Elliott wave Analysis: Triangle on USDMXN Points LowerHi everybody,
USDMXN made a nice drop in impulsive fashion, down from 20.657 level which can be a five-wave development in the making. We can see waves 1,2 and extended wave 3 completed at the lows, so current sideways activity can be a temporary pause within the downtrend. We see this pause as a triangle correction within wave 4, which can now be trading in final stages. Once this correction finds resistance, that is when final wave 5 as part of the trend may start to develop, and take price below the 18.90 area.
USDMXN
USD/MXN - Long/Short scenarios.Key level is 19.0675! Breaks straight above, possible flag pattern, looking long position after break 19.2500, second scenarios is what my option is more likely is descending triangle forming. Break below 18.8765 take a short position. Keep on eye Awesome oscillator, if break zero line or fail and bounce below again.
USD/MXN - Long/Short scenrios.Kind of double bottom forming. First key level 19.0675! Break above looking long position, after breaks 19.250. Second scenrio what my option is more likely is descending triangle patter forming. After breaks below 18.8745 we are short position. Keep on eye awesome osc. if its fail break above zero line or not.
L@@K out for USD/MXN Reversal! - See My Related Idea AttachedI've been in this trade since mid-November (see trade idea below that's linked). I've snagged close to 1,000 pips on the sell. It appears that price is attempting to reverse. Price is flirting at a key level in the market 50% fib level and breaching a descending wedge. Looking for price to pull back at least 50% before continuing back down. Trade at your own risk.
USD/MXN Short Idea - Possible 1400 PipsUSD/MXN. The rate increase by The Bank of Mexico last week was great for this pair, and the peso regained strength. If the DXY continues to fall we can hope to see this move. You won’t want to miss this one. 1400 plus pips possible over the entire swing trade. Trade at your own risk and be sure to use proper risk management.
USD weakening against MXNIf todays USD news gives us negative data than it will go down further.
So, Please wait for the news confirmation and than active your trade.
Share your comment, feedback, thoughts in my comment box....It will help me to update my analysis.
Note: Don't trade if news gives negative data.
Tracking current levels like a hawk... => What is in play here?
=> To put it simply we are tracking two scenarios... the market is currently trading against strong resistance and we need to get above this area to avoid it becoming a very large triangle.
=> If we look at the recovery since August, we can see that this move has been impulsive and increases the odds for the break to the topside.
=> The only levels in play to track here are 20.92-21.03 which are the June highs. We see potential for this to extend as high as 21.4x and therefore any pullback towards 20.0x should be viewed as corrective.
=> For bears, they need to break 19.833 to question that we have already put in the highs of the year and decade.
=> In our books, there is opportunity in adding exposure on the upside towards 21.0x and eventually 21.4x.
=> Stops can be held tightly below 19.80x as a break below here will reshuffle the cards.
=> Best of luck to those already in live or looking to build positions here.