USDJPY SellUSD/JPY is down some 1.3% on the day and has fallen from a high of 135.05 to a low of 132.28 ahead of what will be critical data in the US Consumer Price Index on Tuesday. The US Dollar was pressured at the start of the week and in a continuation to the fallout from the Nonfarm Payrolls.
While the Nonfarm Payrolls showed robust jobs growth, the rise in the Unemployment Rate and signs of cooling wage inflation sent the greenback lower as investors started to trim bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates as sharply. The United States added 311,000 payrolls in February and the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%. However, a survey of economists polled by Reuters expected the United States to have added 205,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.2% last month after gaining 0.3% in January, below expectations of 0.3%.
USDJPY h1 price is in a downtrend. After a correction at the end of yesterday, the price is now showing signs of continuing to go down. With this pair traders can sell to current price 133.18, SL: 133.90, TP: 132.00
Usdjpyshort
#USDJPY- UPDATED 600 PIPS SELL SETUP!!Hey Everyone, as SVB banking crisis began FED had to get involved and market was too volatile since the morning and that is why some of the USD pairs had affected significantly, our last setup bounced and was +100 after the london session began price dropped significantly.
USD/JPY pulls back into resistance for potential swing trade The US dollar has continued to face selling pressure following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, as traders bet that the Fed may pause their tightening cycle at next month's meeting. Whilst Fed fund futures imply a 60.5% chance of a 25bp hike (or 39.5% odds of a pause), this is quite a sudden chance considering the curve suggested ~80% chance of a 50bp hike last week.
US inflation data is released in ~14 hours and is likely to be a closely watched report, as a soft print could increase odds of a pause, weigh on the dollar and send USD/JPY lower. Yet a hot inflation print likely cements a 25bp hike and sees the dollar coup some of its losses.
Purely on a technical front, USD/JPY looks appealing for a bearish sewing trade. It has an established downtrend on the 1-hour chart, and prices have retraced higher into a resistance zone including the monthly pivot point and weekly S1 pivot. A rising wedge / bear flag is also forming, which generally breaks out in the direction of the underlying trend. A weak inflation report could likely help.
The bias is bearish beneath the recent cycle highs and for a move down to 132.
USDJPY BEAR SWINGHere we see USDJPY in its final push upwards. As we can see by the chart 138.00 is a very significant level for TWO reasons
1. It is a major FIBO level that is retesting the overall DOWNTREND that we are on from a WEEKLY perspective, this has been a necessary retracement to the massive downward trend that we had begun late last year.
2. It is the 1.6 FIBO EXTENSION of our current Daily/H4 uptrend and at this level usually overbought/sold conditions exist
Using this framework we can create a nice entry for our resulting swing downwards. This trade highly depends on the NFP data next week to come in not as HOT as last month
usdjpy elliott wave analysis updateusdjpy elliott wave analysis update 13/03/2023
Then activate all sales operations on a pair and then achieve a profit of 760 points
Now, the price will often change its direction because all the rise was just a correction. Let us prepare for upcoming selling operations after the correction. The pair is currently descending with an impulse wave that we can call it wave 1 or A.
USDJPY possible drop to monthly supportCurrency Pair : USDJPY
Possible direction : Bearish
Technical Analysis : After a daily middle mand last day of trading week, today market open with strong week less candle and price has broken down with strong impulse from long consolidation. From Monthly perspective, there is rejection from monthly resistance level and highly likely price will test the monthly support zone.
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish as per chart sketch
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe US dollar pulled back a bit during the trading session on Friday as it looks like a potential sell-off in the short term is building up behind the scenes. Overall CPI inflation in Tokyo, rose 3.4% in February, compared to a 4.4% rise in the prior month - a negative variance of 1.0% which doesn't appear rosy for the Yen. The Bank of Japan continues to print more Yen in order to keep interest rates down and recently the Bank of Japan hinted that inflation will ease in the near term and that its 2% annual target will be achieved anytime soon and has projected 2025. From a technical standpoint, this video illustrates a potential trading opportunity around the 135.800 zone in the coming week.
01:00 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:49 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe
07:53 Macroeconomic event for the week
09:59 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe
12:45 Conclusion on next week's projections
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Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
UJ Sell-off ExpectedExpecting USDJPY to dive in price this evening due to the BOJ Monetary Policy Statement release and following Press Conference, which usually tends to heavily favor the Yen. Expecting a drop of about 400 pips, and for pricing to replicate a move reminiscent of the one on December 20, 2022 as illustrated.
My previous sell chart may enact shortly before the news as well now that buying pressure is wearing off.
Sell Entry: 136.000
Targets: 135.750 | 135.240 | 134.800 |134.500 | 124.230 | 133.760 | 133.340 | 132.915 | 132.560
Support: 132.000
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The Winning Formula..Hey Traders,
You'll have seen on my prev editors pick we looked to short USDJPY.
It tumbled enormously. But, as we predicted it comes back up for RE entries on shorts. Where you re enter short is incredibly important; too early and you will lose money, too late and you will lose money. The sweet spot comes when you trade 'factual price' levels and what is real to you and me. Within this is following the natural flow of a market.
That means, when you rebound up on longside trades you are looking to rebound down on short side trades. But these short side trades are not one trade, they are a series of trades following the new trending market, as you can see we have here. Entry 1 gives you gain 1,entry 2 gives you gain 2. This can be followed until ultimately you reach key PA levels for longs.
That's because your bias must change once the validity of the market direction is no more. In other words, the low price is too low to short.
Trade with a plan.
USDJPY, Bears IncomingHello all, this will be my first ever publication of my trading analysis. UJ has been on a corrective bullish market for some time now. I am confident that the bears are now going to take control of the market and continue the bearish momentum. Here in this photo, I have what swing I believe will occur to begin the paper trail. I will be waiting for a breakout of my bullish trend line to get my first confirmation of this down trend. FX:USDJPY
USDJPY - Still bearish ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Here I still expect bearish price action as price formed huge H4 divergence which indicates bearish move, as well price could reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 137.000.
‼️Attention!!! Due to the fact that we have news events on USD on Wednesday, Friday and JPY on Friday, the analysis can be invalidated.
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USDJPY SHORT positionThe idea discusses a bearish on the USDJPY currency pair based on a strong fundamental , as well as several bearish technical signals. The analysis recommends placing a stop loss to manage downside risk and advises traders to do their own research and due diligence before making any trading decisions.
DXY Top short term top is in short USDJPYThe dollar is in a secular downtrend. After a brief respite I expect the downtrend to resume. The BOJ is currently still defending their YCC and while they will continue this policy a while longer I expect it to be modified and eventually phased out. This will lead to higher yields globally but especially in Japan. This should help to strengthen JPY so I like going long Yen here. If you can't trade forex look at long FXY as a good proxy.