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DJ FXCM Index

Bearish drop?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 107.51 1st Support: 105.72 1st Resistance: 109.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
2
Weekly FOREX Forecast Feb 17-21This is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index ran the previous weekly low Friday, capping off another bearish week. With the USD weakening on mixed fundamental news, its currency counterparts are taking advantage of the opportunity to outperform the USD. Look for the majors to potentially move higher vs the USD this week. Be mindful there is a lot of red folder news items coming up for the week ahead, to include FOMC on Wednesday. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
DEVIATON INJIt looks like we have a deviation below the demand zone and the $13.8 support, which could present a buying opportunity. I’m waiting to see if the price finds support around $14.4. If the price drops below $14 and stays there for an extended period, I’ll reassess the trade, as we could see another leg down toward the $8-$11 zone, where stronger support is likely. For now, the weekly oscillators look decent—Stoch RSI is close to a bullish cross, and RSI has found support at 40.
BINANCE:INJUSDLong
by BOT721
2
USD/CHF Prepares to Break Key Upward ChannelUSD/CHF has dropped more than 1.7% over the past two trading sessions as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken. So far, selling pressure on the U.S. currency remains strong, following disappointing retail sales data, which showed a -0.9% decline compared to the expected -0.2%. This has fueled concerns about a potential economic slowdown in the U.S. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc, known as a safe-haven asset , has benefited from mixed economic data and the reciprocal tariffs policy announced by the Trump administration. This has kept demand for the franc stable and reinforced a strong bearish bias on USD/CHF. Breakout of the Upward Channel Since September 2024, the pair had maintained a solid upward channel, reaching a high of 0.92013. However, selling pressure has intensified, pushing price action below the lower boundary of the channel, which aligns with the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). If pressure continues to build, the uptrend that has held for months could fade, giving way to a stronger downtrend—especially if price breaks the support zone where it is currently struggling. MACD Indicator The MACD line and the signal line both show a strong downward slope, approaching the neutral 0 level. The MACD histogram has also been consolidating near this level, indicating that the moving average trend is turning neutral. As long as the histogram remains close to zero, it will be difficult for a new trend to emerge in the short term. TRIX Indicator The TRIX indicator supports the bearish scenario, as it has started declining sharply and is now approaching the 0 neutral line. If the TRIX crosses below zero, it would confirm bearish dominance, reinforcing the selling momentum in USD/CHF. Key Levels to Watch: 0.91746 – Resistance: A critical level for bullish movements, marking a potential recovery zone for the previous upward channel. If price rebounds to this level, it could invalidate the bearish trend and restore short-term buying momentum. 0.89978 – Key Support: The current support level aligns with recent lows from previous sessions, the Ichimoku Cloud barrier zone, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, highlighting its significance as a key barrier for sellers. A break below this level would accelerate bearish momentum, confirming the end of the previous uptrend. 0.88930 – Major Support: A long-term support level, corresponding to neutral price zones from November 2024 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bearish move extends to this point, it could signal the formation of a more significant downtrend in USD/CHF on the daily chart. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
[4H] DXY - Mid-Term Analysis Under Donald TrumpThe U.S. dollar experienced heightened volatility on the day of Donald Trump’s hypothetical inauguration for a second term as president, reflecting market uncertainty around his policy agenda. Below is an analysis of potential drivers for the dollar’s trajectory, incorporating short-term dynamics and longer-term risks: --- 1. Tariffs, Inflation, and the Fed’s Response A renewed push for reciprocal—and potentially universal (due to practicality)—tariffs could disrupt global trade flows, raising import costs for U.S. businesses and consumers. Coupled with an already tight labor market, these pressures could accelerate inflation. Elevated input costs (e.g., raw materials, manufactured goods) might manifest in key metrics like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as early as Q2 2024 (March-May), particularly if supply chains face renewed bottlenecks. In this scenario, the Federal Reserve —which remains staunchly data-dependent—could respond with rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations. Higher interest rates would likely bolster the dollar’s appeal in the near term, attracting foreign capital seeking yield advantages in U.S. Treasuries or other dollar-denominated assets. Markets may price in this hawkish pivot ahead of official Fed action, amplifying short-term dollar strength. --- 2. Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical Risks Trump’s aggressive trade rhetoric (e.g., targeting China, the EU, or emerging markets) risks sparking retaliatory measures, reviving fears of a global trade war. Heightened geopolitical uncertainty could drive investors toward traditional safe-haven assets, including the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds. This dynamic would likely support the DXY (Dollar Index) in the short term, particularly if equity markets react negatively to protectionist policies. --- 3. Long-Term Risks: Economic Slowdown and Eroded Confidence While tariffs and inflation may initially buoy the dollar, their prolonged implementation could backfire. Sticky or increased inflation combined with higher borrowing costs (from Fed hikes) might dampen consumer spending, corporate investment, and GDP growth. Simultaneously, trade barriers could shrink export opportunities for U.S. industries, exacerbating economic headwinds. Over a multi-year horizon, these factors could undermine confidence in the dollar’s stability, especially if deficits widen or growth stagnates ( stagflation risks ). Markets are forward-looking, however, and may begin discounting these risks earlier—potentially as soon as late 2024—if trade tensions escalate or growth indicators falter. --- Conclusion: Volatility as the Only Certainty The dollar’s path will hinge on the speed and scale of policy implementation, the Fed’s reaction function, and global market sentiment. While short-term strength is plausible due to rate hike expectations and safe-haven flows, structural risks loom on the horizon. Trump’s unpredictable policymaking style adds layers of uncertainty, suggesting the dollar could face a turbulent, news-driven cycle. Investors should brace for whipsaw moves in the DXY, with tactical opportunities in the near term countered by longer-term macroeconomic vulnerabilities. Key Watchpoints: CPI prints (Q2 2024), Fed meeting language, trade negotiation timelines, and global central bank responses to U.S. protectionism. --- This analysis balances immediate catalysts with structural shifts, acknowledging the dollar’s role as both a haven and a victim of its own policy successes.
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by KenzoYagai
Hot Inflation & What to Watch Next - 14/02/2514th of February 2025 •XRP and BNB leading, as Bitcoin trades flat in the last seven days. •Headline inflation metrics in the US land above expectations. •Impactful data point to watch heading into the end of February. --- A big week of headlines and events, particularly out of the US, have netted very little change in Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin is down 0.1% at the time of writing in the last seven-days, while altcoins such as XRP and BNB are showing double-digit gains. Bitcoin has struggled to make new year-to-date highs in the current state of global conditions. In contrast, global indices in the UK (FTSE100) and China (CSI300) have continued to make new year-to-date highs Mixed Messages & Above Expected Results Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned earlier this week at a senate banking enquiry that the current state of monetary policy does not require easing conditions, as the economy remains strong and the 2% target for inflation is key. However, he has referenced that unexpected moves in the labour market or a significant cooling of inflation could change the committee’s mind. “If the labor market were to weaken unexpectedly or inflation were to fall more quickly than anticipated, we can ease policy accordingly.” On this point, headline metrics for inflation land above expectations this week. On Tuesday, Consumer Price Index (CPI) landed above expectations at 3.0%, rising 0.1% from the previous month. Overnight the Producers Price Index (PPI) landed above expectations at 3.5% year-on-year. This figure remains unchanged from the previous month and represents the inflation burden on producers in the US. Key data to come On the last day of February the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data will provide further clarity towards the state of monetary policy heading into next month. PCE is the leading indicator used by the policy committee to measure inflation. Fear and greed currently reads 40 – neutral. Bitcoin Analysis The price of Bitcoin is currently trading within the January high and low range, and on the Bollinger band we are entering a period where the upper and bottom channel is compressing. Bullish Scenario In the coming days, price may see a sharp move higher as the Bollinger Bands tighten. If bulls regain control and reclaim the monthly open, they could push toward last month’s high. Bearish Scenario We could also with this compression in the Bollinger Bands, see volatility moving price to the downside. This may result in prices heading towards the January low. DISCLAIMER: The information is for general information purposes only. It is not intended as legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such. Before making any commitment of a legal or financial nature you should seek advice from a qualified and registered legal practitioner or financial or investment adviser. No material contained within this website should be construed or relied upon as providing recommendations in relation to any legal or financial product.
by PHundal
2
USDJPY - Trendline reached, watching the FVGThe price has recently reached and reacted to a significant descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since mid-January 2025. The current interaction with this trendline around 154.00 is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with a short-term pullback. Below the current price action, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked by the orange box approximately at the 153.00 level. This FVG represents an inefficiency in price that often tends to get filled. Should the price pull back to this zone, it could present an interesting long opportunity for traders for several reasons: 1) The FVG zone could act as support, as these areas often attract price action 2) The pullback would allow for a better risk-reward ratio for potential longs 3) The recent upward momentum from the early February lows suggests underlying strength For traders considering long positions, the FVG zone would be the key area to watch for potential entries.
Long
by financialflagship
**DXY 4H Analysis: Ascending Channel Support, Bullish Move AheadThis DXY 4H chart shows an ascending channel with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) points. The price is currently near the lower trendline support, around 107.754, suggesting a potential bullish reaction. A minor BOS has formed, and a possible retest of the 108.000 zone could act as confirmation for a bullish move. If the price holds above this support, the next upside target is around 110.062. However, a breakdown below the ascending trendline could indicate weakness, with support levels at 107.706–107.675 and a stronger demand zone lower around 106.400.
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
EURUSD: Channel Up aiming at 1.05750EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.912, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 23.143) as it has been ranging inside a Channel Up for the past month. The pair is now forming a Golden Cross on the 1H timeframe and based on the last one formed on the previous bullish wave (Jan 17th), it should now rise to a new HH. We expect a symmetric +2.70% rise on that move (TP = 1.05750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
NZDUSD preparing massive rebound on the 5-year Support Zone.The NZDUSD pair rebounded last week exactly at the top of the 5-year Support Zone. This is the 3rd time in total and first since October 10 2022. As you can see, both previous times that this Support Zone was touched, the price reacted with an immediate rebound and skyrocketed to the long-term Resistance Zone (0.65150 - 0.65850). Also on both those bottoms, the 1W RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier and rebounded. This time, we have the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to consider as the first long-term Resistance, so our Target is just below a potential extension of it at 0.6200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EUR/CAD Bullish Momentum Rising Channel Points to 1.5000 Target EUR/CAD is trading at approximately 1.4800. Your target price of 1.5000 indicates an anticipated upward movement of 200 pips, aligning with a bullish outlook within the context of a rising channel pattern. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests a bullish bias, as EUR/CAD continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern. This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained upward momentum. The pair is approaching the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting potential for further gains toward your target price. On the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/CAD is trading within a rising channel as it approaches a confluence area. This consolidation pattern increases the likelihood of a bearish outcome, as traders can wait for the break and retest of the trendline support of the channel pattern to confirm a bearish entry. In summary, the EUR/CAD pair is exhibiting bullish momentum within a rising channel pattern, with technical indicators supporting a potential move toward the 1.5000 target. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors influencing the Euro and Canadian Dollar, to make informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USDCAD on 1h time frame . Testing historical Resistance levelsUSDCAD 1H Analysis – February 10, 2025 📈 Potential Bullish Reversal The chart shows a double bottom formation near 1.4280, which is a strong bullish reversal pattern. Price has bounced from this level, suggesting a possible upward move. 📊 Key Resistance Zones to Watch: 1.4550 - 1.4570 → First key resistance (previous support turned resistance). 1.4780 - 1.4800 → Major resistance area where price previously rejected strongly. 🔍 Trading Outlook: A break above 1.4350 could confirm the bullish momentum. If price clears 1.4550, the next target would be 1.4800. A rejection from resistance zones could lead to another decline. 📌 Conclusion: USDCAD is forming a potential bullish structure, but confirmation of a breakout above 1.4550 is needed before expecting further upside. 🚀
Long
by Forexbeats