Let's cover the action of some instruments as we get the NFPLet's see what's happening with the market as we get the NFP number live.
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
TVC:DXY
TVC:GOLD
FRED:SP500
FX_IDC:EURUSD
MARKETSCOM:EURUSD
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DJ FXCM Index
Gold Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels with Target This chart shows gold trading within an ascending channel, with key levels of support and resistance.
- Current Price: 3,092.900
- Resistance Zone: Around 3,155 (Target)
- Support Zone: Price is testing this area now, potential for a bounce.
- Major Support Zone: Below at around 3,040, acting as a secondary buy opportunity.
Key Observations:
- Rejection at Resistance: Price failed to break higher and is now pulling back.
- Potential Bounce: If support holds, price may push back toward 3,155.
- Break Below Support:** A deeper retracement to the **major support zone could happen before a stronger buy setup.
- First Target:3,155 (Resistance Zone)
- Second Target: If momentum continues, next upside levels could be around **3,180–3,200**
If the support zone fails and price moves lower:
- First Downside Target: 3,040 (Major Support Zone)
- Second Downside Target: 3,000 (Psychological Level)
The reaction at the support zone will determine the next move. If it holds, we look for buys targeting 3,155. If it breaks, we shift focus to the major support at 3,040.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Long-Awaited Recover
It looks like Dollar Index is going to pullback
after a test of a significant support cluster on a daily.
A strong bullish imbalance candle that was formed on an hourly
time frame shows a strong buying interest from that zone.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 102.35
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EUR USD Weekly Timeframe Outlook EUR USD Trade Setup weekly timeframe
On the weekly timeframe EUR USD has tapped on a strong supply level.
this level has also acted as a strong resistance level in the past.
So we will be looking for selling opportunities from the lower timeframe.
Patterns to watch out for.
1. Double Top
2. Head and shoulders pattern
3. Bearish break and retest + it must align with the 0.50 - 0.618 Fib Retracement level for stronger confirmation.
4. Lower timeframe supply levels.
Check next post to see the pattern i found.
XAU/USD Trendline Breakout (02.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3077
2nd Support – 3048
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USD/JPY - ShortWeekly (Bias Validation)
- Price between EMAs → ❌ Ranging
- Major Swing Point High: 158.880 Low: 146.543
D1 (Daily): Trend Bias
- Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias
- Major Swing Point High: 154.804 Low: 146.543
- ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance
- Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
H4 (4-Hour): Trend Bias
- Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias
- Major Swing Point High: 151.214 Low: 149.684
- ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance
- Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
- High-Probability Entry Zones (H4 OTE)
- H4 OB (OTE)
H1 (1-Hour): Trend Bias
- Swing Point High: 150.953 Low: 149.684
- ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance
- H4 OB → (OTE)
- H1 OB → (OTE)
🔲 Validate with VWAP:
✔ ✅ H1 VWAP must align with H4 OTE before entry
✔ ✅ If price rejects H1 VWAP + OB midpoint, strong trade setup
🔲 Entry Options:
✔ Option 1 (Limit Order Entry):
* Place a limit order at the OB midpoint inside OTE
* Set stop-loss below OB (for longs) / above OB (for shorts)
✔ Option 2 (EMA Confirmation Entry):
* ✅ Enter when 9EMA crosses 21EMA near OTE
* ✅ Must have Volume Imbalance Confirmation
🔲 Final Confirmation:
✔ ✅ High Volume on Structure Break → Confirms strong move
✔ ✅ Low Volume on Pullback → Smart money accumulation
DXY just broke below the 1W MA200 after 6 months!The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) broke today below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since the week of September 30 2024). By doing so, it has almost hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up.
The last contact with the 1W MA200 initiated a massive Bullish Leg two weeks after, so it would be an encouraging development if the candle holds here or better yet even close above the 1W MA200.
If it does, we expect a new strong Bullish Leg to start, targeting initially at least the 0.786 horizontal (blue) Fibonacci level at 108.000.
If not, the 2-year Support Zone is the last defense, with 99.600 as its lowest level (the July 10 2023 Low). Below that, a multi-year downtrend for DXY awaits.
Notice however, the incredible 1W RSI symmetry between selling sequences. Since January 2023, we've had two -54.50% declines. Right now, the current decline since January 2025 is exactly at -54.50%. If DXY rebounds here, it will confirm this amazing symmetry.
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USD/CHF Market Analysis – Potential Bullish ReversalThe USD/CHF pair is currently in a downtrend, as indicated by the overall bearish price action. However, the chart suggests a potential reversal scenario.
Price is approaching a key H4 demand zone, which previously acted as strong support. If this level holds, a bullish move could be anticipated. The projected market structure indicates a possible pullback before a continuation upwards, aligning with the larger trend shift.
Traders should monitor price reaction within the demand zone, as a break below could indicate further downside continuation, while a strong rejection may confirm a bullish reversal.
EURUSD: Forming long term top inside 5 days.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.837, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 25.790) as since last Thursday it is rebounding on the 1D MA200. This is a perfect repetition of the September 2024 Double Top and right now we are on the final mini Channel Up, which inside 5 days priced that past top. Consequently we are prepared to turn bearish by halfway next week and aim for the S1 initially (TP = 1.0400).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (02.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0736
2nd Support – 1.0707
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No Rate Hike, No Mercy – AUD/USD Selling in Style!Riding the wave of bearish structure, AUD/USD continues to follow the macro trend with laser precision. After the RBA held rates steady, we’re seeing the typical post-news dump play out—fueled by the market’s disappointment and reduced sentiment.
Technically, price respected the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showed strong displacement to the downside, confirming continuation.
Key Targets:
🔻 0.62311 – Minor liquidity
🔻 0.62185 – 1H Sell-side liquidity
🔻 0.61703 – Ultimate short-term sell-side target
Expecting the market to bleed lower unless major fundamentals flip the bias. Until then... the trend is your bestie.
DYOR 🧠📉
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout – Next Targets in SightThis chart of XAU/USD on the 2-hour timeframe shows a strong bullish trend, characterized by break-of-structure (BOS) confirmations and accumulation phases. The price previously found support in an order block, leading to a breakout above key resistance levels. The market has continued to ma ke higher highs, with multiple accumulations fueling the uptrend.
Currently, gold is trading around 3,143 and appears to be targeting the 3,160–3,180 zone. A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before the next leg higher. The bullish momentum remains intact unless a strong reversal signal appears.
TP1: 3,160 (short-term target)
TP2: 3,180 (next resistance zone)
TP3: 3,200+ (if momentum continues)
Watch for a possible pullback before continuation, but as long as the structure holds, the trend remains bullish.
BTC - 1H Clean Liquidity Hunt & Bearish Continuation BINANCE:BTCUSDT - 1H Update
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H and daily timeframes. After hunting the liquidity above the resistance zone, price began to drop exactly from our shared short entry at 83,700—and it's now on the move toward deeper targets.
🔹 Key Insights:
BTC grabbed liquidity just above resistance before reversing.
Price is now likely heading toward the liquidation zone below the support, aligning with the broader downtrend.
This setup offered a perfect short opportunity from $83,700, with clearly defined targets and risk.
🎯 Last Target: 80,200
💡 Congrats to all who followed our signal! The move is unfolding as expected.
📊 Stay locked in for the next big setups—follow for precise, real-time trade ideas! 🔔
EURUSD 4H Bearish Cross starting the peak formation.The EURUSD pair posted a strong rebound last week, which is along the lines of our long-term bearish structure estimate, similar to the September 2024 Top.
The 4H MA50/100 Bearish Cross that was formed on Thursday, simply confirms that the pattern goes according to plan as on September 06 2024, the price got rejected after its completion and then rebounded to test Resistance 1 before the ultimate market peak.
We still expect a similar development, with our ultimate long-term Target being 1.03650, just above Support 1.
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EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective.
After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair.
Scenario 1: SELLS from current price
With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085)
With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444.
KEY NOTES
- DXY possible reversal to the upside.
- Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside.
- DXY is the global reserve currency.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
EURUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY IT!In this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures for the week of March 31 - April 4th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The bias is bullish for now, but the April 2nd tariffs can flip the markets upside down. Be careful. Let the market tell you which direction it's going, and trade accordingly. Allow the markets to settle on a bias before you jump in.
NFP on Friday, btw.
Enjoy!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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$USPCEPIMC -U.S Core PCE Inflation Rises More than ExpectedECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC
(February/2025)
source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The US PCE price index rose by 0.3% month-over-month in February, maintaining the same pace as the previous two months.
The core PCE index increased by 0.4%, the most since January 2024, surpassing the forecast of 0.3% and up from 0.3% in January.
On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE inflation remained steady at 2.5%, while core PCE inflation edged up to 2.8%, above the expected 2.7%.
USDCAD: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇦
There is a high chance that USDCAD will keep rising next week.
A test of the underlined blue support triggered a strong bullish reaction
and a breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
I think that the pair may rise and reach at least 1.4357 level.
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US500US500 Price Action Analysis and Trade Setups (March 28, 2025)
Price Action Summary:
Weekly Chart: Long-term uptrend intact, but recent rejection near 6,200 signals a medium-term correction.
Daily Chart: Price is consolidating near 5,600 after a sharp drop from highs. Bearish momentum persists.
4H Chart: Lower highs and lower lows confirm short-term bearish bias. Resistance at 5,750 is holding.
1H Chart: Intraday range between 5,550 and 5,750. Price struggling to break higher.
Trade of the Day (Day Trading Setup)
Short Setup:
Entry: 5,700 after rejection at resistance
Stop Loss: 5,770
Take Profit:
TP1: 5,620
TP2: 5,550
Reason: Short-term bearish structure with resistance holding at 5,750.
Swing Trading Setup
Short Setup:
Entry: Below 5,550 after daily close confirmation
Stop Loss: 5,650
Take Profit:
TP1: 5,300
TP2: 5,100