USDJPYAs I said in the last weeks ... UJ went up as I said last weeks and approached the trend line and rejected from the area 109,800 where there is a very strong resistance!
.... even if maybe it will go up 30-40 pips UJ will reject from the trend line and will go down to the 107.800 area or even 106.800 from where ... UP AGAIN!
THIS WEEK...as I said last week, UJ has forced the trend line formed in recent years and strongly rejected!
UJ is in a range area between 110,200 and 108,200 but as you can see from the trend line for 1 week and from the Fibonacci for 1 month ... it is a lowering range reason why I will continue to look for SELL even if UJ will test the trend line again! |
However ... a close even for 1 day above the trend line forces me to think of BUY until the Fibonacci 0.5 area from where ... DOWN AGAIN
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Usdjpysignals
USDJPY ENTRIES + EXITS FOR THE WEEK!How To Play The Chart Entries/Exits:
Buy at green support entry, if it breaks by -30 pips (count it out) then enter a sell and ride to TP1, 2 and 3. Trail stop at each TP which means place your stop loss in profit but with enough room to be able to continue the sell if it continues. Same thing at resistance, sell but if broken by 30 pips then enter the buy and ride to TP1. Each TP is a support or resistance zone , so you could then even take a sell after TP1 for the buys have been hit and if it breaks out then just repeat.
I will be updating these charts letting you guys know the pip counts for the trades.
#ExclusiveFX
JPY Entries + Exits this weekHow To Play The Chart Entries/Exits:
Buy at green support entry, if it breaks by -30 pips (count it out) then enter a sell and ride to TP1, 2 and 3. Trail stop at each TP which means place your stop loss in profit but with enough room to be able to continue the sell if it continues. Same thing at resistance, sell but if broken by 30 pips then enter the buy and ride to TP1. Each TP is a support or resistance zone , so you could then even take a sell after TP1 for the buys have been hit and if it breaks out then just repeat.
I will be updating these charts letting you guys know the pip counts for the trades.
#ExclusiveFX
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWith an astronomical 500pips run in our direction since my last speculation (see link here below for reference purposes); It appears the character displayed by price action lately has found a safe haven for Supplication @ Y109.500 area thereby welcoming a Selling bias for me in the coming week(s).
At this point in a very Bullish trend, the market is looking as if it is trying to figure out where to go next as the thrust from Pivot III did not have enough momentum to find a new high and considering the sharp rejection of the Y109.500 area during last week trading session; it appears that the Greenback risk a further decline. Can inflation rescue the dollar? Let's see!
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern
Observation: i. The Bullish run that began late January 2021 which is characterized by series of higher swing highs and higher lows appears to have found a peak @ Y111.000 after what looks like a setup transitioning into a downtrend after hitting a brick @ Y109.500 level.
ii. The present structure has a high tendency of changing to a series of lower highs and lower lows in the coming week(s) as I anticipate a Breakdown of the Bullish trendline in the nearest future.
iii. I will like to call our attention to the Supply zone @ Y109.300/110.000 area; This level was a very strong Sell window before the Breakout on the 30th of Mar 2021 followed by a Breakdown on the 7th of April 2021 and since this day we have witnessed price trading under this level throughout the month of April 2021.
iv. With my Key level holding @ Y108.500, I shall be looking forward to taking advantage of a decline below the key level this week.
v.This been said, there is an opportunity to add a position to your existing trade when price does a further breakdown/retest of Demand level @ Y107.500.
vi. CAUTION: On the contrary; it could be a rally (bullish) continuation when price breaks above Supply zone and retest to find new demand level at this juncture... Trade consciously!:)
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 10 to 20days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Rejection on the 1W MA200. Long-term top.Pattern: Channel Down on 1W.
Signal: Sell as the price got rejected on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) while the RSI is near the top of the 5 year Resistance Zone.
Target: The 0.618 Fibonacci level.
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekMy last publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair saw price move against expectations as it continues to find Higher Highs. From a weekly perspective, the successful Breakout of Y104.150 confirms the completion of a Reversal pattern with confidence that supports a Bullish bias in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Trendline | Breakout | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD)
Observation: i. Since the Breakout of Y104.150, I am of the opinion that the correction phase is yet to complete hence patience is required at this juncture.
ii. In this regard, I suspect that the correction phase might evolve into a Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) before the rally begins.
iii. The line drawn under pivot lows ( Pivot I, II & III) explains and graphically represent the prevailing direction of price (Uptrend).
iv. It is very possible that we might experience a temporary Breakdown of this Trendline due to the Harmonic expectations in anticipation of the rally.
iv. The significant Breakout of Key level confirms that the Supply Level no longer holds as the sharp rejection of Y104.400 on the 10th of Feb. 2021 suggest we might be having a new level for Demand @ Y104.400/103.800.
v. Should price decides not to decline into the Demand zone in the coming week(s), a significant Breakout/Retest of Y105.100 could be a buying window to take advantage of.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 7 to 12days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe price moved 40pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) before finding Lower Lows to project a certain level of weakness in the GReenback. With the latest development in price action, I am keeping my expectations for further strength in the Japanese yen high in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Double Top (Reversal Pattern) | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. DT (Reversal pattern): The appearance of a Bearish pattern that forms after the price reaches a culmination @ Y104.200/104.400 area two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs points at the risk of further decline in price.
ii. The recent Lower Lows explains the inability of buyers to push the price beyond Y104.400 last week hereby negating my previous broadcast (see link below).
iii. Y103.900 level appears to be our New Supply level in the coming week(s) as price keep finding Lower Lows.
iv. To be more cautious could welcome the idea of waiting for a significant Breakdown of Neckline @ Y104.500 before joining the decline.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekMy last publication on this pair fetched us over 200 pips (see link below for reference purposes) and it appears another trading opportunity is coming in!
The Greenback has been on a spiral downtrend until last week when price turned around to show signs of strength as it breaks out of Bearish trendline to set up a possible rally in the coming week(s). The Greenback appears to flex muscle as the idea of stimulus coming out of the United States lingers.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline
Observation: i. Breakout of Bearish Trendline and Support/Resistance (key level @ Y103.700) last week gives the impression that we might at least experience a change in trend.
ii. With this Breakout, we might have to be patient to see the extent at which the corrective phase will go before hopping on the rally.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 2 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USD/JPY- Bearish Elliott Wave and Ascending Triangle Pattern USD/JPY has made the bearish Elliott wave pattern. At the end of the corrective waves, there is an ascending triangle pattern. After that, if the consecutive candles break 104.050, then the trend will rise and hit the following level 104.100 - 104.150 .
But, according to EMA trend will continue to move downwards and knock the following target 103.945 - 103.920- 103.860 . But there is the possibility of reversal, too. Then it will continue as an ascending triangle.
USD/JPY is making a Formation of the Double Top PatternIt's an hourly chart of USD/JPY. The USD/JPY is trying to make a structure of the double top pattern. But rightnow, we can't call it a double top pattern. If it crosses the neckline then, it will become a double top pattern. To touch the neckline, it has to cross 104.26 . I have applied the indicator (RSI), which indicates a fall.
But what if it continues to grow?
If it does not stop to grow, then it will touch 105.06 .
Time to Expose the Next Step of USD/JPY with PitchforkHere, I am presenting USD/JPY with a pitchfork to assume the next step. At 103.90 there is a hurdle . At present, the trend is moving sideways. But if it crosses the hurdle(103.90) , then it will touch the following targets 104.06 - 104.26 . And if there is a beginning of fall, then the targets for the intraday traders will be 103.56 - 103.26 .
USDJPY Is is still SOER?Pattern: Channel Down on 1D.
Signal: Sell as the rejection pattern on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been very consistent since July. Also the RSI is hitting the 4 month Resistance.
Target: 102.300 (1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Most recent USDJPY trade:
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USDJPY Trading PlanPattern: Channel Down on 1D.
Signal: (A) Buy as long as the Support holds, (B) Sell if it breaks.
Target: (A) 105.000 (potential contact point with the 1D MA50), (B) 103.230 (1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Most recent USDJPY signal still running:
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USDJPY | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKIt is over 60pips in the opposite direction of my last speculation (see link below for reference purposes) as the price rejects my previous Demand level hereby increasing the further risk of a decline. The US Dollar came under pressure in the late Asian session on Friday and dropped below Y105.000; even though there was a mild rejection of this level, it is not strong enough to ignore the Bearish tendency as a diagnosis of President Trump and First Lady Melania with COVID-19 shift sentiments.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand | Harmonic (AB = CD)
Observation: i. Price continues to respect Bearish Trendline on Daily chart paving way for a risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
ii. Further Breakdown of Key Level @ Y105.200 might be a confirmation of my bias as I look forward to AB = CD pattern formation with details below;
iii. ABCD parameters;
a. Impulse A-to-B will be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 5 to 12 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USD/JPY's futhere movesIn the previous week USD/JPY gained +1.261 points.
From the last candle there will be an uptrend to the parallel channel and then price will start to fall again.
Here, the hurdle is 106.06 level. If candles consecutively crosses the dynamic resistance(DR) there will be an uptrend and price will increase to the 106.76 or above but if candles continuously move downwards under the DR or parallel channel, In this situation trend will be continue to move in the same direction and it will decrease to the control price or more. If trend crosses the hurdle there will be the first target of 105.86 level and second target will be 105.60 level.
If you pay attention to the whole trend of this chart you will get to know that there is the extreme fall in trend from the point which shown by the blue arrow which indicates the overbought and volume spike. and you can see, every time when the tail crosses dynamic resistance, trend decreases. and every time when the candle touches a support trendline, trend moves upside.
By crossing the support trendline, It makes a major failure and it continuously decreases, and makes an excess, after that it again started to move upwards.