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USDMXN

USD/MXN at support ahead of BanxicoUSD/MXN has been moving lower since April 2020 in a descending triangle. On a weekly timeframe, the pair found a zone of support between 19.5491 and 20.0338. USD/MXN bounced a number of times and tested the top downward sloping trendline of the channel, failing each time. As USD/MXN nears the apex of the triangle, is it ready to break lower? On May 30th, the pair pierced the low and made it to 19.4116 but bounced right back into the range. This week, the pair traded as low as 19.4310. If USD/MXN breaks 19.4116, there is a confluence of support at the bottom trendline of the pair’s recent channel and the lows from February 2020 near 18.5235. Resistance sits above at 19.7530 and 20.0000. Expectations are that the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) is expected to hike rates by 75bps to bring the rate to 10%. If Banxico hikes by more than 75bps and is hawkish, watch for USD/MXN to break lower!
by FOREXcom
What do USD/MXN and S&P 500 VIX have in common?The Mexican peso (MXN) is one of the conventional high-beta currencies traded on the forex market, making it extremely susceptible to changes in risk sentiment on global financial markets. When MXN inflows occur, it usually signals that investors are willing to take risks. In the last three months, USD/MXN has lost 3%, making the peso one of the best-performing currency in 2022. Much of the MXN's outperformance has been the result of a very hawkish Mexican Central Bank, which hiked interest rates up to 9.25%, the highest since 2005. Another 75bps hike is expected at November 10th meeting, which would bring Mexican rates to 10%. Aside from the Banxico hiking cycle in Mexico, the Peso has a strong correlation with global risk factors, namely the stock market volatility. To put it another way, historically, the USD/MXN pair and the S&P volatility index ( VIX ) have behaved similarly. What are we seeing now? The USD/MXN 14-day RSI indicator has entered oversold territory, highlighting the need for caution for investors willing to take on more risk at this stage, as MXN valuations are beginning to appear rather stretched. Therefore, the bearish momentum for both USD/MXN and the VIX might have reached a peak. Aside from the results of the midterm elections, investors will almost definitely have to digest another strong US CPI data this week. Analysts predict 8% annual inflation in October, with core inflation at 6.5%. If actual results match or exceed estimates, Fed interest rate expectations will likely be reassessed higher. As the U.S. and Mexican economies are highly interdependent, the anticipated cyclical weakening of the U.S. economy bodes poorly for the Mexican economy and adds to MXN downward pressures. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity market specialist at Capital.com
by Capitalcom
USDMXN is breaking the supportsUSDMXN remains bearish and it’s now in a sharp intraday decline aboutwe have been warning about in the past. We see pair now breaking the trendline support and its falling below the important 19.70 level. This may cause more more weakness as a higher degree bearish triangle can come to an end. In fact, MXN has been one of the strongest even when USD was up vs GBP, AUD and NOK. So if these are ready to gain, or at least make a pullback, then we think that USDMXN can easily come much lower. Check where USDMXN is despite DXY bull run in the last 12 months. A bearish HS pattern also signals for more weakness on USDMXN. Grega
by ew-forecast
Crude Oil Remains BullishHello traders, today we want to update our Crude oil chart compared to USDMXN currency pair from October 06. As you can see, Crude oil remains nicely bullish after we spotted a bullish reversal out of the wedge pattern. At the same time USDMXN pair is breaking out of bigger bearish wave B triangle pattern. Well, Crude oil is now trying to continue higher within wave C/3 at least up to 97-98 area for wave C if not even higher above 100 for wave 3. In the meantime USDMXN could easily stay in the downtrend within wave C with room even down to 18-17 area. What we want to say is that Crude oil can easily stay up, while USDMXN pair can face even more weakness, just be aware of short-term pullbacks. Trade well!
TVC:USOIL
by ew-forecast
USDMXN Long This looks to be one of those very "safe" plays on the USDMXN this pair has been a consistent money maker on the long side over the past 3years I have been trading. The ADX is in the lower ranges (Indicating that it is not trending), approaching one of 2 very strong supports and the RSI looking good. Look to enter the market at your own discretion but in my opinion, tends to move very quickly to the upside so have a buy level you are comfortable with. I only buy this pair I never sell it because the timing is always tricky on that one. Macro economic: dollar is still strong but I would also look at the VIX as an indication of when to press the go button as these two are more correlated than not.
Long
by bulls_run
2
USDMXN Confirming our long-term pattern. Strong Buy now!The USDMXN pair largely confirmed our last buy signal almost 2 months ago as after it hit its first Support level, it rebounded aggressively to its Lower Highs trend-lines, as shown on the chart below: We made this accurate projection based on the similarities with the April - June 2021 fractal. The correlation continues to hold as the price is now trading sideways near the Support level, having broken last Friday below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As per the 2021 sequence, we can expect another month (roughly) of neutral/ sideways price action below the 1D MA200 (green trend-line), before the next strong rebound towards the Lower Highs trend-lines. Technically, this is another solid medium-term buy opportunity. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
3
When USD Hits Resistance, That's When USDMXN Will Breakdown In today's video I will look into a detail analysis of USDMXN, which is doing quite well compared to the strong USD Index. So my assumption is that when USd index will hit resistance, possibly after the 10 year US notes completed the current fifht wave up, the USDMXN can easily break through the support and will be targeting Feb 2020 pandemic low. Crude oil is also very important for the USDMNX. Price is higher for the last two weeks as the situation between Russia and Ukraine is getting worse. OPEC also decided in its first one-on-one meeting since 2020 to cut production by up to 2 million barrels per day from November. So it appears that EU will not have easy task to limit the energy prices. If you like this video, please leave me a comment below and press like. Thank you Grega
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
2
Crude Oil Can Be Turning Back To Bullish ModeCrude oil has been trading south for the last couple of months, but the price action is not so strongly bearish anymore and the wave structure is getting overlapped. It means that Crude oil is running out of steam within an ending diagonal (wedge) shape. Well, with current break out of that wedge pattern and with recovery above the upper ending diagonal line, seems like Crude oil found the support. However, from technical point of view keep in mind that bulls can be confirmed only above 97.50 region. One of the main reasons why Crude oil can be supportive is bearish USDMXN as they are in negative correlation. Looking at the USDMXN daily chart we can see it clearly bearish, currently finishing a big bearish triangle formation within wave B. So, it can send the price even lower within wave C towards February 2020 pandemic lows. Respecting the price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott wave perspective, seems like USDMXN will face more weakness, while Crude oil may start recovering in an impulsive fashion. Happy trading!
TVC:USOILLong
by ew-forecast
4
USDMXN Consolidation until the next break upwards.The USDMXN pair has been one of the better range pairs to trade in the market throughout the past 2 years. At the moment it is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is the last line of Resistance, on the Lower Highs (2) trend-line, before a jump to Lower Highs (1). The 19.800 symmetrical Support is holding and this resembles the April 20 - May 30 2021 fractal so far, which made an aggressive price jump when the 1D MA200 broke. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
2
USDMXN BUY - SMALL RISK / HUGE REWARDRisk-to-Reward: +4.43 USDMXN BUY @ 20.43925 Stop Loss: 20.31274 Take Profit: 21.00000 Use Risk To Reward For Risk Free Trade management ***I personally am trading a 100k account so I focus on 10 total Pairs excluding Crypto daily, risking .25% per trade position aiming for anywhere from 1%-3% gain.*** I am an institutional style trader and I go with the order flow of the market noticing price action more than anything and technicals are always last because throughout my 7+ year trading career I learned many styles and lost a lot of money chasing profits instead of understanding the psychology of trading and emotional intelligence it takes to not trade, but to make consistent profits and not risk my own hard earned money. Hope you take the advice and follow my trade ideas for more I cant post everything but my will be posting them on various platforms for before and afters. ***Correlates With USDZAR***
Long
by Mi3-Legacy-Wealth