USDNOK Elliot Wave 4 Hour ChartUSDNOK has a trading opportunity to the upside. In line with the USD index being bullish, there's high potential for the pair to follow suit. It suggests the formation of a regular flat, and the C wave is about to start. The smaller regular flat outside the channel has reached equal legs (100% fib extension) and might turn upside any where within the box. I'll check for trading opportunities there, but right now there is no clear indication of the a trade to the upside. It might tag the lower side of the box and then have an aggressive push to the upside.
USDNOK
Long opportunity for long termI expect to usd/nok prices go higher until mid of 2024,
It looks like From 8.50 to 8.40 range best place to long usdnok right now 8.21 or 8.05 might be your SL place according to your position.
Long Position entry Location 8.40-8.50
SL:8.21 or 8.05
TP1: 11
TP2: 12.75
TP3: 13.60
TP4: 14.90
USDNOK will hit psychological as Oil approaches supportUSDNOK is strongly anti-correlated to the prices of oil. Although the US imports most of its oil from Canada, some of the oil producers there are owned by a Norwegian company. Then, the prices are moving globally with oil being one of the most traded commodities.
Last time they USDNOK and USOIL both hit a psychological resistance, both reversed at the same time. USDNOK has fallen sharply from 9.0 level as oil has risen from a 65 level. Later on, the oil went for 200 EMA and USDNOK returned to 9.0 and bounced again.
I don't see any fundamental basis for cheaper oil. Even if there are lockdowns, they will be fairly limited and then, the demand is bound to stay high. Even more so with Europe concerned about winter and Japan starting to use its reserves soon.
So I find it very likely that Oil might stop and reverse at 75 or 70 level where the price meets 200 EMA, also. Of course, at that time, USDNOK will be around the level of 9.0 and that's when Norwegian Krona started to gain strength against US Dollar.
When the price action on both pairs supports the idea, I will be shorting.
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDNOK Is Unfolding Three-Wave CorrectionHello traders!
Today we will talk about USDNOK pair, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective, as we see quite clear pattern.
USDNOK made a five-wave bullish impulse from the lows, ideally as part of first leg (A), which has been followed by a three-wave A-B-C setback in wave (B). Well, now that is breaking back above channel resistance line, seems like wave (C) is already in progress, which can push the price up to 9-10 resistance area before bears show up again.
So, be aware of more upside in upcoming days/weeks, just be aware of short-term intraday pullbacks.
Trade well!
If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
USDNOK: BUYMany of our setups for this week on USD pairs are leaning more towards a bullish bias. As you can see on USDNOK, if you drew a Fibonacci from low to high off the daily time frame, you can see that price closed right around the 50.0 entry level of the Fib last week, so if you take this idea, feel free to set your stop loss level and expect to take profit around 9.6932 .
BEARISH OUTLOOK FOR USDNOKUSDNOK Formed a double top structure on the daily timeframe and from there we saw a breakout of the neckline and yesterday the price retested the neckline. The daily candle close was a pinbar showing bears attempt to push the price lower. All this gave reasons to go short.
What is your opinion on USDNOK?
USDNOK Found Support at 8.7 and Long Target at 8.9Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour. The fx cross USDNOK appears to have found support around the 8.7 price level, as the countertrend move in the currency appears to have ended. This produces an opportunity to go long USDNOK with initial resistance observed around 8.9, which can be an initial target for the fx cross.
Technical Indicators
The premise is based on the RSI emerging from oversold levels and currently near the 50 level at the time of publishing. Also, there is a positive crossover on the KST. Despite the fx cross being below its medium-term MA (75-SMA), USDNOK is above its fractal MA and testing its short-term MA (25-SMA).
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market. Stop loss will be set around the 8.7 price level and a target of 8.9. This produces a risk-reward ratio of 1.3.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in USDNOK.
NOK Uptrend Breakdown + August Bullish for OilThe USD/NOK pair recently finished the upward move it began in mid May, which we previously traded successfully. The pair has now executed a bearish crossover and looks to retest lower levels such as 8.45 or even resume the prior secular downtrend.
August is historically a bullish month for petroleum prices, which directly influence the NOK, so we should have a tailwind at our back. www.fxstreet.com
USDNOK LONGUSDNOK is currently moving on an uptrend and has created a falling wedge, so it is showing us that it is definitely a strong Buy.
It is definitely respecting its trend.
ENTRY @ 8.85348
TP @ 8.89239
SL @ 8.83623
I do have a tight stop loss but if you want to make a few adjustments on it, feel free to!
Happy Trading :)
USD/NOK - I take profits now!Last update:
YES! The bulls can turn the move up into momentum and we cross the resistance at NOK 8,72980. Now I see a 5-part movement within wave 3. USD / NOK should now come back in wave 4 in green up to a maximum of NOK 8,49547. I estimate the current correction as wave 4, which has room to reach the mentioned area.
USD/NOK - The bulls are strong! YES! The bulls can turn the move up into momentum and we cross the resistance at NOK 8,72980. Now I see a 5-part movement within wave 3. USD / NOK should now come back in wave 4 in green up to a maximum of NOK 8,49547. I estimate the current correction as wave 4, which has room to reach the mentioned area.