gold on bullish above 2660.64#XAUUSD now facing multiple rejection at current price, but we await price to reach 2660.64 for bullish continuation, buy stop 2660.64, take profit 2673.34, stop loss 2651.90, below 2651.90 price have bearish range which will drop the price tipp 2637 for another formation on buy.
DJ FXCM Index
USDCHF - 2 SCENARIOSHello Traders !
On Wednesday 18 Dec, The USDCHF reached the resistance level (0.90504 - 0.90114).
So, We have 2 scenarios:
BULLISH SCENARIO:
If the market breaks above the resistance level and closes above that,
We will see a bullish move📈
TARGET: 0.91250🎯
BEARISH SCENARIO:
If the price breaks and closes below the higher low (0.89137 - 0.89282),
We will see a huge bearish move📉
TARGET: 0.87900🎯
Apparently, bright days are ahead of DXYDXY has underwent a reversal:
1- A clean inverted head and shoulders
2- A dropping wedge break high (Which is a reversal at the end of the bearish move)
3- Break and retest of the inverted head and shoulders and the wedge simultaneously
4- Ichimoku cloud broken high as well, indicating the shifting trend bias
Expect the target area as marked on the chart either by the end of this year or whenever FED announces rate cuts.
Best of luck and happy trading!
gold on bearish retracement#GOLD price have finally breakout above the third pattern, now we expect price rejection above 2646 which have sell retracment, the minimum on D1 TF shows decline above there unless price can hold above 2640. Between 2636 have sell on multiple breakout also and 2630.5. Bullish range can form unless price did not break below 2630.5 in 3 hours. Sell 2646, SL 2654, TP 2612. Also sell 2636 on multiple breakout and 2630.5
btc on bearish#BTCUSD firstly we await for H1 candle to close between the rectangle before taking sell but if price closes above bullish then the sell is inactive. Entry closure at 95400-95500 for selling, target 93800-91k, stop loss at 96359. Based on the movement if inactive then price is heading 97500 for sell retracment.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Possible ScenariosThe chart focuses on GBP/USD in the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting critical resistance levels and potential downside targets. The current setup indicates rejection from a resistance zone, with a potential move toward the predefined price targets.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone at 1.2580–1.2590:
This area has acted as a strong resistance, with the price failing to break above it.
A breakout above this zone could shift the market sentiment and pave the way for further upside toward 1.2600+.
Downside Targets:
1.25124 and 1.25012 have been identified as key bearish targets.
These levels represent potential areas where the bearish momentum may slow down or pause.
Indicator Insights:
DT Oscillator:
Currently trending downward, indicating bearish momentum in the short term.
A further drop toward oversold territory could coincide with the price approaching the bearish targets.
Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
Continued rejection from the 1.2580–1.2590 resistance zone could lead the price toward the bearish targets at 1.25124 and 1.25012.
A breakdown below 1.25012 could accelerate the downside movement further.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price reverses and breaks above the 1.2580–1.2590 resistance zone, it could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential move toward higher levels, such as 1.2600+.
Conclusion:
GBP/USD is showing signs of bearish momentum, with 1.2580–1.2590 acting as a strong resistance and 1.25124 and 1.25012 identified as key downside targets. Traders should monitor price reactions at these levels and use confirmation signals, such as momentum shifts, to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments and follow me for more detailed analyses!
GOLD XAUUSD IS RECOVERING BECAUSE OF HAWKISH POLICIESThe expert explained that amid persistent inflation concerns, the US Central Bank is expected to be more cautious in its interest rate decisions next year. This is likely to support bond yields and the US dollar, two factors that often reduce the appeal of gold.
Higher bond yields have a significant impact on investment demand for the yellow metal, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding these non-yielding assets. “At the same time, the greenback’s resilience, supported by hawkish central bank policies and strong economic data, makes gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. These dynamics could limit gold’s upside potential in the first half of next year.”
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2625 - 2628🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2637
(JPYUSD) Analysis chart suggests a potential rejection from the resistance zone with an anticipated downward move, as shown by the blue arrow. Key observations include:
Resistance Rejection: The price is struggling to break above the marked resistance zone, aligning with the downtrend's upper boundary.
Trend Continuation: The downward channel remains intact, implying the potential for the price to head lower if the rejection is confirmed.
Potential Target: The price may aim for the lower boundary of the channel, possibly testing support areas around 0.006300 or lower.
Are you considering entering a sell position here, or waiting for more confirmation? Let me know how you'd like Looking at the chart, here are potential targets based on the descending channel and price action:
1. **1st Target**: **0.006320** (near the middle of the channel and a minor support zone). FX_IDC:JPYUSD
2. **2nd Target**: **0.006300** (key support area aligning with the lower channel boundary).
3. **Final Target**: **0.006280** (bottom of the channel for a full move).
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the mid-channel zone; it could pause or bounce before reaching the lower levels. Would you like to adjust for risk management or trail the stop as the price moves?
EURUSD Channel Up targeting the 4H MA200.The EURUSD pair broke above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and following a Double Bottom bounce on the Support Zone on December 18, it started a Channel Up.
Having initiated that after a highly oversold 4H RSI, it shares many similarities with the November 22 Channel Up, which peaked just below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is where our current short-term Target is at 1.04900.
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The Dollar Index Rises by 6.7% in 2024The Dollar Index Rises by 6.7% in 2024
Throughout 2024, the US dollar traded with mixed dynamics but showed consistent strengthening over the past three months.
According to WSJ and Reuters, the following factors contributed to this growth:
→ Reports of a strong US economy and expectations that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will be limited.
→ Projections of policies under President-elect Donald Trump, which are anticipated to focus on tax reductions, increased tariffs, and stricter immigration controls.
During the low-volatility holiday trading period, the US Dollar Index—a tool measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies—hovered around a two-year high, where it may close a strong year.
Meanwhile, the euro remains near two-year lows, but bulls hold onto hope.
As technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart indicates today:
→ The price is near a support level formed by an ascending channel (marked in blue).
→ Simultaneously, price fluctuations are shaping a bullish “cup and handle” pattern below the 1.0444 level—signalling growing interest among buyers.
A breakout above the red descending trendline could help bulls start 2025 confidently, potentially pushing the price higher from the lower boundary of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
gold on short bullish#GOLD price have declined multiple above 2623-2627, now we await price to form another bullish at 2613 which holds short breakout on buy, likely we still wait for price to see if it will break below 2608 which holds strong bearish. Buy limit 2613-2621 which holds bullish also, take profit 2638, stop loss 2608 which holds sell.
UP "Please provide a meaningful and detailed description of your prediction..." Says Tradingview
Up. It go up. Why? Idono the same as you do or do not know. It's the simple things I think that makes dollars sound like soundness of mind. While lil Timmy has been working hard to get a few bucks to buy his favorite dog coin he heard about at lunch yesterday in middle school.
Asking a fool like me what to buy with his allowance. Who isn't looking for a return nowadays I guess even at 11 we need to make 1000x gainz because "10 years!?" "That's forever!" he and any other like minded person may say to me. I think all they heard was the "10 Year" Part...😋
Ya know? One things for sure we are all counting dollars when this or whatever thing you think will make you money moves up or down. Hummmmmm Maybe there's something to that whole I need a dollar thought?🤑
I bet it would be carzy to see the Yield on the 10 year US GOV Bonds run up to 16%.
What kind of future are we all living in when that happens??? Asking for this 11 year old thats asking me what the next best coin is from here....
YOLO Moonboyz 🌛 If you feel so inclined to do so.
🚽👄 Toilet Mouth: "Why do all your post say Short!?" or a bunch of "BUT, BUT, BUT"
⭐Not my job to tell you to buy or sell entries matter to most I only care about my exits.
⭐Let each person determine their cost to acquire and choice to play or not.
No Advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 8 years in the world of "CRYPTO"
Things 🤷♂️ #Fixed IDK!
🙏FOR JUST A HEALTHLY PULLBACK!
""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK & BALANCE your Senses!""
I am The CoinSLayer 👨💻😈
You have been warned by The Coin SLayer!
P.S. Now witha bag!
P.S.S. well two or Ten
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 107.49
1st Support: 106.72
1st Resistance: 108.52
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position.
Entry Position:
- **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations).
Stop Loss:
- **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk).
Target:
- **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
EURUSD: 4H MA50 crossing signals new rally.EURUSD is remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.523, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 15.575) but today it crossed and closed a 4H candle over the 4H MA50 for the first time since December 10th. Along with that, it crossed above the LH trend-line, thus technically invalidating the short term bearish trend. Given the recent December 18th double bottom on the S1 Zone, the pattern that prevails is a Rectangle, thus today's breakout is technically targeting the patterns top. Consequently our target is near the R1 Zone (TP = 1.0600).
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The U.S. Dollar Index may be approaching a potential buy zoneHere’s a more detailed version of your DXY trading plan:
DXY Trading Plan**
Buy Zone:**
Enter a buy position around **107.900**, but only after confirming bullish price action (e.g., rejection wicks, strong bullish candles, or signs of support holding firmly).
Targets:**
- First Target:** **108.200** – A key resistance level. Consider partial profit-taking or setting a tighter trailing stop here.
- Third Target:**108.500** – If **108.200** breaks out with strong bullish momentum, hold for this higher resistance level as your final target.
Risk Management:**
- Stop-Loss:** Place your stop-loss slightly below **107.800** to protect against sudden reversals.
- Close Trade:** If the price at **107.900** fails to hold or shows signs of weakness, exit the trade to limit losses.
position Sizing:** Keep your risk-to-reward ratio in check, aiming for at least 1:2 (or higher).
What to Watch For:**
- **Confirmation Signals at 107.900:** Look for bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candles or engulfing patterns.
- **Momentum Around 108.200:** Pay attention to price reactions at this level. If DXY struggles here, consider securing profits or exiting.
- **Market Context:** Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, news, or events impacting the dollar index, as these can shift momentum quickly.
**Additional Tip:**
If the price nears **108.200**, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly above **107.900** to secure your position while giving the trade room to breathe.
TVC:DXY
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed
CAPITALCOM:DXY
DXY Trading Plan:
- **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level.
- **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level.
- **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits.
Risk Management:
- If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs.
Additional Notes:
- Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
The Relationship Between Dollar Dominance, Debt, and Deficits
The US dollar's position as the world's reserve currency grants the United States a unique set of economic advantages and challenges. This "exorbitant privilege," as it's often called, significantly influences the nation's ability to manage its debt and deficits. Understanding this complex relationship is crucial for comprehending the dynamics of the global financial system and the US economy's position within it.
Dollar Dominance: A Foundation of Economic Power
The dollar's status as the primary reserve currency means that it is widely held by central banks, international institutions, and businesses worldwide. This widespread acceptance creates consistent demand for dollar-denominated assets, particularly US Treasury bonds. This demand is a key factor in allowing the US government to finance its debt at relatively low-interest rates. If the US were to borrow in another currency, or if global demand for its debt were significantly lower, the cost of borrowing would likely increase, making it more expensive to finance government spending.
This dominance also simplifies international trade for US businesses. Because the dollar is the standard currency for many global transactions, US companies can conduct business with reduced exchange rate risks and transaction costs. This ease of trade strengthens the US position in the global economy and contributes to its overall economic power.
Debt and Deficits: The Fiscal Realities
Government debt represents the accumulation of past budget deficits. A budget deficit occurs when government spending exceeds its revenue in a given fiscal year. These deficits require the government to borrow money, primarily by issuing Treasury bonds, which then contribute to the overall national debt.
While deficits can be used strategically to stimulate the economy during downturns or to fund essential public services, persistent and large deficits can lead to a growing national debt. A high debt level can have several potential consequences, including higher interest payments on the debt, reduced fiscal flexibility to respond to future economic crises, and potential inflationary pressures.
The Interplay: Dollar Dominance and Fiscal Policy
The relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is complex and multifaceted. The ability to borrow at lower costs due to the dollar's reserve currency status can, in some ways, lessen the immediate pressure to address budget imbalances. The lower interest rates make it less painful in the short term to finance deficits, potentially leading to a greater accumulation of debt over time.
However, it's crucial to understand that dollar dominance does not directly cause deficits. Deficits are a result of fiscal policy decisions—specifically, decisions about government spending and taxation. Dollar dominance merely affects the cost of financing those decisions. A government could run deficits regardless of its currency's global status, but the financial implications would likely be significantly different.
One could argue that the "exorbitant privilege" afforded by dollar dominance creates a moral hazard. Knowing that borrowing costs are relatively low could incentivize policymakers to engage in more expansive fiscal policies than they might otherwise pursue. This can lead to a situation where the long-term consequences of debt accumulation are downplayed in favor of short-term political or economic gains.
Potential Challenges to Dollar Dominance
While the dollar has maintained its dominant position for decades, several factors could potentially challenge its future status. The rise of other economic powers, the development of alternative reserve currencies, and shifts in global trade patterns are all potential threats.
For example, the increasing economic influence of countries like China has led to discussions about the potential for the renminbi to become a more prominent player in the global financial system. However, for a currency to achieve reserve status, it requires deep and liquid financial markets, strong institutions, and widespread trust in the issuing country's economic and political stability. These are factors that have contributed to the dollar's strength and are not easily replicated.
Furthermore, the emergence of new technologies, such as cryptocurrencies and digital payment systems, could potentially disrupt traditional financial flows and challenge the existing currency hierarchy. However, these technologies are still relatively new and face regulatory and adoption hurdles before they could pose a significant threat to the dollar's dominance.
Maintaining the Dollar's Strength
Maintaining the dollar's strength and its reserve currency status is a complex undertaking. It requires a combination of sound economic policies, strong institutions, and a commitment to maintaining open and transparent financial markets.
Sustainable fiscal policies are essential. While dollar dominance provides some flexibility, persistently large deficits and a rapidly growing national debt could eventually erode confidence in the dollar and its long-term value. This could lead to a decrease in demand for dollar-denominated assets, potentially increasing borrowing costs and weakening the dollar's global position.
In conclusion, the relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is a critical aspect of the US and global economies. While the dollar's reserve currency status provides significant advantages in financing government spending and facilitating international trade, it also presents challenges in managing fiscal policy. Maintaining the dollar's strength requires a balanced approach that prioritizes sound economic management and recognizes the complex interplay between these crucial economic factors.