Usdollarforecast
Has Us dollar(dxy) strength Resumed?We are currently analyzing a possible inverted head and shoulder which shows a reversal chart pattern that the previous downtrend might has ended and the the former uptrend may resume.
We expect a retracement to the neckline and a candlestick confirmation to trigger the buy order. Target is as shown on the chart and the ideal stop loss should be set below the right shoulder.
US Dollar Showing Signs of Bullish StrengthThe US Dollar approaching the neckline of a potential double bottom formation. Previous daily candle closed bullish, giving a sign that there's still bullish momentum in this market. This market has greater potential to Retest previous structure lows before deciding whether it will reverse or break the level by the end of this week. Will be closely monitoring price action if price reaches this zone.
USD Index (DXY):Multi TF shows destination 92 routed via 98.80 The multi-timeframe analysis for DXY shows the short term bounce towards 98.80 before heading lower towards 92.
Following is the step by step break down of the analysis from higher to lower TF's:
MONTHLY:
(1) Bearish due to bounce from the long term down trendline acting as resistance.
(2) The bearish divergence comes in play between the leg 3 & leg 5 of the impulsive push-up.
(3) Followed by a lower low breaking through the structural horizontal support.
(4) Bounced higher towards the falling trend line and gets rejected, thus forming a hidden bearish divergence to continue lower.
The above-mentioned facts make the probability of pushing it towards the confluence of support zone from 92.85 - 91.33
The confluence of support is derived from the multi-year rising trendline + Horizontal support & resistance structure + Fibo Extn. 61.8 at 92.11
WEEKLY + DAILY: Are under upward correction
8 HOURLY: Bounced up from the channel support after reaching 100% Fibo Extn. around 95.80
1 HOURLY:
(1) The first push-up is completed along with bearish divergence.
(2) Now it's retracing to re-test the projected up trendline (RED), from where it may bounce-up to create the second leg towards channel's high.
(3) Once, it reaches the upper boundary of the channel + horizontal resistance around 98.80, it may resume the downwards journey towards the 92-93 area.
TRADE IDEAS:
Short term- Buy the retraces until it reaches 98.80
Long-term- Selling it, once gets rejected from the channel's boundary along with a break of the rising trendline + re-test validation of the resistance.
GOOD LUCK FOR YOUR TRADES !!! PLEASE SHOW YOUR SUPPORT IF YOU LIKED THE IDEA
US Dollar Birds Eye View - Wave Revision - Correction ContinuesStill long term bullish on the US Dollar, just had to adjust my wave count to suit advancements in analysis.
The expanded correction in Green Wave 2 should finish off with a deep retracement in Red Wave E.
As always I will be tracking these fiat currency markets and keeping you updated.
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US Dollar Index Targets Below 94.65 As Wave 3 UnfoldsUS Dollar Index had dropped between 103.00 and 98.29 subdividing into 5 waves, hence labelled as Wave 1. The subsequent rally was corrective and found resistance around fibonacci 50% retracement (100.93), potential Wave 2. Sine then, Wave 3 could be underway towards 94.65 and lower. A drop below 98.90 would confirm the above. Alternately, Wave 2 could be still unfolding and might test fibonacci 0.618 retracement at 101.20, before terminating. Either ways US Dollar Index remain bearish as long as prices stay below 103.00 resistance.
Strategy:
Short against 103.00, targeting 94.65
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DXY - 18/11/19Quick Update on the DXY, we're seeing this downtrending trendline, price has been respecting. I'm looking for a loss of strength in the USD over this week based on technicals. HOWEVER, we have a lot of high impact news regarding the US Dollar this week therefore I would trade with caution. Be strict with risk management on USD pairs.
If the dollar does in fact lose strength, USDXXX pairs will sell and XXXUSD pairs will buy.
The dollar is relatively strong as of right now. But price is on a solid downtrend.
DXY - 8/9/19My forecast for the dollar since last week. Looking for price to head down to that trendline, based on technical analysis, we have the channel, resistance at the point it sold from. We have had strong sell momentum since last week and based on all the bearish news, I expect it to drop further.
USDJPY formed bullish shark | A good long opportunityAfter successful formation of bullish Shark pattern the price line of US Dollar / Japanese Forex pair Yen has formed another bullish shark pattern.
Even though the price action has hit the sell zone upto 0.382 fibonacci but all indicators are still turning bullish therefore I am expecting more profit.
MACD is turning bullish
Stochastic is oversold and has given bull cross
Volume profile is showing less interest of traders at this area.
I have used Fibonacci sequence to set the targets:
Buy between: 105.502 to 103.691
Sell between: 107.035 to 110.572
Regards,
Atif Akbar (moon333)