USDMXN | TCT09This is just my Analysis so please be responsible for your own trades. I am still a newbie, still in the learning process, and still not profitable Yet. I am not an expert or a financial adviser. I just started Forex last February 2022. I am posting this for my Portfolio and Trading Journal Purposes so that I can review my past trades with my Progress anytime. ALWAYS WAIT FOR ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS!
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USDMXN | TCT09
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USDMXN
USDMXN bullish scenario:As a top-15 oil-producing country, Mexico is tied to its natural resources. The peso shows a tight correlation with other commodity-based currencies, including the Brazilian real (BRL) and the Colombian peso (COP). This interdependence increases the importance of energy fluctuations as well as of data that move crude oil and natural gas futures markets. If the price of oil continues to rise and inflation in the United States grows, the prospects for the appreciation of the Mexican peso against the dollar will increase.
In this pair, technical analysis shows a technical figure Falling Wedge. The Falling Wedge broke through the resistance line on 12/06/2022. USD/MXN is forming a bullish formation on a daily chart. If the price holds above this level, we will have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 27 days with a target of 20.5038. According to the experts, your stop loss should be around 19.4132 if you enter this position.
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USDMXN: A Swing Long Opportunity from the Bottom-Introduction-
USDMXN has arrived at the support area of 19.600 ~ 19.800. This is a strong support level, as we can see many times the price has bounced up from this level. Observing closely in daily chart , we could see that before a bounce from the support area , almost all prices formed a kind of a bullish candlestick pattern. After the bounce, we could spot price moving in a range for about two to three months. Therefore, we will be looking for buy opportunities from the support level .
-Trading Plan-
From the support level, the price has formed several doji stars. We can also spot a bullish divergence in RSI. Therefore, we have entered our swing long entries.
Check out our previous USDMXN trading plan below :)
A reversal could be close in the USDMXNA harmonic pattern seems to be forming in the USDMXN pair, it could be a bullish Gartley, so the reversal could be close. The pair is currently trading below the 50-period moving average on a daily basis without having a very marked slope.
I see the strongest support at 19.74 which has not been broken since June of last year and previously served as support 2 times during April of this year. The extension to 127% of the fibo coincides with the resistances of January of this year, as well as those of November and October of last year. If the reversal occurs, the dollar could easily go to the range of 20.5-20.88 pesos and maximum at 21.20. I highly doubt current prices will hold up anytime soon before a change in direction occurs.
USDMXN: A Trading Plan from the Support Level. -Introduction-
USDMXN is currently approaching the support area of 19.600 ~ 19.700. This is a strong support level, as we can see many times the price has bounced up from this level. Observing closely in daily chart, we can see that before a bounce from the support area, almost all prices formed a kind of a bullish candlestick pattern. After the bounce, we could spot price moving in a range for about two to three months. Therefore, we will be looking for short-term buy opportunities from the support level.
-Trading Plan-
First, we want to make sure that the price will not break the bottom. Therefore, we will be first looking for a bullish candlestick formation at the bottom. It could be a doji star, engulfer, piercing pattern, etc. If a pattern is formed, we will then enter our buy positions targeting the resistance level of 20.150 ~20.200. We expect the price to range for about two to three months from the bottom to the 20.150 ~ 20.200 level; therefore, we will plan to trade this range. However, we are only planning to buy from the bottom because we do expect the price to eventually break up from the range.
USDMXN Accumulating for an end-of-the-year riseThe USDMXN pair has been trading within a Channel Up since late 2020. The Fibonacci Channel levels help at understanding bettern the Resistance and Support levels involved on each Higher High and Higher Low leg. Right now the price action seems to be about to complete the (3) and final leg of the correction similar to that of August 2021. That was the Accumulation phase that led to an end-of-the-year rally that broke above the Higher Highs trend-line. We believe that a similar pattern will be followed, making the USDMXN a buy opportunity on the long-term.
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buy usdmxnThe price range of this pair was located at a minimum of the session at 20.2739 mxn and a maximum at 20.4402 mxn, from the structural point of view in the session of May 10 it formed a consolidation range, where the price is closer to the resistance zone if it is broken it could act as support for the next session, and the dollar against the Mexican peso rose slightly by 0.07% and the price has been forming a head-shoulder figure that favors buyers to break the resistance zone
✅USDMXN SHORT IDEA✅On 4H timeframe i am expecting USDMXN to be bearish
✅As per my setup and strategy I am expecting price to fall lower to Tracey 19.80200 before reaching their retracement is possible
✅For more accurate entry, look at 30M or 1H chart for better entry.
✅Plan risk management according to your requirements
Note :This is my personal opinion, do not take it as financial advise
USDMXN TRADE IDEAOn 4H timeframe i am expecting USDMXN to be bearish
As per my setup and strategy
Scenario 1:We were expecting a retracement towards Fibo 0.382-0.618 zone before it falls into 1.618 level
Scenario 2 :Directly falls toward fibo 1.618 level
The setup might fail if any external event effects the price .As long as rules were followed this setup will be valid
Note :This is my personal opinion, do not take it as financial advise
USDMXN Short Swing Trade Set UpUSDMXN has broken the trendline on the weekly and monthly chart. Currently price is retesting the break. Looking for price action to show rejection to the downside in the sell zone for entries.
💰TRADE OPPORTUNITY💰
PAIR:USDNXN📉 SELL
Entry Zone: Near 20.24000
Stop Loss: CLOSED 4HR candle Above 20.50000
Take Profit Zone: TP 1: 19.80, Swing target 19.00000
(Risk %: 1-3%)
Risk/Reward:1:1.7, Swing 1:5
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USDMXN Supply And Demand analysis-See chart for Analysis
-Price inside support/demand area, look for buys with confirmation (1hr)
USDMXN LONG POSITIONthis week we have had more stops than normal, but when looking for ratios with higher profit per trade we can be calm, in this case the Mexican peso reached a liquidity zone where it could rebound strongly, if it breaks the channel it would have even better confirmation, but I go to buy directly
USDMXN 22nd MARCH 2022Seen on USDMXN D1 chart looks bullish pinbar, there is a possibility that a bullish trend if today's market closes there is a bullish candle after the pinbar candlestick.
Then we see from COT reports, MXN currency : non-commercial started adding short positions, while long positions decreased a lot. the impact is the change in MXN sentiment becomes weaker.
ridethepig | USDMXN immediate mobilisationAnother typical procedure can be seen here, the combined advance by buyers cannot be prevented in the long run. This advanced would (and now we are seeing....) lay bare the base on the strong support at 18.9x. Much worse for Sellers, the attack on the highs involves 22.9/23.0 as a main target. For the strategy, the correct plan now consists of holding and adding as sellers continue to flee.
As well as USDMXN, we have also spoken about BRLMXN several times, we must not forget the following swing of the year. The imprisoned MXN is in a difficult position and lacks protection from BDM. Pips are for pipsqueaks, macro currency swings for a +58% can be played in many different ways.