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DJ FXCM Index

xauusd analysis for coming weekKey Factors Influencing XAU/USD Monetary Policy & Interest Rates: By early 2025, the Federal Reserve’s stance will be critical. If rate cuts are underway (due to recession risks or controlled inflation), gold could rally as the USD weakens. Conversely, a "higher-for-longer" rate policy could cap gains. Watch for Fed speeches and the PCE inflation report (due late February 2025) for clues. Geopolitical Risks: Escalations in conflicts, trade tensions, or unexpected crises (e.g., energy disruptions, elections) could trigger safe-haven demand for gold. USD Strength: A strong dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. economic data) may pressure gold. Monitor the DXY Index for inverse correlations. Scenario-Based Outlook Bullish Case: Fed dovishness + weak USD + geopolitical instability → Rally toward $2,100–2,150/oz. Bearish Case: Hawkish Fed + strong U.S. data + risk-on sentiment → Decline toward $1,900–1,850/oz. Trading Strategy Long-term investors: Accumulate near $1,920–1,950/oz if fundamentals align with bullish drivers. Critical Events to Monitor Fed Chair Powell’s testimony (if scheduled). U.S. Q4 GDP revisions (February 27, 2025). Global PMI data (manufacturing/services activity). Geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-China relations, Middle East tensions). Conclusion Gold’s trajectory will hinge on the interplay between Fed policy, the dollar, and risk sentiment. While technicals suggest a range-bound market between $1,900–2,080/oz, prepare for volatility around key data releases. Always use risk management tools (stop-loss, position sizing) given the uncertainty of long-term forecasts. more detailed video analysis will be published soon BOOST US SHARE US
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
USD Bulls on the RopesThe US dollar (USD) – per the US Dollar Index – is on track to end February on the ropes following January’s monthly indecision candle at the resistance of 109.33. I believe USD bears have space to drive towards a ‘local’ descending support around 105.40ish, extended from the high of 107.35. Similarly, the daily timeframe demonstrates scope for sellers to strengthen their grip. Last week witnessed the Index reject resistance at 107.05, drawing focus towards an ‘alternate’ AB=CD from 105.77 (the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio). For those unfamiliar with Harmonic trading, an alternate AB=CD is simply an extended equal AB=CD formation using either 1.272% or 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratios. Interestingly, not only does the alternate AB=CD pattern share chart space with daily support at 105.62, but these daily levels are located just north of the monthly timeframe’s descending support line underlined above. Consequently, although there is room for bears to take control in the short to medium term, the combination of the monthly and daily support levels could entice profit-taking and encourage fresh long positions into the market, should we reach said area. Given monthly and daily charts echoing a bearish vibe, I will primarily focus on short-term resistance levels this week. One standout area of H1 resistance is between 107.24 and 107.14, made up of two trendline resistance lines (drawn from 109.88 and 106.57), a horizontal resistance level and two Fibonacci retracement ratios (78.6% and 38.2%). What is also interesting from a technical perspective is that the above-noted H1 resistance zone converges closely with daily resistance mentioned above at 107.05, therefore should the H1 resistance area be tested, the fact daily resistance is also present could add weight to a bearish showing. Should we fail to reach as high as the H1 zone, my next base case scenario is to watch local H1 supports to cede ground to trigger possible selling opportunities: the 106.43 low, for example.
TVC:DXYShort
by FPMarkets
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier. Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk. I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight. There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction. DAILY WEEKLY
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Mikhiavelli
3
GBP/USD at Key Resistance: Potential Reversal or Continuation?The GBP/USD 15-minute chart indicates a strong uptrend, with price action forming a **Crab harmonic pattern**, suggesting a potential overextension. The pair has reached a key resistance zone at **1.26323**, aligning with significant Fibonacci levels, with the **Harmonic Optimal Point (HOP) at 1.26469** acting as a potential reversal area. If a pullback occurs, the first downside targets are 1.26127 and 1.25993 , while the ** 200 EMA ** below may provide further support. A sustained break above 1.26469 could signal continued bullish momentum. Traders should monitor price action for confirmation before positioning accordingly.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
1
AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6391 2nd Resistance – 0.6404 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
AUDUSD Bullish break-out signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the whole month of February and since yesterday it is making a bounce on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Today it broke above the previous High and this is a bullish break-out signal. The previous Bullish Leg that rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and broke above its previous High, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. With the presence of an Inner Higher Highs trend-line, we expect the pair to hit the 1.382 Fib at 0.64250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EUR/USD Wedge Breakout (17.2.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0413 2nd Support – 1.0375 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
USDCAD VOLATILITY TRADEOn the 12 months chart, price show an impulsive bearish move that took 6 years o complete. In tandem with price action, the bullish correction that is currently active has taken 14 years. Price is yet to contact a fresh long-term supply sitting at 1.544. On the monthly and weekly charts, the structure is still the same. Price is seeking to contact a short term fresh supply at 1.44. On the daily chart, price continues to form new highs. On the short term (daily), we are looking at a bearish price correction fueled by the US election volatility. Price is expected to correct towards the 1.35-1.32 range thereafter resuming the original long term bullish price correction.
by morrisgitau
gold on short bullishGold (XAU/USD) saw a strong breakout above $2,904.50 yesterday, confirming bullish momentum. The price is currently in an upward trend, with buyers pushing toward $2,928.60 as the next key resistance. However, the overall market structure suggests potential bearish pressure if key support levels fail. Key Levels to Watch: Buy Entry: Above $2,915.99 (Buy stop order) Take Profit (TP): $2,922 – $2,928.60 Stop Loss (SL): $2,906 (A break below this invalidates bullish bias) Bearish Breakdown Zone: Below $2,906, with targets below $2,900 Bullish Scenario: If XAU/USD holds above $2,915.99, expect a push toward $2,922, and if momentum continues, $2,928.60 could be tested. Buyers remain in control above $2,906, and dips may be seen as buying opportunities. Bearish Scenario: A break below $2,906 could lead to bearish reform, triggering a drop below $2,900. If sellers dominate, we may see extended declines toward $2,890 or lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by newbeginneracademy
Emerging Markets Are Breaking Higher; Be Aware Of Lower USDollarEmerging markets, represented by the EEM chart, have been trending lower since October 2024 in what appears to be a complex W-X-Y corrective pattern. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a strong rally, driven by Trump’s victory in the US elections. However, the rally formed a wedge pattern, which suggests that its upside momentum may be coming to an end. Why is the correlation between EEM and DXY important? If the Trump administration pushes oil prices lower, inflation expectations could also decline. This would likely lead to lower interest rates, which in turn could weigh on the USD. In such a scenario, capital may flow out of the US and into emerging markets. Now that EEM is recovering and breaking above a key channel resistance, it signals that bullish momentum is returning. If this trend continues on EEM to 2024 highs, then DXY could decline to the 105–103 range—or possibly even as low as 100.
AMEX:EEM
by ew-forecast
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025Trend : Gold is in a strong uptrend, trading within a rising channel. The price has consistently respected the green trendline (support). Higher highs and higher lows confirm bullish momentum. Key Levels: Support: $2,750, $2,650 (major swing lows) Resistance: $2,950, $3,000 (psychological level) Technical Patterns: There are multiple bullish breakouts from consolidation zones, marked by red resistance trendlines. The recent breakout above $2,850 suggests a continuation toward $3,000. Ascending channel formation with a possible breakout to $3,250 in the long term. Indicators: Bollinger Bands: The price is riding the upper band, showing strong buying pressure. Momentum: Continues to favor bulls unless there’s a breakdown below $2,850. 1-Hour Chart (Second Image) Analysis Short-Term Trend: Gold recently retested support around $2,880 and is consolidating. Price is trading above the green trendline, maintaining a bullish structure. Bearish Pullback Areas: The bearish wick at $2,940 suggests rejection from strong resistance. A break below $2,880 may signal a temporary correction toward $2,850. Key Intraday Levels: Support: $2,880, $2,850 Resistance: $2,940, $3,000 Possible Setups: Breakout Buy: Above $2,940 → Target $3,000. Support Buy: Around $2,880–$2,850 with stop loss below $2,840. Short-term Sell: If price rejects $2,940 again, targeting $2,880. Trading Ideas & Strategy 1. Swing Trading (Daily Chart Perspective) Long Entry: Buy on a pullback near $2,850–$2,880, targeting $3,000–$3,250. Stop Loss: Below $2,820. 2. Intraday Trading (1H Chart) Buy: If price reclaims $2,940 → Target $3,000. Sell: If price rejects $2,940 again → Target $2,880 with a stop loss at $2,955. 3. Risk Management Keep SL tight (~$20-$30 range) due to Gold’s volatility. Use trailing stop loss to secure profits as price moves higher. Conclusion Bullish Trend Dominates: Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and as long as it holds above $2,850–$2,880, buying dips remains the best approach. Short-term Rejections Possible: If resistance at $2,940 holds, a small pullback may happen before another push higher. Long-term Target: $3,000–$3,250 remains achievable in the coming weeks if bulls maintain control.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by DhandaTheGreat