USDJPY:800+ PIPS Dropping Well Since Our First Idea!Dear Traders,
Since we posted our idea when price was trading at 158 we told you that this will be a massive dropped and since then price has proven us right, now we think there is another big drop is on the way. Please use proper risk management while trading.
Usdjpyshort
Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3).
This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY - Accumulation move - trendline SELL H1News:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is stabilizing after reaching new record highs, seeking a clear direction on Tuesday following China’s response to U.S. tariffs announced over the weekend. In retaliation, Beijing applied a 15% tariff on under $5 billion worth of U.S. energy imports, including coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), along with a 10% levy on American oil and agricultural machinery. Additionally, China plans to launch an antitrust investigation into Google. The markets remain uncertain about the impact of these countermeasures, leading to volatile price movements on Tuesday.
Analysis:
Price is mainly moving sideways in the price range of 155,800 - 153,800, waiting for entry SELL TRENDLINE USDJPY today
Signal :
SELL USDJPY : zone 155.550 - 155.750 SL 156.100
TP: 155.300 - 155.000 - 154.500
Good luck trading everyone
Short opportunity coming in 1H ?$151.850 is a major resistance and support area.
USDJPY failed to reclaim the recent ATH and it is currently hovering around that major R/S area.
All daily momentum indicators are in the bear zone so my overall bias is bear.
When you look at 1H RSI, you can see the RSI lines are travelling inside the ascending parallel channel.
I will open a short position IF the RSI lines breaks below the bottom ascending line, and 1H candle closes below EMA 21and the major R/S line,
I am going to use a 15 min chart to find an entry. You can see the idea for the trading entry, S/L and, P/T in the 15 min chart.
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 153.000 (or) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market is currently experiencing a mixed market sentiment. Here's a breakdown of the factors influencing its movement:
⚪Fundamental Analysis:
- The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent interest rate hike decision has strengthened the Japanese Yen, making it a safe-haven asset.
- The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates has put downward pressure on the US Dollar.
🟤Macroeconomic Analysis:
- The divergent policy expectations between the Fed and BoJ might continue to act as a tailwind for the currency pair.
- Trade war fears could limit any downside movement.
🟠Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
- Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net short USD/JPY by 24,444 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Net long USD/JPY by 15,101 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Small Traders (Retail): Net short USD/JPY by 9,343 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🟣Sentimental Analysis:
- Trader sentiment is mixed, with some investors expecting a bullish movement due to the BoJ's hawkish stance, while others are bearish due to the Fed's dovish stance.
- Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision.
🟢Institutional and Retail Market Analysis:
- Institutional investors are watching the currency pair closely, awaiting the Fed's decision before making any significant moves.
- Retail investors are also cautious, with some taking long positions on the Yen due to its safe-haven status.
🔵Outlook:
- Based on the analysis, the USD/JPY currency pair is expected to move into a bearish direction in the short term, with a target level of 153.00. However, the movement is likely to be volatile, and investors should be cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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USDJPY - BoJ Interest Rate Decision?!Here is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
USDJPY is currently trading at around 155.800 . Our scenarios are in play after the BoJ (Bank of Japan) Interest Rate Decision is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view.
Scenario 1: BUYS
-We broke above 156.700 .
With the break of 156.700 we can expect a possible move up to 158.748. With a a further break of this KL (Key Level) we can expect more upside on the pair potentially reaching top of the long-term range sitting at 161.820.
Scenario 2: SELLS
-We broke below 154.881 .
If we break bellow 154.881 we can expect more downside on the pair even up to 152.000. With breaks of this level we could see even lower levels sitting at around 149.394 or “bottom of the long-term range”.
IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS:
- 161.820; top of the long-term range
- 158.748; breaks above would result in more upside
- 154.881; breaks below would result in sells
- 152.817; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 152.030; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 149.394; bottom of the long-term range
Personal opinion:
It’s not advised to enter into sells or buys before we have a clear break or the BoJ Interest Rate Decision data out. For now we are patiently waiting on either breaks to the upside or breaks to the downside. More volatility on the pair is expected tomorrow so be careful.
KEY NOTES
- USDJPY breaking above 156.700 would confirm buys.
- USDJPY breaking below 154.881 would confirm sells.
- BoJ Interest Rate Decision is tomorrow.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Short Opened a short position based on 1H and 15 minutes.
1H MACD crossed to the downside.15 min MACD endered the bear zone.The 15 min candle closed below VWAP, EMA 21, Pivot R1, and previous day's high. S/L 159.95 and P/T 153.95 Risk: Reward 1:1.84
When the price reaches 154.5 (the previous day mid price), I will move my stop loss to the previous day high.
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance.
Instead, reflect on these three questions:
- Did I follow my core habits for success?
- Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go?
- Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach?
I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along.
USDJPY
EURUSD
EURUSD
Notion Journal
Enjoy the ride,
-Gio
USDJPY Shorts Based on Current Re-DistributionBy combining Wyckoff and SMC principles we have a clear guide on what to expect, and what to do when it happens.
Patience is the name of the game, so set your alerts and hang tight until then.
- Option 2 could turn into a short term swing trade (until we reach daily demand levels)
USD/JPY Ready For Sell To Give Us 250 Pips In The Next Days !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
SELL USDJPY H4 | FOREX BEEHey Traders,
This USD/JPY H4 chart appears to show a descending triangle formation, typically signaling a bearish continuation pattern. The key levels and considerations are:
1. Trend Analysis:
- The market seems to have broken the ascending trendline (blue) decisively, suggesting strong bearish momentum.
- The price is currently trading below key resistance zones (highlighted in red).
2. Fibonacci Level:
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (155.01) was tested but failed to hold, further indicating bearish strength.
3. Target Zones:
- A bearish move toward the next demand zone near the 0.236 Fibonacci level (~151.18) appears likely, as marked on the chart.
4. Retest and Continuation:
- The blue arrow suggests a possible retest of the broken support-turned-resistance zone before continuing downward.
### My Thoughts:
The chart indicates bearish bias, with the next likely target near 151.18. However, monitoring the retest area closely for rejection signals to confirm the continuation is essential. Fundamental factors like USD or JPY economic data can further drive this movement.
USDJPY Short? Patience is key hereYes, price reached the white Center-Line, which means: Price is at balance.
And yes, price is at the red U-MLH, which means: price is stretched.
Two good indications that a potential breather is lurking in the throat. But I'd better wait for more evidence. More momentum to the south.
Not stalking yet, but observing on the lower time frame too.