USDJPY → Moves on the upward trajectory toward 152.00 levelFX:USDJPY continues to move on the upward trajectory, trading around yearly highs at 151.70 during the European session on Monday. The USD/JPY pair eyes a potential ascent toward the major resistance at the psychological level of 152.00. This could materialize if the strength of the US Dollar (USD) gathers momentum, propelled by higher US Treasury bond yields and the hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell.
The technical indicators paint an interesting picture for the USD/JPY pair. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned above the 50 level, indicating upward support. This signals a bullish momentum and reflects a robust market sentiment. With this, there's potential for the pair to advance toward the next barrier at the resistance level of 152.50.
Adding to the positive outlook, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is situated above the centerline and the signal line in the USD/JPY pair. This configuration suggests a stronger momentum and reflects a prevailing confidence in the market.
On the flip side, the USD/JPY pair could meet the support at the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 150.35, followed by the 150.00 psychological level. A decisive break below the latter could push the pair to navigate the area around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 148.40.
Usdjpytrade
USDJPY Take off??USDJPY, the double bottom pattern, might indicate a reversal of the previous downward trend. Traders often use the distance between the lowest low of the pattern and the resistance line to estimate a potential price target.
Based on this pattern, and major direction of trend, a projected target of 151 might be feasible. However, it's essential to apply technical analysis and consider other indicators to confirm the pattern and potential price target before making trading decisions.
USD/JPY Daily Analysis - The Pullback has Begun! Fall to 146.000USD/JPY has finally touched the previous high of 152.000 with a strong bull candle that we'll call a Bull Capitulation. Immediately after that price target was hit, we saw a series of bear bars falling to the 30EMA. We have now been above the 30EMA for 69 days and after touching a key price range, have a high probability of falling below down to the bottom of the bull channel at the 145.000-146.000 range.
Key Points:
1. We're in a Bull Channel which means we have a better chance of profit longing.
2. Previous High of 152.000 has been touched.
3. Bull Capitulation Candle on Oct 23.
4. DXY Strong Bear Signal Bar of the bottom of the bull channel.
5. JPXY Still at Risk of Bull Reversal, this week's candle may decide.
6. RSI has room to fall and while a weak indicator, supports the previous 5.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Daily Wave Rider - USDJPY - BUYUSDJPY
Channel: GREEN
WK Pivot: GREEN
AOB: WP
CON: EngB
BUY Stop: 149.956
Stop Loss: 149.314
TP01: 150.598
TP02: 151.882
DWR present as a buy setup on 25 OCT, with Channel and Pivot are green bouncing off weekly pivot
However, trade is not taken/considered
SPX500: SELL
DXY: UNSURE
OIL: BUY
GOLD: BUY
Daily Wave Rider - USDJPY - BUYUSDJPY
Channel: GREEN
WK Pivot: GREEN
AOB: WP
CON: SBB
BUY Stop: 149.882
Stop Loss: 148.795
TP01: 150.969
TP02: 153.143
DWR present as a buy setup on 18 OCT, with Channel and Pivot are green bouncing off weekly pivot
Trade is not taken
SPX500: SELL
DXY: SELL
OIL: SELL
GOLD: BUY
Daily Wave Rider - USDJPY - BUYUSDJPY
Channel: GREEN
WK Pivot: GREEN
AOB: EMA10
CON: IB
BUY Stop: 149.859
Stop Loss: 149.445
TP01: 150.273
TP02: 151.101
DWR present as a buy setup on 16 OCT, with Channel and Pivot are green bouncing off EMA10
However, trade is not taken/considered as it is Monday which is normally correction day and market is unpredictable
SPX500: SELL
DXY: SELL
OIL: SELL
GOLD: BUY
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY 15m Chart Analysis - Long to Retest the 150.175 HighUSD/JPY has been ranging between 148.300 and 149.300 since last week and has failed to break down to the 30EMA on the Daily chart. DXY has failed to break below its Daily 30EMA as well. The USD/JPY price action is currently in the top 1/3rd of the range with the RSI just mid-level leaving room for a move up and out of the range.
There is a gap to fill up to the previous high of 150.175. At the very least, I believe we'll see a retest of this level. For this to happen, the Dollar needs a good bounce at the 105.600 level and the Yen remain stagnant or fall. My current analysis of the Yen is it's ready for a pullback to the upside, but that doesn't mean it won't take a quick dip to the downside first before reversing.
I think we can find a good entry in this range below the midpoint and look for a breakout at the top of the range.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Daily Wave Rider - USDJPY - BUY USDJPY
Channel: GREEN
WK Pivot: GREEN
AOB: EMA10
CON: EngB
BUY Stop: 148.444
Stop Loss: 147.488
TP01: 149.400
TP02: 151.312
DWR present as a buy setup on 25SEP, with Channel and Pivot are green bouncing of EMA10
However, trade is not taken/considered as it is Monday which is normally correction day and market is unpredictable
SPX500: BUY
DXY: SELL
OIL: SELL
GOLD: SELL
USDJPY (Continuation)The previous USDJPY thread became too long to remain practical hence, this new thread for the USDJPY.
Previous thread summary
-----------------------------------
Calendar days: 96
Net profit: (USDJPY only) +1073 pips (including the currency hedge adjustments in support of Nikkei long positions - +1132% Net)
Max risk; 0.71% of capital;
Max draw-down: -0.43%
Number of trades: 52 (including hedge adjustments)
Average R/R: 1:10.25 (Exclusive of hedge adjustments)
-----------------------------------
Here is the Daily;
Currently: FLAT -> Long Bias.
Daily Wave Rider - USDJPY - BUY
USDJPY
Channel: GREEN
WK Pivot: GREEN
AOB: EMA10
CON: SBB
BUY Stop: 148.488
Stop Loss: 147.312
TP01: 149.664
TP02: 152.016
DWR present as a sell setup on 22SEP, with Channel and Pivot are green bouncing of EMA10
However, trade is not taken/considered as it differs from our Market Analysis Bias.
SPX500: BUY
DXY: SELL
OIL: SELL
GOLD: BUY
Reference to our WK38 analysis, we are anticipating a sell on USD
Daily Wave Rider - USDJPY - BUYUSDJPY
Channel: GREEN
WK Pivot: GREEN
AOB: EMA10
CON: SBB
SELL Stop: 148.371
Stop Loss: 147.464
TP01: 149.278
TP02: 151.092
DWR present as a buy setup on 21SEP, with Channel and Pivot are red bouncing of EMA10
Trade is taken as it is within our Market Analysis Bias.
SPX500: BUY
DXY: SELL
OIL: SELL
GOLD: BUY
USDJPY Analysis 10Sep2023USDJPY price movements are still in accordance with the latest analysis. Although bullish, it is still most likely the price will be stuck in the QM area. If you want to do a short, it's better to hold it first until the price is in the QM area. Seeing the RSI indicator that also looks saturated and divergent occurs, then in a time that is not too far can occur bearish.
Why USD/JPY bulls should be cautious at these highsUSD/JPY has continued to defy gravity despite the growing threat of verbal (or actual) yen intervention by the MOF/BOJ. Yet the higher and faster it rises, so does the threat of intervention. You can see what impact it had on USD/JPY from the large bearish candle that formed on 23 October 2022, where the initial break above 150 was then met with a swift move lower and subsequent -16.3% decline over the next 2.5 months.
However, what has caught our eye today is that recent cycle highs have stalled around the 10 October high, the day a softer-than-expected US inflation report saw the US dollar plunge. There is also a volume node from the choppy price action in October at 147.1, and such HVNs can act as both a magnet to attract prices and also become support/resistance.
And given USD/JPY’s recent pattern of breaking key levels and cycle highs before reversing, we’re a little sceptical of bullish breakouts – especially with the growing threat of verbal/actual intervention. Furthermore, the US02Y-JP02Y spread has stalled just beneath its March high, so perhaps USD/JPY is at least due a pullback before it tries to break higher.
Either way, we’d prefer to buy dips over breakouts. And as for any potential pullback, we’d prefer to wait for a breakout to become a ‘fakeout’ (where prices move back below the initial breakout level) before shorting against the trend.
USDJPY Analysis 27Aug2023I analyze USDJPY using the D1 time frame so that we can know in general terms the trends that are occurring and the possibilities that could occur in the future.
If you look at the series of waves that have occurred, currently there is a correction in wave B with the price forming waves a-b-c-d-e and heading to the QM area. by adding the RSI indicator we can see that the price has entered the saturation area and there is a divergence on the RSI. one of the signs that in the future there will be a reversal.
USDJPY BIG SHORT!!Hey Traders,
We back for new week with the new analysis of USDJPY
Price having sharp bearish move in daily time-frame,
As you see in 4-hour time frame we closed bellow 4h level so we broke 4h level to down, so what we expect, is bearish move in multi-time-frame,
By the time we are analyzing and writing price having a sharp bearish move, we expect another spike move like the previous one!!
For more confirmation we can have a second entry after breaking 15-minute level just bellow the price,
As always any question comment us bellow,
@FxShzd team
USDJPY Analysis 23July2023USDJPY's journey is in accordance with last week's analysis where the price was stuck in the support area and now it is corrected and enters the fibo 0.382 area. If you look at the close of this week and a fairly strong bullish candle is formed, and the price pattern is lined up on a curved line, it is likely that strong bullish will still dominate after this.
USDJPYI normally don't trade UJ however for the benefit of those who do, thanks to a friend's request to take a look and share my thoughts, here is what I would normally look for, a break above the 139.134 zone and a retest of same area, will set the pair up for a nice long position. A break below the 137.296 area and its retest, will set the pair up for a short. For now, fingers crossed. I may not give updates on this pair as it is not on my favored trading list ;-)
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
USDJPY Analysis 16July2023for two weeks experienced a deep bearish as far as 700pips, this pair is positively included in the bearish trend. at the end of the week there was a correction which if we pull the fibo retracement until the end of the week still reaches the level of 0.786, I estimate this correction can reach the level of 0.382.