Usdjpyshortsetup
USDJPY rejected at 4H Lower HighI decided to short UJ here as the 4H shooting star at a re-tested area was a bearish enough signal for me to go short. Price has been making Lower Highs on 4H and daily chart. The bullish candles have been forming with a lot of indecision. This entry was taken based on the 4H close, as well as the 1H presenting a strong evening star at a Evening star re-test. My entry was upon a bearish 15min engulfing at a potential high/re-test of resistance. My stop loss is just Above the high of the shooting star. My target is the next daily Lower Low.
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. It came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA.
- All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF.
- There is definitely a high possibility that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 137.91 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 129.52 level before that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDJPY AnalysisWhile the price is above the support, expect the price to break the triangle and move in a downward direction, and hit around 133 or above. If it breaks the pattern we got major support around 129.600-129.800
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USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken a bit and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. Because it came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA.
- All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF.
- There is definitely a high chance that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 135.610 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 124.739 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USD/JPY pulls back into resistance for potential swing trade The US dollar has continued to face selling pressure following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, as traders bet that the Fed may pause their tightening cycle at next month's meeting. Whilst Fed fund futures imply a 60.5% chance of a 25bp hike (or 39.5% odds of a pause), this is quite a sudden chance considering the curve suggested ~80% chance of a 50bp hike last week.
US inflation data is released in ~14 hours and is likely to be a closely watched report, as a soft print could increase odds of a pause, weigh on the dollar and send USD/JPY lower. Yet a hot inflation print likely cements a 25bp hike and sees the dollar coup some of its losses.
Purely on a technical front, USD/JPY looks appealing for a bearish sewing trade. It has an established downtrend on the 1-hour chart, and prices have retraced higher into a resistance zone including the monthly pivot point and weekly S1 pivot. A rising wedge / bear flag is also forming, which generally breaks out in the direction of the underlying trend. A weak inflation report could likely help.
The bias is bearish beneath the recent cycle highs and for a move down to 132.
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken a bit and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. Because it came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA.
- All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF.
- There is definitely a high chance that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 142.35 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 130.642 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDJPY SELLSelling USDJPY at 129.625, we are Currently on a Downtrend on USDJPY so we are already getting a Lower Lows and Lower Highs, so this tells us a lot about UJ. Let’s wait patiently for Confirmation and also we are having NFP today so trade Carefully Guys. See you Guys Next week.
Please Drop Your Comments on what you think about this Trade / analysis. I really appreciate the Love and Support from you guys thanks
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is that the JPY is starting to weaken quite a bit. It happened because of the BOJ MEETING. This time after the FOMC, the dollar has also weakened.
- Due to MARKET RISK ON, all MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going up a bit now.
- There is definitely a high possibility that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 133.67 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 125.02 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
JPY BREAKOUT USDJPY
FormS a huge Symmetrical Triangle within this triangle we should sell and buy on resistance and support.
On one side breakout will give a good entry and move is well
Before F.O.M.C data i am expecting movement within this triangle after the data release will give one side clear direction.
AS soon as data is not delivered we should wait for proper price action
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is that the JPY is starting to weaken quite a bit. It happened because of the BOJ MEETING. This time after the FOMC, the dollar has also weakened.
- Due to MARKET RISK ON, all MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going up a bit now.
- There is definitely a high possibility that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 133.67 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 125.02 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.