Usdmxnidea
Analysis of USDMXN 10.10.2019The price is below the moving average of 20 MA and MA 200, indicating the downward trend.
MACD is below the zero level.
The oscillator Force Index is below the zero levels.
If the level of support is broken, you shall follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 19.4900
• Take Profit Level: 19.3600 (1300 pips)
If the price rebound from support level, you shall follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 19.6400
• Take Profit Level: 19.7000 (600 pips)
USDCHF
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 0.9910
USDJPY
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 107.30
EURUSD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.1020
GBPUSD
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 1.2190
USDMXN Fundamental Analysis – October 9th 2019Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for US Dollar trades:
US JOLTS Job Openings: US JOLTS Job Openings for August a predicted at 7.191M. Forex traders can compare this to US JOLTS Job Openings for September which were reported at 7.217M.
US Wholesale Inventories and Trade Sales: US Final Wholesale Inventories for August are predicted to increase by 0.4% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to previous US Wholesale Inventories for August which increased by 0.4% monthly. US Wholesale Trade Sales for August are predicted to increase by 0.2% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to US Wholesale Trade Sales for July which increased by 0.3% monthly.
FOMC Minutes: The US Federal Reserve will release minutes from its last meeting today and forex traders will look for any potential change in the wording used which could give insight to future monetary policy adjustments.
Here is the key factor to keep in mind today for Mexican Peso trades:
Mexican CPI: The Mexican CPI for September is predicted to increase by 0.25% monthly and by 2.99% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the Mexican CPI for August which was reported flat at 0.00% monthly and which increased by 3.16% annualized. The Mexican Core CPI for September is predicted to increase by 0.29% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to the Mexican Core CPI for August which increased by 0.20% monthly. The Mexican Bi-Weekly CPI for the week ending September 30th is predicted to increase by 0.10% monthly and by 2.98% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the Mexican Bi-Weekly CPI for the week ending September 16th which increased by 0.17% monthly and by 2.99% annualized. The Mexican Bi-Weekly Core CPI for the week ending September 30th is predicted to increase by 0.09% monthly. Forex traders can compare this to the Mexican Bi-Weekly Core CPI for the week ending September 16th which increased by 0.19% monthly.
Should price action for the USDMXN remain inside the or breakdown below the 19.5050 to 19.6530 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:
Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Short Position
Entry Level: Short Position @ 19.6050
Take Profit Zone: 19.1900 – 19.3185
Stop Loss Level: 19.7425
Should price action for the USDMXN breakout above 19.6530 the following trade set-up is recommended:
Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Long Position
Entry Level: Long Position @ 19.7425
Take Profit Zone: 19.9890 – 20.2545
Stop Loss Level: 19.6530
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USDMXN A tequila "Shot"If you missed the buy opportunity of USDMXN at the bottom of the wick that touched the trendline, well dry your tears for you can short at the channel retest with a good return of 1400 pips if it gets to our TP of 1.90000 psychological handle. Watch PA closely, if the bullish momentum is strong enough to incise the channel, this trade will be invalidated as there's not a lot of fundamental backup to it.
The USDMXN has a high pip return and would be nice to it to your trading portfolio.
Happy trading and profitable week!
NOTE:, I am still long on this pair since the entry on Friday but notice that we are heading to fib 50% and a major weekly turncoat-resistance, hence the neutral stance and EUREKA Moment!!!
Fundies Show Weakness, Technicals Show OversoldTo be brief, Mexican growth is slowing with prospects for the G20 economy to slow further. Technicals oscillators shown below indicate a buy as well. This buy is a bit crowded however, so I wouldn't be surprised if the contrarian sell comes in strong. But I lean long.
If you like my analysis, please feel free to check out my other work at www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
USD/MXN Short Idea - Death Cross Ahead and 700+ pips?USD/MXN has been giving us some serious pips since November! We captured over 1,400 on the latest sell-off, followed by 400 plus pips recently on a short-lived buy. If you refer to my linked idea below related to the reversal after the drop, you will see in my updates how the 200 MA provided resistance, to which I immediately closed my buy position. This area also happened to be a key zone in the market as highlighted. Price respected this area of resistance this week, right at the 200 MA touch on the daily time frame.
What I see now is a possible death cross. We see a kiss and possible cross of two key moving averages, the 50 MA cross over the 200 MA to the downside. This could mean a death cross for this pair = more selloff, to the tune of another 700 pips! We also see the trend line,which as highlighted, price has respected. If this pair continues to sell off we could see price hit the next lowest key zone (highlighted), which also would serve as an area of confluence at the next key zone in the market. Based on the last bull run attempt it just doesn't appear that the bears are too ready to retreat and give way to the bulls. We see a little indecision accordingly so far, looking at the latest daily candle, and the bearish retreat on the lower time frame.
Please view my linked ideas below along with my commentary in each idea along the way. Please also like and offer your comments. It's a good idea to pay close attention to my updates as I observe price action. I'm a student always and love to study the markets.
As always trade at your own risk. This idea is for demonstration and educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
USDMXN Possible bullish reversal USDMXN broke out of the one month long consolidation, we now have a possible bullish reversal and we can try to catch this retest for a long trade in the kill zone as shown in the chart above. Target one is as shown in chart but there more upside if we break above that level as well