DJ FXCM Index
EURUSD: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇺🇸
It looks like it is finally the moment for EURUSD to pull back.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation this morning
with a formation of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a pullback at least to 1.117
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 102.05
1st Support: 100.41
1st Resistance: 103.28
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD first 1D MA50 test since March 03. Bearish?Last time we had a look at the EURUSD pair (April 28, see chart below), we gave a bearish continuation signal, which not only did it hit its 1.12500 Target but also broke below the 3-month Channel Down:
This has brought us to the almost the first 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test since the March 03 break-out. As long as this holds, it keeps the trend bullish but the 1D RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, indicating a potential long-term trend change.
Technically it is similar with the December 28 2023 High, which at the time of the 1D MA50 test was also on Higher Lows but its RSI on Lower Lows (Bearish Div). The 1D MA50 eventually broke, leading to a sell continuation that hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the bottom.
As a result, if the D MA50 breaks, we will turn bearish, targeting 1.07000 (the 0.618 Fib).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD ON REVERSE#XAUUSD ok reverse based on US-CHINA talk price was bearish but now possible reverse needs to occur before another selling.
Above the rectangle at 3224-3230 we await price to close on M30-H1 there to buy. TP 3258-3278.
above 3278 have bearish retracment, below 3205 will go full bearish.
US DOLLAR Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building?TVC:DXY is finally showing signs of stabilization. The index has successfully rejected a key support level, an area where price has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level closely aligns with the psychological $100 mark, which has once again acted as a pivotal point for market participants, reinforcing its relevance as a key technical level.
The recent price action confirms bullish interest, as evidenced by a strong rejection pattern within the zone, with long lower wicks and bullish follow-through candles. The support zone held firm, and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued rally increases. If the bullish momentum sustains, the price could move toward the 102.500 level, a logical near-term target based on previous structure and minor resistance.
However, a failure to maintain above the 100.00 handle or a sudden shift in sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the green support zone would invalidate this bullish outlook and potentially open the door for further declines.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
BUY The Major FX Pairs vs USD?? This is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 12 - 16th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
USD Index finally finished the move to the Daily -FVG, as forecasted last week. Now, will the resistance hold, sending prices lower? I thinking so.
Look to buy xxxUSD pairs. Sell USDxxx pairs.
Wait for valid setups. CPI Data on Tuesday, so be careful.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Liquidity Grab & Bearish Outlook 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal
support cluster on a daily.
After a breakout, the broken structure turned into a strong resistance
and was retested.
I spotted a confirmed liquidity grab on an hourly time frame
and a consequent bearish imbalance candle.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop
at least to 1.122
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Canadians Are DustedEssentially they have given their nation to communism and will suffer the consequences of poor economic performance especially when compared to the US. Over the long term CAD has only gotten weaker, and if you go back to 2007-2008 you see a massive dollar rally.
Due to future economic turmoil I see again the dollar outperforming similar to 07-08 and making new all time highs. We have already seen a retracement of all the gains USD made against CAD this year, in my opinion was expedited due to Trumps tariff tweets, now we shall begin the trend towards new highs.
While that is the macro view, my short term trade is that USD will see buys to 1.40. Only at that level is the potential for further downside possible. But till then we will see price move towards 1.40 after a retracement to 1.383
Note my chart is inverted
Just to be clear, first we will see shorts to 1.383, then we will see buys to 1.40. So a retracement then a continuation of the bullish dollar.
SPY weekly thoughts for May 12th - 16th. Trump Pump?What’s up traders — this is my first idea post here on TradingView, and I’m hyped to finally share something with the community. In this breakdown, I’ll be covering a few key areas I’m watching:
🟩 Support zones
📉 Resistance levels
🕯️ Weekly candle behaviour
🌍 Macro outlook and possible catalysts
📌 Important notes
⚠️ My current bias
Let’s jump in:
🟩 Support Zones:
Buyers are still showing up strong in that $505–$507 range(I highly doubt their orders will get filled lol). it had been a reliable bounce zone — we’ve seen repeated wicks rejecting that level and price snapping back VERY quickly.
Above that, $550 has developed into a new area of support, and right now that’s my main level to watch. If that gives out, I expect we’ll head back down to test the $507 zone again. But for now, bulls are doing their job.
📉 Resistance
SPY keeps getting stuck around $573–$575. That zone’s been tested a few times now, but buyers haven’t been able to push it through. Sellers are stepping in there almost every time.
🕯️ Weekly Candle Context
That’s three straight weekly closes below resistance. Bulls get some momentum mid-week, but by Friday, sellers take over. It’s showing signs of a stall — like the market’s running out of gas near the top.
🌍 Macro Outlook – What Could Move Things
There’s been some talk of softer trade discussions and early negotiations with China. If any of that turns into a real deal, it could be the spark SPY needs to finally break above resistance.
But on the flip side — if Trump starts pushing new tariffs (even smaller ones), those moves tend to hold stocks back, especially in tech.
So the big question is:
Can SPY hit new highs if tech keeps cooling off and there’s pressure from new trade policy?
That’s the tug-of-war right now — possible upside from improving global relations, but real downside risk from political decisions.
📌 Things I’m Watching:
A weekly close above $575 would shift me to a bullish bias.
If we lose $550, I’ll be watching closely to see how price behaves near $507.
⚠️ Current Bias
Right now I’m FAIRLY neutral with a slight bullish lean, but very excited for this next weekly candle.
The macro setup looks like it could support a move higher, but I’m staying decently cautious until we get a clear weekly breakout(+575) and close above resistance.
Let me know what you think — and if you’re watching the same levels.
USD Week 3 of Gains - 23.6% Fibonacci RetracementThis week has been the third consecutive week of gains for DXY and this comes in stark contrast to the bearish trend that drove price in early-April trade. This week was of course a lift from the FOMC rate decision, and next week brings inflation back to center-stage with the Tuesday release of CPI.
In DXY, we've only seen a mere 23.6% retracement of the 2025 sell-off so this move is still very much in the early stages. We also can't rule out sellers taking another shot here, as the oversold RSI reading from a few weeks ago often doesn't mark the exact low - because trends can usually take some time before they actually turn.
What will probably weigh on the matter is EUR/USD and whether a larger pullback can show there, but for now, it's the 1.1200 handle that's led to a bounce for this week. In DXY, there's key support at 100.22, 100 and then 99.18 for bulls to defend into next week. And key resistance is around the 102.00 handle in DXY. - js
AUDUSD: Channel Down aiming higher.AUDUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.946, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 53.336) trading between the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50. It is now on the middle (0.5 Fibonacci level) of the long term Channel Down and every bullish wave touched at least the 0.236 Fib. The trade is long, TP = 0.66200.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
USDCHF Confirmed bottom Buy SignalLast time we looked at the USDCHF pair was three months ago (February 05 2025, see chart below) and it gave us the best sell signal possible, easily hitting our 0.8400 Target:
This time the long-term price action has transitioned into a Megaphone pattern, whose bottom was reached on the April 21 Low. At the same time the 1D RSI hit the 18.90 Support, which has been the Ultimate Buy Signal for the August 05 2024 and December 28 2023 Lows.
Since the price has been rebounding since, we view this as a confirmed buy signal and the start of the Megaphone's new Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by +10% and +10.67% respectively so a mere repeat of the +10% rally, will hit at least 0.88000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Dollar Index formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
Its neckline breakout is a strong bullish reversal signal.
The broken neckline of the pattern turns into a significant support now.
We can expect a growth from that at least to 101.25 resistance.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 101.39
1st Support: 99.91
1st Resistance: 102.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
gold on bearish#XAUUSD on price correction, possible breakout at 3350 will take reverse on sell which can drop till 3300.
Now we await for this zone to sell, 3350,3362,3331 and 3323, but main price is at 3350 which holds strong decline on sell, Target 3300, stop loss 3371.
Above 3371 holds bullish which will take the price back 3400.
Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th.
The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Fed pleases everyone, except for one. BoE is next on the watchThe Federal Reserve came out with its rate decision and it seems that all market participants got pleased, except for one.
Today it's the BoE's turn to deliver rates.
Let's dig in!
TVC:DJI
TVC:DXY
FX_IDC:GBPUSD
MARKETSCOM:100UK
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
USD/CAD could decrease to C$1.35The US dollar has weakened recently against other major currencies including the euro, pound and yen. While it may not have grabbed the headlines, there’s another currency we can add to that list: the Canadian dollar.
The Canadian dollar – which was trading at around C$1.45 per US dollar at the end of January – may continue to strengthen against its southerly neighbour in the near term, potentially reaching C$1.35 per US dollar. Let’s examine why.
The area between C$1.38 and C$1.39 has previously served as a resistance zone for USD/CAD, marking significant tops in 2022, 2023 and 2024. Each time, this area ended the dollar’s gains and led to a renewed period of Canadian dollar strength. The pattern changed in October 2024, when – after multiple failed attempts to break through resistance – USD/CAD finally pushed to a new high of C$1.45. Now, as USD/CAD declines from that peak, the old resistance area of C$1.38 to C$1.39 is providing support.
If USD/CAD falls below support at C$1.38, it could decline towards C$1.347, partly because there are no meaningful levels of support to slow such a move. A falling bear flag pattern also seems to be forming, suggesting that a breakdown may be imminent, potentially supporting a drop to around C$1.35. Meanwhile, the completion of the diamond reversal top that formed from December 2024 to March 2025 could imply a return to the pattern’s origin near C$1.35.
The USD/CAD chart pattern also shows a high degree of symmetry between the left and right sides. In other words, the decline on the right side is occurring at a similar pace to the earlier rise on the left. Completing this symmetrical pattern might suggest a return to the starting point around C$1.35.
Of course, if support at C$1.38 holds and the Canadian dollar does not strengthen further, a swift rise for the US dollar back towards C$1.41 cannot be ruled out.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.