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Usdjpyweekly

USDJPY swing trade idea(1100 pips).After falling for almost a month, dollar has gained some strength in recent weeks and the Japanese currency intervention is seemingly slowing down, as we have seen some huge bullish moves on other pairs. As seen on chart, the price has hit the weekly 0.618 fib level and the VWAP drawn from the start of the second quarter(March). For our TP levels we target 146.55; 149 and 152. Will update next week. As always, trade safely and expect the unexpected. Fractals Trading Community, Mei
Long
by martinmei
USDJPY → At 152.000 Resistance! Will it break to 160.000?USD/JPY has been bullish since January 2021 and is currently in an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a potential push through the 152.000 resistance level. Is this the moment to long? How do we trade this? 🤔 We need to wait for a confirmed breakout of 152.000. The probability of a breakout is high, but we need the confirmation of support at 152.000 to justify a long entry. Once we see a strong bull candle off of support, a 1:2 Risk/Reward on the Weekly timeframe is a straightforward trade to take. The RSI is around 60.00 and above the Moving Average, providing enough headroom for a move to the upside. It's also reasonable to take a long trade on the Daily timeframe which will allow you to get an earlier entry and a better Risk/Reward, but the Weekly timeframe provides us with a clearer picture of the situation. When Take Profit #1 is hit, half of the position should be sold, the stop loss should be moved to the entry price, and the second half of the position should go to Take Profit #2. This locks in profits after the first take profit which is at 1:1 Risk/Reward. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 153.570 🟥 Stop Loss: 150.900 ✅ Take Profit #1: $156.400 ✅ Take Profit #2: $158.900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Ascending Triangle at 152.000 Resistance level, a bullish pattern. 2. 30EMA providing key support above the ascending support band. 3. Wait for a breakout of 152.000 resistance and confirmation of support to long 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward. 5. RSI at 60.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
USDJPY I Japanese Yen Will Keep On Rolling BUT Look for This!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
1
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously. Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min. My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows: - Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart. - Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's - Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting. - A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from. - Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market. P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
USD/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis - Inching Toward a Bear ReversalUSD/JPY has refused to fall below the Weekly 9EMA since July 28th. However, we are inching closer to the previous high resistance of 152.000, so we should be cautious longing in the coming weeks. JPYX is also hovering around a support area in a descending wedge and has the potential to pullback to the upside, dragging USD/JPY down or at least, holding it back. The RSI is also in overbought territory which is *never* a reason on its own to reverse your position bias. But when we couple the RSI level with the following items, a reversal into a minor pullback seems likely: 1. The previous high of 152.000 is near. Given it was the point of the last reversal, expect some selling at this level. 2. We have had 12 consecutive candles above the 9EMA on the Weekly, we should expect a fall below the 9EMA in the next couple of weeks given how close the 152.000 resistance is. 3. JPYX is bouncing on the descending wedge and has probable potential to reverse to the upside, which would stall or drag USD/JPY down. 4. The Weekly bull bars are weak. They appear to be losing strength as we get closer to 152.000. 5. RSI on USD/JPY is overbought, which is a weak signal but a signal that supports the prior data in this list. At this moment, I would be zooming into the lower timeframes like the 15m and 1hr candles to look for good scalp entries and keep my position sizes a bit smaller than my maximum. The probability of reward over risk is lessening as we get closer to 152.000; be careful at this level. As always, trade at your own risk and you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
by TraderEngineering
USD/JPY - At Risk of Falling to Bull Channel SupportUSD/JPY showed a strong sign of bear pressure on Tuesday last week when the JPY ripped to the downside for a brief moment. At this stage of a bull run, this is likely a sign of weakness and a reversal to the downside lurks. My recent DXY analysis shows the potential for a fall below its 106.000 support, and the JPY analysis shows signs of a reversal to the upside. The Weekly candles still hover above the the 9EMA at a price of 147.300. If the price makes contact with and bounces off of the 9EMA, then we have confirmed more bullish action which will set my sights for the previous high resistance at 152.000. The RSI is touching the overbought line, but there is still room for more action to the upside. A Weekly candle closing below the 9EMA is a strong bear signal and may indicate a minor pullback is in order. Price targets in this scenario put us at 145.000 where the price last touched the top of the bull channel and puts us back at the bottom of the bull channel. With the RSI touching the overbought line, there is plenty of room for a move to the downside. Longs at this stage on this timeframe are risky. I would focus on lower timeframes such as the 4HR and look for a bounce off of the 200EMA to the upside. Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
by TraderEngineering
3
USDJPY (Continuation)The previous USDJPY thread became too long to remain practical hence, this new thread for the USDJPY. Previous thread summary ----------------------------------- Calendar days: 96 Net profit: (USDJPY only) +1073 pips (including the currency hedge adjustments in support of Nikkei long positions - +1132% Net) Max risk; 0.71% of capital; Max draw-down: -0.43% Number of trades: 52 (including hedge adjustments) Average R/R: 1:10.25 (Exclusive of hedge adjustments) ----------------------------------- Here is the Daily; Currently: FLAT -> Long Bias.
by Nemo_Confidat
4
BluetonaFX - USDJPY 144 Barrier BrokenHi Traders! USDJPY has now broken the 144.000 barrier, and the momentum does not look like it is slowing down. Our long-term bullish outlook on this pair has worked just as we anticipated, and we look forward to heading towards our new calculated vector level at 145.902. Since the break above the triangle last month (shown on the chart), the bullish momentum has been very aggressive. The price action on the chart indicates bullish aggression, as there is a lack of bearish resistance every time a resistance level is approached. The market is rapidly pushing towards the 145.902 vector level, and if that breaks, the Apex level is at 151.946. This is a big level because, apart from the recent October 2022 bull rally, the market has only been at this level a handful of times in more than 30 years. Please remember to like, comment, and follow us, as your support greatly helps us. Thank you for your support. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
4
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. It came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA. - All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF. - There is definitely a high possibility that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 137.91 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 129.52 level before that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
by benny_marshall
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - As of the previous day, the market sentiment for USD was quite up SIDE. The main reason for this is that the JPY started to weaken slightly and the short-term positive sentiment to the dollar. That's because it came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But at present, the FED can increase the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE at any time. However, the FED stated in an earlier meeting that inflation data is still being monitored. - At present, all markets including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down a bit due to market RISK OFF. - Of course, the chances of USDJPY going up a bit more and moving to level 137.91 are very high. Anyway, before that, the level of 129.52 can be down to the USDJPY price. We are focused on market updates and market sentiment. Follow the given market structure
by benny_marshall
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the JPY starting to weaken a bit and the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar. Because it came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA. - All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to MARKET RISK OFF. - There is a very high possibility that USDJPY will go up a bit more and move to 135.88 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 124.73 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
by benny_marshall
#USDJPY- VERGE OF BULLS TAKING OVER!!Hey Traders, USDJPY has have faked movement in last two months since we had BOJ news on interest rate, the pair had reversed from over previous setup on #USDJPY. However, most things has changed since then firstly we have undecided DXY movement we have not had a clear dictative move. Hence, as we have NFP next week we are eying for DXY to drop until Friday as traders are eying on the data to be supporting for DXY. -Potential entry would be the area described in the chart, will keep you updated. Trade Safe and Good Luck!!!
Long
by Setupsfx_
22
Stats of Strategy: Sniper Factors to Fundamental =>Stats of Strategy: Sniper Factors to Fundamental => Base on Overall Score: Strong Trend Only FX:USDJPY History Max Loss Consecutive in a row Record History: = 4 Currently Loss Consecutive in a row: == 2|3 Opportunity, Probability: 70% | R:R:R = 1:2<=3 Entry #3 Trade: Buy | Actual Result: Win Economic Calendar 00:30 EUR ECB's Elderson Speaks 06:00 KRW CPI (YoY) (Nov) 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 07:30 AUD Home Loans (MoM) -2.9% -4.5% -4.8% 07:30 AUD Retail Sales (MoM) -0.2% -0.2% 0.6% 09:40 AUD RBA Governor Lowe Speaks 09:40 EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks 11:30 NZD RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks 14:00 EUR German Trade Balance (Oct) 6.9B 5.2B 2.8B 15:00 EUR Spanish Unemployment Change -33.5K -20.3K -27.0K 19:00 EUR ECB's De Guindos Speaks 20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Nov) 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) (Nov) 5.1% 4.6% 4.9% 20:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 263K 200K 284K 20:30 USD Participation Rate (Nov) 62.1% 62.2% 20:30 USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) 221K 190K 248K 20:30 USD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 20:30 CAD Employment Change (Nov) 10.1K 5.0K 108.3K 20:30 CAD Unemployment Rate (Nov) 5.1% 5.3% 5.2% 20:30 EUR German Buba President Nagel Speaks
Long
by ProAekTrader
USDJPY short There are two possibilities The first to make down move to TP1 area and then break the last top The second a bearish wave without breaking the top and make correction within TP1 and TP2 In both cases, we are making down move to TP1 I always advise those who have experience and were not able to sell from the top to wait for the retracement wave and can enter the 50%-60% areas as happened in the SP500 chart TP and SL positions have been identified on the chart good luck
Short
by zoneofbasem
1
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - At this point, USDJPY is getting somewhat RANGE. The reason for that is that with US ECONOMIC DATA being POSITIVE, UJ was BUY very well until last week. And FED UPDATES were very POSITIVE. Last Friday's LABOR DATA shows that the dollar continues to strengthen. So JPY went down automatically in previous days. But with the intervention of the BANK OF JAPAN, there is now a very good demand for YEN in the market. LABOR DATA is due this week. - Currently, the MARKET is becoming RISK ON, that's why the JPY is WEAK. According to the USDJPY ANALYSIS we gave earlier. But JPY is getting STRONG against USD. - There is definitely a high chance that USDJPY will go UP a little more and move to 145.60 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 136.00 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE. usdjpy
by benny_marshall
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY - By this time USDJPY was very well BUY with US ECONOMIC DATA being POSITIVE. And FED UPDATES were very POSITIVE. So the JPY automatically went down. The other reason is that MARKET RISK is ON. And JPY WEAKNESS came according to their ECONOMIC PROJECTION. Therefore, with the SENTIMENT in the MARKET, the JPY became WEAK in a very short time. - Currently, the MARKET is turning on and off a bit, that's why the JPY is going down. According to our previous USDJPY ANALYSIS, the USDJPY UPSIDE WAVE is going UP around 205 ++ PIPS. I hope you get it. - There is definitely a possibility that USDJPY will go up slightly and move to 147.561 LEVEL. The reason for that is because the MARKETS RISK is already on, so it can happen. After that, the USDJPY price can be SELL at 132.669 level by BREAKING the TREND LINE. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
by benny_marshall