EUR/USD (Buy) & U.S Dollar Index (Sell)Here we look at how the Euro makes up 60% of the U.S Dollar index and how historically the moves in EUR/USD drives the performance of the DXY.
EUR/USD is just under the key resistance level $1.20 as the DXY is sitting at a key support level 92.00.
A firm brak above £1.20 in EUR/USD will be the catalyst for the DXY to break below 92.00.
This offers us two trades in one as soon as EUR/USD breaks above the key technical resistance level.
We look at entry price strategies and one-month ATR stop loss.
Usdollarforecast
SELL U.S Dollar Index (DXY) We take a closer look at the US Dollar Index and the makeup of currencies within the basket.
If you don't want to trade the Individual US Dollar currency pairs we can sell the Index as the Dollar continues to weaken across the currency pairs that make up the Index.
We look at entry price strategies below a key technical support level 92.00
DXY False Break or begin of a new Down trendMarket is at the bottom of a Bullish channel and is forming a bearish dark cloud cover on the weekly
Prior the market formed a bearish double top but failed to hold. Market found a strong level of support
at the top of the double top. I see the market forming a Bullish head and shoulders with the right tip at
the bottom of the channel.
I expect the market to have a false breakout and test the level of support one more time before the
continuation of the bull run. In doing so the market has formed a double bottom witch is a strong bullish singn.
Has Us dollar(dxy) strength Resumed?We are currently analyzing a possible inverted head and shoulder which shows a reversal chart pattern that the previous downtrend might has ended and the the former uptrend may resume.
We expect a retracement to the neckline and a candlestick confirmation to trigger the buy order. Target is as shown on the chart and the ideal stop loss should be set below the right shoulder.
US Dollar Showing Signs of Bullish StrengthThe US Dollar approaching the neckline of a potential double bottom formation. Previous daily candle closed bullish, giving a sign that there's still bullish momentum in this market. This market has greater potential to Retest previous structure lows before deciding whether it will reverse or break the level by the end of this week. Will be closely monitoring price action if price reaches this zone.
USD Index (DXY):Multi TF shows destination 92 routed via 98.80 The multi-timeframe analysis for DXY shows the short term bounce towards 98.80 before heading lower towards 92.
Following is the step by step break down of the analysis from higher to lower TF's:
MONTHLY:
(1) Bearish due to bounce from the long term down trendline acting as resistance.
(2) The bearish divergence comes in play between the leg 3 & leg 5 of the impulsive push-up.
(3) Followed by a lower low breaking through the structural horizontal support.
(4) Bounced higher towards the falling trend line and gets rejected, thus forming a hidden bearish divergence to continue lower.
The above-mentioned facts make the probability of pushing it towards the confluence of support zone from 92.85 - 91.33
The confluence of support is derived from the multi-year rising trendline + Horizontal support & resistance structure + Fibo Extn. 61.8 at 92.11
WEEKLY + DAILY: Are under upward correction
8 HOURLY: Bounced up from the channel support after reaching 100% Fibo Extn. around 95.80
1 HOURLY:
(1) The first push-up is completed along with bearish divergence.
(2) Now it's retracing to re-test the projected up trendline (RED), from where it may bounce-up to create the second leg towards channel's high.
(3) Once, it reaches the upper boundary of the channel + horizontal resistance around 98.80, it may resume the downwards journey towards the 92-93 area.
TRADE IDEAS:
Short term- Buy the retraces until it reaches 98.80
Long-term- Selling it, once gets rejected from the channel's boundary along with a break of the rising trendline + re-test validation of the resistance.
GOOD LUCK FOR YOUR TRADES !!! PLEASE SHOW YOUR SUPPORT IF YOU LIKED THE IDEA
US Dollar Birds Eye View - Wave Revision - Correction ContinuesStill long term bullish on the US Dollar, just had to adjust my wave count to suit advancements in analysis.
The expanded correction in Green Wave 2 should finish off with a deep retracement in Red Wave E.
As always I will be tracking these fiat currency markets and keeping you updated.
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US Dollar Index Targets Below 94.65 As Wave 3 UnfoldsUS Dollar Index had dropped between 103.00 and 98.29 subdividing into 5 waves, hence labelled as Wave 1. The subsequent rally was corrective and found resistance around fibonacci 50% retracement (100.93), potential Wave 2. Sine then, Wave 3 could be underway towards 94.65 and lower. A drop below 98.90 would confirm the above. Alternately, Wave 2 could be still unfolding and might test fibonacci 0.618 retracement at 101.20, before terminating. Either ways US Dollar Index remain bearish as long as prices stay below 103.00 resistance.
Strategy:
Short against 103.00, targeting 94.65
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DXY - 18/11/19Quick Update on the DXY, we're seeing this downtrending trendline, price has been respecting. I'm looking for a loss of strength in the USD over this week based on technicals. HOWEVER, we have a lot of high impact news regarding the US Dollar this week therefore I would trade with caution. Be strict with risk management on USD pairs.
If the dollar does in fact lose strength, USDXXX pairs will sell and XXXUSD pairs will buy.
The dollar is relatively strong as of right now. But price is on a solid downtrend.