DJ FXCM Index
The Printing Company- how it works :
- Imagine you can create apples, and that you are the only one in the world able to do that.
- So if you create 100 apples, you will make them more rare and unique, so maybe you can sell them for 10$ each one.
- So now imagine you create 10,000,000,000 apples, you will have more apples than peoples need to eat, so you will have to sell your apples 0.0001$
- Anyway you don't really care about your apples price goes down because, you can create how many apples as you want, and the world population is growing.
- This is exactly the same for the US Dollar :
-- Less they print paper, less life is expensive, because we get some kind of USD rarefaction.
-- More they print papers more the dollars flood the world, it makes it weak, then you need more papers to buy your home, a new car or food.
-- Flooding the world with USD make everyone dependent on USD.
- So in graph you can see how many dollars they created post crises 2007 and for Pandemic Covid in 2020.
- So what is the situation right now :
-- Basically they stopped to print ( that's the main reason DXY Pushed up. "Dollar rarefaction" ) and world economy crashed ( Forex, Stocks , Cryptos ) .
-- In time they will have no choice to print again because their system is based on a greedy model.
- What you see is the just top of the iceberg, the Fed is a mosquito if you compare it to the BIS ( Bank for International Settlements).
- Actually controlling the flux of the creation of the dollar is just controlling the world system, it's a kind of tax form that you don't see, but you pay it much more than you think with inflation.
- USD paper money system will end sooner or later for a new monetary model called CDBC.
- it will be worst than you think as they will control everyone having a phone on their hand.
- The Only way to to counter them is to buy Bitcoin because of his real disinflationary mechanic.
- There's no other way to counter the system right now.
Happy Tr4Ding !
USDCNY Channel Up extending its rise.The USDCNY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the January 24 Low. Being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) during the past 3 months (since March 14), the price recently formed a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, we expect a continuation of this textbook uptrend, aiming at a standard +0.70% rise (similar to all previous Bullish Legs of the pattern). Our Target is 7.2875, marginally below Resistance 1.
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The yen continues to weaken as BoJ keeps rates unchangedThe BoJ came out this morning saying they will keep the rates unchanged. The market took that as a negative and we are seeing weakness in the yen across the board against all its major counterparts. Also, the weakness of the Japanese currency might continue, as long as indices are rising.
#usdjpy EASYMARKETS:USDJPY
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XAUUSDHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in XAUUSD CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
USDCAD MOVED AS PREDICTEDOn Monday, I was confident that USDCAD was set for a bullish move. All indicators pointed towards an upcoming surge in momentum. I just needed to wait for another bullish flag to form, which it began to do. But then the CPI report came out, disrupting everything and wrecking the market structure. As usual, after such news, the price tried to revert to its original direction. Eventually, I spotted a double bottom—a perfect signal to execute the trade.
$DXY going higher!I expected TVC:DXY to dive to 97 before this because I didn't think the BOJ could hold on this long. I guess we need the dollar to go higher to make the BOJ to dump treasuries so the FED can cut rates and metals can hyperinflate.
TVC:DXY is bull-flagging and TTM squeeze is ready on EVERY TM!
That means a huge slam for gold is coming up...
USDINR Bearish unless it breaks that Resistance.The USDINR pair has been trading within a long-term Rising Wedge pattern since the November 11 2022 Low. The 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been supporting all the way and in fact has made contact with the price and held on 3 occasions, with the most recent being on June 03.
We are currently bearish as the price remains within the Rising Wedge, targeting its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) at 83.2150. If however the pair manages to close a 1D candle above Resistance 1 (83.7000), we will take the small loss and open a buy, targeting the Higher Highs at 84.000.
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XAUUSD - Gold 4hrSimple trading - Trend breakout
BULLS:
No more bearish liquidity on the intraday timeframes. With new higher highs, Gold may have enough momentum to head towards 2330 and remain above the 2340 price. CPI Report came back negative which may allow gold to maintain above the previous support 2310-15.
BEARS:
Gold has NOT completely rejected the 4-hour HEADS and SHOULDER. This is because gold has broken above the neckline, Yes. But technically this could be the retest we have been waiting for. If the price falls below 2310 and fails to hold above the downtrend bottom channel, expect gold to freefall to the next support area.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
Sell USDCAD Breakout PatternThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3750, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3708
2nd Support – 1.3670
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3800. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
EURUSD The new Bearish Leg has started.On our last analysis EURUSD analysis (June 04, see chart below) we mentioned that it was a do-or-die moment for a rejection as it had marginally broken above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 5-month Channel Down:
As you can see the price did close all subsequent candles below the top and inside the pattern, hence confirming the rejection bias and that the downtrend was still intact. The last two strong bearish days, suggest that the new Bearish Leg has started, especially since yesterday's 1D candle closed below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in a month (since May 10).
Our Target remains 1.06040 (Support 1), which is still a 'good case scenario' for the bearish event as it is above the % drop of the weakest Bearish Leg, the one right before the current (at -3.45%). Ideally, we expect to see the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) being the Resistance throughout the whole Leg.
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DXY could rise back to 106.50 resistanceThe beginning of May marked the start of a correction for the DXY, with the index dropping from 106.50 to the 104 support zone.
However, after finding support around 104 and undergoing a few days of consolidation, the much stronger-than-expected NFP data last Friday led to a reversal for the US Dollar, as evidenced by a significant bullish engulfing pattern on our daily chart.
Yesterday, the index also broke above horizontal resistance, and at the time of writing, the price is 105.18.
I expect the uptrend to continue, potentially leading to a new test of the recent high at 106.50.
EURUSD - 1H SellThe EURUSD chart indicates a potential bearish movement. The recent price action suggests that the pair is experiencing a weakening of the bullish momentum. After reaching a recent peak, the price is showing signs of a downward trend, indicating a possible decline towards the highlighted support zone around 1.08400.
The price action around this level is crucial; if the support zone fails to hold, we could see a continuation of the downtrend. This setup aligns with the current market sentiment, pointing towards further selling pressure. Traders should watch for confirmations around the support zone to determine the next move.
USDCAD 1H Long Trade - 1:3 RRRPair: USDCAD
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:3
SL: 1.36572
TP: 1.39000
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
EurUsd Breaks structure.. to 1.057 Monthly Level?Hello Traders. EurUsd has been ranging for the last 3 weeks ever since May CPI data. We attempted to break to the upside last monday but this resulted in a failed breakout and better than forecasted US Jobs data pulled USD down with strong momentum. Price retreated all the way to the bottom of the daily range on friday at 1.08 Daily support level. It appears this momentum has sustained itself as price gapped down over the weekend and we observed a further selloff during the first trading session of the week , moving another 25 pips. I do see some buying pressure off 1.07478 moving into London trading and to begin the week. Looking at the June Monthly candle, we are just pulling straight down thus far. Can we extend to the bottom of the Monthly range at 1.057? It seems likely the dollar will remain strong for some time given the strong labor market data and the Higher for Longer Interest rates concept. Safe trading.
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap.
this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday.
if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd.
more clear cut analysis will be posted soon .
but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments.
LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
USDCAD Monthly IdeaUSD/CAD is poised for a breakout! Based on technical analysis, we're looking at a potential surge from the current 1.37660 all the way up to 1.52000 This could be a significant move, so keep your eyes peeled on the charts.
Do your own due diligence and factor in any upcoming economic news that might shake things up. As always, trade safe!