Gold Short Setup: Double Top Rejection and Key Sell TargetsThe chart indicates a potential double-top formation near the 3005 level, suggesting a possible reversal if bearish confirmation appears. The price is testing a key resistance zone, and a rejection could lead to a decline toward the rising trendline for support. A confirmed break below this trendline might trigger further downside movement. However, a breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and signal continuation of the uptrend. Waiting for a clear confirmation is crucial before making any trading decisions.
For a short-term sell setup, potential targets:
- First target: 2,979 (initial support)
- Second target: 2,960 (if momentum increases)
If price breaks below these levels with strong bearish confirmation, then 2,940 could be the next short-term target.
DJ FXCM Index
The US Dollar... March has been a fantastic trading month for me so far. I'm out of drawdown and showing a half-decent profit.
This week, there is a lot happening, including interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, Fed, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of England.
At the moment, I'm thinking about the dollar with two minds. Based on current positive economic data and the potential of higher US inflation, I'm bullish. On the other hand, I see the potential downside of the dollar based on US uncertainty, possible US recession, and the US losing its spot as a safe-haven and stable investment environment... 🤷♂️ What do you think?
Weekly FOREX Forecast March 17-21: Wait to Sell USD, Buy Majors!This is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The structure on the majors is simple and obvious. USD looks to move higher in the short term, into a bearish FVG, and then continue its bearish ways. The EUR, GBP will take advantage and move higher. The AUD and NZD are in consolidation, so waiting for a breakout is the best course of action. The CHF should outperform thee USD.
Be mindful there is a lot of red folder news items coming up for the week ahead, to include FOMC on Wednesday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Support and Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Reversal is Coming?!
Dollar Index is stuck on a key daily horizontal support.
Analyzing the intraday time frames, I spotted an inverted head & shoulders
pattern on a 4H.
Its neckline breakout will be an important event that will signify a bullish reversal.
The index will continue recovering then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the underlined blue support
will push the prices lower.
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EUR/USD Trade Ideas Short or Long??? News is going to be heavy!Looking for the right signals for a long, Everything is explained on the chart. If I do not get the confluences I want I will not take the trade. If price action takes out lows I'll look for liquidity, retrace, or reversal and reaccess my trade for shorts. Major news coming out for USD this week so stay frosty!
DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen!
With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming.
Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!)
Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar.
1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world.
2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper.
3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s.
4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect.
5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified.
6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar.
Techanically how high can the USD go?
-120 is likely. (hopefully not much more)
-Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE!
- What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER!
We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows.
For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))
btcusd on bearish retrace#BTCUSD price have multiple retest below 81k, now we await for next double rejection to sell.
If price touch 84200 then bearish retracment is active which will drop the price till 81k. Stop loss at 85196.
Above 85196 have bullish breakout which forms new buy to reach 88k-90k limit.
USDJPY Channel Down to make an important decision.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 10 High. During that time it technically got rejection upon every 4H MA100 (green trend-line) contact or close contact into a new Bearish Leg.
Three out of those four Bearish Legs have been -3.16% so even if a rejection does happen at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, you can still be expecting 145.350 as a Target.
If however the 4H RSI Bullish Divergence on Higher Lows prevails and causes the price to break above the Channel Down, we will accept the small loss on the short and go long instead, targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 156.000. A lower Target in that scenario can also be Resistance 2 (154.800).
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GBP/USD Channel Breakout (14.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2890
2nd Support – 1.2862
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GBP/USD is leaning in favor of the dollar.GBP/USD is leaning in favor of the dollar.
Since 2008, we've seen five waves down, and now a correction is forming, potentially targeting the $0.98 - $1.036 range or even lower, given the bullish outlook for the DXY.
Right now, shifting into USD seems like the smartest move.
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern (13.3.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0805
2nd Support – 1.0771
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XAG/USD (Silver) Wedge Pattern (13.03.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 32.45
2nd Support – 32.00
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$USIRYY - U.S Inflation Rate Slows More Than ExpectedECONOMICS:USIRYY 2.8% YoY
(February/2025)
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the US eased to 2.8% in February below 3% in January and market expectations of 2.9%.
On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2%, slowing from 0.5% rise in January and below market expectations of 0.3%.
Core CPI also rose 0.2% on the month and was at 3.1% on a 12-month basis, both below consensus.
GBP/JPY Key Resistance Breakout or Reversal?This chart is an analysis of the GBP/JPY currency pair on the 45-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Resistance Zone (Red Box):
The price is currently testing a resistance zone around 192.500.
A breakout above this level could lead to new highs.
Breakout or Rejection?
The text in the chart states: "if it breaks here then it will make new high," indicating a bullish bias if resistance is broken.
There is a black circle marking the breakout area. If price breaks above and holds, it may continue upward (red arrow up).
If rejection occurs, the price could fall back down (orange circle and red arrow down).
Trendline Support (Blue Line):
hello traders
what are your thoughtson GBP/JPY.
My Analysis.
Price has been respecting an ascending trendline, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
A break below this trendline could signal a trend reversal and move price lower.
Demand Zone (Gray Box at the Bottom):
If price fails to hold above resistance and breaks downward, the next potential support is the demand zone near 189.000.
Possible Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: If price breaks and holds above the resistance zone, it may continue to new highs (above 193.000).
❌ Bearish Case: If price rejects resistance and breaks the trendline, it may drop towards 189.000 support.
EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry.EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry. 🤔🤔🤔
The pair has tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a key liquidity zone where stop losses tend to cluster.
At the same time, the dollar index is turning upward on a larger scale.
A short position with tight stops could make sense, with a target around $1.00 .
Considering the increasing geopolitical risks in Europe , holding funds in euros doesn’t seem wise anymore.
In times like these, staying in USD looks like the safest bet.
Dollar Index:
SP500/SPY:
GOLD/USD:
price on bearish#XAUUSD price have multiple breakout 2920, now price is trying to recorrect the bottom low.
Await for breakout below 2910, which price will drop below 2900-2896 but expected more bearish may occur, stop loss 2921.
The H1 tf have shown something similar but based on today been CPI release candle can change.
USDCAD SHORTLongterm oportunity to short USDCAD. We are in bigger consolidation that we can see on Monthly chart. On weekly we touch upper area of consolidation and now we brake UP trend and currently we are in retracement.
Try to look for enteries for short.
SL: above highest point
TP: above lower band of consolidation (dont be too greedy)
EURUSD entering multiyear Sell Zone, but might go to 1.160 firstEURUSD hit this week its 1month MA50 for the first time since October 2024. This is the first long term Sell Zone for the pair.
The 1month MA50 - MA100 Zone has formed the last two major peaks of the market (September 2024 and July 2023), so it is highly likely to see a top getting formed here in March-April.
Since however the 10year pattern is a Channel Down and the major bullish wave in 2017 was +21.67%, there is a possibility to see an overextension of the trend a little higher than the 1month MA100.
A max +21.67% rise would take the price a little over 1.1600, which would approach the 1month MA200 (10year Resistance).
This scenario is also supported by the 1month RSI, which during this 10 year span has topped twice at 665.00 and as you see makes a very distinct (nearly) Double Top formation.
In both cases, long term traders/ investors may target below parity prices at around 0.9000.
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