USDSGD
The US surpassed 10 million total cases of COVID-19The pair will break down from a major support line, sending the pair lower towards the 1.32000 resistance area. Asia’s coronavirus cases remain stable despite the resurgence of the deadly virus in Europe and North America. This week, the US surpassed 10 million total cases of COVID-19 while some countries in Europe implemented a second lockdown. Meanwhile, Singapore had only 1-digit daily infection cases throughout November making Asia, particularly Singapore, a good investment hub for businesses. Aside from this, the country is looking to build up its reserves and take advantage of the weak US dollar. USD reserves by Singapore in October jumped to $338.0 billion compared to the prior month’s $328.0 billion. This, in turn, will hedge the Singaporean dollar against economic uncertainties. In other news, US Chamber of Commerce CEO Thomas Donohue calls for the passing of the new stimulus bill before the inauguration of Biden.
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDSGDMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.3400, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.3885 breaks.
If the support at 1.3400 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the trough at 1.3549 on 2020-09-01 and the trough at 1.3512 on 2020-10-22, the probability of downtrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.3510 on 10/22/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.3550, 1.3675, 1.3785 and maximum to Major Resistance (1.3885) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 35.
Take Profits:
TP1 @ 1.3550
TP2 @ 1.3675
TP3 @ 1.3785
TP4 @ 1.3885
TP5 @ 1.4270
TP6 @ 1.4635
TP7 Free
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USDSGD long trade ideaPlan: wait for the price to bounce off from demand zone --> wait for the rejection candle pattern to form e.g. bullish engulfing, pinbar, etc --> BUY
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Traders!! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade as I do, please write it in a comment so we can manage the trade together.
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USDSGD (4H) Backtest : 62% Win rate (12 R), 85% non-losers!Detailed backtest results
- prnt.sc
- Win/Loss ratio : 400%
- Non losers : 85%
- Net R : 12 R across 13 trades
- Avg R / winner = 1.5
- Avg R / trade = 0.92
Icons on the chart
- Thumbs up : Trade was a win
- Thumbs down : Trade was a loss
- Circle with a cross : Trade was breakeven
- Cross : Did not take the trade due to one or more trade qualifiers
- Bug : I could not understand how to trade, so avoided trading
Trade qualifiers
- $ icon : DXY was either supporting the trade direction (and we took the trade as win/loss/BE), or DXY was not supporting the trade direction (and trade was not taken)
- Dollar bill icon : Liquidity was present behind the stop loss
How to read icons on chart?
- Thumbs up + $ icon => Winner trade, direction was supported by DXY
- Thumbs down + $ icon => Loser trade, direction was supported by DXY
- Cross + $ icon => Trade skipped because DXY didn't support trade direction (though a liquidity hunt wasn't an issue)
- Cross + $ icon + Dollar bill => Trade skipped because DXY didn't support trade direction & a potential liquidity hunt was due near the stop loss
- Cross + Dollar bill => Trade skipped because a potential liquidity hunt was due near the stop loss (though DXY did support trade direction)
Indicators at bottom of chart
1) Count of HH/LL for the pair - shows when market structure is broken => Also generates a signal on the main chart (highlighted vertical lines)
2) Count of HH/LL for DXY - shows how the pair is moving in correlation to DXY
3) Correlation of the pair with DXY - just to give an idea about how the correlation is moving
Strategy
Pickup a pair which is highly correlated to DXY
AND
Wait for market structure to break, then trade the retest of that zone. Zone is drawn using the first candle which crossed the pivot high/low to begin trapping the traders
AND
Liquidity in form of equal highs/lows should not be present behind the stop loss
AND
Since the pair is highly correlated to DXY , the formation of HH/LL in DXY should support the trade's direction at the time of zone's formation
Risk management
1) Reduce 50% at 1R => Trade becomes risk free
2) Reduce further 25% at 2R AND move SL to break-even
3) Close trade at 3R
4) Winner = 1.75R
Variables
Avg winner = 1.75R
PS1 : Please excuse the busy chart!
PS2 : This backtest was performed right to left, so could include visibility bias. However, I tried to follow the strategy rules in all trades.
USDSGD double bottom and go 🦐USDSGD on the daily chart bounced over a weekly support at 1.35400.
The price started then a new impulse and soon will test a minor resistance.
IF the price will break and close above the structure we will set a nice long order according to Plancton's strategy.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Next Week Forecast for USDSGD on Daily time frame
The pair (US Dollar / Singapore Dollar) is somehow taking a rest (range bound)
It is highly likely that the uptrend starts soon.
And nothing can come in the way of the price until it reaches the target.
Tell me what you think of this chart. Thank you!
USDSGD, The trade of the month!It will be a good trade if we will catch the bounce I showed on the chart.
But, don't hurry! We should wait for confirmation...
The potential profit will be 3...5 times bigger than the risk.
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USDSGD, Possible scenarios...We can make our decisions near the Support Level using these examples.
If the price will approach slowly we should wait for the breakout.
If it will happen fast we can trade buy!
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Before to trade my ideas make your own analysis.
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USDSGD Possible 2R ideaUSDSGD is in a downtrend on H4, breaking and retesting clear levels. There are two levels marked up - the upper is important mirror level that the price already retested and rejected with a double top, and entry level, which is secondary level of resistance and also the neckline of M formation (double top).
USD/SGD - market takes a breath before going LONG!Like many of the USD pairs this week, USD/SGD has shown a lot of strength, from it's lows at the start of the week it has risen 236 PIPS. Price broke to the upside from a descending daily trend channel last week, and this week price has broken again to the upside from a falling wedge. Both good indications that we may be seeing the start of a trend shift. Due to the moves experienced this week it is only likely that the market will pullback to retest a level of support - namely the zone between 1.3730 to 1.3715. At this point will be looking for an entry to go long on this pair. From their take profit targets will be 1.3775 and 1.3856.
If a lower high is formed below this zone, this analysis will become invalid.
USDSGD - Outlook 22 Sept 2020 - Buy Hi all traders,
This is a video analysis on usdsgd.
As usual, i have warn some pretty nice levels for you to take the trade for usdsgd.
In addition, i have added a small little nugget in the video for traders to understand why usd is gonna be stronger.
Hope you like the video analysis.
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USDSGD - long biasedHi all traders,
I hope you have a good day with all the pips from fomc.
Now that fomc have settled, this is a trade analysis i have for you all on usdgsd.
Please take note of the levels i have informed in usdsgd and trade those levels carefully.
Please also help to like and share this video with your friends.
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Cheers and thank you as always!