$USINTR - U.S Interest Rates (March/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR
March/2025
source: Federal Reserve
- The Fed keep the funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%,
but signaled expectations of slower economic growth and rising inflation.
The statement also noted that uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased, but officials still anticipate only two quarter-point rate reductions in 2025.
DJ FXCM Index
CAD JPY BUY Trade Setup 2 hour timeframe On the 2 hour timeframe CAD JPY has broken a key structure level forming a Higher high and higher low uptrend pattern, we need to wait for a retest of the higher low level for the completion of a Bullish Break and Retest pattern, also this level align with the Fib Retracement zone 0.618-0.50
Entry will be based off candlestick confirmation on the retest level.
Patience Patience ⏰👌🏻
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
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btc on bearish#BTCUSD price have been rejecting down below 82k multiple times, now we await for double breakout below 83735 to sell.
If price falls below 83735 then possible drop below 82k will occur which will form new zone for bearish, stop loss at 84700.
Above the rectangle holds bullish if the H1 candle closes above.
Gold at $3,000: The Ultimate Panic Buy or Just Another Bubble? 💰 Gold Hits Record Highs – Because the World is on Fire 🔥
Ah, gold—humanity’s favorite panic button. As of March 2025 , gold prices have skyrocketed past $3,000 per ounce . Why? Because the world can’t go five minutes without a crisis. 🌍💥
Trade wars? Check.
Geopolitical conflicts? Check.
The eternal struggle between "experts" predicting doom and moonboys screaming ‘buy the dip’? Check.
With the U.S. economy wobbling like a Jenga tower after a few tequila shots and global uncertainty at an all-time high, investors are piling into gold like it’s the last lifeboat on the Titanic. 🚢💨
🏦 Central Banks: The Ultimate Gold Hoarders
If you think you have a gold addiction, meet central banks. These guys have been buying over 1,000 metric tons per year —basically turning their vaults into dragon lairs. 🐉💰
Why? Because they definitely trust fiat currencies… just not enough to NOT hedge against their own policies. 😏
China, India, and Turkey are leading the charge, stacking gold like it’s a limited edition NFT.
The logic? If everything goes to hell, at least they’ll have something pretty to look at.
📈 What Do the ‘Smart People’ Think? (Spoiler: They Don’t Agree 🙄)
Let’s check what the big banks are saying—because if there’s one thing banks are great at, it’s being consistently wrong with their predictions.
JP Morgan Private Bank is feeling "constructive" about gold. Which is just a fancy way of saying "Eh, we have no clue, but it looks good." They think potential Fed rate cuts could send gold higher. 🚀
VanEck highlights how central banks and investors drove gold to new highs in 2024. Basically, everyone’s running for cover while pretending it’s a “strategic allocation.”
🤔 Should You Buy Gold or Just Watch the Chaos?
Pros: You get a shiny rock that everyone suddenly cares about during a crisis. 🌟
Cons: No dividends, no passive income, and you basically just hope some sucker will pay more than you did. 😬
Gold is a great hedge when the world is melting down, but let’s not pretend it’s some magical wealth generator. If you’re buying, just make sure it’s not because your Uber driver said it’s "going to the moon." 🚀🌕
(Not financial advice. But definitely sarcastic advice. 🤷♂️)
If you want the deeper breakdown (the one nobody’s telling you), drop a comment or DM me. Maybe I’ll let you in on the real insights. 👀🔥
If you don't have DXY, keep an eye on USDCHF.Today we are waiting for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, where the Bank is expected to keep the rates unchanged. However, it's the press conference, which we are more bothered about. Keep your eyes on TVC:DXY , but if you don't have MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX , then MARKETSCOM:USDCHF will be just as good.
Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:USDCHF
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend.
Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario.
If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
gold on bearish#XAUUSD price have successful reached 3040-3045 yesterday target on buy, now price is forming a new range.
Another breakout which will touch the rectangle 3038-3039 holds a strong rejection which will drop the price back 3009, Stop loss at 3046.
Above the ATH 3045.5 holds a strong bullish continuous to reach 3056 or more.
USD/CHF: Bearish Continuation Towards Key SupportUSD/CHF has maintained a strong bearish trend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart highlights a **Deep Crab** harmonic pattern, which previously triggered a corrective move before resuming its overall downtrend.
Currently, price action is trading near **0.8767**, approaching a key support zone at **0.8722** (HOP level). The recent rejection from the **H4 supply zone** around **0.8920** further confirms bearish momentum, suggesting sellers remain in control.
**Key Considerations:**
- A breakdown below **0.8722** could accelerate further downside, extending losses towards lower psychological levels.
- A potential pullback may occur if buyers step in at support, but the overall bearish structure remains intact unless a significant reversal signal appears.
**Conclusion:** USD/CHF remains under bearish pressure, with a high probability of further declines. Traders should monitor price action at support for potential continuation or reversal signals before committing to new positions.
GBP/USD: ID50 Setup Bullish Trade Opportunity1. **ID50 Setup Formation:**
- The market appears to have formed a **peak formation low**, followed by a reversal into an upward trend.
- The price retraced to the **50 EMA (blue line)**, which aligns with the **ID50 trade entry zone** in BTMM.
- A bounce off this moving average suggests **bullish continuation**.
2. **Market Structure & Momentum:**
- Higher highs and higher lows are evident, confirming an uptrend.
- The **red EMA (13 EMA)** remains above the **50 EMA**, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
- Price recently tested the **50 EMA support**, indicating a potential **buying opportunity**.
3. **Key Levels to Watch:**
- The nearest **resistance zone** is around **1.29700**, which might serve as the next target.
- Support is currently around **1.29000**, aligning with the 50 EMA.
**Conclusion:**
If the price maintains support above the 50 EMA, the **bullish ID50 setup** suggests a continuation of the uptrend. A break above recent highs could lead to further gains. However, traders should watch for potential **stop hunts** before a strong move occurs.
GBP/USD Intraday Market Analysis: Potential Upside ReversalThe GBP/USD 15-minute chart suggests a possible bullish reversal following a period of consolidation near the 200-period moving average. Price action formed multiple rejection wicks at a key support level, indicating buying interest. A bullish engulfing candle has emerged, confirming a potential shift in momentum.
The risk-to-reward setup highlights a long position, with stop-loss protection just below the recent lows and a target towards previous liquidity zones. The stochastic-based momentum indicator shows a crossover in oversold territory, further supporting potential upside movement.
If price sustains above the 200 EMA and breaks through immediate resistance, further bullish continuation is likely. However, failure to hold above the entry level could invalidate the setup, leading to further downside pressure.
GBP/USD Market Analysis: Potential Short Setup at ResistanceThe GBP/USD pair is trading near the **1.3000** psychological level, showing signs of consolidation after a strong bullish move. The chart suggests a potential reversal as price approaches a key resistance zone, with an apparent liquidity grab at the recent high.
The highlighted area around **1.2946 - 1.2921** represents a significant **H4 demand zone**, where price could retrace before continuing its next move. A break below this zone would indicate a deeper correction, with potential downside targets towards **1.2870** (OA level).
**Key Considerations:**
- A sustained break above **1.3000** could invalidate the bearish setup, leading to further upside momentum.
- A rejection at this level, combined with bearish price action, could confirm a short opportunity with a target towards the demand zone and lower support areas.
**Conclusion:** Traders should monitor price action around the resistance level and confirmation of a bearish reversal before committing to short positions. If bullish momentum persists, a breakout could open the door for further gains.
USOILHello friends
Due to the price falling in the identified support area, buyers were able to support the price, but given the weakness of the trend we are witnessing, it seems that sellers have more power...
Now, for the price to rise, the identified resistance must be broken, and for the price to fall, if the support is broken, the price will continue to fall.
*Trade safely with us*
gold still on buy#XAUUSD on bullish saga, but looking at price on third pattern its seems to reject at any moment.
Above the ATH 3028.59 price will continue bullish which will reach 3040-3045 range, which SL is 3017.
But a drop back below 3010 below the rectangle will drop the price back 2988 or more.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
USDJPY S&R IN 1-H AT MUST WATCH OUTHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 1-H AT
Entry Level: BUY Around 148,300 - 148,000
Target Will Be : 149,300
Support: 148,000 The yellow circles highlight previous points where the price respected this trendline as support
However, if the price breaks below the trendline, the bullish scenario may be invalidated.
EURUSD Head and Shoulders triggering a sell.The EURUSD pair is about to complete a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and so far it is keeping the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) intact. The last H&S formation we saw was completed on January 30 and it resulted in a -3.06% drop.
Given that the longer term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone with the H&S being on its top and the 4H RSI displaying the same Bearish Divergence it did in late January, we expect a similar pull-back to occur. Our Target is 1.06150, representing both a potential -3.06% drop and a contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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