TOP 5. Issue 20 from 21.12.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
USDRUB
Last week results & immediate plansThe markets finally went out of “hibernation” so we could observe fluctuation not by 40-50 pips, but by 100+ (well, or 400, as is the case with the pound on Friday).
Last week began with Trump's tweet about the successful completion of the first phase of negotiations with China. Recall, on December 15, the United States threatened to introduce additional tariffs on goods from China in the amount of $ 160 billion, which kept the markets in suspense. According to Fox Business, Washington and Beijing completed the "first phase" of the trade transaction, but its terms may not be publicized at all.
Formally, this is an occasion for optimism and the start of sales in safe-haven assets. Nevertheless, we consider the current equilibrium to be extremely fragile and continue to look for points to buy yen and gold on the intraday basis.
Then there was a meeting of the Fed, which showed that the US Central Bank is serious about holding a pause in monetary policy - everything suits US Central Bank in the current state of affairs in the economy.
But at the same time, the Fed will continue to flood financial markets with money through the Repo system. The Fed’s balance sheet reduction was replaced by a sharp expansion: according to the Fed, it plans to infuse $ 500 billion. If this happens, then by mid-January the Fed’s balance will increase its balance by 10% in just a month. As a result, the balance will exceed $ 4.5 trillion and reach new record levels. Honestly speaking, instead of gradually removing this money from the system, the Fed continues to increase its amount. In the end, it will end badly.
For the dollar, this, in our opinion, is a kind of sentence. Classic demand-supply chart: with a sharp increase in supply, the price should decline. So this week and for the foreseeable future, we will sell the dollar across the entire spectrum of the foreign exchange market.
The first ECB meeting chaired by Christine Lagarde ended with nothing - the monetary policy parameters did not change. But the new head of the ECB made it clear that it was time for the Central Bank to change its strategy of action and promised to present its vision by the beginning of 2020.
The main event of the week was the victory of the conservatives in the parliamentary elections in the UK. Many have already called this a kind of second Brexit referendum since voting for Johnson is a vote for his plan to leave the EU by January 31st. The pound on this occasion rose sharply on Friday, reaching 1.35. After that, we perceive some correction as an excellent chance for its cheaper purchases. Indeed, by and large 1.35 - this is not the limit of growth and the pound could well grow to the area of 1.40 and even higher.
As for the interesting perspective positions USDRUB purchasing (this will become a kind of hedge for other positions on the sale of the dollar against the euro, pound, Japanese yen and other base currencies).
In general, the week ahead is quite eventful: the announcement of the results of the Banks of England and Japan, GDP of the USA and Great Britain and so on. This means that it makes sense to start trading after a rather long period of hibernation in the foreign exchange market.
TOP 5. Issue 19 from 14.12.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
TOP 5. Issue 18 from 08.12.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
EXPRESS Long-term and medium-term forecast for USDRUBEXPRESS Long-term and medium-term forecast for USDRUB
Dear friends,
This idea is open and published as part of my content promotion. I draw your attention to the fact that from 11.11 all forecasts are only in the closed channel.
At the moment, there are already reviews on GOLD, EURUSD, S&P 500
I hope you find this idea useful and support it with your like.
EXPRESS Long-term and medium-term forecast for USDRUB
Most likely scenarios:
Global scenario
- movement within the bull channel
Weekly TF
- movement within the descending channel.
Daily TF
- the most likely target for bulls before the end of the year is 64.50 - 65.20 rubles
The key change scenario is the red line.
The exit below will mean an appreciation of the ruble shortly, with a possible minimum of 62 rubles (see red arrows)
If the current scenario continues, the maximum will be around 65.50 rubles for 1 USD (see grey arrows).
Full analysis for the next year will be possible to do only at the close of the December candle.
Good luck to everyone and good profits!
Yours faithfully,
Michael @Hyipov
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Everyone GTI
Dear Friends, I remind you that this is only my personal view of the market, which I share with you. I do not guarantee profits. Only you make the final decision and all the risks associated with it.
ridethepig | RUB Market Commentary 2019.02.12Here we go for a round of EM FX market updates and with Oil on the move first up USDRUB.
After the doldrums of Thanksgiving liquidity is starting to enter back into play, although with market out of position there is no need to overload exposure. The USD tide is turning and clients here are pressing the buy side on RUB crosses to play the dollar sell-off.
More activity coming with NY session, a good level to pick up offers as the cross drives through technical momentum at 64.3x.
Best of luck all those in RUB
TOP 5. Issue 17 from 01.12.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
TOP 5. Issue 16 from 24.11.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
TOP 5. Issue 15 from 17.11.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
TOP 5. Issue 14 from 10.11.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
USDRUB: Short on the 1D Death Cross.The pair is trading within a long term 1M Channel Down (RSI = 50.809, MACD = 0.186, Highs/Lows = -0.2688). A Golden Cross formation has emerged this week on the 1D chart and since we are in the middle of the Channel we take this as a sell call. Our Target Zone is 62.000 - 61.350.
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TOP 5. Issue 13 from 03.11.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
Get ready for Fed decision, Brexit & bullish oil marketBrexit was accustomed to being the main news generator last week, at least for the pound pairs.
Parliament refused to vote for the deal until it made changes to British law, which meant the need to request a postponement. In our opinion, this is just a way to publicly humiliate Johnson, who has repeatedly said that October 31 will be the end date. As a result, Johnson sent a letter to the EU asking for a postponement, but “forgot” to sign it.
In the EU, instead of a postponement, decided to wait until the British agreed on something. It is all about the special election. On Monday, this issue will be put to a vote in Parliament.
In general, the week will be hot for the pound from its very beginning. Well, the date of October 31 is Thursday of the current week. So get ready for the sharp spike in pound volatility. Generally, we remain bulls on the pound - the issue of leaving without a deal is practically removed from the agenda, so this is a sign for buying the pound. But its decrease by several hundred points against the background of negative news from Parliament / Government of Great Britain or the EU is quite possible. So do not forget to put stops and monitor the news background.
The current week for all other participants in financial markets (except the British) will be interesting first of all by announcing the Fed's decision on the interest rate on Wednesday. The current consensus - lowering the interest rate, and then will put the process of changing rates to a pause at least until the end of the year. We’ll talk more about this on Wednesday before the event.
Unexpected for the markets Central Bank of Russia decreased the interest rate by 0.5%. Given that the ruble came close to our settlement point No. 1 for the sale of the ruble, we recommend opening long positions in the USDRUB from current prices in the region of 63.60 with a minimum target in the region of 65.20. The second round of purchasing starts at about 62.60.
And a few words about the oil market. Formally, our recommendation to buy in the region of 51.20 with goals 56 last week worked out completely. Knowing how events are developing, there is a chance to raise the growth target - oil may well reach 60 (WTI brand).
According to Baker Hughes, the number of oil rigs in the United States fell by 17 to 696 units. Thus, their number has fallen to its lowest level over the last 2.5 years. Recall, last week, US oil inventories decreased by 1.7 million barrels. So this week we are looking for points for oil purchases. The goal until the end of the week is 60. But at the same time, do not forget to set up small stops.
TOP 5. Issue 12 from 27.10.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
TOP 5. Issue 11 from 20.10.2019These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.
TOP 5. Issue 10 from 13.10.2019Weekly update with the outlook on my 5 favorite trading instruments where I place around 90% of the deals.
These include: SPX , Gold , Crude Oil , EURUSD pair and the Emerging markets via USDRUB .
If you like what you see, please fell free to hit the Like bottom and leave your comments.
Disclaimer:
By viewing this video you fully accept and agree that it offers general advice only and that trading the financial markets is a high risk activity and that you understand that past performance does not indicate future performance and that the value of investments and income from them may go up as well as down, and are not guaranteed.