Divergence in USDMXN may be the start of a downtrendUSDMXN is showing weakness and also calling for the end of the move up. besides that channel is also forming a wedge where I expect a move down to 19-18.5 and then a re-test of the lower support.
As I always say, let's check for confirmation before entering a short, I may enter a position next Monday.
USDMXN
USDMXN BAT PATTERN EN FORMACIÓN2 POSIBILIDADES,(1) COMPLETA EL PATRÓN ÁRMONICO, CHOCA CON LA ZONA DE RESISTENCIA VISTA EN DAILY TOMÁNDOLA COMO TECHO Y EL PRECIO COMIENZA A CAER, Ó (2) ROMPE LA ZONA DE RESISTENCIA, INVALIDA EL PATRÓN Y POSTERIORMENTE RETESTEA LA ZONA DE RESISTENCIA COMO UN PISO PARA DESPÚES CONTINUAR SUBIENDO.
Targets to watch in USD/MXN This a trend analysis on USD/MXN.
Our first indicator on an uptrend comes from the golden cross on October 26, 50 MA crossed the 100 MA. Last two times it happened we saw important increases which should mean midterm profit.
Both the stochastic and RSI are pointing up, but buyers are getting tired, so my entry point should be between 19.43-19.83 with a definitive support at the 0.382 level, do not buy if it goes below this level as this may indicate a trend reversal.
The profit targets are also important as I believe we might have a definitive rejection at the 1 line so plan your locking of profits accordingly.
Also and pretty important, the new Mexican president is being sweared in on December 1st, 2018. Being that this individual is a very controversial person, we might see an important USD take over the MXN which might trigger higher levels of profit above the 20.80 price. Be watchful.
Please, please, please comminity, can I have some feedback on this analysis? I believe that there will be a hell ton of money to make if you open a position and hold it till a bit after December 1st.
Mexican peso back to green.The Mexican peso seems to be recovering and although it is important to see how it reacts to the supports, everything indicates that it will remain positive until the end of December.
It is important that I keep an eye on the news and reactions to the new president, but in general the analysis gives enough information to be reliable.
Follow you own plan.
Best wishes all.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS COMPLETION ON USDMXNWe have been monitoring USDMXN for a potential short opportunity as the USD looks to be failing to move higher.
We have seen price move higher as of late due to the increase of interest rates in the US however we are now at a key resistance zone.
Looking at price it printed a head and shoulders pattern at the key resistance potential showing further downside to come.
If we see the market pullback into the neckline we could look for bearish price action to short down into the key support of 19.6000.
USD/MXN 1H Chart: Medium-term channel in sightThe US Dollar has been appreciating against the Mexican Peso since the middle of October when the currency pair reversed from the lower boundary of a medium-term ascending channel near 18.75.
As apparent on the chart, the rate is testing the upper channel line located near 20.10. It is most likely that a breakout from given channel occurs in the nearest future. A potential upside target is the monthly R3 at 20.41.
Meanwhile, technical indicators demonstrate that there is still some downside potential in the market before bulls are able to prevail in the market again.
The 19.70 fight. Our beloved Mexican peso is going through a difficult moment, but he has a chance to fight. The uptrend has a very complicated zone ahead, and the time window begins to close.
To achieve the level and close the movement around 19.70, it is necessary a violent movement that at this point looks complicated, unlikely but not impossible.
From my point of view, it is very important to see how the candle of October 19 develops and how it relates to the R & S.
I expected this movement at the beginning of October and it did not happen. The pair lost its level and remained in the side range, the mexican peso is a tough fighter.
Follow your own plan.
Best wishes all..
USD/MXN 1H Chart: Resistance level in sightThe US Dollar has been appreciating against the Mexican Peso after the currency pair reversed from the lower boundary of a medium-term ascending channel near 18.65.
Currently, the rate is trading near the support level formed by the monthly PP at 19.01. If given support level holds, it is expected that the pair will aim for the upper channel line located circa 19.60. Important resistance level to look out for is a combination of the weekly R2 and the Fibonacci 38.20% retracement at 19.20.
If given resistance level holds, the pair might make a reverse and go downside to re-test the lower channel line located circa 18.70.
Mexican Peso October resistance. Important resistance at the beginning of October. The review shows that we could have two likely targets, both quite aggressive in my opinion.
It is important to observe how it responds to the critical area and to remain attentive to its development.
Follow your own plan
Best wishes to all...
Storm clouds gathering...=> Markets are still awaiting more details on NAFTA from the Canada front whilst the knife is already being stuck into the bent knee of Mexico.
=> Here we have a minor update to our chart with the lows still managing to hold for now there is nothing to see or do here...
=> Expecting USD to catch a strong bid as the Peso continues to weaken in the weeks ahead. Any dips towards 18.62x are competitive for the mid-term.
=> Good luck all trading this one