan: Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone. Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case. ⚠ Risk Management: Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184. Take profits gradually at key support zones.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USDJPY Trading strategyThe USDJPY is currently at a critical level, with the price fluctuating around 149.00. The resistance level above is at 150.00, and if broken through, it may further test 151.00. The support level below is at 148.50, and if it falls below, it may drop to 148.00. Recently, the market has been focusing on the monetary policy trends of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The strengthening of the US dollar and the weakness of the Japanese yen may push USDJPY higher. USDJPY Trading strategy: buy@148.50-149.00 tp:150.00-150.50-151.00 Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear. For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders, Due to USD weakness, this pair presents a potential short opportunity. We have a valid supply zone, strengthened by liquidity presence. 🔹 Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Wait for a liquidity sweep before entering. 2️⃣ Let the price tap into the supply zone. 3️⃣ Switch to a lower timeframe (5M or 15M) for precise entry confirmation. 4️⃣ Look for a Mitigation Block or Fair Value Gap (FVG) as an entry trigger. ⚠️ Risk Management is Key: Always manage risk, avoid greed, and never trade blindly. Stick to your plan, and let the market come to you. Wishing you all the best & happy trading! 🚀📊 Thank you!
Short
by SuvashishFx
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations: Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge. EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend. Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario. If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders, I've marked a Liquidity Area and another Supply Zone on the chart. Here's what might happen next: after sweeping the liquidity, the price could touch the Supply Zone and then drop. Before acting on this, make sure you switch to either the 5-minute or 15-minute timeframe and clearly mark a Demand Zone there. Wait patiently for the breakout. When the price breaks through that Demand Zone on the lower timeframe, set a pending order. Place your stop-loss at the recent swing high, and set your take profit at the next targeted Liquidity Level. Many traders often wait for Fair Value Gaps (FVG), but this causes them to miss opportunities. Especially if you're struggling to pass trading challenges, give this method a try. Managing your risk carefully is the key to success. Good luck and happy trading! Thank you!
Short
by SuvashishFx
USD/JPY (Short)Daily:
 Price < 200EMA Swing Period 10

 Swing High: 158.880
Swing Low: 146.543 
Volume Imbalance: 5 Candles

 Daily Order Block: 155.223 / 153.916 H4: Price < 200EMA Swing Period: 7 Swing High: 152.315
Swing Low: 146.597 Volume Imbalance: 3 Candles H4 Order Block: 152.762 / 151.242 H1: Swing Period: 5 Swing High: 152.315
Swing Low: 146.597 Volume Imbalance: 3 Candles H1 Order Block: 151.762 / 151.628 Model 1:
 Entry Price: 151.692 
Stop Loss: 152.447

TP1: 150.115 @ 1:2 / 50% TP2: 149.363 @ 1:3 / 25% SL: Breakeven TP3: 146.552 @ 1:5 / 25% Model 2: 
 Entry Price: 151.108 - 150.141
 Entry Trigger: 9EMA X 21EMA

 SL: Above recent swing high

TP1: 1:2
 SL: Trailing 9EMA
Short
by warsam
2
USDJPY Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection📉 Best Risk/Reward Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection 🔻 Entry: Sell in the 148.50 - 148.80 zone after rejecting the 200 EMA (⚪) 🎯 Take-Profit (TP1): 146.50 (RRR: 5:1) 🎯 Take-Profit (TP2): 145.00 (RRR: 9:1) 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): 149.20 📊 Market Overview & Bias 🟥 Bearish Outlook (Macro Trend - Daily & 4H) ✅ USD/JPY remains in a clear downtrend, trading below the 200 EMA (⚪). ✅ Price has consistently rejected the 100 EMA (🟡) as resistance. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows are forming on the daily & 4H charts. ✅ If 146.50 breaks, next downside targets are 145.00 and 143.50. 🟩 Short-Term Bullish Retracement (1H & 30M) 🔹 USD/JPY has found temporary support at 146.50. 🔹 RSI shows bullish divergence, suggesting a possible short-term bounce. 🔹 If price breaks 148.00, we could see a move toward 149.00 – but this remains a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. 📉 Why This Trade? 🔻 Major resistance at the 200 EMA (⚪) and previous swing highs. 🔻 The macro trend is bearish, so selling rallies is safer than counter-trend longs. 🔻 RSI may enter the overbought zone, signaling a sell opportunity. 🔻 If price struggles at 148.50, expect another bearish impulse. ⚠️ Trading carries a high level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk carefully and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 💬 Do you think USD/JPY will respect the 200 EMA or break through? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
Short
by VidaDeTraderPT
USDJPYYes, USD/JPY is following a strong downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. The break of the 148.000 support confirms further downside momentum. If sellers maintain control, the next key level to watch is 146.000, which aligns with previous demand zones and potential psychological support. Keep an eye on fundamental factors like U.S. Treasury yields, BOJ interventions, and upcoming economic data, as they can influence the speed of the decline. Are you looking to take a short trade on this move?
Short
by Pipsview_Analysis
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗USD/JPY "The Gopher"˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (148.000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. 📌I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (150.000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 145.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors. 💡Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the United States and Japan, which directly influence the USD/JPY pair. 💡United States Economic Indicators: GDP growth is forecasted at around 2.0% to 2.5% for 2025, reflecting steady expansion Economic Forecast for the US Economy. Inflation rate is expected to be around 2.5% to 3.0%, with recent data showing stability United States Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 4.50%, with expectations of cuts to around 4.0% to 4.25% by the end of 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Fed Funds Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong growth United States Balance of Trade. 💡Japan Economic Indicators: GDP growth is projected at 1.1% for 2025, with recent Q4 2024 data showing 2.8% annualised growth, indicating recovery Japan's GDP beats forecasts. Inflation is expected at around 2%, with core inflation robust, driven by wage gains Japan Economic Outlook. Interest rates are at 0.5%, with expectations to reach 1.0% by the end of 2025, reflecting policy normalization Japan Outlook. Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at -2759 JPY Billion in January 2025, impacted by import costs Japan Balance of Trade. The narrowing interest rate differential, with US rates expected to cut and Japan's rates rising, could support JPY strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce. 💡Macroeconomics Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair: Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook Update. Commodity prices are expected to decline by 5% in 2025, with energy prices leading the drop, impacting JPY due to Japan's import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook. Stock markets show mixed performance, with US indices up 5% YTD and Japanese indices showing recovery, supporting risk-sensitive currencies Global Stock Market Performance. Bond yields are expected to be range-bound, with the US 10-year Treasury yield possibly around 3.5% to 4.5%, suggesting lower USD appeal 2025 Bond Market Outlook. 💡Global Market Analysis Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements: Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost JPY as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted. Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raising rates, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies. Commodity trends, with declining prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Japan's inflation. Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting USD over JPY Market Performance Analysis. 💡COT Data and Positioning COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing: For USD/JPY futures, large speculators are likely net long, driven by the interest rate differential and stronger US economic outlook JPY Commitments of Traders. Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels. Key Insight: Long positions in USD/JPY align with economic fundamentals, suggesting bullish sentiment among speculators. 💡Intermarket Analysis Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation: USD/JPY is positively correlated with US stock markets; with strong US indices, the USD could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Analysis. Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting JPY strength as a safe-haven Gold Price Trends. Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting JPY/USD Bond Market Insights. Key Insight: Positive correlations with US stocks suggest USD strength, while gold and bond yields support JPY, creating a mixed dynamic. 💡Quantitative Analysis Technical analysis provides insights into price trends: At 149.000, USD/JPY is near key support at 148.43 (Classic S3), with resistance at 149.02 (Classic R2), based on recent charts USD/JPY Technical Analysis. Moving averages show a mixed picture, with shorter-term (MA5, MA10) suggesting buy and longer-term (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggesting sell TradingView Analysis. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45.418, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide. Key Insight: Technicals suggest a possible downward trend, with sell signals dominating, though support levels could trigger a reversal. 💡Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations: Recent data shows 62% of forex traders long on USD/JPY, with an average price of 154.6568, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment USDJPY. Bank forecasts predict USD/JPY dropping to 145.00 by year-end, citing Japan's recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts. Key Insight: Mixed sentiment, with retail traders long but institutional forecasts bearish, supporting a downward outlook. 💡Next Trend Move Combining all factors, the next trend move for USD/JPY is likely downward: The pair is at a key support level (148.43), and if it breaks, could drop to test lower levels around 145.00. Potential catalysts include Fed rate cuts and BoJ rate hikes, narrowing the interest rate differential, supporting JPY strength. Key Insight: The next move favors a downward continuation, with risks of an upward bounce if support holds. 💡Overall Summary Outlook The USD/JPY pair, at 149.000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a bearish outlook. Key drivers include the narrowing US-Japan interest rate differential, with US rates expected to cut to 4.0%-4.25% and Japan's rates rising to 1.0% by year-end, alongside Japan's economic recovery (1.1% GDP growth in 2025). Technical indicators suggest sell signals, supported by mixed market sentiment and declining commodity prices. Risks include strong US economic data maintaining USD dominance or global risk-off sentiment boosting USD. However, the prevailing trend points to potential JPY appreciation in the near term. 💡Future Prediction Trend: Bearish Details: The pair is likely to see a downward move, testing support at 148.43 and potentially dropping to 145.00 in the next few months, driven by narrowing interest rate differentials and technical sell signals. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD strength, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent. 💡Summary of Key Economic Indicators Indicator United States (2025 Forecast) Japan (2025 Forecast) GDP Growth 2.0%-2.5% 1.1% Inflation Rate 2.5%-3.0% ~2% Interest Rate 4.0%-4.25% (end of year) 1.0% (end of year) Trade Balance Deficit ($50 billion, Jan 2025) Deficit (-2759 JPY Billion, Jan 2025) 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader