USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsWith the appearance of a potential reversal pattern in the 4H timeframe; I am of the opinion that the USDJPY pair seems poised to register weekly gains for the first time in a couple of weeks. And to further buttress this is the fundamental indicator from data showing a sudden rise in the US jobless claims hereby indicating a cool effect in the labor market. With this reading, the sentiment in the market remains "hopeful" as key players expect there could be limited headroom to keep raising interest rates, especially in the face of a potential banking crisis. In this video, we took a technical dissection of the current market structure to weigh in on the potential trading opportunity for the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usdjpysignals
USDJPY Reached our target. Critical move ahead.The USDJPY pair hit the sell target we set on our February 28 analysis as it got rejected on the 138.210 Resistance and dropped back to the (dashed) Higher Lows trend-line:
As long as this trend-line holds, it is more likely to see one more rebound first to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for short-term traders and then to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for medium-term traders.
A closing (1D candle) below the dashed trend-line, will be a sell break-out signal for us and we will take the small loss on the buy and target instead the January 05 2021 Higher Lows trend-line.
Similarly, a closing (1D candle) above the 138.210 Resistance will be a buy break-out signal, targeting Resistance Zone 1.
Notice the 1D RSI being on a Higher Lows trend-line of itself. A rebound or break below it respectively enhances the probabilities of buy and sell trades respectively.
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsIt was a rollercoaster of buys and sells during the course of last week's trade session as price action traded around the key level identified around the 131.000 level to emphasize a level of indecision in the market. Japan CPI inflation dips from over 40-year highs in Feb and the reading was at its lowest level since September 2022 but was still well above the BoJ's annual target of 2%. Readings came in at 3.3% down from 4.3% in the prior month... Next week is coming with a couple of fundamental activities that will bring some liquidity to the market; from the BoJ governor's press conference about monetary policies in Tokyo to the GDP data from the US docket. In this video, we technically analyzed the market structure with the intent of identifying potential trading opportunities in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe crisis in the US banking sector last week lured market participants into a safe haven in the Yen as the US dollar showed signs of losing momentum. Following this development; the Yen closed the week with approximately 3% gain against the dollar. Heading into the new week, the Greenback doesn't seem popular at this moment as the call for rewidening the Fed's balance sheet grows stronger and we can not ignore the upcoming Federal Reserve decision which will trigger a risk-aversed perspective.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsFollowing a profitable week, price action is at a critical juncture in the market where both a bullish and bearish momentum could be triggered in the new week. The new week is laced with a series of macroeconomic events; so we shall be focusing on the fundamental event for signals to make an informed decision.
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes - its first following Governor Kuroda’s departure is going to be closely watched and from the US docket, the monthly inflation report coming up this week is also an event to look forward to. In this video, we dissected the current market structure from a technical standpoint in other to take a position ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken a bit and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. Because it came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA.
- All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF.
- There is definitely a high chance that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 135.610 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 124.739 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe US dollar pulled back a bit during the trading session on Friday as it looks like a potential sell-off in the short term is building up behind the scenes. Overall CPI inflation in Tokyo, rose 3.4% in February, compared to a 4.4% rise in the prior month - a negative variance of 1.0% which doesn't appear rosy for the Yen. The Bank of Japan continues to print more Yen in order to keep interest rates down and recently the Bank of Japan hinted that inflation will ease in the near term and that its 2% annual target will be achieved anytime soon and has projected 2025. From a technical standpoint, this video illustrates a potential trading opportunity around the 135.800 zone in the coming week.
01:00 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:49 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe
07:53 Macroeconomic event for the week
09:59 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe
12:45 Conclusion on next week's projections
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsDespite negative GDP data last week (negative variance of 1.71), the dollar closed its fourth consecutive week in positive territory, trading 1.80% higher to culminate at the 136.500 zone. The economic data released so far this year has painted a stronger picture of the U.S. economy. It is also worth noting that the incoming BoJ governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that the central bank will largely maintain its ultra-accommodative policy in the near term hereby indicating a weak economy and considering the significant breakout of the 135.000 zone (the first time this year); the Greenback may continue to remain in demand. This video illustrates a detailed technical perspective of what to look for in the coming week as trading opportunities is strongly leaning towards bullish expectation from a long-term perspective.
00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:49 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe
06:05 Macroeconomic event for the week
08:30 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe
10:30 Conclusion on next week's projections
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Approaching the 1D MA200, last test December 20.The USDJPY pair is about to make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since December 20 2022. This is just below the 138.210 Resistance (December 15 High). With the 1D RSI overbought (70.00), we deem this level as the best sell opportunity on the medium-term, targeting first the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the dashed Higher Lows trend-line in extension that provided Support in January.
A 1D candle closing above the Resistance would be a bullish break-out and we will close the sell and instead target Resistance Zone 1. A closing below the dashed Higher Lows trend-line, would be a bullish break-out, targeting Support Zone 1 and the January 05 2021 Higher Lows trend-line in extension.
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USDJPYCurrently, in the weekly time, we see that we had the last 3-log completion of an ABCD in the range of 149.441, and we saw a very accurate reaction to it. Now, by examining the correction phase, we have 5 targets, each of which can act as a resistance to reduce to the trend line. be first and second. The last range of completing a reciprocal is in the range of 145.956.
We have 4 other targets based on pivot points, which are very important.
1-136,052
2-138.247
3-140,879
4-143,584
It is not necessary for both trend lines to touch.
By checking and receiving the completion of the reduction confirmation, we can expect growth up to the harmonic target range of 165.813
USDJPY Long Term Analysis (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
USDJPY
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Uptrend in green color Internal Trend (Long Term)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
White levels Levels are very tight stop losses that could be used in high leverage future trading.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
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Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsSince the last publication; price action moved over 400 pips in our direction (see link below for reference purposes) as the Greenback rose 0.6% to close the week just below the 135.000 zone. The Japanese yen was among the worst-hit Asian currencies as the US Dollar hit a six-week high against a basket of currencies after stronger-than-expected inflation readings and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve. This video illustrates what we should be expecting from the current market structure in the coming week as price action trades between the 133.900 and 135.000 range.
00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
05:30 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe
09:50 Macroeconomic event for the week
11:00 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe
13:10 Conclusion on next week's projections
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsAt 64.9, the Michigan consumer sentiment index for February hits its highest level in eight months as falling energy prices eased fears about inflation. This is a positive signal as it is a widely-known gauge of personal consumer confidence in the US economic activity. From a technical standpoint, the significant breakout of the supply zone at the 131.000 area last week was an emphatic bullish signal buttressing the idea that sellers might have lost the momentum; but following the retest of structure, price action was caught within a consolidation phase above the key level (131.000) to emphasize the level of indecision in this market. In this video, we looked at the possibilities and trading options we have from the current market structure as we look out for breakouts either way in the coming week for trading opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.