USDMXN ANALYSISUSDMXN broke major downtrendline
Price is based above HVN at level 22.2121 which indicates that pair is in accumulation phase
Price respects uptrendline
Broke consolidation triangle pattern
MACD shows weakness of bearish momentum
RSI is above level 50
It's expected for coming bullish wave to target first key level at 23.6035
then target following resistance level at 24.3960
USDMXN
USDMXN Small Lot ShortGoing for an entry after a few weeks of avoiding the market.
DXY looks like it's retesting and going to weaken.
SMALL LOT!
Sell USDMXN at 22.7597 (now) -> sl: 22.9584 tp: 21.5089
SL = -198pips
TP = +1,250pips (large/wide TP *for now)
1.00 Lot =
SL = -$872
TP = +$5,489 (large/wide TP *for now)
Plan accordingly
H1-H4 Timeframe
USDMXN:BUYI have been keeping an eye on this pair for a while now, last week I managed to buy small position at around 21.70 area I'm gradually adding a position to my existing one...good chance this pair might try to go down to the yellow support area (21.00 to 20.60) but for now the odds are against short and favor LONG. I have been killin' it on this pair since March and this is my third major trade for potentially big gains... I have attached all my analysis since early May... we are done with shorting this pair it's time we go LONG now!! Good Luck! comment your ideas below....
USDMXN top-down analysison DAILY: USDMXN is retesting a strong demand zone in green so we will be looking for objective buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H1: USDMXN formed an objective channel in red so we are waiting for a momentum candle close above the last swing that forms around our upper red trendline to buy.
meanwhile, until the buy is activated, we would be overall bearish
US Dollar Reversal Move? Interesting Dollar Pair Charts.The US Dollar is looking quite interesting currently. It has been smacked down the past few weeks, and as we market structure traders know, nothing moves down or up forever. Nor does price move in a straight line. All markets move in three ways only: an uptrend, range and a downtrend. And the US Dollar is showing some basing here.
Here is the daily chart of the FXCM Dollar Index. I just want to show you how this Dollar index actually hit a major support level on the daily chart. I must say, that on the daily chart, the Dollar has not yet retested the breakout zone around 98.30 so be wary of this. If the 4 hour head and shoulder holds, that zone would be our target.
As you can see, we are not retesting the head and shoulders neckline here at 97. You can see the previous lower high has been taken out which means the downtrend on the 4 hour is over and we are beginning higher lows in an uptrend. Holding this zone will be key.
What are some fundamental reasons? Well maybe it is a run to safety with the US Dollar being a safe haven. Maybe it is foreign money wanting to buy US Dollars to be able to buy US treasures or US stocks, which are currently pulling back to key support levels. Or maybe this is just a pullback in the price as traders take profits. The truth is the fundamental really does not matter much for us swing traders. We trade the markets we see, not the ones we hope or want to see. And currently, there is a reversal pattern on the 4 hour.
USDMXN was actually a trade I took earlier on with the break of the head and shoulders pattern. We hit the major target zone at 23. Once again, the daily chart shows the need of a lower high in a downtrend. The way to play this pattern on the 4 hour is see how price reacts at the neckline which it has not retested yet. From here we can assess if a higher low swing is being formed.
NZDUSD created a double top pattern and you can see we have pullbacked to retest the breakout. Two options for entry here: 1) you enter now with a better risk to reward ratio, but the probability of success is lower because you technically need a break below previous lows to confirm the retest. 2) You await for the break and close below 0.6390. The risk vs reward is diminished a bit but the probability of success is much greater.
The same can be said about AUDUSD, exact same pattern and approach.
USDCAD we have a double bottom. I have traded this short for the past weeks, and we hit my second target at 1.33. A large flip zone. The 4 hour chart created a double bottom here, and I am waiting to see how the retest here closes. Same principles apply. See how a candle is created here, or wait for the break above recent highs.
$USDMXN para máximos históricos?Como comenté en el link anterior, el dolar pudo haber terminado su largo triangulo desde que el 2017 y esta dando una oportunidad para acumular posiciones, Hay muchos negativos para el dolar, la cantidad de largos pesos en el COT es una olla de presión, en el momento que el $usdmxn rompa su resistencia, los operadores tendrán que cerrar sus short covering, ocasionando una súbita apreciación del dolar. Muchos negativos para usdmxn, Target del triangulo 23.75
USDMXNUpdate: Mexican peso uo for a 23 retest?As Mexico sees further economic problems in the current government the price of the peso weekening against the dollar. In the short term I can see a retest of a broken ground and trend line of abour 23 before seeing more downside and fullfilling g 78.6 for fibbonacci in confluence with a longer Trend. in a higher time frame. Potentially peeking at 30 by the end of the year.
USDMXN | Elliott, COT, VOLUME | SHORTTechnically and fundamentally, the fall of USDMXN is expected
1) Futures volume remains high (for MXNUSD futures )
2) Large speculators close short and open long (for MXNUSD futures )
3) Open interest grow (for MXNUSD futures )
4) Fibo level 0.382 from wave 3 almost reached
5) Need one wave down for USDMXN
Pre-FOMC: Dollar to Rally on Second Wave Scare?The highlight of the week for liquidity will be the FOMC rate decision in 4 hours.
5 things to watch in today's press conf:
1) Optimistic or pessimistic forecasts?
2) Support for the economy
3) Negative rates
4) Bubble trouble?
5) Urging fiscal stimulus
Conclusion
The next big moves in markets depend on the Fed. Optimism and commitment to act would boost stocks and weigh on the safe-haven dollar while pouring cold water —in various ways— would send stocks tumbling and would cause the DXY to make a bullish comeback.
14:10:55 (UTC)
Wed Jun 10, 2020
USD/MXN LOOKS BEARISHHello Traders!
USD/MXN looks bearish! MACD has just crossed below with a good bearish strength – RSI looks pessimistic with a good range from being oversold.
HISTORICAL SUPPORT might be reached, so stay alert!
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Please, maintain proper position sizing and risk management!