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DJ FXCM Index

GOLD - Higher Timeframe Overview... BIG Moves Coming!Elliott Wave Theory adheres to the following schematic regarding impulsive moves: Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse or leading diagonal) Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction) Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse) Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction) Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves Monthly Using the above schematic, we can see that on the monthly timeframe we appear to be in wave 3 = made out of 5 subwaves. We are currently in subwave 5, which also follows the impulsive schematic (has 5 waves). See below for monthly chart and the cheat sheet where we've identified where we are in the monthly EW schematic: Weekly On the weekly chart, we are in wave 3, subwave 4 correction. We're watching for the completion of wave 4 within the fib zone, where we'll be looking to buy. We're still a few weeks away from the buy zone so we will be looking for lower timeframe short setups to take Gold down into our buy zone where we'll be looking to load up for the next big swing! See our last higher timeframe analysis below. Played out beautifully! The last time we identified a big swing on a higher timeframe, we absolutely killed it on lower timeframe and caught almost every single wave! See below: What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WicktatorFX
6
Euro Rises After French Election; Yen Struggles Near 38-Year LowThe euro gained on Monday after France's snap election put the far-right in the lead, albeit with a smaller margin than expected. Marine Le Pen's National Rally performed worse than anticipated, easing fears of expansionary fiscal policies. The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0756, while the yen struggled near a 38-year low. The dollar index fell as U.S. inflation data bolstered expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Other currencies, including sterling and the New Zealand dollar, saw modest gains.
Long
by signalmastermind
EURUSD Is it a sell after the French far-right election win?Highly important fundamentals yesterday for EUR as the first round of elections in France ended with a significant win of the far-right wing party. Even though that's not economic news, the election results of the 2nd biggest E.U. economy, certainly have the weight to affect the largest forex pair in the world. Mainstream economists have historically shown their preference when more stable, center parties are in governance, and certainly would like to avoid the instability that comes with a far-right party and its policies. That alone is a big factor that would call for (at least) a short-term sell on this pair. That fundamental approach happens this time to come in complete agreement with the technical one. The pair is still forming the new Bearish Leg of the 6-month Channel Down and as we explained on our June 04 analysis (see chart below), our conservative Target is still 1.06040: On top of that, today's High hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 weeks. As you can see, the symmetry between the Channel's 3 Bearish Legs (including the current one) is high and it appears that the pair has fulfilled the +1.12% counter-trend bounce that has happened on all Legs after an initial -2.30% decline. The previous one went as high as +1.50% (April 09), so there is still some small room for rejection. Technically the new Lower Low can be as low as 1.0500 (-4.00%) but it is advisable to always book profits when the 1D RSI touches the 30.00 oversold barrier. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USD firm with decision from FedMarkets are awaiting a release of crucial US Final GDP data today, which is expected to tick up from an annualized rate of 1.3% to 1.4%. A meaningfully higher or lower number might change expectations of when the Fed will begin rate cuts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the next rate hike is expected in September this year. In the Forex market, the Australian Dollar is the strongest major currency since the Tokyo open, while the US Dollar is the weakest. However, it is worth noting that the US Dollar remains within a valid long-term bullish trend. US New Home Sales data came in just a fraction below expectations yesterday. The Governor of the Bank of England will be holding a press conference about the Financial Stability Report today. There will be releases of Unemployment Claims and Pending Home Sales later today in the USA. The USD price is still on the rise and solid when information about future bond interest rates increases. However, we do not rule out the case that the Fed will reduce inflation to stimulate employment and strengthen the economy. international
TVC:DXYLong
by MrTrongVo
usd still bias on the upsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. I am in general still bias on upside for USD but do note that it is coming to a key rejection zone on the weekly chart..but shall monitor till something really changed... Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
DXY: an indicator to forecast Bitcoin’s directionJust like USDT Dominance, US Dollar Index (DXY) has a somewhat inverse correlation with Bitcoin's direction. If we look at the DXY historically, whenever the DXY was in a downtrend or sideways movement, Bitcoin was in an uptrend. Also, whenever the DXY was in an uptrend, Bitcoin was in a downtrend. Simply put, if the DXY goes up, that means the U.S. dollar is gaining strength or value when compared to other assets and currencies. So, people/traders tend to hold the U.S. dollar instead of, say, Bitcoin. And when DXY goes down, that means the U.S. dollar is depreciating in value, so people/traders tend to hold other assets like Bitcoin or Gold.
TVC:DXY
by SaeedSalehinia
USD/JPY Sell Call Investors FAQ is providing the best analyticsGot it! Here’s the updated content reflecting that Investors FAQ is providing the best analytics: Forex Signal: USD/JPY Sell Call Entry Price: 160.860 Take Profit Levels: T1: 160.460 (40 pips) T2: 160.060 (80 pips) T3: 159.600 (126 pips) Stop Loss: 161.860 (100 pips) Short Description The USD/JPY pair is currently exhibiting bearish tendencies, suggesting a potential downtrend. The entry point for this sell call is set at 160.860, with three take profit levels strategically placed to maximize potential gains: T1:At 160.460, this level is 40 pips below the entry, offering a moderate profit target for short-term traders. T2: At 160.060, this level is 80 pips below the entry, providing a more substantial profit target for those looking to hold their position longer. T3: At 159.600, this final target is 126 pips below the entry, aimed at capturing significant market movement for maximum profit. Risk Management The stop loss is set at 161.860, 100 pips above the entry price, to protect against adverse market movements. This ensures that potential losses are minimized while allowing room for the trade to develop. Market Sentiment Current market analysis indicates a weakening in the USD against the JPY, making this a favorable opportunity for a sell position. Keep an eye on economic indicators and market news that could impact the USD/JPY pair. Investors FAQ: Providing the Best Analytics Investors FAQ is committed to providing top-tier analytics and signals for forex trading. Our comprehensive market analysis and carefully curated signals are designed to help traders make informed decisions and maximize their trading potential. Risk Disclaimer Trading in forex and commodities carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in forex or commodities, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with forex and commodity trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. --- Please ensure you follow your risk management strategies when using this signal. Happy trading!
Short
by Investors_Faq
Assessing Forex Dynamics: EUR/USD Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We're focusing on the EUR/USD pair, which shows the value of the Euro against the US Dollar. This analysis will help us understand whether the US or European economy is stronger. 🧩 To better compare these currencies, it's helpful to also consider the DXY chart. For a full DXY analysis, you can find the link in the description. In that analysis, I mentioned that the DXY is likely to trend downward in the long term because the interest rate has reached 5.5%, which is quite high. The US might soon need to start lowering interest rates. However, since the inflation target in the US is 2%, the interest rate could reach 6% to control the current 3.3% inflation and bring it down to 2%. 💶 On the other hand, the economic situation in Europe is better than in the US, with both better interest rates and lower inflation. The average interest rate in Europe is 3.75%, and the average inflation rate is 2.4%. So, if the US eventually begins to lower its interest rate, the EUR/USD could start moving upwards. 🔍 Let's look at the chart. In the weekly timeframe, we see a downtrend in the High Wave Cycle, which is currently undergoing a correction up to 0.618. In the Medium Wave Cycle, within the downtrend correction, there's an uptrend that, after reaching 0.618 of our larger cycle, entered a correction phase down to 0.5. Currently, in the Low Wave Cycle, we are ranging, and we need to see whether the HWC or MWC will dominate to determine the next market move. 🧲 In the LWC, there's also a descending trendline that has brought the price down to the middle of the range box, and now the price is at 1.06245. This trendline could start a bearish momentum, but since it formed within a range box, it's unreliable. 📉 If 1.06245 is broken, the price could move down to 1.05195. A break of 106.723 in the DXY could confirm this breakdown. If the 0.5 area, which overlaps with 1.05195, is broken, the price could move to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. However, since the HWC is bearish, the downtrend might be much more significant. 📈 If the trendline is broken to the upside, after the trigger, we can expect the price to move to the top of the range box. In the DXY, a break of 104.5 could be suitable for confirmation. The main long trigger is 1.10464. The first barrier for the price is 1.12015, overlapping with the 0.618 level, which might hold the price for a few weeks. But if this area is surpassed, the price could move to 1.16558. 🎲 Moving to the daily timeframe, there's a gently sloping ascending trendline supporting the price, and a compression has formed in recent days. There's a hidden static line, not immediately apparent, but I've marked it in black on the chart. 📈 For a long position, we can enter riskily upon breaking 1.07370, but as I mentioned, it's a risky position, so the risk taken should be less than usual. The next long trigger is 1.09023, and if this trigger breaks, we can move to 1.11055. The final long trigger is the break of the range box top at 1.11055. 📉 For a short position, we first need to wait for the ascending trendline to break and then for 1.06687 to break. In this case, we can move to 1.06136, the main trigger for breaking the trend. Breaking this support can take us to the bottom of the range box. The third short trigger is breaking the bottom of the range box at 1.04610. 📝In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair is at a crucial juncture with potential for both upward and downward movements depending on key trigger levels. Keep an eye on economic indicators from both the US and Europe, and use strict risk management strategies to navigate the market. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in forex trading. Adhere to strict capital management principles, use stop-loss orders, and aim for an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a currency pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
4
USDZAR Short-term bullish signal but bearish overall.The USDZAR pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the April 09 Low. After pricing the latest Lower Low last week, the price is currently on the new Bullish Leg but got rejected today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Both past Bullish Legs of this pattern rose by +5.30%. On top of that, their 1D RSI sequences are quite similar. As a result, we take advantage of today's rejection and turn bullish, targeting 18.7500 (marginally under an expected +5.30% rise. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Trend Continuation Pattern I see a nice bullish pattern on an hourly time frame on Dollar Index. After the price set a new higher high, the market started a correctional movement within the expanding channel. Such a channel is called a bullish flag pattern. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish trend-following signal that indicates the strength of the buyers. With a high probability, the market will keep growing. Next resistance - 106.25 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Sell EUR/USD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0700, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0653 2nd Support – 1.0634 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6611 2nd Support – 0.6590 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2675, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2635 2nd Support – 1.2610 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2703. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
23
USDMXN Major long-term bullish break-out after 4 years!The USDMXN pair broke above the 4-year Falling Wedge and so far stopped the rise just before it tested the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The last time the pair had a similar long-term bullish break-out was on the August 01 11 break-out. Following a 5-week consolidation, the price then extended the aggressive rise marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we expect another strong bullish wave soon, and our Target is 21.6500 (exactly on the 0.618 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot