Long USDRUB part 2 (Update)Close some long position on 58 and 59.50 (30% + 30%)
Wait until 62+ for close the last part. Stop move to 59.5.
Now the movement is too fast
USDRUB
USDRUB Consolidation patternUSDRUB is in a consolidation pattern looking to break out. The consolidation is getting tighter and tighter. Look to go LONG or SHORT once a direction is found. If it breaks below, I will go short and hold for a long time because there is very little support beneath 48. (My bias remains on the downside but only time will tell.)
LONG USDRUB FOR 175LONG USDRUB FOR 175
According to DXY index, WTI & Brent oil prices and the huge traded volume of RGBI Index, we're going to see 175 Rubles per US Dollar.
DXY 110 - 120
USOIL 10$ - 20$
USDRUB 175 - 250 Rubles
USDRUB. The party is over?That bullish divergence on Daily timeframe could long 4 months...
Following the pair to add long-term longs but no position for now
USD/RUB could take off very soonMany people expect Russian rouble to rise as per fundamentals. I tried to assess the perspectives of this pair as per wave patterns. What is definite for me is that the decline is almost over before a major correction or a complete reversal starts. This is why any short trades are limited. I would advise trading only long trades as per your strategy.
LONG USDRUB second enter 56,06 - 5 partsWe enter 5 parts we have 0.51 loss in previus rade 2 part we exit erly
Ruble barrel, DXY adjusted - long term projectionHere's long term projection for ruble/barrel (ukoil * usdrub) aka rublebochka, DXY adjusted.
usdrubexpect 68 Russian rubles for a US Dollar nearest months once oil falls below the significant level of $45 a barrel.
Or 54 and below if Brent oil reaches 57 and breaks above.
Short USDRUB. Target level 45.80USDRUB - provided the Fed will "incinerate" some or all of $4.3 bn of its balance sheet assets, there will be 30-40% jump in oil prices, which will cause Ruble strengthening
USDRUBIs this analisis right or wrong?
The answer will be given in the middle of 2018.
For now, we are looking close to 0.5 Fibo level, as the price 54.50 is shown.
There might be a good long term buy (long positions) opportunities.
The "carry trade" is more preferable, it means
we will open short positions as USDRUB price goes to 86-88 for long term investment.
USDRUB Quick Analyse 56.000 is my target
(I don't trade this pair but I live in Russia so I should know what happens with my country currency.)
[USDRUB] waiting for bullish signal ...Recognize potential false signals could be useful, and this idea could become an interesting discussion for the next sessions. From a technical point of view, if there will be a breakout (bullish), the target will be around 61.00 and fake signal (bearish) will be confirmed. Wait for the breakout to confirm bullish signals or follow our next analysis.
Thank you for your support and trade with care!
USDRUB (MOEX). New count. Back to September idea. Target 44. Quite often the first idea in your mind is correct, call it divine providence but it works.
So the more I am analyzing corrective structures the better should be labelling ))).
So this detailed count of what was seen last September - into related ideas below.
The target is conservative at 44 RUB where Y=W.
USD/RUB Daily Outlookgoo.gl
goo.gl
Today, the overall USD sentiment was bullish as a continuation of latest hype on the tax-reform that POTUS will present in the next future.
What also helped the USD bullish sentiment is the expected good outcome of this weekend’s meeting between POTUS and Japan’s Prime Minister.
One exception was the USD/RUB: USD lost 1.25% against the RUB. The possible reason for this is that markets might be foreseeing a reduction in the sanctions grip on Russia in the near future.
The no-brainer direction in this pair is still to the downside ruled by a descending-channel in the Daily chart.
The likelihood of this pair moving upside is thin but we shouldn’t rule out the sentiment of obvious oversold condition since the markets are feeling they might have anticipated correctly a release of the sanctions on Russia.
Trade safe!
Alberto Alvarado
Short term up on USDRUBHighly probable uptrend on 1h
Also we have small divergence on MACD 1h and standart divergence on 4h
