Get started

DJ FXCM Index

here is an analysis for the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on the 30-m Based on the chart provided, here is an analysis for the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on the 30-minute timeframe: ### Observations: 1. **Resistance Zone (Blue Area)**: - The price is approaching a marked resistance zone around 109.000. - The annotation "wait for bearish confirmation" suggests this level is significant, and traders are looking for signs of reversal (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns or failure to break above). 2. **Key Levels**: - **109.000**: Strong resistance zone where selling pressure is anticipated. - **108.600-108.400**: A support zone below, indicated by green shaded areas. - **107.800**: A major lower support zone, indicating where buyers might step in strongly if the price drops significantly. 3. **Market Structure**: - **Higher High (HH)**: The price has created a higher high, indicating bullish momentum in the short term. - **Change of Character (ChoCh)**: Highlighted earlier in the chart, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure during the recent recovery. 4. **Potential Scenarios**: - If the price forms bearish confirmation at the resistance zone (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing), a sell-off might be expected toward the first support level around 108.600. - If bullish momentum continues and the price breaks and retests above 109.000, it could target higher levels. ### Strategy: - **For Selling**: - Wait for bearish confirmation around 109.000. - Potential targets could be the support zones at 108.600 and 108.400. - **For Buying**: - Monitor if the price respects the support zones (108.600-108.400) and shows bullish signs for potential entries. - If price breaks below these support zones, consider 107.800 as the next key level.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
USD/JPY Poised for a Breather Before Resuming Its AscentUSD/JPY: A Strategic Pause Before the Next Bullish Wave The USD/JPY currency pair is taking a breather, consolidating after a period of robust growth. This pause comes as a natural result of market dynamics, offering traders an opportunity to reflect on the underlying forces shaping the pair’s trajectory. The strengthening U.S. dollar, supported by a resilient economy and relatively hawkish monetary policy, contrasts sharply with the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This divergence in central bank approaches creates a fertile environment for medium-term bullish potential in the USD/JPY pair. Over the past year, the currency pair has experienced a rollercoaster ride. A sharp decline in 2022 was fueled by aggressive rate cuts in the United States, a slight tightening move by the BoJ, and interventionist measures from Japan’s central bank aimed at stabilizing the yen. However, these interventions proved largely ineffective in altering the broader trend. The USD/JPY pair eventually reversed its course, erasing nearly all of its losses and climbing back toward the significant 162.0 level—a testament to the enduring strength of the dollar and the yen's continued weakness. Currently, the market is in a consolidation phase, with clear boundaries and well-defined levels emerging over the past several weeks. This phase serves as a critical juncture for traders, as it provides strong technical levels to guide trading strategies. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Level: 158.1 Support Levels: 156.74, 155.88 The primary trigger for a bullish continuation lies at the resistance level of 158.1. A decisive breakout above this level, accompanied by sustained price consolidation, would signal the market's readiness to push higher, potentially targeting all-time highs (ATH). However, traders should also prepare for the possibility of a temporary correction. Should the resistance hold, the currency pair may retrace toward the lower boundaries of the consolidation zone before resuming its upward momentum. Fundamental Context Driving USD/JPY The current landscape is shaped by stark differences in monetary policy between the U.S. Federal Reserve and the BoJ. While the Fed has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, keeping rates elevated to combat inflation, the BoJ has stuck to its ultra-loose monetary policy framework. Japan’s central bank continues to cap bond yields and resist significant tightening measures, prioritizing economic stability over currency strength. This divergence has amplified the appeal of the U.S. dollar against the yen, drawing capital flows into dollar-denominated assets and sustaining the bullish narrative for USD/JPY. Moreover, the broader macroeconomic environment supports the dollar's dominance. With robust labor market data, resilient GDP growth, and moderating inflation in the United States, the greenback remains a safe haven for investors navigating global uncertainties. In contrast, Japan's economy faces structural challenges, including stagnant wage growth and subdued consumer spending, further limiting the yen's recovery potential. Technical Outlook: Preparing for the Next Move From a technical perspective, the current consolidation is a healthy phase that sets the stage for the next significant move. Traders should closely monitor price action around the resistance at 158.1. A breakout above this level would open the door for an extended rally, with the psychological 162.0 level and beyond serving as potential targets. Conversely, failure to break resistance could lead to a retracement toward the support levels at 156.74 and 155.88. Such a pullback would not invalidate the bullish outlook but would instead offer a better entry point for those looking to capitalize on the broader upward trend. Trading Strategy For traders, patience and precision are key in navigating this phase. Those with a bullish bias should wait for confirmation of a breakout above 158.1, accompanied by increased volume and sustained consolidation. Meanwhile, a pullback to support levels could present an opportunity for value-based entries, provided the broader trend remains intact. Risk management remains paramount, as false breakouts and unexpected market shifts can occur in such volatile conditions. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair is at a crossroads, with consolidation serving as the calm before the next storm. The interplay between a strong dollar and a dovish BoJ creates a compelling case for further upside, but traders must remain vigilant and adaptable. Whether the pair breaks resistance or retraces to support, the medium-term outlook remains bullish, underpinned by both technical and fundamental factors. Stay prepared and disciplined, as the next leg of the journey toward new highs could be just around the corner.
Long
by lonelyPlayer0
EURUSD Buy signal on (4h)EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Down and is pulling back on the (4h) time frame after a double top near the MA200 (4h). The crossing under the MA50 (4h) is following a pattern similar to December 2nd, which turns it now into a buy opportunity. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.04500 (MA200 4h and under the +2.88% move that December did). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is approaching the 40.00 level of the December 2nd bounce. Additional buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
DXY: Ascending Triangle topping soon. Excellent sell opportunityThe U.S. Dollar Index is on a steady bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.447, MACD = 0.640, ADX = 33.835) as with the exception of November's last week, it has been rising nonstop since September 30th 2024. The price is near the HH Zone of the Ascending Triangle, the 1W RSI has double topped and we are, or getting close to, the new long term top. Technically the 1W RSI is already similar to the October 9th 2023 top. The risk now is lower in going short. Aim for the 1W MA200 (TP = 103.000), which was the level that offered the late September support. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DXYShort
by InvestingScope
1
gold (xauusd) according to lower time frame, Based on the chart provided: 1. **Descending Channel**: - Gold appears to be trading within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend in play. 2. **Resistance Zone**: - A resistance area is marked near the upper trendline of the channel, suggesting that sellers might enter around this level. - Price is currently near this resistance zone. 3. **Bearish Confirmation**: - The text notes to wait for bearish confirmation before executing a sell trade. This could involve a rejection from the resistance zone (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern like a pin bar, engulfing candle, or increased selling volume). 4. **Trade Plan**: - If bearish confirmation occurs at the resistance zone, price is expected to drop back toward the lower boundary of the descending channel. - Potential targets: - Mid-level support (likely around 2630). - Lower channel line (near 2610 or lower). 5. **No Confirmation, No Trade**: - If price fails to confirm bearish rejection and instead breaks out above the resistance zone, no trade should be executed as the bearish structure would be invalidated.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Trudeau’s Expected Resignation Prompts Dollar ReboundThe USD/CAD pair hit 1.4379, reflecting a rebound from its earlier January 2016 lows, as traders react to the potential resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. This possible political shift has also strengthened the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, causing the loonie to pare some of its earlier gains. Trudeau's anticipated departure, amid public and legislative pressure, adds an element of political uncertainty in Canada, which could impact the CAD's stability. Meanwhile, in the U.S., President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans are being recalibrated to target only critical imports, a shift from his campaign's universal tariff approach. This adjustment aims to mitigate widespread disruptions and price increases, potentially supporting market stability and investor confidence. As these geopolitical and economic factors unfold, traders should remain vigilant, as developments in Canadian leadership and U.S. trade policies could introduce further volatility and influence USD/CAD dynamics.
by tastyfx
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern. At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance. As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BASED ON 1H-TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, Based on the chart you provided, here's the current analysis: 1. **Current Price Action**: - BTC is trading near 97,800, within a rising channel. - There are visible higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming the bullish momentum in the short term. 2. **Resistance Zone**: - The key resistance is marked at 99,000 (blue zone), where BTC previously reversed. This is a strong area to watch for potential selling pressure. 3. **Support Levels**: - Immediate support lies near 97,000 (orange zone). - A deeper support zone is visible around 95,500 to 96,000, which aligns with previous demand and bullish order blocks. 4. **Potential Scenarios**: - If the price continues its upward trend, a test of the 99,000 resistance zone seems likely. - Rejection from 99,000 could signal a retracement back to the 97,000 or even the 96,000 level for support retests. - Breaking and closing above 99,000 might open the door for BTC to target higher levels, possibly 100,000 or beyond. 5. **Market Structure**: - The chart shows a recent break of structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating bullish strength. - However, keep an eye on any potential change of character (ChoCh) near the resistance zones, which might suggest a reversal or slowdown. My Suggestion: - **For Bulls**: Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near the 97,000 or 96,000 support zones with a target near 99,000. - **For Bears**: Wait for confirmation of rejection near the 99,000 resistance zone before considering a sell, targeting the lower support zones (97,000 or 96,000).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 109.64 1st Support: 108 1st Resistance: 110.93 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
2
USD/CAD Breakout OpportunityTrading Idea: USD/CAD Breakout Opportunity USD/CAD has paused its four-day rally, trading near 1.4400 during the Asian session. The Canadian Dollar is supported by rising oil prices, with WTI nearing $73.50 per barrel, while US Dollar strength from the Fed’s hawkish stance limits the downside. Technical Outlook: The pair is consolidating within a rectangle pattern. The best trading approach is to wait for a confirmed breakout: Upside breakout: Indicates continued bullish momentum. Downside breakout: Signals a potential CAD-driven correction. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.4430–1.4450 Support: 1.4360–1.4380 Risk management is essential—always use stop-loss orders and manage your position size to protect your capital. Follow for more trading ideas and education!
by InwardTrader
Xau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframeXau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframe - This idea is based on educational purposes Detailed analysis for higher time frame to lower time frame Market currently at 2639.72 and in higher time frame 2621 is a rejected point more then 6 times so when we move to lowest time frame things are more clearly and we see that market is moving in uptrend so we have to move and trade within trend if market move and touched 2642 to 2645.00 area we will entered in buy trade and our first target would be 2650.00 then 2660 onwards if market break the region which are selected and move downward we will take our first take profit at 2621.00 again it was crucial point but if it went again this point we will see the next move at 2605.00 Like and Comments on our Analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by professionaltradersfx
EURUSD: Still bearish long term. Don't buy a falling knife.EURUSD remains heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.500, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.396) as the 1 month Channel Down remains intact. The current 4H rebound is the bullish wave of the Channel and technically once the 4H MA50 is hit, it will turn into a bearish opportunity again. We are waiting for that signal to sell towards the bottom of the Channel (TP = 1.0200). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Analysis of EUR/USD: A Strategic Insight for TradersThe EUR/USD currency pair has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, trading near the 1.0430 level during Monday’s Asian session. This uptick is primarily driven by remarks from members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council and expectations of delayed interest rate cuts in the Eurozone. However, the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a stronger U.S. Dollar (USD) could cap the Euro’s gains in the short term. Fundamental Factors Influencing EUR/USD European Central Bank (ECB) Robert Holzmann, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated that further rate cuts might be delayed. He highlighted recent inflation spikes and emphasized the inflationary pressures stemming from the Trump administration’s tariff policies, which may slow economic growth but increase inflation. Delayed Rate Cut Expectations: Markets anticipate the ECB to slow down rate cuts due to rising inflation and the need for economic stabilization. U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points during the December meeting, but the dot plot indicates only two rate cuts anticipated for 2025. Fed Chair Jerome Powell: He reiterated that the central bank would approach further rate cuts cautiously. Impact on USD: The Fed's hawkish messaging has bolstered the USD, acting as a counterweight to the EUR/USD rally. Economic Policies under the Trump Administration Tariffs and Tax Cuts: The administration’s policies are expected to intensify inflationary pressures, potentially altering the Fed’s monetary policy outlook in favor of the USD. Short-to-Medium Term Outlook for EUR/USD Bullish Scenario : Signals of delayed ECB rate cuts and improved Eurozone economic data could sustain support for the Euro. Bearish Scenario : Continued hawkish Fed messaging, coupled with strong U.S. economic data, could exert downward pressure on EUR/USD.. Technical Analysis: Pivotal Levels in Play Weekly Momentum: Momentum indicators on the weekly timeframe highlight persistent selling pressure, aligning with the prior bearish analysis. Key Support Levels: The price is trading near the confluence of the lower boundary of a neutral channel and the median line of the Andrews Pitchfork, intensifying the sensitivity of this zone. Potential Breakdown: The momentum suggests a higher likelihood of breaking below this support unless weekly price action signals a reversal by surging and breaking above the 1.0534 resistance level. Conclusion and Call to Action This analysis outlines critical fundamental and technical elements shaping the EUR/USD’s trajectory. With key macroeconomic events and technical levels at play, traders should stay vigilant for decisive moves. 👉 What’s Your Move? If you find this analysis insightful, hit the Boost button and share it with your trading community. Let’s navigate these markets together—profitably!
Short
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
Apparently, bright days are ahead of DXYDXY has underwent a reversal: 1- A clean inverted head and shoulders 2- A dropping wedge break high (Which is a reversal at the end of the bearish move) 3- Break and retest of the inverted head and shoulders and the wedge simultaneously 4- Ichimoku cloud broken high as well, indicating the shifting trend bias Expect the target area as marked on the chart either by the end of this year or whenever FED announces rate cuts. Best of luck and happy trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
2