USDNOK
USD/NOK - POTENTIAL OF BIG MOVEIn this analysis we have a lot of strong bullish signs. I have to remind that we are in bullish MID-TERM trend and we have spotted near the bottom. It was 0.618 Fibo as good point for long. There is still open move for 0.786 Fibo but i really doubt that we could move there (it would be bottom of trade channel).
Bullish signals:
0.618 Fibo retracement correction
Falling Wedge (bullish) or it could remind bullish flag after big move
RSI trendline broken.
What to watch:
A good entry would be after short-term EMA breakout up and falling wedge too. In this trade we could see a big potential move without confirmation so watch the reaction in the edge of resistant line (Falling Wedge).
When the market bounce down, we could see another retrace up in the 0.786 Fibo near 8.50-8.47.
Targets are SET:
TP1 area -> 8.68 - 8.73
TP2 area -> 8.78 - 8.86
When the market breaks the upper trendline of Falling Wedge, so SL could be 8.56 or when the market tries to check 0.786 Fibo (8.50-8.47) SL -> 8.46.
GL.
USDNOK: Short on the 4H Lower High.The pair has made a Lower High on the 4H Channel Down. With 1D a Channel Down also on bearish stochastics (STOCH = 35.614, STOCHRSI = 35.614) it is more likely to get a decline now towards a Lower Low. Based on the -1.40% metric, we have a short TP = 8.52100.
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VIDEO ANALYSIS: USDNOK TO 8.4515In this video update, we take a look USDNOK and how this market could benefit from any USD weakness.
The weekly chart showed price rejecting a key resistance zone, looking to the 4hr chart we can see price is
currently back at previous structure lows where we could see sellers re-enter the market.
USDNOK BULLISH TRADE IDEAHi Traders,
The USDNOK reversed from a weekly support level and broke out of descending trendline and resistance level.
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Price seems to be making an ABC zigzag corrective pattern which is likely to attract buyers at the 38.2 Fib ratio that lined up with swing level and moving averages.
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We will wait for the completion of the corrective structure and then look for buy entry once the price breaks the blue CTL.
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According to Elliot Wave principle, when wave (i) is extended, wave (iii) through to (v) is often 61.8 - 78.6% relative to the size of wave (i). So the price has the potential to move up towards the 61.8 - 78.6 Fib Extension level that lined up with a key resistance as planned on the chart.
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Thanks for reading!
Veejahbee.
USDNOK - H&S formulatingFundamentally I'm NOK mainly because of PPP and Effective exchange rate undervaluation of the NOK. While in the meantime Norges bank will raise rates twice in 2019.
Technically : pretty (maybe too pretty?) H&S
Action:
-wait for daily bearish candlestick form, go short
-target: lower bound of the channel, 200 DMA confluence
USDNOK - BEARISH CONTINUATION PATTERNHi traders,
The USDNOK reversed from a resistance zone and breakout below the ascending trend line and support level.
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Price seems to be building a bullish retracement which is probably part of a wave 4 of a larger wave A.
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Price has the potential to make a bearish bounce at our confluence level as planned on the chart which could indicate the continuation of the downtrend to the support zone.
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We will wait for the completion of the corrective structure and look for a breakout of the blue counter trend line to take advantage of the pending bearish move.
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Thanks for reading!
USDNOK AT KEY SUPPORTThe Norwegian Dollar has benefited off the back of the current rise in the price of Oil.
USD weakness continues with Fed members talking of potential rate hikes.
Currently, price is testing the key support of 8.4500 and price could move higher from here.
If price holds and moves back to the resistance we could see a head and shoulders pattern forming and further downside.
USDNOK: Approaching a bottom. Strong buy opportunity.The pair has been trading within a long term 1W Channel Up (RSI = 55.524, MACD = 0.145) since last April and according to its neutral Highs/Lows (0.0000), it is near a Higher Low. Based on the Higher Highs/ Higher Lows measurements, the next Higher High is projected on a +6.50% rise at 9.0000. We are going long setting however a more modest TP at 8.82250 (practically the latest Higher High).
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USDNOK DOWNSIDE TO CONTINUEUSDNOK looks likely to continue lower after forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 4hr chart.
The weekly chart is in an uptrend however price has recently tested a key area of resistance.
With the USD weakness combined with stabilizing oil prices, the NOK could see further upside pushing this chart lower.
If price retraces to the head and shoulders neckline we can look for potential shorting opportunities down to the key support.
POSSIBLE LONG-TERM BULLISH TRAD IDEA ON USDNOKPrice broke out of the ABC correction counter trend line which is also the neckline of a double bottom pattern.
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Price has the potential to move towards the resistance level after it broken out of the correction with an impulsive wave 1-5 and retested the broken structure with an ABC zigzag pattern.
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Considering that the price has broken out if the ABC zigzag CTL, we will just have to let the market decide it's move.
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Best of luck on the chart!
POTENTIAL LONG SETUP ON USDNOKPrice completed a motive contracting leading diagonal wave and made a corrective ABC structure.
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The ABC corrective structure also ends with a double bottom pattern at the support confluence level and price has the potential to move up towards the resistance level.
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Considering that the price has broken the counter trend line, all the bullish criteria has been met. So we just have to place an order and see how price unfold.
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Safe trading!