Possible sell zone CHFJPY Hello Traders, CHFJPY has created a head & shoulder on a daily and also broke the neck line of this head & shoulder. A sell opportunity may arise if this instrument touches 20EMA and test the previous support and resistance as shown in the diagram.
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Usdjpysignal
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
UsdJpy- Rise to 118.50?There is no doubt that the overall trend for UsdJpy is strongly bullish and after reaching a recent high above 114, the pair corrected some of the gains.
The spike under 113.30 support was short-lived and quickly reversed giving us a signal that bulls are here and are very strong
Now UsdJpy is trading just under local resistance and a break looks imminent.
Once we have this break we can expect continuation to the upside and 118.50 is my target for this rise
USD/JPY : Daily Candle Breaking Below 113.30, may test 111.00The US 10 years bond is dropping. As a result, safe-haven JPY is a bit stronger against all the major currencies.
From the current market price, 113.30 is identified as immediate resistance. So, the USD/JPY traders must wait where the daily candle closes.
If the USD/JPY closes below the 113.30 price zone, the market can test the 112.30 price zone very soon. And finally breaking below 112.30 price zone, last target to the downside 111.00 price zone.
UsdJpy- To break flag's resistanceAs I said in my previous analysis regarding UsdJpy, I'm strongly bullish
At this moment the correction from the recent top seems to be over and the pair is ready for a new leg up
The confirmation comes once the flags resistance s break and we can see UsdJpy above 115 soon
A drop under 113 invalidates this scenario
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe US dollar appears to have regained bullish traction as we witnessed a bounce back and forth before the price finally broke out of the Key level @ Y130.800 to reveal buyers strength at this juncture in the market.
As we all have noticed that the Yen is being sold off against almost every major pair in recent time, and following Higher US bond yields and hawkish Fed expectations the scenario painted here is not a different one at the moment. The present market structure could probably explain what is going on with the Japanese yen as I look forward to a buying opportunity on this one in the coming week.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline
Observation: I. Since mid-September 2021, the USD recorded a 5.05% growth over the Yen to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term.
ii. Despite citing a reversal pattern after hitting a peak at Y114.700 in mid-October 2021; Sellers have been finding it difficult to push the price below Y113.400.
iii. Bearish Trendline: A visual representation of resistance line drawn over pivot highs reveals the prevailing direction of price and speed of price in the last couple of weeks.
iv. However, the Y113.400 Level has kept price "supported" in the last couple of weeks to suggest a decline in Bearish momentum.
v. In this regard, it is obvious to state here that buyers have continued to pick prices up from Y113.400 hereby making this zone a significant demand level in the meantime.
vi. Following a Breakout of Key level @ Y113.800 during last week trading session, I shall anticipate a Breakout of Bearish Trendline for signal confirming a rally in the coming week(s).
vii. Even as above Key level remain a yardstick for taking a long position, I have identified a "New Demand level" on the chart for trading opportunities should the price plunge... Trade consciously!😊
NB: Considering the reversal pattern identified after hitting Y114.700, It is worthy to state here that a significant Breakdown of Y113.400 should render the narrative invalid hereby welcoming an opportunity to short the pair temporarily (correction phase) at a retest of the Demand zone broken.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 4 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Major Resistance: Short or Long?
USDJPY has just rejected a major Weekly/Monthly support-resistance level.
You can usually expect price to do one of two things once that happens, no matter the trend direction; retrace or breakout.
My bias is and always resides with the trend , so I took advantage of this retracement (temporary move) to the 0.3 fib level to enter a short-term sell , before taking the long term buy at that same level , once the sell tp is hit.
This scenario is valid as long as we reject and trade ABOVE the fib level.
More conservative entry: wait for break and retest of resistance to take the buy.
The TP for the long position will be 114.500, or the last higher high.
The next Swing TP is 118.405, and the last TP will be 124.000.
You can stay in the buy, from the fib lvl, to TP 1 & 2, so long as price doesn’t demonstrate too much resistance/rejects 114.500 . Simply put the SL for the buy to break-even and trail your profits after each new higher high. Nice tip to increase your r:r.
We’re currently in an uptrend so that means buys only , but a sell scenario is possible and valid has long as we trade below the resistance level and demonstrate enough rejection of said level.
The fib level might not hold, so if you’re already in the sell, (like demonstrated on the chart), just put your SL to break-even and trail your profits until 111.7000 , which is the next and final TP. You could re-enter again for a sell if price rejects the resistance on the daily and if sellers demonstrate enough strength . if we start trading below 111.7000, we’re entering a longer term (Monthly) downtrend towards 108.000 then 105.000.
{edit; it's RSI in overbought, not oversold lol}
USD/JPY Analysis: Market could fall because of overbought zone. The USD/JPY continued its strong run last week, recording new daily gains on Friday in the US season. The pair remains poised for weekly advances of more than 1%. However, RSI is showing that the market holds onto an overbought zone that suggests caution to investors. So, we may see some profit-taking from this territory.
USD?JPY may reward if prices correct lower due to increased risk appetite from traders following recent Fed statements and ECB meetings earlier this month. The FED and ECB were optimistic about future asset purchases by both central banks despite some uncertainty at present. It is one of the big reasons that the JPY is getting weaker against most major currencies.
So, there is still the chance that USD/JPY may rise more based on fundamental analysis. But no one can ignore technical analysis. Based on price action, USD/JPY holds an overbought zone. So, it is expected that USD/JPY may sell-off because of profit-taking, but the overall fundamental trend may not change till the next FOMC meeting minutes.
From the present rate of 114.20, the immediate resistance and reversal zone is 114.70 /115.00. Therefore, I think USD/JPY may reverse from this level to the 112.50 price zone before it rises again.
To the upside, breaking above 115.00 will open the door for 116.00 (Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement Zone).
USD/JPY may take some time to break above 116.00 because investors will wait for the next FED and ECB speech about asset purchase. In case the FED refuses to purchase assets this year, USD/JPY will drop massively. But if the FED starts the asset purchase program, there is more chance that the USD/JPY may revisit the 118.50/118.70 Price zone.
On the other hand, from the present rate, immediate support is identifying at 112.50 price zone. Therefore, I expect the market to go for correction because of profit-taking from the current price of 114.20. Breaking below 112.50 will open the door for the 110.70/110.50 price zone.
110.50 hold as ascending trendline support and breaking below 110.50, next target 109.00. and finally 105.10.
UsdJpy- New high in sight?After breaking above range's resistance and marking a new local high above 112, UsdJpy corrected and has confirmed the old resistance zone as support.
A new leg up followed and a new correction, just to mark a higher low and make 111.20 support.
At this moment the pair is trading just in short-term resistance given by last high and a break here can lead to continuation and a new high around 112.50
I'm bullish as long as the price is above 111